1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:01,757
All right, everybody.

2
00:00:01,840 --> 00:00:04,677
We have a very special guest. Listen.

3
00:00:04,760 --> 00:00:08,797
We love all of you. This is a This is
the most amazing room of innovators in

4
00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:13,197
America. Uh we love you all.
It's a dinner of

5
00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:18,397
equals, but there can only be one number
one. Uh we do We're Forbes. We do rank

6
00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:19,517
things.

7
00:00:19,600 --> 00:00:24,917
Uh and the Forbes 250 uh innovators the

8
00:00:25,000 --> 00:00:27,037
number one innovator uh

9
00:00:27,120 --> 00:00:28,717
and it wasn't that close, to be honest,

10
00:00:28,800 --> 00:00:32,477
was Elon Musk. So,

11
00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:36,717
uh and we are very honored to have
him join us. Elon, are you here?

12
00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:38,597
>> Uh yeah. >> Oh, we're
glad that you're glad that

13
00:00:38,680 --> 00:00:42,497
you're here. Thank you. There he is.

14
00:00:42,580 --> 00:00:46,277
>> [applause] >> AND YOU DO
LIKE RANKING THINGS. IT'S TRUE.

15
00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:51,557
>> HA, we do. We're good at it. Uh and and
again, first congratulations. It was not

16
00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:54,877
that close. There were a lot of There
were a lot of battles in a lot of

17
00:00:54,960 --> 00:00:57,157
places, but number one was not in doubt.

18
00:00:57,240 --> 00:01:00,757
Uh but anyway,
this is a room of your people.

19
00:01:00,840 --> 00:01:03,757
Yeah, you Well deserved
This is a room of your

20
00:01:03,840 --> 00:01:08,077
people. I will say they were asking
the first question and we want we want to

21
00:01:08,160 --> 00:01:11,157
get really nerdy about innovation. The
first question though that everybody was

22
00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:13,357
asking is, all right, ask Elon. We had

23
00:01:13,440 --> 00:01:16,317
one of the great ca- cases in the world

24
00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:18,757
of innovation over the last few weeks.

25
00:01:18,840 --> 00:01:22,917
What's Elon's verdict
on the verdict today?

26
00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:28,237
>> What do you mean on me? >> Uh I
that that that um the case in Oakland.

27
00:01:28,320 --> 00:01:30,967
>> Yes. Oh, oh, what that verdict?

28
00:01:31,050 --> 00:01:33,060
>> [laughter]

29
00:01:34,800 --> 00:01:37,640
>> It's like, what are you doing?

30
00:01:37,800 --> 00:01:41,277
Um yeah, I guess just

31
00:01:41,360 --> 00:01:44,237
Well, they they basically just

32
00:01:44,320 --> 00:01:47,997
decided that the uh

33
00:01:48,080 --> 00:01:49,997
staff would not pay things for fast.

34
00:01:50,080 --> 00:01:52,757
They were not actually

35
00:01:52,840 --> 00:01:57,957
whether depending on whether um you you
they've been unjustly enriched or the

36
00:01:58,040 --> 00:01:59,637
charity could be dissolved, which I

37
00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:05,680
think is obviously the case. Um So, um

38
00:02:05,800 --> 00:02:09,037
But, I I do think it's somewhat
of a dubious situation because

39
00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:11,957
um you know, what happened was in

40
00:02:12,040 --> 00:02:16,117
by degrees. I mean, it wasn't it wasn't
stolen all at once, but stolen one piece

41
00:02:16,200 --> 00:02:19,877
at a time. And, um

42
00:02:19,960 --> 00:02:24,037
so, we have to say, like, well,
was there really even a basis for legal

43
00:02:24,120 --> 00:02:28,237
action before um you know,
problems to dissolve? And, I

44
00:02:28,320 --> 00:02:30,357
don't think there is, actually.

45
00:02:30,440 --> 00:02:33,957
Um so, you know,

46
00:02:34,040 --> 00:02:37,917
but like, the first step I don't label
at this point, but the first step into

47
00:02:38,000 --> 00:02:39,757
adding a for-profit thing had a cap

48
00:02:39,840 --> 00:02:42,517
for-profit and was at a small scale.

49
00:02:42,600 --> 00:02:45,997
Um and also, that uh

50
00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:50,917
all stock would revert to the charity
upon the eventual of artificial general

51
00:02:51,000 --> 00:02:55,637
intelligence. Uh that that
clause is now being removed.

52
00:02:55,720 --> 00:02:59,797
So, it it will continue to be
a for-profit after developing artificial

53
00:02:59,880 --> 00:03:05,397
general intelligence. Um that removal was
quite recent, just in the last few weeks.

