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So, Dario, we're at Davos.
There's a lot going on,

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but I wanted to start with a a big picture
question, which I'll characterize like

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this. It feels to me that the

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Time last year, everybody was very
excited about AI, and everyone was

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talking about what AI
can do, its potential,

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its capabilities. It feels to me as

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though the debate has shifted somewhat

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this year to be more less what can AI do

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to what is AI doing to the world.

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Um and I I know that you think a lot
about these things. So, my question is,

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do you think business

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is policy makers, governments,
whatever, are doing enough

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to prepare for the impact? >> No.

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Um

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I'll explain the longer version now. Um

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you know, I've been watching this field

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for 15 years, and I've been in this

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field for 10 years. And and one of the

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things I've most noticed
is that there's been

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the the actual trajectory of the field

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has been surprisingly

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on on a a you know, the same trajectory.

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Whereas the kind of public opinion
and the reaction of the public has

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oscillated wildly. I would say that
in in in two different ways. One is the

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capabilities of the technology. Every 3

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to 6 months, we have this reversal of of
polarity, where the media is incredibly

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excited about what the technology can do,
it's going to change everything, and

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then it's you know, it's all a bubble,
it's all it's all going to fall apart.

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And and what I see is this smooth
exponential line where similar to

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Moore's law for compute, we basically
have a Moore's law for intelligence,

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where the model is getting more and more
cognitively capable every every few

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months. And that that march has just
been constant. The up and down, the we

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invented a new thing, it's all going to

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crash, it's hitting a wall, it's it's

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going to go crazy. That that is a public

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perception phenomenon. That's on the
capability of the technology. I think

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there's a similar thing on the polarity
of whether the technology is good or

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bad. Um

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uh you know, in 2023 and 2024, there was

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a lot of concern about AI, right? There
was, you know, concern AI you know, AI's

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going to AI's are going to take over.

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There was a lot of talk about AI risk,

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AI misuse. Then in 2025, the political

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wind shifted, as you say, to AI

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opportunity. And now they're sort
of shifting back. And and I think

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throughout throughout all of this,
the the approach that I have tried to take

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and the approach that Anthropic has
tried to take is is is one of constancy,

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of saying that there is balance here.

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Uh and and uh balance of a very strange

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form, because I think the technology is

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very extreme in in what it's capable of

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doing. But I think its positive impacts
and its negative impacts that, you know,

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they they both exist, right? I wrote
this essay Machines of Loving Grace

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about a year and a half ago. It had
a very radical view of the upside of AI,

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that you know, it would it would help
us to, you know, cure cancer, eradicate

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tropical diseases, you know, kind of bring
bring economic development to, you

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know, parts of the world that haven't
seen it. And I my view hasn't changed. I

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believe all of those things. Um

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but the the other side of it, which,
you know, I'm I'm I'm now uh uh

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you know, kind of writing writing more
about and and what you know, may may

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release something about soon, is yeah,

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there you know, bad things will happen
as well. If we just take just for an

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example as as one of the risks,
we take the economic

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side of it. Um

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my my view is the signature of this

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technology is it's going to take
us to a world where we have very

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high GDP growth and potentially also

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very high unemployment and inequality.

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Now, that's not a combination we've
we've almost ever seen before, right?

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You think of it as high GDP growth,
that's lots of stuff to do, lots of jobs

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for everyone. It's always been like
that in the past. We've never had a

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technology that's this disruptive. So,

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the idea that we could have 5 or 10% GDP

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growth, but also, you know, 10 10%
unemployment, it's it's not logically

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inconsistent at all. It's just never

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happened that that that that way before.

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And I'm I'm really quite uh you know,

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for those both reasons, excited and

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worried. If I take an example, something

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like AI coding, um

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you know, the latest model we released,

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Claude Opus 4.5, um I have some

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uh uh engineers, some engineering leads

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within Anthropic who have basically said

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to me, I don't write any code anymore.
I I you know, I just let Opus do the work

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and I edit it. We just released a new
thing called Claude co-work. We can go

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into go you know, we can go into that

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later, but this was a a version of our

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tool, Claude code, for non-coding. This
was built in a week and a half, almost

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entirely with Claude Opus. There's still
things for the software engineers to do,

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right? It's like, even if the software
engineers are only doing 10% of it, they

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can you know, they still have a job to do,
or they can take a level up. That's

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not going to last forever. The models
are going to do more and more. And so

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there's an incredible This is a microcosm.
You can see there's an

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incredible amount of productivity here.

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Software is going to become cheap, maybe

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essentially free. The premise that you

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need to amortize a piece of software
you build across millions of users

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that may start to be false. Like for the

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meaning it might cost a few cents
to just say, I don't know, let's let's

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let's make some app so people can talk
to each other or everything, you know, I

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it just it it it just may be very

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flexible and recyclable. But but at the

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same time there are whole jobs, whole

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careers that we built built for decades
that that may not be be present. And you

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know, I I think we can deal with it.
I think we can we can adjust to it, but I

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don't I don't think there's an an
awareness at all of what of what is

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coming here and the magnitude of it.

