WEBVTT

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The capitalist approach is messy but you
have you have dynamism on your side.

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Just come back to the big picture thing.

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Is America in aggregate a force for good
in the world? Is it important for the

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world that America succeed? Is it
important that American values, Western

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values are preeminent of the world?
Is it important that the world not devolve

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into a complete Soviet communism
everywhere? The other direction is

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literally fighting everything about
our culture, everything about our history,

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everything about our system. And the

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fact that it has appeal is like a weird

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psychological defect some people have.

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They just always want central control.

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They always think it's better.

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>> And by the way, it routinely doesn't
work. Like it like routinely fails

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because the world is too dynamic
and that's not nearly a fast enough

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iteration cycle. >> The thing
that people want is exactly

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what we named the category. How do we
build American dynamism? How do we build

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Silicon Valley in our own country?

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>> Geopolitically, we entered a new era.

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We're in this exciting moment in time
where both the need and the demand for

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new technologies is greater
than it's ever been.

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>> The creator of the concept of the
five-year plan was of course Joseph

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Stalin. Like it it was literally it was

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literally the Soviet Union run as 5-year
plans. I'll bend a little bit. He comes

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from the People's Republic of Berkeley.

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Um the old model of World War II era,

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mass machinery and mass men to win wars.

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Like those days are long over. This should
play greatly to America's benefit

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if we unleash our strength with
flexibility, innovation, creativity,

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dynamism, uh, and apply that into
the battlefield of the future. Like, we we

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really ought to win if
we're really able to do that.

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I thought we'd start with a bit of a
opener. I want to ask Ben and Mark to

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tell us about the moment when we got
conviction that this was worth creating

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its own category fund around. Ben,
do you want to take the first step?

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>> Yeah. Well, I would say that, you know,

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Mark and I kind of always were of the

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view in an abstract sense that um we had

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to integrate the, you know, American

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business and uh American defense back

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together because we were falling behind.

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we we kind of knew the companies that we

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were investing in and we knew the
companies that uh we were buying um you

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know missiles and aircraft carriers
from and like they weren't of the same

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caliber in terms of the where they were

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on the technology curve and so we knew

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it was a kind of a a national security

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problem for the country. Um, but we

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didn't, you know, we didn't have a a

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plan. And then, as I recall,

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David, um, said, you know, there's this

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woman, Katherine Bole, who I want
to recruit, and she has this very, very

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good idea. Can you guys talk to her
about it? And that's when she uh said,

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"Look, we should call it American
Dynamism and we should build this

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thing." And it was a very easy sale for

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us, I would just say. Yeah.
And maybe I could just take take a

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step back. Um, so um, uh, some of you
on this call are too young to remember

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this, but um, you know, there was an
earlier era in Silicon Valley. Um, uh,

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and it actually wasn't that long ago.

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Um, and Ben and I were both, you know,
lucky enough and maybe of the right

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generation to be part of it, which was,
uh, you know, Silicon Valley and the

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United States, let's say,
the the mission of the United States as a

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country. Um, and then, you know, sort of
the submissions of of, uh, you know, not

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just economic and technological success,
but also, you know, military success. uh

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and intelligence success um and you know
our ability to you know propagate our

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our you know our our way of life you
know not just in in the country but but

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around the world um you know there had
actually been like a fairly tight degree

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of of of integration of cooperation
and if you actually trace the history of

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Silicon Valley back before even before
World War II there was there was a lot

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of the original uh defense uh technology
work that happened in in Northern

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California where we sit today um and then
you know for sure through you know

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from the ' 50s through to the I would
say to the '90s um you know it's just it

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was just taken as given that this, you
know, this was, you know, this was sort

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of inherently an alliance. Um, you know,
with a with a shared with a shared

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American mission. Um, and so, you know,
many many great American tech companies,

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you know, including all all the big
names, um, from the ' 50s through the

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'90s all had, you know, very big
government businesses, defense

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businesses, you know, were very
important to the to the to the national

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mission. And then, you know, Ben and I
in the ' 90s, you know, we when we built

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our company, Netscape, like that that
was always front and center for us.