54
00:03:05,480 --> 00:03:08,997
Um so, um

55
00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:14,077
it is this point is it it is it is a
whatever $800 billion for-profit company

56
00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,237
somehow from a non-profit.
And, I I think this is a dangerous

57
00:03:17,320 --> 00:03:21,517
precedent to set because if
if it means that someone can

58
00:03:21,600 --> 00:03:24,477
um start take money as a non-profit,

59
00:03:24,560 --> 00:03:28,717
convert that to a for-profit
when it's successful, um

60
00:03:28,800 --> 00:03:33,237
it undermines all
charitable giving in America.

61
00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,637
>> It certainly would uh you'd see a lot
of people starting to start non-profits

62
00:03:36,720 --> 00:03:40,677
with a path towards for-profit. Uh you
you >> Exactly. What do you got to lose?

63
00:03:40,760 --> 00:03:44,397
>> Right, exactly. What um you said on X
you're appealing optimistic about the

64
00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:49,477
appeal? >> Yeah, I think we we
necessarily have to appeal um

65
00:03:49,560 --> 00:03:53,477
because uh it this this will
this become precedent,

66
00:03:53,560 --> 00:03:55,877
you know, which people can actually then

67
00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:57,757
essentially loot charities and use this

68
00:03:57,840 --> 00:04:00,917
case as a as a basis for doing so.

69
00:04:01,000 --> 00:04:04,117
Um which I think would be a lot.

70
00:04:04,200 --> 00:04:08,277
>> Let's uh let's talk innovation.
Your your title we have up here, I mean,

71
00:04:08,360 --> 00:04:12,437
again, you're the CEO of four major
companies, even those companies have

72
00:04:12,520 --> 00:04:15,157
major companies within those companies.

73
00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:20,480
Uh was this was this part
of the plan or did it just happen?

74
00:04:20,800 --> 00:04:24,237
>> More or less just happened.
I mean, it well, let's just say that

75
00:04:24,320 --> 00:04:29,437
when I was in college, I wanted
to be part of um things that would

76
00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,957
uh change the world in a significant way.

77
00:04:32,040 --> 00:04:36,077
Um I didn't originally
think I wanted to be

78
00:04:36,160 --> 00:04:39,237
doing things in AI because AI was
somewhat of a double-edged sword, but I

79
00:04:39,320 --> 00:04:43,077
I I did want to um
accelerate the transition to a

80
00:04:43,160 --> 00:04:47,517
sustainable energy economy, which
is the sort of electric cars, solar, and

81
00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:52,720
batteries. Um and uh

82
00:04:53,560 --> 00:04:58,157
you know, I think I think some some
kind of brain machine interface uh

83
00:04:58,240 --> 00:04:59,997
that can give you cybernetic

84
00:05:00,080 --> 00:05:02,997
superpowers, I think is probably good.

85
00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:09,037
Um it could, you know, help people
that have brain or spine injuries,

86
00:05:09,120 --> 00:05:13,917
uh you know, restore enable people who
never spoken for years to speak again,

87
00:05:14,000 --> 00:05:17,037
which is which we've done. Um

88
00:05:17,120 --> 00:05:20,317
get people eyesight who have lost uh

89
00:05:20,400 --> 00:05:22,677
both eyes or the optic nerve uh or maybe

90
00:05:22,760 --> 00:05:24,757
have never even seen at all, blind from

91
00:05:24,840 --> 00:05:29,637
birth. Um by direct interface to the uh

92
00:05:29,720 --> 00:05:33,997
the um optical sensors in the brain,
you you can actually

93
00:05:34,080 --> 00:05:37,157
restore eyesight or give people eyesight
that they've never had before. And you

94
00:05:37,240 --> 00:05:39,917
can enable people to walk
again, which I think is

95
00:05:40,000 --> 00:05:43,477
profound. I mean, these are kind
of Jesus-level things, you know, like uh

96
00:05:43,560 --> 00:05:46,717
let's say like when technologies are
hitting like Jesus-level miracles, you

97
00:05:46,800 --> 00:05:48,317
know, like, "Yeah, that's pretty good."

98
00:05:48,400 --> 00:05:53,557
>> How do you How do you um um How do
you Again, it's asked a lot, but it's it's

99
00:05:53,640 --> 00:05:56,757
fun to ask it to you. How do you
prioritize? I mean, cuz you're right,

100
00:05:56,840 --> 00:06:01,317
you've got you've got multiple deities
here. If it's if these are Jesus level

101
00:06:01,400 --> 00:06:04,437
solutions, which one
which one do you serve?

102
00:06:04,520 --> 00:06:08,677
>> Jesus level, you're like,
"Okay, that's pretty good." Um So,

103
00:06:08,760 --> 00:06:12,677
um And if And if SpaceX is about

104
00:06:12,760 --> 00:06:17,277
um making life multi-planetary

105
00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:20,677
expanding consciousness to the stars.

106
00:06:20,760 --> 00:06:26,077
Um And hopefully, we will make
a fundamental breakthrough later

107
00:06:26,160 --> 00:06:32,117
this year, which is having the the the
first a fully reusable uh orbital rocket.