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>> So how that's it's so interesting when
you say that. So how do you think in a

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world of of high GDP growth but also high

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unemployment, you know, what does
that do to society? And you say there are,

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you know, people aren't thinking about
it now. Can you give concrete examples

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of how society might organize
itself to adapt to such a world.

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>> Yeah. So, you know, I think I think
there's a few things. The The first

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thing that that we've done that we've

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focused on, and this is not a solution
so much as it is a first step, is we

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have this thing called the Anthropic
Economic Index. We've had it for about a

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year. We've updated it I
think four or five times now.

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Uh and what that does is is a real-time

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index that lets you track, um you know,
what our model Claude is being

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used for. It goes across all the
conversations and kind of uses Claude in

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a privacy-preserving way to, you know,

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kind of kind of statistically query how
Claude is being used. What are the tasks

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it's being used for? To what extent it

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is Is it automating versus augmenting

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tasks? Um what industries is it being
used in? How is it diffusing across

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states in the United States and countries
countries in the world? We've

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We've just added kind of more and more
detail here. And And And my view is

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until we can measure the shape of this
economic transition, any policy is going

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to be blind and and misinformed, right?

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Many many policies have gone wrong
because they're they're based on

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premises that are that are fundamentally
incorrect. So, so that's that's step

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one. Step two is I think we need to

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think very carefully about how do we
allow people to adapt, right? People can

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adapt more quickly or they can adapt

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more slowly. This can mean adapting to

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use the technology within existing jobs.

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This can mean adapting, you know, from

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one job to another job. For example,
I think there are probably going to be

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more jobs in the physical world and less
jobs in the knowledge work economy. Now,

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maybe eventually robotics, you know,
makes progress, but I think that's on a

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that's on a slower trajectory. So So
that's one. Are there jobs that have,

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you know, still kind of, you know,
really value a human touch? Um some of

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them do, some of them don't. We may find
out how important how important that is

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in the market and where it's most
important. At the level of companies,

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what are the moats when software becomes
cheap and then subsequently the rest of

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knowledge work becomes cheap. We don't
know. We've never quite asked that

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question. We thought about moats in a
certain way. So, there's there's going

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to be a huge scramble at the level of
at the level of companies. So, you know,

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teaching people to adapt, teaching them
what to expect, I think is the second

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step. And and the third step is I think

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there's there's going to need to be some

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government in in the displacement that's

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that's this macroeconomically large.
I just I just don't see how I don't see

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how it doesn't happen. The pie is going
to grow much larger, right? Like the

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money is going to be there. Like,
you know, it may you know, the budget may

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balance without us doing anything
because there's so much growth. Um uh

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the issue is distributing it to the
right people. And so and so I think I

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think this is probably a time to worry
less about disincentivizing growth and

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and worry more about making making sure
that everyone gets gets gets a part of

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that growth. Um which which, you know,
which I know is the opposite of the

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prevailing sentiment now, but I think
technological reality is about to change

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in a way that forces our ideas to change.

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>> So, obviously, in your in your desire
[snorts] to create this greater sense of

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urgency, are you speaking to people
in the administration? I mean, Anthropic

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hasn't always been the sort of first
on the guest list for this administration,

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but you do you have people
there that you're talking to?

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>> I I've I I I I have said it to them

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myself. Um uh and, you know, to to be

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clear, there are plenty of things there
are plenty of things we agree on, right?

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You know, I think the AI action plan

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that the administration put out in the

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middle of this year actually had some
some, you know, some very good ideas

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here. You know, I think I think,
you know, we probably probably agreed with

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the vast vast majority of it. But I
think most of all, we just want to say

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these things in public and kind of ha
and kind of have a public debate about

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them, right? We don't we don't control

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policy. I think the most useful thing we

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can do is describe to the world what

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we're seeing and and provide data to the
world. And then and then, you know, it's

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it's left to the the public in in a

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democracy to to, you know, to take that

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data and and to use it and to use it
to drive policy. We can't drive policy on

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our own. >> Are you going
to be talking to officials

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while you're here? Have you Have
you been along to USA house yet?

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>> Uh I've not I've not been to USA house.

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You know, I I will I will I I, you know,
I will be talking to officials during my

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during my trip to Davos. >> [laughter]

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>> Good. So, um just to go back to our
topic then. So, you founded Anthropic um

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specifically because you were worried
about the that you didn't think that

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OpenAI was taking safety seriously enough.
Now, some people say that, you

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know, the competitive pressures mean
that you've gone more hawkish now. I

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mean, do Are those competitive
pressures, you know, to keep up with

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China and keep ahead of China and all
the rest of it? Have they Do you think

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they have compromised
your safety principles?

