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Heat. Heat.

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That was not a That was Not a large

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applause. Start again.

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>> That's better. Thank you.
>> Yeah, we're going to make this

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interesting.

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How many how many quotes are you going
to want that are going to be after this

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session? >> Uh I don't know. I mean, five.

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>> Okay. So, uh good
afternoon everybody. It's

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great to see everybody here. Uh it's

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been an amazing week here in Davos. Um

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hopefully everybody

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saw that we are having conversations

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here. Hopefully everybody agrees.
There are some conversations that we may

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disagreed. There's many conversations
we may have agreed but through those

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conversations and I think today's result

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with a peace agreement earlier today
um the world economic forum is here to

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have those conversations to have

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understandings and also resolution. So

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um uh it's an important component of who

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we and what we are and I'm thrilled uh

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to have Elon Musk here. Um

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he came all the way from California
to be here to see all of you. So uh thank

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you Elon. >> Uh you're most welcome.

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>> Um >> I mean I heard
I heard about heard about

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the formation of the the peace summit

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and I was like is that uh is that PIC?

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Uh

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you know little piece of Greenland,
a little piece of Venezuela.

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Okay, we we got one.
>> All we want is peace.

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>> Okay, I'm going to uh as I said, I'm a

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pretty proud uh CEO of Black Rockck
since we went public. Um uh the

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compounding return of Black Rockck to

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our shareholders with 21%.

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Uh since Elon took Tesla uh public, his

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compounded return is 43%.

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This is I just another advertisement for

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everybody especially for Europeans. This

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is why more citizens should be investing

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with growth, investing with their

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countries. Imagine if a lot of pension

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funds invested with Elon when Tesla went

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public and how much

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return with the all the pension funds

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that invested side by side with Elon and

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the growth. So, um, a spectacular return.
There's very few companies,

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well, I don't think there's any other
company as large as Tesla today that has

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that compounded return. So,
congratulations. Thank you. It's a good

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measurement. >> Well,
we have an incredible team at

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Tesla, and that's the reason.

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>> So, I want to get
into the dirt, the the

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meaningful component about technology,

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the possibilities. Um I want to talk

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about AI and robotics, energy, space and

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the progress ultimately coming down to
engineering engineering discipline scale

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execution.

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Um and few few people if not anyone has

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the experience and the fortitude to

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confront these issues headon. Not just

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the ideas but the execution across so
many different technologies. Elon and

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that's why I thought it was important

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for us to have this dialogue here uh in

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Davos. So you're presently building on

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AI, on robotics, on space, on energy all

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at the same time. When you
look across those efforts,

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what do they have in common
from an engineering standpoint?

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>> Uh well, they're all very difficult

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technology challenges. Um but the

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uh the overall goal of my companies is

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to

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maximize the future of civilization like

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basically maximize the probability that

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civilization has a great future. Um and

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uh to expand consciousness beyond earth.

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So take SpaceX for example that SpaceX

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is about build advancing rocket
technology to the point where we can

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extend life and consciousness beyond

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earth. uh to the moon, to Mars, uh

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eventually to other star systems. And uh

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and I think we should always view

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consciousness uh life as we know it as

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as precarious and delicate. Um because

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to the best of our knowledge, we we we

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don't know of life anywhere else. You

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know, I'm often asked um are there

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aliens among us?
And I'll say that I am one, but

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>> or you're from the future.
They don't believe me.

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>> Okay. >> Um, so, uh, but I I I

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think if anyone would know if there are

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aliens among us, it would be me. Um,

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and, uh, we we have 9,000 satellites up

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there, and not once have we had to

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maneuver around an an alien spaceship.

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So, I'm like, I don't know. It's bottom

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line is I think we need to assume that

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life and consciousness is extremely rare

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and it might only be us. And if that's

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the case, then we need to do everything

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possible to to ensure that the the light

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of can the light the light of

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consciousness is not extinguished

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because we're effectively the way I view

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it is the image in my mind is of a a

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tiny candle in a vast darkness tiny

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candle of consciousness that could

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easily go out. Um and that's why it's
important to make life multilanetary

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uh such that if there is a natural
disaster or a man-made disaster on earth

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that consciousness continues. That's the

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purpose of SpaceX. Um

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te Tesla is obviously about sustainable

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technology and uh and and also at this

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point we've we've sort of added to our

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mission sustainable abundance.

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So with robotics and AI

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um this this is really the path to

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abundance for all. If you say you know

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people often talk about uh solving

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global poverty or essentially how how do

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we make give everyone a very high

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standard of living? I I think the only

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way to do this is AI and robotics.