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>> Uh, my my first uh uh sales call to the
Pentagon was in 1994. Um when I I don't

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think I actually owned a suit yet. Um

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and uh and uh you know so 31 years ago

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um and um you know our our company
Netcape ended up being a major supplier

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uh of technology to the to >> Yeah.
Actually both Mark and I had for

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years top secret clearance um
because of those those deals.

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>> Yeah. So we you know we've been working
in you know we we we were working in

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Pentagon and and and in you know related
agencies for you know for a very on the

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civilian side also for for a very
long time. and we just sort of you know

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considered it kind of natural um and um
and you know I'm really proud of the

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work that we did there and it turned
out to be a very big part of our business

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also um and then extended over time
to also governments outside the US that

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were American allies um and so for us
this was always very natural and I think

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this was even everything I'm saying
is almost like non-controversial up until

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probably the 2000s um uh and then um you

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know then basically for you know for the
last 15 or 20 years you know by the way

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for a variety of reasons including
you know reasons that people feel very

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strongly about we could talk about for
a long time but you just a much greater

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degree of contention and you know
escalating in some cases to just

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outright hostility you know kind
of developed you know and I would say in

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most directions from from from Silicon
Valley let's say large components of

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Silicon Valley not not all but you know
significant you know companies for sure

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you know hostility towards uh DC um and
hostility towards you know any sense of

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national mission national purpose um
and then um you know and you know quite

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frankly that feeling was quickly
reciprocated by Washington uh you know

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back back to uh back to Silicon Valley
and there's plenty of people from

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Washington in the last 20 years who've
made a point uh of how much they you

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know they they hate us. And so it just
it felt like we kind of to me it felt

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like we entered this kind of you know
deevolutionary spiral uh over the course

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of the last 15 or 20 years. It probably
been I think you you might maybe you'd

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agree at sort of the the peak hostility
disconnection was maybe in the late

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2010s early 2020s.

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>> Yeah. I think the Google Maven project

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was kind of a watershed moment where,

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you know, people had to take sides um

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just kind of intellectually.

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>> Uh you know, when Google pulled uh they

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won a government contract um for kind
of I think it was AI to be used in kind of

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drone technology or something like that.

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And then uh they basically pulled out of

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the contract um due to a protest from uh

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you know a bunch of their employees.

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>> Yeah. And not just and I think you
confirm like not not just like a mild

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protest but like visceral emotional

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>> Oh like yeah it
was like a a revolt from

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I remember Sundar described it to me a

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revolt from the international AI

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community. Um and so it it was pretty

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wild uh and and certainly unprecedented.

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>> Yeah. And so so you know I think
there sort of things sort of bottomed out

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there and then you know I think you know
some of us and obviously you know there

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are new companies that have played a big
role here but you know some of us like

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Ben and I who were involved in this in
the old days you know it was kind of a

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chance for us to kind of take stock
of you know where things were how things

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had gotten that bad what went wrong and
then you know start to you know at least

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try to figure out kind of how to fix it.

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Um, and so anyway, so that's why like I
was so enthusiastic when David and then

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Katherine, you know, devel developed
these ideas uh and and you know,

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developed this new mission for the firm.

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Um, like I I you know, I I I thought
it was just like an absolutely fantastic

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idea at the start and and and still do.

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And but but I just wanted to go through
that which is it's it's like a there's a

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back to the future component of it,
right? Which is like it is like what

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we're doing and what others are doing
in this space. It is new and bold and

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exciting and different and very
different than the the norm 5 years ago.

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Um and and that's all real uh and but
at the same time there is a historical

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resonance which which is it's also
a return to the original values uh of

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Silicon Valley which is something I
I find to be you know just incredibly

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positive uh and important to be a part of.

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>> Yeah. And two two
footnotes to that that

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that I think are important. One is um it

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actually started uh with uh the

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universities. So, professor uh Frank

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Turman and and William Shockley who were

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developing these technologies and um
to support the war effort you know

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basically encouraged their students to

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not pursue PhDs and spin out and build

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companies to support the uh the country.