108
00:06:32,200 --> 00:06:32,997
Um

109
00:06:33,080 --> 00:06:36,877
which is necessary in order to do

110
00:06:36,960 --> 00:06:40,037
transport enough tonnage uh to the moon

111
00:06:40,120 --> 00:06:44,077
or Mars to create a self uh a self-growing

112
00:06:44,160 --> 00:06:46,557
city. Um basically, to extend

113
00:06:46,640 --> 00:06:51,437
civilization to to to other planets. Um

114
00:06:51,520 --> 00:06:56,077
I mean, I I think probably you need to
move a rough order of magnitude of about a

115
00:06:56,160 --> 00:06:59,557
million tons to the moon or to Mars

116
00:06:59,640 --> 00:07:04,197
uh to create enough of an
of an industrial base to have

117
00:07:04,280 --> 00:07:06,357
have the civilization there be um

118
00:07:06,440 --> 00:07:08,557
self-growing, meaning like

119
00:07:08,640 --> 00:07:11,757
the acid test being if the

120
00:07:11,840 --> 00:07:13,677
resupply ships from Earth stop coming

121
00:07:13,760 --> 00:07:17,637
for any reason, um does it does the

122
00:07:17,720 --> 00:07:22,197
the civilization on the moon or Mars
continue to grow or does it die out?

123
00:07:22,280 --> 00:07:27,277
Um and um I think I
think that's that's a a

124
00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:30,797
fundamental branching point
in the future of civilization.

125
00:07:30,880 --> 00:07:35,037
Um Are Are we a multi-planet
space-faring civilization or are we um

126
00:07:35,120 --> 00:07:39,237
stuck on one planet forever? Um and um

127
00:07:39,320 --> 00:07:42,357
I do want to emphasize I mean,
like, being a multi-planet

128
00:07:42,440 --> 00:07:45,877
civilization is doesn't mean like we
leave Earth and go somewhere else cuz

129
00:07:45,960 --> 00:07:48,757
that would just be a single
planet civilization somewhere else.

130
00:07:48,840 --> 00:07:51,757
>> Right. On a lesser place, probably.

131
00:07:51,840 --> 00:07:53,957
>> Yeah, and a tougher place to to live

132
00:07:54,040 --> 00:07:56,117
than than here by far.

133
00:07:56,200 --> 00:07:59,037
Um Earth is extremely easy and

134
00:07:59,120 --> 00:08:01,477
comfortable compared to the moon, Mars,

135
00:08:01,560 --> 00:08:06,397
or pretty much anywhere else.
Um but you know, I think I think at some

136
00:08:06,480 --> 00:08:10,757
point we want to be a space
flying civilization. We want to

137
00:08:10,840 --> 00:08:13,997
Um be out there among the stars and we and

138
00:08:14,080 --> 00:08:18,037
and and be Yeah. Um

139
00:08:18,120 --> 00:08:21,797
>> So, these are again, these are huge,
huge things you're dealing with. So,

140
00:08:21,880 --> 00:08:25,117
when you try to figure out
when you get up every morning,

141
00:08:25,200 --> 00:08:28,717
is it just kind of like a buffet or is it
Do you have kind of a plan on what

142
00:08:28,800 --> 00:08:31,277
you're going to what you're going
to focus on? Cuz that's something a lot of

143
00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:36,040
innovators here have to deal
with on a much smaller scale.

144
00:08:36,800 --> 00:08:41,517
>> Well, uh I guess I don't really uh

145
00:08:41,600 --> 00:08:43,957
I don't really get up and say, "Hey,
what should I innovate today?" you know,

146
00:08:44,040 --> 00:08:48,717
type of thing. Um it's it's really just um

147
00:08:48,800 --> 00:08:54,437
I've both building the technologies
necessary to uh extend life beyond Earth.

148
00:08:54,520 --> 00:08:58,317
Um There's you know, there's this
there's the Starlink internet which is

149
00:08:58,400 --> 00:09:00,997
rebuilding the entire internet in space.

150
00:09:01,080 --> 00:09:06,437
Um But better, you know,
I guess that's kind of

151
00:09:06,520 --> 00:09:10,477
pretty cool. Um There's

152
00:09:10,560 --> 00:09:14,837
Yeah, but the Optimus robot that we're
developing at Tesla, the self-driving

153
00:09:14,920 --> 00:09:21,797
cars, um solar power at scale, you know.

154
00:09:21,880 --> 00:09:25,197
>> Big stuff. A lot of Again, they're
all pointing a lot of them are pointing to

155
00:09:25,280 --> 00:09:29,677
becoming an interplanetary
Is there a Is there a time when you

156
00:09:29,760 --> 00:09:33,197
could see again putting these companies
together and just running one big

157
00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,557
company? I mean, some of you have a a

158
00:09:35,640 --> 00:09:40,517
but do you envision that?
Would and would that help you in terms

159
00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:44,637
of making these things mesh?