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>> So, we've taken a very different route
than some of the other players have. Uh

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I I think one of the good choices we

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made early was to be a company that is

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focused on enterprise rather than

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consumers. Um and I think, you know,
it's it's very hard to fight your own

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business incentives. It's easier
to choose a business model where there's

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less need to fight your own business
incentives. So, you know, I have a lot

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of worries about consumer AI that it it

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kind of leads to needing to maximize

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engagement. It leads to sloth. You know,

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we've seen a lot of stuff around ads

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from from some of the other players,
you know, Anthropic is not a player that

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works like that or needs to work like
that. We just sell things to businesses

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and those things directly have value,
right? We We don't need to monetize a

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billion free users. We don't need to

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maximize engagement for billion free
users because we're in some, you know,

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death race with with some other,
you know, some other some other large

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player. And and so I think that has led
us think more carefully. But but even

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with that we have made sacrifices,
you know, we do all these tests on our

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models that others have not done.

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Um you know, some other players have
done them but but you know, I think we've

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been the most you know, aggressive and

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you know, when we when we run tests that
you know, show up certain behaviors in

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our model, you know, these things around
deception, black mail, sycophancy that

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we show in tests that are present
in all of the models. But you know,

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we make sure to always talk
to the public about about these things.

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Um and you know, we we've we you know,
we pioneered the science of mechanistic

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interpretability for looking inside
models. So, you know, have we been have

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we been perfect? Of course not. I think
we've done a generally good job. I mean,

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you mentioned China. I you know, I think
that's not about competition. That is

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that is about actually the public

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benefit mission is I'm I'm worried that
if autocracies lead in this technology,

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it will be a bad outcome for every
single person in this room.

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>> What are your specific concern there?
Is it about the chips? About you know,

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sharing data around chips or

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>> Yeah, well, I think I mean, you know,

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the the the the kind of means of selling
the chips, right? That's the that's the

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thing that I think will have the most
impact on on who is ahead and and who is

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not. But you know, the the concern and

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you know, it's not about any particular
country or certainly not the people in

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any country. It's about It's about a

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form of government.

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I am concerned that AI may be uniquely

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well suited to autocracy and to

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deepening the repression that we see
in autocracies. We already see it in the

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kind of surveillance state that is
possible with today's technology. But as

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you think of the extent to which AI can

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make individualized propaganda,
can break into any computer system in the

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world, um

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uh can uh you know, surveil everyone

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everyone in a population, detect dissent

247
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everywhere and suppress it, you know,
make, you know, a a huge army of drones

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that could go after each each each
individual person, it's it's it's really

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scary. It's it's it's really
scary and we have to stop it.

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>> And is that something that you
feel governments aren't paying enough

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attention to? >> I mean,
I you know, I think I think it's

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I think it's fair to say that, you know,
obviously, you know, different countries

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think of themselves as having having

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geopolitical adversaries, but the

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specific focus on we we don't want

256
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autocracies to get this powerful
technology and we should have targeted

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policies. Like, we don't need to fight
them. Like, we just need to not sell

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these chips. Um uh

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that, you know, I I think
there's not enough focus on that.

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>> I want to talk a bit more about Claude
because I think it's fair to say it's

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having a real moment. I mean,
we were >> It's it's having a moment.

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>> It is having a moment
and we we recently

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reported on how engineers
and regular users are like are getting

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Claude-pilled. Um and I just
wondered how you feel about

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the state of the business
today versus a year ago.

266
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>> Yeah, I mean, this is one of these
things that's been the growth of the

267
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business has been fast, [snorts] but but

268
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but kind of on on the same smooth
exponential curve as the technology. So,

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you know, we we you know, we we have
this this this revenue curve that in

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2023 went from zero to roughly 100 100
million, [snorts] went in 2024 went from

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roughly 100 million to roughly a billion,
[clears throat] 2025 went from

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roughly a a billion to roughly 10 billion.
Not exactly, these are rounded

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numbers, but but that is that is roughly
it. You know, through that, if you go on

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Twitter, every couple months, it's like,
"Oh my god, Anthropic's changing the

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world. Oh my god, you know, Anthropic's
totally destroying you know, just just

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the excitability of the of of the moment.
But but we just watch it and we

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watch this curve. It's fast.
It's constantly progressing. It's given us

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confidence. We never know for sure if
it's going to continue. It might not,

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but but that has been empirically what
we have observed the whole time. And

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then there are these moments where even
though the curve is smooth, there's a

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breakout moment. And so right now, I

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think there's a breakout moment around

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Claude Code among developers.
Um you know, this this thing about being

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able to make whole apps and doing things
end end. Again, that advanced gradually,

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but with our root most recent model
Opus [clears throat] 4.5, it just kind of

286
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reached an inflection point, right?

