What Eric Schmidt said, newest first. Changes are found by AI and checked before they show; every quote opens at its moment.
2026-07-31 · BlackNova Productions · 27:28
“the amount of computation required to do this will be so great that there'll only be a few of them. And furthermore, they'll become so important that they'll be like nuclear weapons.”He expects AGI-like systems to be few, extremely expensive, and treated like nuclear weapons.
2026-07-31 · BlackNova Productions · 31:39
“I think it's going to take another breakthrough or two.”He believes AGI will arrive but requires one or two more breakthroughs.
2026-07-19 · Zenvora Productions · 24:30
“I don't agree with the three years but I do agree that it'll be maybe six or seven years”He expects superintelligence in roughly six or seven years, not three.
2026-07-01 · New SciTech 新科技 · 06:56
“most of us believe that they will they, whatever you want to call them, will in our lifetimes be materially smarter in some ways over the humans”He expects AI systems to become materially smarter than humans in some ways within our lifetimes.
2026-07-01 · New SciTech 新科技 · 48:41
“The people who are building large language models think it's going to be enough. I personally think it's not”He does not believe large language models alone will reach AGI.
2026-03-14 · The Builder Weekly · 00:00
“You actually think AI's under hyped. Why is that? >> And I'll tell I'll tell you why.”He believes AI is underhyped because progress has moved beyond chatbots to planning and reasoning.
2026-03-14 · The Builder Weekly · 05:14
“If we can solve that, we're going to need even more data centers, and we'll also be able to invent completely new schools of scientific and intellectual [music] thought.”He expects solving the problem of inventing genuinely new knowledge would unlock entirely new schools of scientific and intellectual thought.
2026-02-12 · ExpovistaTV · 21:37Changed view
“Now I personally don't think it'll be within 2 years but the the but I do believe that over a 5 or 10 year period the rise of this foreign intelligence and how it gets hard harnessed is going to be huge.”He expects major advances from recursively self-improving AI over five to ten years, though not within two years.
2025-12-02 · Institute of Politics at Harvard Kennedy School · 32:09Changed view
“If you ask me, I double that to 4 years, which is really soon.”He expects recursive self-improvement and superintelligence to arrive within about four years.
2025-11-07 · Peter H. Diamandis · 03:11
“they all basically think that it's within 3 to four years. Uh I personally think it'll be longer than that.”He expects super intelligence to take longer than the three to four years predicted by some in San Francisco.
2025-11-05 · Catalaxis · 02:29
“I don't agree with the three years but I do agree that it'll be maybe six or seven years”He expects AGI in roughly four to six years, later than the three-year San Francisco consensus.
2025-11-05 · Catalaxis · 05:37
“I've funded a number of startups which claim to be close to it, but of course these are startups and you never know, which tells me it's 5 10 years.”He sees recursive self-improvement as five to ten years away, based on the startups he has funded.
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