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um which which doesn't mean that it is uh

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without its issues. I mean there's we
need to be very careful with AI. We need

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to be very careful with robotics. We

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don't want to find ourselves in a James

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Cameron movie. Uh

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you know Terminator >> he's he's
great movies. Love his movies

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but but we don't want to be in

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Terminator obviously. Um but but if you

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have um ubiquitous AI that is

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essentially free or close to it and

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ubiquitous robotics uh then uh you will

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have an an an explosion
in the in the global economy

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an expansion in the global
economy that is truly

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beyond all precedent.

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>> Elen, can that expansion be broad? Yes.

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>> Or is it narrow? And how can that be

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created? How can it
broaden the global economy?

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>> Yeah, it's I mean I
mean a way to think of it is

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that if you have a large number
of humanoid robots um the economic output

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is the average
productivity per robot times

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the number of robots,

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>> right?
Um and and actually my prediction

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is in the in the benign scenario of the

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future that we will the robots we will
actually make so many robots in AI that

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they will actually saturate all human

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needs. Meaning you won't be able to even

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think of something

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to ask the robot for at a certain point

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like like there will be such an

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abundance of goods and services

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because the my prediction is there'll be

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there'll be more robots than people. So

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>> but how do you then have human purpose

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in that scenario? Yeah, I mean, you

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know, there nothing's perfect, you know,

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but um

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but I mean I mean it is it is a a

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necessary um

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like you can't have both. You can't have

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work that has to be done uh um and uh

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amazing abundance for all.
Um because if it's if it's work that has

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to be done then then then you and and only
some people can do it then then you

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you you can't have abundance
of >> then it's narrow.

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>> It's narrow. Exactly.

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>> So um but if you
if you have billions of

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humanoid robots and I think there will
be um then I think I think everyone on

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earth is going to have one and going to

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want one. Um because uh you would who

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wouldn't want a robot to you know um

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assuming it's very safe uh watch over

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your kids, take care of your pet. Uh if

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you have elderly parents, uh a lot
of friends of mine said they have elderly

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parents, it's it's uh very
difficult to take care of them.

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>> Expensive. >> Yeah,
it's expensive and it's expensive

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and there just aren't enough people
to take care of the there aren't enough

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young people to take care
of the old people, >> right?

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>> Um so if you if they Um,
if if you had a

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robot that could take care of and
protect an an elderly parent, I think

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that would be great. That would be an

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amazing thing to have. Um, and and that

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I think we will have those things. So,
I mean, overall, I'm I'm very optimistic

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about the future. I think we're headed

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for a future of amazing abundance, uh,

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which is very cool. Um, and, uh, and and

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definitely we are in the most
interesting time in history.

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Um, I don't think there's more a more

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interesting time in history.

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>> Can we uh can you
and I reverse aging in

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this new history or or
or are we going to see it?

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>> You know, I haven't I haven't put much

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time into uh the aging stuff. I I do

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think it is a very solvable
problem like like you can

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I think when when when we
figure out what causes aging,

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>> I think we'll find it's incredibly
obvious. It's not a subtle thing. Um,

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the reason I say it's not a subtle thing
is because all the cells in your body,

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you know, with some pretty much age at

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the same rate. I've never seen someone

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with with an old left arm and a young

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right arm ever in my life. >> Um,
so why is that? It that means that

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there must be a clock,
a synchronizing clock, >> right,

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>> that is synchronizing
across 35 trillion

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cells in your body. Um and uh

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you know the but there is some benefit

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to death by the way. It's like there's

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there's a reason why we don't actually
have a longer lifespan. Uh because if

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you if you have if people do live
forever for very long time I think

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there's some risk of an oification of

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society of of things just getting kind

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of locked in place. Um and uh

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you know it it just may become um

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stalifying just not uh lack lack

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vibrancy. Um but but that that said, do

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I think we'll figure out ways to extend

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life and um and maybe even reverse

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aging? I think that's highly likely.

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>> I'm looking forward to that.

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>> Yeah. Uh so um in the future that you

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talk about AI models, autonomous

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machines, rockets depends on massive

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increases of compute, massive increases

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in energy, expensive energy,

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manufacturing scale,

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what are the bottlenecks to to get

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there? And then once again with all that

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expenditures again, how can we make sure

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that it's broadened, not narrow?

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Um

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I I just think the natural thing is it's
going to be very broad because uh AI

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companies will seek as many customers
as they possibly can and the cost of AI

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will get is already very low and it's

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it's plummeting every year. I mean you

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almost the cost of AI is almost
ch meaningfully changing on a

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month-to-month basis.
>> There's open there's open models now

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everywhere. Yeah. >> Yes.
very there's open models um and the

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open models only lag they're maybe
a year behind right the the private the

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sort of closed models

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>> um so so I I think the the ai companies

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will seek as as many customers
as possible which means they'll seek

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they'll provide AI to the world >>
but the cost of getting to there the

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compute the chips

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um the fab um the powering

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that to me what are the what
are the you know those are huge

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>> the limiting factor yeah I think the
limiting factor for um AI deployment is

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fundamentally electrical power

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>> it's just right it's energy

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>> yeah yeah um I mean
we're seeing the the

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rate of AI chip production increase

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exponentially but the rate of

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electricity being brought online is uh

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>> 3% 4% a year max >> yeah
it's clear that we're we're We're

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we're very soon, maybe even later this

252
00:14:41,120 --> 00:14:43,277
year, uh we'll be producing more chips

253
00:14:43,360 --> 00:14:46,397
than we can turn on

254
00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:50,877
except for China. China China is China's
growth in electricity is is tremendous.