287
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Where you know, the the improvement
was gradual, but you know, it's it's just

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like you know, you you you boiling
the frog. You know, you see you see the

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gradual improvement and then
there's a specific point at which

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suddenly that's the point people notice.

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I think the second thing that has that has
maybe accelerated that further is we

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looked at Claude Code and one of the
things we we noticed is there were a lot

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of people inside Anthropic and outside

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Anthropic who were not technical, but

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who realized that Claude Code could do
these incredible agentic tasks for you.

296
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It couldn't just write code, it could

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also organize your to-do list or plan

298
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your projects or organize your folders
or you know, process a bunch of

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information and kind of summarize it. So

300
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the the idea that not just a chat bot,

301
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but agentic tasks were were needed. Um

302
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non-technical people were realizing
it and they wanted it so much that they

303
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were wrestling with the command line,
right? Non-technical, you know, they

304
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have no reason if you're not
a programmer, it's such a terrible

305
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interface to use if you're not
a programmer. But people were going

306
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through and using it anyway. And so I
looked at that and I said, that looks

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like unmet demand. And so we we used we

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used Claude Code again like two weeks,

309
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you know, to make basically a kind of a

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version with a better UI that's

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customized for tasks that

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tasks other than other than code.
And you know, you know, we released it and

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you know, within like a day
it you know, had like you know,

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you know, you know, most of the metrics on
the tape were like four times as much as

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anything anything anything
we'd ever released.

316
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Uh, so you know, those are the two
moments. I don't know if these are new

317
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capabilities, but you know, there
was just one of these kind of consensus

318
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moments where people got really excited
and it's it's it's driving adoption

319
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really fast. I think people are catching
up to what the technology is is capable

320
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of because it's reached a certain point
and because we built interfaces that

321
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have made it accessible.
>> Can you tell us a bit about how you

322
00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:59,597
personally in your life,
your family life use a generative AI?

323
00:19:59,680 --> 00:20:03,817
>> Yeah, um, so you know, when I'm writing
like, you know, an essay or something

324
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[clears throat] or like, you know,
things I say in front of the company,

325
00:20:07,080 --> 00:20:10,557
um, I feel like a fair amount of my job
is writing and so I kind of how I have

326
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to plot, you know, come up with sources,
help me help me with my writing, that

327
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that kind of thing.
>> And then obviously you're having this

328
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great moment and I think there are your
it's widely expected that you're going

329
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to IPO this year. Can you tell us
a bit about your plans for that?

330
00:20:24,400 --> 00:20:27,797
>> Yeah, I mean, you know, we we don't
know for sure. We don't know for sure what

331
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we're going to do and you know, I would
say we're we're more focused on just

332
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keeping the revenue curve going, making
the models better, selling the models to

333
00:20:35,920 --> 00:20:39,477
people, you know, warning about
the societal impacts and bringing bringing

334
00:20:39,560 --> 00:20:42,357
the good stuff. societal impacts.
So you know, that's the that's that's kind

335
00:20:42,440 --> 00:20:46,077
that's kind of the highest that's kind
of the highest priority right now, but

336
00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:49,477
you know, I'm not saying anything novel
if I say that this is an industry with

337
00:20:49,560 --> 00:20:53,437
very high capital demands. Um,
uh, and you know, that the there's

338
00:20:53,520 --> 00:20:57,157
only so much at some point that the
private markets the private markets can

339
00:20:57,240 --> 00:21:00,197
provide. >> So another
model that's absolutely

340
00:21:00,280 --> 00:21:03,917
having a moment is Gemini and it
searched to the top of the app store

341
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recently and OpenAI declared code red.

342
00:21:06,920 --> 00:21:09,877
So everyone was got
very excited about that.

343
00:21:09,960 --> 00:21:14,597
Do you worry about your ability
to compete against Gemini given the sheer

344
00:21:14,680 --> 00:21:18,357
size of Google? >> So,
I think I think this is another

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00:21:18,440 --> 00:21:20,317
place where just just being different

346
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helps. So, you know, the enterprise

347
00:21:22,920 --> 00:21:25,837
strategy, Google and OpenAI are fighting

348
00:21:25,920 --> 00:21:28,397
it out in consumer, right? It They It is

349
00:21:28,480 --> 00:21:30,237
both is existential to both of them.