160
00:09:44,720 --> 00:09:47,997
>> Um Well, I I think
it's difficult for me to

161
00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:51,557
to sort of comment on that,
you know, because uh

162
00:09:51,640 --> 00:09:54,917
you know, there's publicly
traded companies and >> Yeah.

163
00:09:55,000 --> 00:09:58,557
>> one is publicly traded and one is,
you know, about to be. So,

164
00:09:58,640 --> 00:10:02,157
uh it would be like difficult to you know.

165
00:10:02,240 --> 00:10:04,797
>> No no problem.
We'll we'll we'll move on. Although

166
00:10:04,880 --> 00:10:06,957
we we did uh the you know, the reports

167
00:10:07,040 --> 00:10:08,637
today that that you might follow your

168
00:10:08,720 --> 00:10:14,240
SpaceX S-1 this week. Is that that a go?

169
00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:17,837
>> I'm not I think I'm not allowed
to comment on on these things.

170
00:10:17,920 --> 00:10:21,397
>> Seriously? >> That's like a quiet
period or something to that effect.

171
00:10:21,480 --> 00:10:25,277
>> That That is the beauty That is the
beauty of uh going public or being in

172
00:10:25,360 --> 00:10:27,837
that quiet period. Um do you have a

173
00:10:27,920 --> 00:10:32,437
favorite of all your We know we you love
all you love all your your children, all

174
00:10:32,520 --> 00:10:35,677
your companies. Is there a favorite?

175
00:10:35,760 --> 00:10:40,317
among your companies? >> Well,
no. I mean, I'm not really going

176
00:10:40,400 --> 00:10:44,557
to say that's like what's your favorite
kid type of thing, you know. Um

177
00:10:44,640 --> 00:10:49,637
I think you can't really
s- say that, you know. Uh

178
00:10:49,720 --> 00:10:53,077
>> What um If it's not
your favorite company, who's

179
00:10:53,160 --> 00:10:58,840
your favorite role model
as an innovator historically?

180
00:10:59,560 --> 00:11:01,077
>> Well, I guess uh
you know, I'm obviously

181
00:11:01,160 --> 00:11:04,397
a big fan of Nikola Tesla since uh named

182
00:11:04,480 --> 00:11:07,317
the company after him. Um

183
00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:11,477
Um but also I I also like uh you know.

184
00:11:11,560 --> 00:11:13,880
Um

185
00:11:14,000 --> 00:11:17,157
I don't know. Um Edison is great, too.

186
00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:21,717
Um Like some people like don't like don't
like Edison really cuz he just did some

187
00:11:21,800 --> 00:11:27,320
pretty impressive stuff. Um And um

188
00:11:27,680 --> 00:11:32,120
Like General Electric
is like Edison's company. Um

189
00:11:32,240 --> 00:11:35,517
That's I mean

190
00:11:35,600 --> 00:11:40,237
I certainly admire the great scientists,
engineers, but I I like anyone. I mean,

191
00:11:40,320 --> 00:11:41,117
you know,

192
00:11:41,200 --> 00:11:43,637
Ben Franklin, uh

193
00:11:43,720 --> 00:11:49,557
Shakespeare, Newton, uh Einstein,
you know, >> We We did

194
00:11:49,640 --> 00:11:54,037
>> suspects. >> We did We
surveyed uh historians, and so

195
00:11:54,120 --> 00:11:58,397
you were number one on the 250 living
list. We did a 250 historical, and the

196
00:11:58,480 --> 00:12:02,677
top three were Edison, you said,
Franklin, uh and Henry Ford. So, you

197
00:12:02,760 --> 00:12:06,797
you've uh you know, you you're We
should have had you as a judge. Uh

198
00:12:06,880 --> 00:12:11,397
>> Ford was actually more awesome than
people realize cuz I mean, he basically

199
00:12:11,480 --> 00:12:15,117
invented um mass manufacturing of

200
00:12:15,200 --> 00:12:20,477
of complex objects. Like, people didn't
really know how to do that uh before uh

201
00:12:20,560 --> 00:12:25,157
before Ford. >> Yes. >> Um And like,
Ford actually created the

202
00:12:25,240 --> 00:12:29,757
automotive industry uh
of of Earth, really. Um

203
00:12:29,840 --> 00:12:32,917
And uh cuz cuz he he
he pretty much started

204
00:12:33,000 --> 00:12:37,397
what became General Motors,
and then he kind of got I don't know,

205
00:12:37,480 --> 00:12:42,557
kicked out of that or something,
and then started uh Ford Motor Company.

206
00:12:42,640 --> 00:12:44,717
Um Uh

207
00:12:44,800 --> 00:12:50,277
And and really developed mass
manufacturing of complex objects. Um

208
00:12:50,360 --> 00:12:53,917
It's quite quite a tricky thing, and then
everyone just pretty much copied him.