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So, which is an ironic turn because

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those same uh those same universities

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kind of spawn the ideas uh I would say

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that led to their revolt at Google. Um

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and then the other footnote is Google

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has definitely since Google/Alphabet has
reversed their position and now do work

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uh with the US government and the
defense department. So um we're in a

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happy place there. And just
to tie the threads together,

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can we spend just a couple minutes
explaining the uh why things went wrong?

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what are some of the headline reasons um

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that the hostility developed um so that

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we can then get back to the present and
uh and describe what changed. I want to

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hear from Katherine I think
in particular on this because she she was

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both an observer and a participant in it
you know for the last for the last like

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decade plus. Um like I don't know like I

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start by saying like look there are
like I would say serious and legitimate

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differences um in uh in philosophy
and worldview. Um I just I happen to watch

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I'm watching a lot of movies with my my
10-year-old and we've watched the movie

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Real Genius last night. It's a movie
in 1985 actually made by our good friend

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Brian Graaser. It's just like an one
of my favorite movies. incredible movie,

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but it it was sort of an art it's sort
of an artifact in the postvietnam era um

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in which, you know, spoiler alert, the
kids in the movie are going to basically

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a thinly disguised version of MIT and
they're working on lasers and they they

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discovered to their enormous horror that
they're working on a weapon. Um and the

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and the sort of assumption in the movie
is if you're working on a weapon, you're

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evil. Um and they don't even like pause
for a moment to like ask the question of

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like, well actually could this actually
be like super helpful or like you know

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is this how does this fit into strategy
or whatever. they just immediately like

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we got to like and so and so it was like
there was like it was like of a moment

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you know sort of very much like of a
moment post post Vietnam if the military

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was evil you know in general um and so
you know there's been some of that in

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the ecosystem you know for for a long
time by the way you know Ben mentioned

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Stanford the pioneering role of Stanford
in all of this Stanford was actually

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forced in the 1970s to devest all
of their military R&D and any R&D that

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touched the military into something
called the Stanford Research Institute

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so so you know there there was this you
know many top American universities you

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know forever for for basically since
Vietnam have not allowed like ROC or

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like you know intelligence agency
recruiting happening on campus and so

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there's there's like a 60s kind
of dimension of this post post Vietnam

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thing and then in the last you know 15
years I think it just all got kind of

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wrapped up in the broader kind of national
political drama you know of our

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of our time and you know basically
people feeling like they have to take

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sides in all kinds of political issues
um and then I would say beyond that

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feeling like political issues aren't
just political issues they're like fully

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moral issues and that you're immoral if
you're on the other side and so I I And

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you know, and by the way, there's also
like a post Iraq, you know, component to

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it, which is, you know, can we really
trust the system that took us into Iraq,

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you know, which obviously had, you know,
big impact on our on our on our national

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politics. And so that that stuff just
kind of snowballed in the valley uh

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leading into the, you know, what Ben
described um in the in in the late

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2010s. Um you know, and I think there's
a variety of different responses you

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could have to that. One is, you know,
you could say like, you know, you

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believe that the postvietnam generation
or the post Iraq mentality is the

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correct mentality. And there's lots of
points of view views that you could have

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on that. Um I I just think like in the
fullness like in the heat of the moment

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I think it's very easy to get wrapped up
in like the specific let's say you know

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politics and morality of a specific
situation. I would just come back to the

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kind of the big picture thing right
which is like is America in aggregate a

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force for good in the world like is it
important for the world that America

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succeed? Um is it important that um
you know that that that that you know

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broadly speaking American values western
values you know are kind of preeminent

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in the world. Is it important um you
know that the world not you know devolve

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into a you know totalitar you know it
was important during the in the 20th

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century cold war that the world not
devolve into a complete Soviet communism

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everywhere you know I don't think any of
us want to see a world in which you know

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we end up with kind of the same scenario
with like Chinese communism um and so I

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I think you can just kind of have these
kind of big big big picture views um of

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the importance of the of the overall
thing. I think you can also just say you

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can have a lot of respect for the men
and women in uniform, you know, who put

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their lives on the line every day
protecting and defending us. And, you

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know, it's I think it's a pretty
reasonable stance to say that they

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deserve to be supported um you know,
by by their by their, you know, fellow

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countrymen like us. Um yeah, and and
then you you could just also have the