255
00:14:50,960 --> 00:14:54,237
>> They're building 100
gawatts of nuclear as we speak.

256
00:14:54,320 --> 00:14:59,277
>> Uh actually solar is the biggest thing
in China. So China's I believe China's

257
00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:01,117
production capacity on solar is 1500

258
00:15:01,200 --> 00:15:03,917
gawatts a year. Um and they're deploying

259
00:15:04,000 --> 00:15:08,157
over 1,000 gawatts a year of of solar.

260
00:15:08,240 --> 00:15:11,997
Um now you know for continuous solar

261
00:15:12,080 --> 00:15:14,717
load you divide that by roughly I don't

262
00:15:14,800 --> 00:15:18,317
know four or five uh call it that's

263
00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:21,757
around uh 250 gawatts of steady state

264
00:15:21,840 --> 00:15:25,277
power um paired with batteries

265
00:15:25,360 --> 00:15:30,957
um and that that's a very big number
that's half of the average power usage

266
00:15:31,040 --> 00:15:31,917
in the US right

267
00:15:32,000 --> 00:15:35,677
>> so US US power uh
usage on average is is

268
00:15:35,760 --> 00:15:39,277
500 gawatt uh China just in solar just

269
00:15:39,360 --> 00:15:42,477
like just in in in in solar like that

270
00:15:42,560 --> 00:15:45,917
can provide steady state power uh and

271
00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:48,477
batteries can do half of the US

272
00:15:48,560 --> 00:15:50,797
electricity output per year just with

273
00:15:50,880 --> 00:15:53,997
solar. Solar is by far the the the

274
00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:57,117
biggest source of of of energy. Um and

275
00:15:57,200 --> 00:15:59,597
actually when you look beyond or even

276
00:15:59,680 --> 00:16:03,117
even on Earth but certainly beyond Earth

277
00:16:03,200 --> 00:16:06,557
u the sun rounds up to 100% of all

278
00:16:06,640 --> 00:16:09,037
energy. This is an important thing to

279
00:16:09,120 --> 00:16:14,317
consider. Um so this the sun is 99.8%

280
00:16:14,400 --> 00:16:16,957
of the mass of the solar system. Jupiter

281
00:16:17,040 --> 00:16:19,117
is about.1% and everything else is

282
00:16:19,200 --> 00:16:22,317
miscellaneous. Um now even if you were

283
00:16:22,400 --> 00:16:26,477
to uh burn Jupiter in a in a

284
00:16:26,560 --> 00:16:30,077
thermonuclear reactor uh the sun the

285
00:16:30,160 --> 00:16:34,157
amount of energy produced by the sun
would still round up to 100% because

286
00:16:34,240 --> 00:16:36,957
Jupiter is only.1%. If you teleported

287
00:16:37,040 --> 00:16:39,437
teleported three more Jupiters into our

288
00:16:39,520 --> 00:16:42,717
solar system, the and and burnt three

289
00:16:42,800 --> 00:16:45,437
more Jupiters and everything else in the

290
00:16:45,520 --> 00:16:48,317
solar system, the sun's

291
00:16:48,400 --> 00:16:52,157
energy would still round up to 100%.

292
00:16:52,240 --> 00:16:57,117
>> So, it's really all about the sun.
Um and that's that's why

293
00:16:57,200 --> 00:16:58,477
uh one of the things we'll be doing with

294
00:16:58,560 --> 00:17:04,797
SpaceX uh in within a few years
is launching um solar powered AI

295
00:17:04,880 --> 00:17:05,437
satellites,

296
00:17:05,520 --> 00:17:09,197
>> right? Um because the space is really

297
00:17:09,280 --> 00:17:11,917
the source of immense power and then you

298
00:17:12,000 --> 00:17:14,317
don't need to take up any room on earth.