350
00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:34,757
Existential to OpenAI because that's
their whole business. Existential to

351
00:21:34,840 --> 00:21:37,917
Google because they have the search
business and that's that's what's being

352
00:21:38,000 --> 00:21:42,357
disrupted by this, so they they need to,
you know, replay replace themselves and

353
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and fight the disruption. So, that's

354
00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,357
always their first priority. And, you

355
00:21:47,440 --> 00:21:51,037
know, they they seem more They seem much

356
00:21:51,120 --> 00:21:55,597
more focused on that than kind
of operating in the enterprise. It's been

357
00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:59,557
great to see what what Gemini
is is capable of you know, capable of in

358
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consumer. You know, I think I think
they're, you know, I think they're going

359
00:22:02,200 --> 00:22:05,757
about it a different way. I was,
you know, I was just on a panel with with

360
00:22:05,840 --> 00:22:08,717
Demis Hassabis who leads research at
Google. You know, I think I think he's a

361
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:12,317
great guy. I've known him for 15
years, so I'm rooting for him.

362
00:22:12,400 --> 00:22:15,837
>> Um while you talk about differences,
one difference is, I believe, is that our

363
00:22:15,920 --> 00:22:19,877
topic doesn't have the ability
to generate videos and photos. Do you see

364
00:22:19,960 --> 00:22:22,037
that as a a potential weakness?

365
00:22:22,120 --> 00:22:25,797
>> Um I You know, I think for enterprise
business, you know, there's there's not

366
00:22:25,880 --> 00:22:28,117
really a demand for like, you know, you

367
00:22:28,200 --> 00:22:33,037
know, photos of you know,
cats riding donkeys or, you know, what

368
00:22:33,120 --> 00:22:36,917
whatever. Whatever
consumer video people want.

369
00:22:37,000 --> 00:22:40,677
There's maybe an edge case around like
slides and presentations, but if we ever

370
00:22:40,760 --> 00:22:42,237
need it, we can just buy them, you know,

371
00:22:42,320 --> 00:22:48,360
we can just contract a model from from
from from from a contract a model from

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00:22:50,360 --> 00:22:53,797
someone else. So, you know, I don't
I don't know what will happen. I don't

373
00:22:53,880 --> 00:22:57,317
know what will happen in the future,
but I at least don't anticipate needing

374
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this. Um and I think there are problems
associated with this. Like, you know, I

375
00:23:00,800 --> 00:23:04,117
think I think, you know, we look at the
amount of short-form video out there.

376
00:23:04,200 --> 00:23:08,397
Like, a lot of it's fake. A lot of it's
pretty pretty addictive. A lot of it's

377
00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,117
slop. Um not to say that all of it is

378
00:23:11,200 --> 00:23:13,637
bad or that necessarily doing it means

379
00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:18,157
you're bad, but but it's not it's not
a part of the market that I'm I'm like,

380
00:23:18,240 --> 00:23:22,357
you know, tripping over
myself to to get involved in.

381
00:23:22,440 --> 00:23:26,157
>> You mentioned that you were on a panel
with Demis Hassabis. And when we were

382
00:23:26,240 --> 00:23:29,797
chatting earlier yesterday, you talked
you said something that I thought was

383
00:23:29,880 --> 00:23:34,317
quite interesting, but scientists are
approaching the AI AI era or scientists

384
00:23:34,400 --> 00:23:37,917
who are leading these big AI companies
are approaching the era differently from

385
00:23:38,000 --> 00:23:42,397
sort of tech entrepreneurs. Can you say
a bit more about what you mean by that?

386
00:23:42,480 --> 00:23:44,597
>> Yeah, well, so you
know, when I when you

387
00:23:44,680 --> 00:23:47,197
think about this technology, it's really

388
00:23:47,280 --> 00:23:50,197
it's really the intersection of research

389
00:23:50,280 --> 00:23:54,517
that has going been going on for many
decades, much of which was academic in

390
00:23:54,600 --> 00:23:57,997
nature until, you know,
a decade decade and a half ago.

391
00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:58,597
Um

392
00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:03,037
and the kind of scale needed to um you

393
00:24:03,120 --> 00:24:07,437
know, needed to develop and deploy these
technologies over the last decade and a

394
00:24:07,520 --> 00:24:11,797
half, which has only come from the
large-scale kind of internet and social

395
00:24:11,880 --> 00:24:15,837
media companies, right? They have the
infrastructure, they have the cash. So,

396
00:24:15,920 --> 00:24:20,757
we've seen a world in which some of the
companies are essentially led by people

397
00:24:20,840 --> 00:24:22,277
who who have a scientific background.