209
00:12:54,000 --> 00:12:56,637
>> What's uh what's amazing if you look
at the historical list, and even the

210
00:12:56,720 --> 00:13:00,717
current list, is just how much uh
innovation comes out of America, and how

211
00:13:00,800 --> 00:13:03,157
much of the things that everyone takes
for granted came out of America. Do you

212
00:13:03,240 --> 00:13:09,800
have a Do you have a favorite innovator
who's living today? Besides, you know,

213
00:13:10,360 --> 00:13:14,277
anybody in this room, or anybody uh uh
Who are Who are some of your favorite

214
00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:20,200
entrepreneurs, innovators you admire
who uh who are your contemporaries now?

215
00:13:21,800 --> 00:13:27,920
>> Well, uh hmm.
I mean, I guess uh I don't I

216
00:13:28,320 --> 00:13:35,160
I mean, I don't really think
about these things that much, but I

217
00:13:38,040 --> 00:13:41,317
Uh well, I mean, I guess uh you know,

218
00:13:41,400 --> 00:13:45,477
Jensen Huang at Nvidia is like
doing pretty great in terms of

219
00:13:45,560 --> 00:13:50,677
uh inventing, you know,
the developing AI computers. Um

220
00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:55,280
uh And um

221
00:13:55,800 --> 00:13:59,477
>> Well, you mostly you
mentioned Jensen and uh

222
00:13:59,560 --> 00:14:01,557
Listen, you were early

223
00:14:01,640 --> 00:14:04,717
uh warning about the dangers of AI, but

224
00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:08,677
also you've been uh you know, a somebody
who's helping pioneer a lot of great

225
00:14:08,760 --> 00:14:10,757
things that come out of AI. Right now,

226
00:14:10,840 --> 00:14:15,960
where are you on the scale
of how being petrified or excited?

227
00:14:17,000 --> 00:14:21,397
>> Well, I think I'm like so
simultaneously both, honestly. It's like

228
00:14:21,480 --> 00:14:26,397
uh I mean, at this this point, like like

229
00:14:26,480 --> 00:14:29,477
like when I go to sleep, there's like
some AI breakthrough. When I wake up,

230
00:14:29,560 --> 00:14:32,477
there's some AI breakthrough.
And by lunchtime, there's another AI

231
00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:35,997
breakthrough. >> Yeah. >> So, um it

232
00:14:36,080 --> 00:14:38,357
it's like a head spinner at this point.

233
00:14:38,440 --> 00:14:41,677
Um it you know, it's it's pretty obvious

234
00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:46,437
that we we're going to have AI
that is vastly smarter than humans. Um

235
00:14:46,520 --> 00:14:48,397
And um

236
00:14:48,480 --> 00:14:52,037
And already in some ways it already is.

237
00:14:52,120 --> 00:14:55,477
Um I

238
00:14:55,560 --> 00:14:58,037
it seems like AI unequivocally smarter

239
00:14:58,120 --> 00:14:59,677
than humans in every way, including in

240
00:14:59,760 --> 00:15:03,957
innovation, is probably

241
00:15:04,040 --> 00:15:08,037
not more than a year
or two away, it would seem.

242
00:15:08,120 --> 00:15:10,520
Um

243
00:15:11,880 --> 00:15:14,317
That's uh >> It's It's
heavy to think about.

244
00:15:14,400 --> 00:15:18,317
>> I know. Jesus, this is this is kind
of worrying. I hope it's nice to us, you

245
00:15:18,400 --> 00:15:22,277
know. >> [laughter] >> What um

246
00:15:22,360 --> 00:15:26,037
Um right, you know, when you look at me
about all the things we've asked him to

247
00:15:26,120 --> 00:15:29,157
do what what's something that you have
a better position that to see this than

248
00:15:29,240 --> 00:15:33,917
anybody pretty much what's
going to happen in 5 years

249
00:15:34,000 --> 00:15:36,997
that you're seeing that maybe a lot
of people aren't seeing that's going to

250
00:15:37,080 --> 00:15:41,880
blow people's minds that
will be doable in 5 years.

251
00:15:44,120 --> 00:15:46,837
>> In 5 years.

252
00:15:46,920 --> 00:15:51,117
We'll have probably so
5 years being say 2031

253
00:15:51,200 --> 00:15:54,677
um. I think.

254
00:15:54,760 --> 00:15:59,360
Digital intelligence will exceed
the sum of all human intelligence.

255
00:15:59,600 --> 00:16:03,720
That there will be in 5 years.

256
00:16:05,640 --> 00:16:09,597
Probably. There might be a.

257
00:16:09,680 --> 00:16:14,880
Let's say at least a hundred million
humanoid robots but maybe a billion.

258
00:16:17,240 --> 00:16:21,237
Yeah. >> All right the.

259
00:16:21,320 --> 00:16:27,880
>> Let me and and and I I I would
predict that the economy is probably.

260
00:16:29,240 --> 00:16:33,437
Twice its current size. In.

261
00:16:33,520 --> 00:16:38,437
Five maybe six years.
Seven at five to seven years.