299
00:17:14,400 --> 00:17:17,357
uh there's so much room in space and you

300
00:17:17,440 --> 00:17:20,957
can scale to uh enormous uh I mean you

301
00:17:21,040 --> 00:17:23,357
can you can scale to

302
00:17:23,440 --> 00:17:29,960
I think ultimately hundreds
hundreds of terowatts a year

303
00:17:30,960 --> 00:17:34,877
you and I have had these conversations
before but why don't you tell the

304
00:17:34,960 --> 00:17:36,797
audience what would it take for the

305
00:17:36,880 --> 00:17:38,957
United States and what type of geography

306
00:17:39,040 --> 00:17:44,397
would it take to have that solar field
to electrify the United States And and

307
00:17:44,480 --> 00:17:47,757
then let me ask a question.
Why aren't we doing it?

308
00:17:47,840 --> 00:17:50,317
>> Yeah. So I mean I guess rough way to

309
00:17:50,400 --> 00:17:53,277
think about it is um 100 miles by 100

310
00:17:53,360 --> 00:17:57,997
miles we'll call it 160 km by 160 km of

311
00:17:58,080 --> 00:18:01,117
of solar is enough to power the entire

312
00:18:01,200 --> 00:18:03,757
United States.

313
00:18:03,840 --> 00:18:08,317
So the 100 100 mile mile by 100
mile area is is I mean you could take

314
00:18:08,400 --> 00:18:11,117
basically a small corner
of Utah, >> Nevada,

315
00:18:11,200 --> 00:18:16,317
>> Nevada, New Mexico. Obviously we
wouldn't want it all in one place, but

316
00:18:16,400 --> 00:18:18,077
you could it's it is a very small

317
00:18:18,160 --> 00:18:21,837
percentage of the area of of the US to

318
00:18:21,920 --> 00:18:26,317
generate all of the electricity that
the US uses. Um and the same is true

319
00:18:26,400 --> 00:18:28,557
actually I mean for for Europe you you

320
00:18:28,640 --> 00:18:31,277
could take a small part you could take

321
00:18:31,360 --> 00:18:34,717
uh relatively unpopulated areas of say

322
00:18:34,800 --> 00:18:39,597
Spain and Sicily and generate all of
the electricity power that Europe needs.

323
00:18:39,680 --> 00:18:43,517
>> So why don't you think that there's
a movement towards that here and in the

324
00:18:43,600 --> 00:18:45,917
United States? >> Uh well there is

325
00:18:46,000 --> 00:18:48,237
>> as it is in China.

326
00:18:48,320 --> 00:18:50,877
Well, unfortunately in in the US the the

327
00:18:50,960 --> 00:18:54,717
the tariff barriers for solar are are

328
00:18:54,800 --> 00:18:57,757
extremely high. Um and that makes the

329
00:18:57,840 --> 00:19:01,597
economics of deploying solar uh

330
00:19:01,680 --> 00:19:07,437
so artificially high because China makes
almost all the solar um and uh and the

331
00:19:07,520 --> 00:19:09,357
that >> what would it
take for Europe or the US

332
00:19:09,440 --> 00:19:12,077
to build it commercially if it's that

333
00:19:12,160 --> 00:19:14,717
scale?

334
00:19:14,800 --> 00:19:17,917
Yeah, I I think I think uh well, I can

335
00:19:18,000 --> 00:19:21,757
tell you what what we're going to do,
you know, at SpaceX and Tesla was is

336
00:19:21,840 --> 00:19:25,597
we're we're building up um
large scale solar, >> right?

337
00:19:25,680 --> 00:19:27,917
>> So, the the SpaceX and Tesla teams both

338
00:19:28,000 --> 00:19:30,477
separately are working to build to 100

339
00:19:30,560 --> 00:19:33,837
gawatts a year of solar power in the US

340
00:19:33,920 --> 00:19:38,797
of manufactured solar power. Um and um

341
00:19:38,880 --> 00:19:41,917
that'll probably take us I don't
know about three years or something.

342
00:19:42,000 --> 00:19:43,917
>> But that's these
are pretty big numbers.

343
00:19:44,000 --> 00:19:44,477
Mhm.

344
00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:48,157
>> Um and um you know I'd encourage others

345
00:19:48,240 --> 00:19:51,517
to the to do the same. Um

346
00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:53,597
we obviously don't control the you know

347
00:19:53,680 --> 00:19:59,197
US tariff policy. uh but uh for for for

348
00:19:59,280 --> 00:20:02,397
other countries uh I would re you know

349
00:20:02,480 --> 00:20:05,277
that there's China makes solar cells

350
00:20:05,360 --> 00:20:08,317
that are incredibly low cost and I think

351
00:20:08,400 --> 00:20:13,720
uh it would be worth uh
doing large scale solo.

352
00:20:15,760 --> 00:20:18,760
So,

353
00:20:19,040 --> 00:20:23,677
I know you are you're going to be having
a couple big announcements on robotics

354
00:20:23,760 --> 00:20:28,077
and what it can do. I mean, when I went to
the factory, you showed me those robots.