398
00:24:22,360 --> 00:24:25,757
That's my background. That's Demis's
background. Some of them are led by the

399
00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:30,357
generation of entrepreneurs that did
social media. Um and I I I think that's

400
00:24:30,440 --> 00:24:32,557
very different. That um you know,

401
00:24:32,640 --> 00:24:34,997
scientists there's a long tradition of

402
00:24:35,080 --> 00:24:38,637
scientists thinking about the effects of

403
00:24:38,720 --> 00:24:40,797
the technology they build, of thinking

404
00:24:40,880 --> 00:24:45,797
of themselves as having responsibility
for the technology they build, not

405
00:24:45,880 --> 00:24:49,117
ducking responsibility, right? They're
they're they're they're motivated in the

406
00:24:49,200 --> 00:24:51,797
first place by creating something for

407
00:24:51,880 --> 00:24:54,477
the world. And so then they they worry

408
00:24:54,560 --> 00:24:59,877
in the cases where that something can
go wrong. Um, I think the motivation of

409
00:24:59,960 --> 00:25:03,117
entrepreneurs,
particularly the generation of

410
00:25:03,200 --> 00:25:06,997
uh uh social media entrepreneurs,
is very different. The selection effects

411
00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:11,477
that operated on them, the way in which
they interacted with, you might say

412
00:25:11,560 --> 00:25:15,517
manipulated consumers, is very different.
Um, and and so I think that

413
00:25:15,600 --> 00:25:19,717
that leads to that leads
to different attitudes.

414
00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:23,957
>> Um, now we've been taking some
questions from readers who submitted their

415
00:25:24,040 --> 00:25:26,997
questions online. But before we do that,
I just wanted to ask you one more thing,

416
00:25:27,080 --> 00:25:29,957
which is that you know,
in the big picture, tensions

417
00:25:30,040 --> 00:25:32,637
are running very high
at the moment between the US and

418
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:36,437
China. Do you think or wonder about how
that might impact how you operate your

419
00:25:36,520 --> 00:25:38,757
business should things escalate?

420
00:25:38,840 --> 00:25:42,277
>> Look, I mean, you know, we we have
we have always, you know, we always speak

421
00:25:42,360 --> 00:25:43,957
for ourselves. We've always thought of

422
00:25:44,040 --> 00:25:46,077
ourselves as as as, you know, kind of

423
00:25:46,160 --> 00:25:49,357
kind of our own thing and and and and

424
00:25:49,440 --> 00:25:51,077
and independent, right? We don't go out

425
00:25:51,160 --> 00:25:54,877
of our way to be for or against anyone,

426
00:25:54,960 --> 00:25:57,917
but when we, you know, when we disagree

427
00:25:58,000 --> 00:26:00,117
on policy, we say so. When we agree on

428
00:26:00,200 --> 00:26:02,997
policy, we say so. And we we really keep

429
00:26:03,080 --> 00:26:05,477
it focused on AI. And and so, you know,

430
00:26:05,560 --> 00:26:10,037
I you know, I haven't seen any
reluctance folks in other part of parts

431
00:26:10,120 --> 00:26:11,917
of the world to work with us, right?

432
00:26:12,000 --> 00:26:16,517
We're our own thing. We're providing AI
models. We try to do that responsibly.

433
00:26:16,600 --> 00:26:20,317
>> And I see a lot of talk this week about
AI sovereignty. I'm not entirely sure

434
00:26:20,400 --> 00:26:23,397
what but everybody seems to have their
own >> don't know what it means either.

435
00:26:23,480 --> 00:26:25,687
>> Oh, you don't have your own definition?

436
00:26:25,770 --> 00:26:28,197
>> [laughter] >> Do you want
to hold this for me for a

437
00:26:28,280 --> 00:26:29,797
minute so I can make it while you do this?

438
00:26:29,880 --> 00:26:35,800
>> readers online. Um, so I'm going
to start now with one from Trevor Loomis.

439
00:26:37,040 --> 00:26:40,917
Um, and his question is, what
is the single most important technical

440
00:26:41,000 --> 00:26:45,997
breakthrough still missing to make
frontier AI reliably safe and controllable

441
00:26:46,080 --> 00:26:48,877
>> [cough] >> in real-world deployment?

442
00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:52,797
>> So, I think we need to make
more progress on mechanistic

443
00:26:52,880 --> 00:26:56,597
interpretability, which is the science
of looking inside the models.

444
00:26:56,680 --> 00:26:58,357
One of the problem is when we train

445
00:26:58,440 --> 00:27:03,797
these models is that we don't know,
you can't be sure they're going to do what

446
00:27:03,880 --> 00:27:06,997
you think they're going to do. You can
talk to the model in one context, it can

447
00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:11,437
say all kinds of things. Just as with
a human, that may not be a faithful

448
00:27:11,520 --> 00:27:15,757
representation of what they're actually
thinking. If they tell you, "I'm doing X

449
00:27:15,840 --> 00:27:19,477
because Y." they might be doing X for a
completely different reason. They might

450
00:27:19,560 --> 00:27:21,757
be lying about doing X. Like, we're very

451
00:27:21,840 --> 00:27:23,997
used to these problems with humans, but

452
00:27:24,080 --> 00:27:26,757
but they exist with AI as well. And so,

453
00:27:26,840 --> 00:27:28,917
any kind of phenomenological testing or

454
00:27:29,000 --> 00:27:32,277
training, we can't be certain of. But,

455
00:27:32,360 --> 00:27:36,197
similar to how, you know, you can learn
things about human brains by doing an

456
00:27:36,280 --> 00:27:38,997
MRI or an X-ray that you can't learn

457
00:27:39,080 --> 00:27:43,437
just by talking to a human, the science
of looking inside the AI models, I am

458
00:27:43,520 --> 00:27:45,317
convinced that this ultimately holds the

459
00:27:45,400 --> 00:27:50,637
key to making the model safe
and controllable because it's the only

460
00:27:50,720 --> 00:27:53,117
ground truth we have. >> Right.