262
00:16:38,520 --> 00:16:41,597
Um because you're going to hit
a doubling period you know where it's it's

263
00:16:41,680 --> 00:16:44,237
where the the economic output is

264
00:16:44,320 --> 00:16:47,557
increasing so so fast that you know plus

265
00:16:47,640 --> 00:16:51,557
minus a few years you're
you'll see giant changes.

266
00:16:51,640 --> 00:16:55,117
Um. >> What um

267
00:16:55,200 --> 00:16:58,957
what you know a couple follow-up
questions on that when do you see the

268
00:16:59,040 --> 00:17:01,877
first data center in space again you
have a better vision on that than pretty

269
00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:05,197
much anybody you know
you're again if when we're

270
00:17:05,280 --> 00:17:08,597
going to Mars it's you clearly going to be
leading the way when when do we get a

271
00:17:08,680 --> 00:17:10,037
colony on the moon when do we get a

272
00:17:10,120 --> 00:17:12,557
colony on Mars three-pronged question

273
00:17:12,640 --> 00:17:15,637
data center in space.

274
00:17:15,720 --> 00:17:20,077
Humans on the moon
humans on Mars, timeline.

275
00:17:20,160 --> 00:17:23,677
>> Yeah, certainly space is much easier
than people may think. I mean, SpaceX at

276
00:17:23,760 --> 00:17:26,717
this point has 10,000
satellites in orbit right now.

277
00:17:26,800 --> 00:17:30,437
Um and um

278
00:17:30,520 --> 00:17:32,157
and in the future with Starship we'll be

279
00:17:32,240 --> 00:17:35,117
launching over 10,000

280
00:17:35,200 --> 00:17:37,837
um communication satellites per year.

281
00:17:37,920 --> 00:17:41,357
Uh each one of which is much more
capable than our current satellites. So,

282
00:17:41,440 --> 00:17:44,600
you can expect, you know,

283
00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:49,357
that probably uh

284
00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,477
10 to 100 times more communications
capability than than is than currently

285
00:17:52,560 --> 00:17:55,557
exists from space. Um

286
00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:59,677
But but that that will pale
in comparison to the tonnage of uh AI

287
00:17:59,760 --> 00:18:03,077
satellites. So, I mean,
it's it's always helpful to use

288
00:18:03,160 --> 00:18:05,477
the physics tools
of thinking in the limit.

289
00:18:05,560 --> 00:18:08,957
If say if you think in the limit, what
is the most amount of uh AI compute you

290
00:18:09,040 --> 00:18:10,957
could possibly bring bring to bear?

291
00:18:11,040 --> 00:18:14,197
Um and the the way to access

292
00:18:14,280 --> 00:18:16,357
power that's far beyond anything on

293
00:18:16,440 --> 00:18:21,717
Earth is in space. Um so,
these are so so humbling

294
00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:26,757
ways to maybe frame the problem
and see how tiny we are.

295
00:18:26,840 --> 00:18:31,837
We Here on Earth we are like microbes
on a dust mote compared to the sun.

296
00:18:31,920 --> 00:18:35,197
Um so,

297
00:18:35,280 --> 00:18:39,877
we All of human civilization
currently uses less than

298
00:18:39,960 --> 00:18:45,117
a trillionth of the energy of the
say the power emitted by the sun.

299
00:18:45,200 --> 00:18:48,957
Much less than a trillionth. All human
energy counted as generously as you

300
00:18:49,040 --> 00:18:54,357
could possibly imagine is much less
than a trillionth of the sun's energy.

301
00:18:54,440 --> 00:18:57,197
Um so,

302
00:18:57,280 --> 00:19:00,277
that means if you were to increase

303
00:19:00,360 --> 00:19:04,877
civilizational the energy harnessed

304
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:10,557
by a million, you would still be much
less than a millionth of the sun's

305
00:19:10,640 --> 00:19:15,557
energy harnessed. Um So,

306
00:19:15,640 --> 00:19:18,437
an another way to think about it is cuz
people sometimes say, "What about this

307
00:19:18,520 --> 00:19:22,197
this form of of power generation or
that form of power generation?" I'm like,

308
00:19:22,280 --> 00:19:26,077
"Everything is irrelevant
compared to the sun." Um the

309
00:19:26,160 --> 00:19:28,357
sun is 99.8% of mass in the solar

310
00:19:28,440 --> 00:19:30,877
system. If If all mass that was not the

311
00:19:30,960 --> 00:19:35,477
sun was was burnt uh and you
extracted the absolute

312
00:19:35,560 --> 00:19:38,757
maximum amount of energy from all
mass that is not the sun, the amount of

313
00:19:38,840 --> 00:19:42,237
energy produced by the sun would still
round out to 100% of energy produced in

314
00:19:42,320 --> 00:19:44,997
the solar system. And then
if you teleported two more

315
00:19:45,080 --> 00:19:48,917
Jupiters from other somehow teleported
two more Jupiters into our solar system

316
00:19:49,000 --> 00:19:50,277
and burnt them, too,

317
00:19:50,360 --> 00:19:53,077
um the sun would still be 100% of power

318
00:19:53,160 --> 00:19:56,077
uh rounding up. So, really and

319
00:19:56,160 --> 00:20:00,237
everything is just extremely
tiny compared to the sun.