355
00:20:28,160 --> 00:20:31,560
>> Yeah. >> Um,

356
00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:36,477
how quickly you talked about the billions
of robots, but how quickly and

357
00:20:36,560 --> 00:20:38,317
how quickly can they be deployed in a

358
00:20:38,400 --> 00:20:40,477
manufacturing setting? How quickly can

359
00:20:40,560 --> 00:20:43,597
they be utilized and be functional and

360
00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:49,960
be uh create that that abundance
that you talked about?

361
00:20:50,640 --> 00:20:52,317
>> Well,

362
00:20:52,400 --> 00:20:53,997
humanoid robotics will advance very

363
00:20:54,080 --> 00:20:58,157
quickly. I think uh we we we do have

364
00:20:58,240 --> 00:21:00,877
some of the Tesla Optimus robots doing

365
00:21:00,960 --> 00:21:03,997
simple tasks in the factory.

366
00:21:04,080 --> 00:21:07,917
um except probably later this year by

367
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:09,197
the end of this year I think they'll be

368
00:21:09,280 --> 00:21:14,477
doing um more more complex tasks um and

369
00:21:14,560 --> 00:21:16,877
and but still deployed in an industrial

370
00:21:16,960 --> 00:21:20,317
environment and uh and probably sometime

371
00:21:20,400 --> 00:21:24,317
next year I'd say that by the by the end

372
00:21:24,400 --> 00:21:27,837
of next year I I think uh we'd be

373
00:21:27,920 --> 00:21:30,637
selling humanoid robots uh to the

374
00:21:30,720 --> 00:21:33,677
public. um that that's when we are

375
00:21:33,760 --> 00:21:35,357
confident that the it's very high

376
00:21:35,440 --> 00:21:38,157
reliability, very high safety um and the

377
00:21:38,240 --> 00:21:42,477
range of functionality is uh is also
very high. You can basically ask it to

378
00:21:42,560 --> 00:21:45,917
do anything you'd like.
>> You're already seeing that in Tesla

379
00:21:46,000 --> 00:21:49,517
cars. This the software changes
that you're doing and what is it every

380
00:21:49,600 --> 00:21:53,997
quarter now a software change that
upgrades the the ability of the robot

381
00:21:54,080 --> 00:21:58,237
within the car. >> Uh yes,
the Tesla full self-driving

382
00:21:58,320 --> 00:22:00,397
software we we update it sometimes once

383
00:22:00,480 --> 00:22:04,877
a week. Um and um recently some of the

384
00:22:04,960 --> 00:22:07,037
insurance companies have said that uh it

385
00:22:07,120 --> 00:22:10,237
is actually so safe uh when where Tesla

386
00:22:10,320 --> 00:22:13,197
full full self-driving is so safe that

387
00:22:13,280 --> 00:22:16,317
uh they're they're offering uh customers

388
00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:21,517
half price insurance if they if they
use Tesla full self-driving in their car

389
00:22:21,600 --> 00:22:24,317
>> and that can be monitored by the
insurance company. Can they is that part

390
00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:28,237
of the agreement then? >> Yeah.

391
00:22:28,320 --> 00:22:34,717
Um but I I think uh self-driving cars is

392
00:22:34,800 --> 00:22:37,117
essentially a solved
problem at this point,

393
00:22:37,200 --> 00:22:41,517
>> right? um at and te
Tesla's r rolled out

394
00:22:41,600 --> 00:22:44,717
uh sort of robo taxi
service in a few cities and

395
00:22:44,800 --> 00:22:45,197
>> right

396
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:49,117
>> we'll uh I be very very widespread by

397
00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,077
the end of this year within the US and

398
00:22:52,160 --> 00:22:57,117
then we we hope to get supervised
full self-driving approval in Europe

399
00:22:57,200 --> 00:22:59,757
hopefully next month
>> really that quickly

400
00:22:59,840 --> 00:23:03,597
>> yeah and then uh maybe a similar timing

401
00:23:03,680 --> 00:23:07,037
timing for China hopefully >>
I want to move to space because

402
00:23:07,120 --> 00:23:09,517
historically space is very capital

403
00:23:09,600 --> 00:23:12,157
intensive. It historically been done by

404
00:23:12,240 --> 00:23:14,637
governments obviously SpaceX changed the

405
00:23:14,720 --> 00:23:18,157
whole model. Uh but we've seen it slow

406
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:21,757
to scale and now I'm starting to see
it ramping up and what you're doing and

407
00:23:21,840 --> 00:23:26,717
other things. Um talk to us
about the res you know the

408
00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:28,717
automation and AI how it's changing the

409
00:23:28,800 --> 00:23:31,037
economics in building uh and preparing

410
00:23:31,120 --> 00:23:34,477
for us in operating in space.