461
00:27:53,200 --> 00:27:55,597
Okay. Um I have another question here

462
00:27:55,680 --> 00:28:01,237
from Jim O'Connell. How will AI affect
current K-12 educational achievement

463
00:28:01,320 --> 00:28:04,357
gaps? A practical question
there from no doubt a parent.

464
00:28:04,440 --> 00:28:08,197
>> Yeah. Yeah. So, you know,
I I my you know, there there's kind of the

465
00:28:08,280 --> 00:28:12,317
short-term stuff about, you know, people
using AI for cheating, which I think is,

466
00:28:12,400 --> 00:28:17,077
you know, I think is problematic. But,
you know, in in in relative terms, okay,

467
00:28:17,160 --> 00:28:20,917
fine, you can have a kind
of a different way of um

468
00:28:21,000 --> 00:28:24,037
uh you know, of teaching using AI
and you know, we've we've thought about

469
00:28:24,120 --> 00:28:27,717
that. We've released versions of of
Claude for for education that are kind

470
00:28:27,800 --> 00:28:29,517
of designed around that. But, I think

471
00:28:29,600 --> 00:28:33,277
the harder problem behind that is, okay,

472
00:28:33,360 --> 00:28:37,197
what skills are we actually teaching
in in the world of AI? What does education

473
00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:41,357
look like it look like in the world of AI?
And it's it's not so easy because

474
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:45,837
the disruption is broad and we don't,
you know, if someone asked me what

475
00:28:45,920 --> 00:28:48,277
exactly what career should I go into?"

476
00:28:48,360 --> 00:28:52,397
The The uncomfortable truth is I I'm
I'm not sure. I can't tell the direction

477
00:28:52,480 --> 00:28:56,557
that it's going to I can't tell the
direction that it's going to go yet. I I

478
00:28:56,640 --> 00:29:01,797
will say that I think we should go back
to some concepts that we had earlier

479
00:29:01,880 --> 00:29:03,477
about education. Like we we've had a

480
00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:06,877
very kind of like um like economically

481
00:29:06,960 --> 00:29:12,317
inflected, almost mercenary notion
notion of education. Um and and and I

482
00:29:12,400 --> 00:29:15,517
think one of the things that we should
do is we should maybe move away move

483
00:29:15,600 --> 00:29:20,197
away from that notion back to the idea
that like, you know, education is is is

484
00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:22,197
designed to shape you as a person, is

485
00:29:22,280 --> 00:29:24,677
designed to build character, is is, you

486
00:29:24,760 --> 00:29:27,757
know, is is is is is kind of designed to

487
00:29:27,840 --> 00:29:31,717
enrich you and and like make you
a better person. I think that's actually a

488
00:29:31,800 --> 00:29:34,357
safer foundation
for for education's future.

489
00:29:34,440 --> 00:29:37,837
>> That sounds I'm rather envious of
the kids kids who are yet to be educated.

490
00:29:37,920 --> 00:29:40,997
It's kind of education that I think
we'd all have liked to have. Um so, to be

491
00:29:41,080 --> 00:29:43,877
fair to everybody in the room then,
I just I think we've got time for one

492
00:29:43,960 --> 00:29:48,677
question if anybody would
like to ask a question. Yeah?

493
00:29:48,760 --> 00:29:50,517
This lady here.

494
00:29:50,600 --> 00:29:53,117
Yeah Yeah, no no, here's the mic.

495
00:29:53,200 --> 00:29:55,997
>> Um I wanted to ask from a point of view

496
00:29:56,080 --> 00:30:00,397
of the AI labs, uh what kind
of responsibility do you hold when there

497
00:30:00,480 --> 00:30:04,397
are economies, countries, and people
that are being left behind? Um would

498
00:30:04,480 --> 00:30:07,317
that expand into structurally involving

499
00:30:07,400 --> 00:30:12,397
them, um slowing down, or actually
making sure that they're not being left

500
00:30:12,480 --> 00:30:15,477
out? >> Yeah, I worry
about that on a whole

501
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:19,397
bunch of scales. And it's you know,
it's not just country versus country.