320
00:20:00,320 --> 00:20:01,757
So, that that whole when you go to

321
00:20:01,840 --> 00:20:05,917
space, um if you want if you want to to

322
00:20:06,000 --> 00:20:09,677
climb the Kardashev Kardashev scale
in any meaningful way whatsoever, you

323
00:20:09,760 --> 00:20:11,997
have to go to space. Um

324
00:20:12,080 --> 00:20:16,997
and and and uh you know,
our rough estimate is

325
00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:21,757
that you could probably do
a terawatt a year of AI-powered

326
00:20:21,840 --> 00:20:27,077
uh you know, solar-powered AI satellites
um from from launched from Earth.

327
00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:29,197
Um that would require,
let's say, something

328
00:20:29,280 --> 00:20:32,797
like 10 million tons
a year of payload to orbit

329
00:20:32,880 --> 00:20:37,237
at 100 kW per ton.
And that'd be a terawatt per year. The

330
00:20:37,320 --> 00:20:41,277
average power usage in the United
States is half a terawatt.

331
00:20:41,360 --> 00:20:46,480
So, that would mean you'd
be launching twice the um

332
00:20:46,680 --> 00:20:50,397
twice the amount of AI power than than
the entire electricity can consumption

333
00:20:50,480 --> 00:20:54,677
in the United States. per year.

334
00:20:54,760 --> 00:20:58,637
But this is this is this is we're we're
not breaking any physics here. This is

335
00:20:58,720 --> 00:21:03,357
this is all achievable. Um Now,
if you want to take that up uh

336
00:21:03,440 --> 00:21:06,717
several more orders of magnitude, then
the the thing to do is to build a base

337
00:21:06,800 --> 00:21:08,757
on the moon.

338
00:21:08,840 --> 00:21:11,437
And construct a mass driver.

339
00:21:11,520 --> 00:21:16,157
Um and build the uh solar
panels and radiators on the

340
00:21:16,240 --> 00:21:19,437
moon. Chips you could probably bring
from Earth, but build those on the moon,

341
00:21:19,520 --> 00:21:21,277
too. Um

342
00:21:21,360 --> 00:21:23,157
And uh and and that would let enable you

343
00:21:23,240 --> 00:21:26,917
to do about a pedawatt per year

344
00:21:27,000 --> 00:21:31,797
into of solar-powered AI.
Um and I'm not sure how much AI we need

345
00:21:31,880 --> 00:21:34,357
up there, but uh that's a lot.

346
00:21:34,440 --> 00:21:37,277
>> That is a lot. >> Yeah. >> What um

347
00:21:37,360 --> 00:21:39,277
>> It would be vastly
greater than the than

348
00:21:39,360 --> 00:21:42,277
the Earth's economy. Um

349
00:21:42,360 --> 00:21:47,077
Earth's economy would be yeah, really
inconsequential by comparison with that.

350
00:21:47,160 --> 00:21:50,277
>> No, that's a that's
a vision of abundance, for sure.

351
00:21:50,360 --> 00:21:53,797
Uh I know you you've had a quite a busy
day and you you always have a busy day,

352
00:21:53,880 --> 00:21:56,797
so we don't we want to be mindful
of your time. So, I just have two last

353
00:21:56,880 --> 00:22:01,597
questions. One, uh there must
be I mean, again, you keep

354
00:22:01,680 --> 00:22:05,517
on coming up with these big ideas and you
keep executing them. What's a What's

355
00:22:05,600 --> 00:22:09,157
a big idea in your head
that you haven't deployed yet?

356
00:22:09,240 --> 00:22:12,320
Uh that you'd like to.

357
00:22:14,360 --> 00:22:16,717
>> Well, I you know, I did I did say
for the longest time that people ought to

358
00:22:16,800 --> 00:22:19,477
build build tunnels, and then everyone
thought I was joking. And then I was

359
00:22:19,560 --> 00:22:22,477
like, "Fine, well, let's just create
a company, the Boring Company, to build

360
00:22:22,560 --> 00:22:24,997
tunnels." Um cuz this is an obvious way

361
00:22:25,080 --> 00:22:28,757
to um reduce traffic to zero by going 3D

362
00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:32,157
with your transport system.
Just as we go 3D with the buildings,

363
00:22:32,240 --> 00:22:34,877
um it's obviously uh logical to it

364
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,237
logical to expect that you you uh won't

365
00:22:38,320 --> 00:22:41,917
have traffic if you have
buildings that are 3D and and a

366
00:22:42,000 --> 00:22:45,077
transport system that is 2D.
And everyone tries to go in and out of the

367
00:22:45,160 --> 00:22:49,237
3D building at the same time.
Um but if you have a transport network

368
00:22:49,320 --> 00:22:53,477
that is three-dimensional with tunnels
going all over the place, um then um

369
00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:56,997
you can address any
arbitrary level of traffic.