411
00:23:34,560 --> 00:23:38,600
>> Uh sure. Um

412
00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:43,517
well the the key breakthrough that tells
that that's the major breakthrough that

413
00:23:43,600 --> 00:23:45,757
SpaceX is hoping to achieve this year is

414
00:23:45,840 --> 00:23:47,997
full reusability.

415
00:23:48,080 --> 00:23:51,277
Um so no one has ever achieved full

416
00:23:51,360 --> 00:23:55,037
reusability of a rocket which is very
important for the cost of access to

417
00:23:55,120 --> 00:23:59,277
space. Um we've achieved partial
reusability with Falcon 9 by landing the

418
00:23:59,360 --> 00:24:01,037
boost stage. We've we've now landed the

419
00:24:01,120 --> 00:24:05,437
boost stage over 500 times. Um but uh we

420
00:24:05,520 --> 00:24:09,757
we don't we have to throw away the upper
stage. The upper stage burns up on

421
00:24:09,840 --> 00:24:12,237
re-entry for Falcon 9. So and that that

422
00:24:12,320 --> 00:24:14,317
the cost of that is equivalent to a

423
00:24:14,400 --> 00:24:18,797
small to mediumsiz jet. So um but with

424
00:24:18,880 --> 00:24:23,277
with Starship which is a giant rocket it's
it's the largest flying machine ever made.

425
00:24:23,360 --> 00:24:26,957
>> That's a rocket that you using
for the idea of going to Mars right?

426
00:24:27,040 --> 00:24:29,357
>> Yeah Mars and the moon. Um as well as

427
00:24:29,440 --> 00:24:33,677
for high volume satellite stuff. So,

428
00:24:33,760 --> 00:24:36,797
Starship um hopefully this year we

429
00:24:36,880 --> 00:24:39,037
should prove full reusability for

430
00:24:39,120 --> 00:24:43,917
Starship which will be um a a profound

431
00:24:44,000 --> 00:24:47,677
invention uh because

432
00:24:47,760 --> 00:24:50,477
uh the cost of access to space will drop

433
00:24:50,560 --> 00:24:55,437
by a factor of 100 when you
achieve full reusability. Um,

434
00:24:55,520 --> 00:24:57,597
>> right. >> It's it's
the same sort of economic

435
00:24:57,680 --> 00:25:02,717
difference that you would expect that uh
between say a reusable aircraft and a

436
00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:06,957
non-reusable aircraft. Like if you have
to throw your aircraft away after every

437
00:25:07,040 --> 00:25:08,797
flight, that would be a very expensive

438
00:25:08,880 --> 00:25:11,597
flight. Um, but if you only have to

439
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:14,237
refuel uh then it's the cost of the

440
00:25:14,320 --> 00:25:19,437
fuel. And so that's really the uh

441
00:25:19,520 --> 00:25:21,837
the the fundamental breakthrough that

442
00:25:21,920 --> 00:25:25,197
gets the cost of access to space uh we

443
00:25:25,280 --> 00:25:30,157
think uh below the cost of uh of freight

444
00:25:30,240 --> 00:25:32,317
on aircraft.

445
00:25:32,400 --> 00:25:34,557
Uh so

446
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,437
you know under under $100 a pound type

447
00:25:37,520 --> 00:25:42,477
of thing easily. Um so it it it makes uh

448
00:25:42,560 --> 00:25:46,077
putting large satellites into into space

449
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:49,197
very low very very cheap. Um and then

450
00:25:49,280 --> 00:25:54,557
when you have solar in space you you get
uh five times more effectiveness maybe

451
00:25:54,640 --> 00:25:58,557
even more than that than solar on the
ground because it's it's always sunny.

452
00:25:58,640 --> 00:26:02,317
>> It's cold and >> it yeah
it's it's it's always well it's

453
00:26:02,400 --> 00:26:04,237
always sunny so you don't have a dayight

454
00:26:04,320 --> 00:26:05,837
cycle or seasonality

455
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,677
>> or weather. Um and you get about uh 30%

456
00:26:09,760 --> 00:26:14,477
more power in space uh because uh you
don't have atmospheric attenuation of

457
00:26:14,560 --> 00:26:15,597
the power. >> Right?

458
00:26:15,680 --> 00:26:17,357
>> The the net effect is solar is five

459
00:26:17,440 --> 00:26:21,917
times more uh any given solar panel will

460
00:26:22,000 --> 00:26:25,357
do five times more uh energy in space

461
00:26:25,440 --> 00:26:29,277
than uh on the ground.
>> Is there any capacity in doing that and

462
00:26:29,360 --> 00:26:33,517
and then taking that power and bringing
it back to earth? Is there any way of

463
00:26:33,600 --> 00:26:35,197
doing that or or you're just taking that

464
00:26:35,280 --> 00:26:37,277
power and utilizing it for the needs

465
00:26:37,360 --> 00:26:42,237
like building um u AI data centers in

466
00:26:42,320 --> 00:26:45,357
the space? I I I think the the case it's

467
00:26:45,440 --> 00:26:50,397
it's a no-brainer for building uh AI
solar powered AI data centers in space.