502
00:30:19,480 --> 00:30:23,557
Certainly I worry about the developing
world versus the developed world. Um

503
00:30:23,640 --> 00:30:26,357
where, you know, sometimes the the
developed world developing world will

504
00:30:26,440 --> 00:30:28,077
get passed by by by technological

505
00:30:28,160 --> 00:30:30,357
revolutions. But I But you know, I also

506
00:30:30,440 --> 00:30:33,557
worry about divisions within a country.

507
00:30:33,640 --> 00:30:35,397
It It has occurred to me as I've looked

508
00:30:35,480 --> 00:30:38,397
across our customers as the startups are

509
00:30:38,480 --> 00:30:42,997
so fast to adopt AI. And the traditional
enterprises, because they're bigger,

510
00:30:43,080 --> 00:30:47,557
because they do a specific thing, they
move much slower. Um and we can see it

511
00:30:47,640 --> 00:30:52,157
in our economic data. We can see the
diffusion of the technology from states

512
00:30:52,240 --> 00:30:55,877
within the US that adopted quickly
and states that move slowly. It is

513
00:30:55,960 --> 00:30:59,557
diffusing. It's getting out there. But
there's there's no question that there's

514
00:30:59,640 --> 00:31:02,797
a differential here. If I were
to describe the nightmare, and then then

515
00:31:02,880 --> 00:31:06,757
I'll try to describe some, you know,
what I think of as a solutions. The

516
00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:08,797
nightmare would be that there's there

517
00:31:08,880 --> 00:31:11,877
there's like this emerging zeroth world

518
00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:16,837
country of like 10 million people that's
like 7 million people in the bay, you

519
00:31:16,920 --> 00:31:21,037
know, in like Silicon Valley and you know,
3 million people kind of scattered

520
00:31:21,120 --> 00:31:24,517
scat- scattered scattered throughout
that that you know, is is kind of

521
00:31:24,600 --> 00:31:28,037
forming its own economy and it's
becoming decoupled or disconnected,

522
00:31:28,120 --> 00:31:32,797
right? Maybe the 10% GDP growth looks
like 50% GDP growth in that part of like

523
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:37,757
this technology is so crazy. It can pull
things apart that way. Um I think that

524
00:31:37,840 --> 00:31:41,317
would be a really bad world. I would
almost say that is a dystopian world,

525
00:31:41,400 --> 00:31:46,597
right? I And we should think about how
to stop that. Um there are, you know, a

526
00:31:46,680 --> 00:31:49,997
number of things Anthropic
is thinking about or doing. Um

527
00:31:50,080 --> 00:31:54,277
one is as regards the developing world,
we're we are starting to do a lot of

528
00:31:54,360 --> 00:31:58,157
work around public health. Um we've
announced stuff with, you know, run

529
00:31:58,240 --> 00:32:02,757
Ministry of Education. We're doing
a a lot of work with the Gates Foundation.

530
00:32:02,840 --> 00:32:05,717
Um you know, it it would I wrote about
this in Machines Evolving Grace. It

531
00:32:05,800 --> 00:32:08,957
would it would be really great to get
these fast economic growth rates, which

532
00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:12,637
in theory should be even faster
because it's catch-up growth, um in the

533
00:32:12,720 --> 00:32:16,477
developing world that I predict we're
going to get in in the developed world.

534
00:32:16,560 --> 00:32:19,637
Um you know, within within countries, we

535
00:32:19,720 --> 00:32:23,837
need to we you know, we need to think
about, you know, how how not to have a

536
00:32:23,920 --> 00:32:27,757
part of the world that just that just
kind of decouples, right? How do we get

537
00:32:27,840 --> 00:32:31,477
the economic growth to Mississippi that
that, you know, that is coming to this

538
00:32:31,560 --> 00:32:36,197
contained contained area of of of of
Silicon Valley. And so, you know, there

539
00:32:36,280 --> 00:32:40,917
we've done work around kind of economic
mobility and economic opportunity, but I

540
00:32:41,000 --> 00:32:44,197
think both of these again are going
to need to have some some involvement of

541
00:32:44,280 --> 00:32:47,237
the government. We're going
to find that that, you know,

542
00:32:47,320 --> 00:32:50,237
ideology will will not survive the

543
00:32:50,320 --> 00:32:51,957
nature of this technology. It won't

544
00:32:52,040 --> 00:32:57,437
survive reality. The things I'm talking
about, you know, while you could today

545
00:32:57,520 --> 00:33:00,557
say, "Oh, yeah, they're they're like
politically coded in some way." They're

546
00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,757
going to become bipartisan and universal
because everyone will recognize the

547
00:33:03,840 --> 00:33:07,637
necessity of it. Just mark my words. If
we come back, if not next year, the year

548
00:33:07,720 --> 00:33:11,960
after, everyone's going to think this.