370
00:22:57,080 --> 00:23:01,157
Um now, I encourage other people
to start tunneling companies cuz the the

371
00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:04,437
Boring Company is the only one, as far as
I can tell that's taking this seriously.

372
00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,037
>> to be the only boring company, right?

373
00:23:06,120 --> 00:23:11,557
So, >> Yeah, honestly, there's like a lot
of opportunity, um, you know, in tunnels.

374
00:23:11,640 --> 00:23:15,717
Um, and >> [laughter] >> there really is.

375
00:23:15,800 --> 00:23:19,037
Um, and it's quite hard work building
these things. So, I would I hope that

376
00:23:19,120 --> 00:23:20,717
others people do it, too. >> Okay.

377
00:23:20,800 --> 00:23:23,397
>> Um, and I guess
there's there's probably a

378
00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:28,157
lot of opportunity in, um,
synthetic medicine. So, um,

379
00:23:28,240 --> 00:23:32,717
with like these days,
you can basically create uh custom,

380
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:34,917
you know, RNA. Uh,

381
00:23:35,000 --> 00:23:39,917
and I think I think like
the the sort of we're going from

382
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:42,357
uh from a situation
where medicine has been

383
00:23:42,440 --> 00:23:45,877
analog, where we kind of like just find
drugs kind of by accident most of the

384
00:23:45,960 --> 00:23:50,357
time. Um, like finding sticks in the
forest that, you know, seem like it this

385
00:23:50,440 --> 00:23:54,837
thing this stick seems like a useful club,
um, type of thing. It's it's it's

386
00:23:54,920 --> 00:23:58,997
quite primitive how we found
medication in the past. Um,

387
00:23:59,080 --> 00:24:04,597
now, but once you can since since we can
now construct synthetic RNA, um, you can

388
00:24:04,680 --> 00:24:08,957
effectively think of medicine
the future of medicine as being digital.

389
00:24:09,040 --> 00:24:10,877
Like, so it's if you if you just know

390
00:24:10,960 --> 00:24:16,157
what to program into that synthetic RNA
strand, um, you can basically, I think,

391
00:24:16,240 --> 00:24:19,157
cure almost anything. >> Hm. Hm.

392
00:24:19,240 --> 00:24:23,477
All right. Challenge to the room,
digital medicine and 3D transportation.

393
00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:27,037
Let's go. Let's give Elon some
competition. All right, last question.

394
00:24:27,120 --> 00:24:29,957
>> Electric aircraft, there's probably
an opportunity there. I think there's a

395
00:24:30,040 --> 00:24:32,757
startups in that field.
>> What kind of what kind of aircraft?

396
00:24:32,840 --> 00:24:37,077
>> Electric aircraft. >> Yeah, electric
aircraft. I'm sure that's coming. Um,

397
00:24:37,160 --> 00:24:40,437
when we when we get together and you
know, hopefully, you know, who knows

398
00:24:40,520 --> 00:24:44,117
with the way technology is going, some
of us will be here in another 250 years

399
00:24:44,200 --> 00:24:49,157
for the Forbes, you know,
500 celebration innovation. What would you

400
00:24:49,240 --> 00:24:53,077
want your Yeah, and again, you're you're
still building it, but when you think

401
00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:56,877
about your legacy, and I know it's
early, but what what would you what

402
00:24:56,960 --> 00:25:00,037
would be make you feel good when people
look back the way you talked about

403
00:25:00,120 --> 00:25:06,200
Edison and Franklin? What would what
would you like people to say about you?

404
00:25:09,960 --> 00:25:14,480
>> You played a useful role
in the advancement of civilization.

405
00:25:14,600 --> 00:25:19,197
>> Play with end. >> [applause] >> I I

406
00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:23,277
>> And I think by the way again, this
is the most incredible room in America

407
00:25:23,360 --> 00:25:26,637
today. I think that's true for all of us.
So, let's take inspiration. You all

408
00:25:26,720 --> 00:25:29,077
are great, but he's number one.

409
00:25:29,160 --> 00:25:32,357
Uh Elon Musk, thank you
for joining us here at this

410
00:25:32,440 --> 00:25:34,597
>> For all of humanity,
that's what the AI will say.

411
00:25:34,680 --> 00:25:39,757
>> [laughter] >> Fair. Thank you again.
Thank you for your time and

412
00:25:39,840 --> 00:25:41,877
all that. And thank you. Now, we're
going to have a We're going to let you

413
00:25:41,960 --> 00:25:44,797
go and we're going to bring
the other award winners up. But again,

414
00:25:44,880 --> 00:25:50,000
Elon Musk, again, thank you for your
time and all all your good thoughts.