468
00:26:50,480 --> 00:26:53,597
Um because as you mentioned it's it's
also very cold in space. If you're if

469
00:26:53,680 --> 00:26:57,917
you're if you're in the shadow uh then
it's it's very cold in space just 3°

470
00:26:58,000 --> 00:27:00,397
Kelvin. So you just have you have solar

471
00:27:00,480 --> 00:27:04,477
panels facing the sun and then uh a uh

472
00:27:04,560 --> 00:27:09,357
radiator that's like point like pointed
away from the sun. Um so it has no sun

473
00:27:09,440 --> 00:27:12,317
incident and then it's and then it's
just cooling. It's a very efficient

474
00:27:12,400 --> 00:27:15,757
cooling system. So

475
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:17,917
uh net net effect is that the lowest

476
00:27:18,000 --> 00:27:21,677
cost place to put AI will be space and

477
00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:27,037
that and that'll be true within two
years maybe three three at the latest.

478
00:27:27,120 --> 00:27:31,197
>> Wow. So looking 10
or 20 years out um what

479
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,517
would how would you describe success

480
00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:36,877
with AI or space technology and where do

481
00:27:36,960 --> 00:27:39,917
you see it is that can you are you more

482
00:27:40,000 --> 00:27:45,197
certain what's going to happen
in the next three years or or five or 10

483
00:27:45,280 --> 00:27:49,357
>> I don't know what's going to happen
in 10 years but the rate at which AI is

484
00:27:49,440 --> 00:27:51,437
progressing

485
00:27:51,520 --> 00:27:53,437
I think we

486
00:27:53,520 --> 00:27:57,037
we're we might have AI that is smarter

487
00:27:57,120 --> 00:27:59,357
than any human by the end of this year.

488
00:27:59,440 --> 00:28:01,757
Um and and I would say
no later than next year.

489
00:28:01,840 --> 00:28:03,117
>> Wow.

490
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:07,597
>> Um and then probably by 2030 or 2031,

491
00:28:07,680 --> 00:28:10,157
call it 5 years from now,

492
00:28:10,240 --> 00:28:16,637
uh AI will be smarter than uh
all of humanity collectively.

493
00:28:16,720 --> 00:28:19,997
>> We only have a number of minutes left,
but I want I want to humanize you for a

494
00:28:20,080 --> 00:28:23,437
second >> so there's no
speculation that you're

495
00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:27,837
talking about peace. >> Right.
Right. I want to I mean I would

496
00:28:27,920 --> 00:28:29,837
frame this question by you are the most

497
00:28:29,920 --> 00:28:32,317
successful entrepreneur industrialist in

498
00:28:32,400 --> 00:28:35,757
the 21st century maybe beyond. Um, I

499
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:39,517
want to so I want to really get this,
you know, what inspired you? Who's

500
00:28:39,600 --> 00:28:43,517
inspired you?
What was the foundation of of your

501
00:28:43,600 --> 00:28:45,117
curiosity?

502
00:28:45,200 --> 00:28:48,477
And and importantly, what was the what

503
00:28:48,560 --> 00:28:51,117
was it? Was there a aha moment, an

504
00:28:51,200 --> 00:28:55,997
epiphany at any time
in your life and career?

505
00:28:56,080 --> 00:28:59,837
>> Well, um, I mean,
as a kid, I read a lot of

506
00:28:59,920 --> 00:29:02,317
science fiction, sci-fi, fantasy books.

507
00:29:02,400 --> 00:29:03,277
>> Yep. we talked about

508
00:29:03,360 --> 00:29:07,357
>> um and uh comic books uh and I always

509
00:29:07,440 --> 00:29:09,837
liked technology. Uh I didn't expect to

510
00:29:09,920 --> 00:29:12,317
be where I am today seems incredibly

511
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:16,397
implausible. Um but uh yeah, I was I was

512
00:29:16,480 --> 00:29:18,157
inspired by reading about books about

513
00:29:18,240 --> 00:29:21,437
the future about science fiction and uh

514
00:29:21,520 --> 00:29:25,597
and I guess I want to make science
fiction not fiction forever at some

515
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:27,357
point turn science fiction to science

516
00:29:27,440 --> 00:29:31,437
fact. Um, and uh,

517
00:29:31,520 --> 00:29:35,597
you know, we want to have like Starfleet

518
00:29:35,680 --> 00:29:39,997
and Star Star Trek really for for real,
like where we actually have giant

519
00:29:40,080 --> 00:29:44,237
spaceships traveling through space,
going to other planets, traveling to

520
00:29:44,320 --> 00:29:49,037
other star systems.
>> Be beamed up to go back to New York.

521
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:51,117
>> You know, I I'd like to just be beamed

522
00:29:51,200 --> 00:29:55,197
back to New York instead of flying.

523
00:29:55,280 --> 00:29:58,397
>> Yeah. um

524
00:29:58,480 --> 00:30:02,557
talk about Star Trek. >> No,
I guess my my central I what I would

525
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,397
call the phil philosoph philosophy of

526
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,277
curiosity. I'd like to understand um the

527
00:30:07,360 --> 00:30:11,277
meaning of life, you know, the is the

528
00:30:11,360 --> 00:30:14,317
standard model of is a standard
model of physics correct

529
00:30:14,400 --> 00:30:17,437
>> regarding the beginning of life,
beginning of existence and the end of

530
00:30:17,520 --> 00:30:20,317
the universe. Um what what questions do

531
00:30:20,400 --> 00:30:23,037
we not know to ask that we should ask?

532
00:30:23,120 --> 00:30:28,397
Um, and AI will help us with these
things. Um, so I'm just trying to

533
00:30:28,480 --> 00:30:32,237
understand how do we get here? What's
going on? What's real? Are there aliens?

534
00:30:32,320 --> 00:30:36,557
Maybe they are. Um, and if if we've got
if we got spaceships that are traveling

535
00:30:36,640 --> 00:30:39,117
to other star systems, uh, we may find

536
00:30:39,200 --> 00:30:41,837
we may encounter aliens and or we may

537
00:30:41,920 --> 00:30:44,877
find many long dead alien civilizations.

538
00:30:44,960 --> 00:30:48,717
But I I I'm just I just I just want
to know what's going on. kind of curious

539
00:30:48,800 --> 00:30:51,597
about the the universe and

540
00:30:51,680 --> 00:30:53,117
um

541
00:30:53,200 --> 00:30:56,077
that's my philosophy.

542
00:30:56,160 --> 00:31:00,877
>> Do you see yourself ever
going to Mars in your lifetime?

543
00:31:00,960 --> 00:31:04,797
>> Uh yeah, I mean I would say like I
you know I >> That's a long commitment.

544
00:31:04,880 --> 00:31:07,677
>> I've been asked >> wasn't
that three years each way?

545
00:31:07,760 --> 00:31:10,637
>> Uh it's six months.
>> Six months. That's all it is?

546
00:31:10,720 --> 00:31:12,157
>> Yeah, six months. But the planets only

547
00:31:12,240 --> 00:31:13,997
align every every two years.

548
00:31:14,080 --> 00:31:17,757
>> Okay. So, uh, yeah, I've been asked a

549
00:31:17,840 --> 00:31:20,717
few times like, "Do I want to, you know,

550
00:31:20,800 --> 00:31:27,000
die on Mars?" And I'm like,
"Yes, but just not on impact."

551
00:31:29,440 --> 00:31:30,637
That's a good That's a good answer.

552
00:31:30,720 --> 00:31:32,797
Anyway, uh, we're out of time. I

553
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:36,317
hopefully everybody enjoyed this. Um, I

554
00:31:36,400 --> 00:31:37,997
mean, there's so many myths around Elon

555
00:31:38,080 --> 00:31:40,637
Musk. I could tell you he's a great

556
00:31:40,720 --> 00:31:43,597
friend and I constantly learn so much

557
00:31:43,680 --> 00:31:47,597
from him. Um, and I'm totally inspired

558
00:31:47,680 --> 00:31:51,837
by what he's what he has done.

559
00:31:51,920 --> 00:31:55,357
I've been inspired who he is and I'm

560
00:31:55,440 --> 00:31:57,597
totally inspired by his vision of the

561
00:31:57,680 --> 00:31:59,997
future and I don't think it's such a bad

562
00:32:00,080 --> 00:32:02,477
future and I agree with his optimism. So

563
00:32:02,560 --> 00:32:06,877
Elon, thank you. Any last words? Um

564
00:32:06,960 --> 00:32:09,997
>> um well I think generally I think my

565
00:32:10,080 --> 00:32:14,237
last words would be I would encourage
everyone to be optimistic and excited

566
00:32:14,320 --> 00:32:16,237
about the future. >> Good.

567
00:32:16,320 --> 00:32:18,717
>> Um and and and generally I think for

568
00:32:18,800 --> 00:32:21,517
quality of life it is actually better to

569
00:32:21,600 --> 00:32:24,317
on the side of being an optimist and

570
00:32:24,400 --> 00:32:27,997
wrong rather than a pessimist and right.

571
00:32:28,080 --> 00:32:31,480
On that note,

572
00:32:43,520 --> 00:32:47,080
I think you needed