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view of like, yeah, I mean, look, we
as the cliche goes, we live in a society,

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right? and and and part of the society
is is is that uh you know the government

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is is going to be uh have certain
capabilities and it's going to be you

00:12:40.720 --> 00:12:44.237
know better if they're better and worse
worse worse if they're worse and so so I

00:12:44.320 --> 00:12:49.037
anyway I just think like those that sort
of broader view just kind of I think got

00:12:49.120 --> 00:12:51.917
was getting increasingly washed out
by some very specific heated political

00:12:52.000 --> 00:12:56.077
topics I think by the way I think now
is a good time for a lot of you know for a

00:12:56.160 --> 00:12:59.117
lot of us for a lot of people you know
really kind of take stock of this you

00:12:59.200 --> 00:13:02.077
know as maybe some of the superheated
you know kind of emotions of the last

00:13:02.160 --> 00:13:05.117
you know eight years maybe are fading
a little right now. Um, and you know, some

00:13:05.200 --> 00:13:07.517
people are are kind of saying, well,
actually, we, you know, need to think

00:13:07.600 --> 00:13:12.077
about what the next 30 years looks like,
and we want it to work in a different way.

00:13:12.160 --> 00:13:15.917
>> I I'll add two points to that because
I think Mark's point on culture um plays a

00:13:16.000 --> 00:13:19.997
huge role in this. Uh, but there's
there's two things I I've noticed um

00:13:20.080 --> 00:13:22.797
since moving to the valley. I moved
to the valley in 2014, but I moved from

00:13:22.880 --> 00:13:26.717
Washington DC. And one of the things
that I noticed when I moved is that in

00:13:26.800 --> 00:13:31.517
if you are in Washington DC, you ride
the metro. Metro stops at the Pentagon.

00:13:31.600 --> 00:13:35.037
every time you ride the metro, you see
men and women in uniform going to work.

00:13:35.120 --> 00:13:39.037
So, it is a daily part of life that
national security issues like when when

00:13:39.120 --> 00:13:42.237
people talk about technology
in Washington, they're talking about

00:13:42.320 --> 00:13:44.157
aerospace, they're talking about defense.
I mean, they're talking about

00:13:44.240 --> 00:13:47.437
the companies that they see every day,
the billboards for, which are very

00:13:47.520 --> 00:13:51.997
different than the billboards you see on
on, you know, in in Silicon Valley. So I

00:13:52.080 --> 00:13:55.757
think that's that's a huge part of it
is just culturally people are very

00:13:55.840 --> 00:13:59.837
accustomed to national security missions
and needs and people in uniform in

00:13:59.920 --> 00:14:03.757
Washington DC and there's none of that
in Silicon Valley. Um like you you could

00:14:03.840 --> 00:14:07.597
go a decade in Silicon Valley without
seeing a person in uniform. And so I

00:14:07.680 --> 00:14:10.797
think that's that's a part of it.
But to Mark's point on on culture, I I've

00:14:10.880 --> 00:14:14.637
always said that I think the social
network had probably the greatest

00:14:14.720 --> 00:14:17.437
influence of the 2010s in terms of being

00:14:17.520 --> 00:14:21.997
a defining movie of what technology means.
And when you look at sort of the

00:14:22.080 --> 00:14:25.517
the kind of Bob Noise generation
of working with your hands, building the

00:14:25.600 --> 00:14:29.757
physical world, where those engineers
came from versus the story of a Harvard

00:14:29.840 --> 00:14:33.677
dorm room that inspired generations
of college students who were studying

00:14:33.760 --> 00:14:37.917
computer science in their dorm um
to come to Silicon Valley, those are two

00:14:38.000 --> 00:14:41.837
very different populations and they
symbolize two very different things. And

00:14:41.920 --> 00:14:45.597
so what what I think is is is
interesting is probably like the 2010s

00:14:45.680 --> 00:14:47.837
were really solidified by this sort of

00:14:47.920 --> 00:14:50.877
Harvardesque social network culture that

00:14:50.960 --> 00:14:55.437
is totally different than the culture
of people who are building you know

00:14:55.520 --> 00:15:00.477
satellites or building any anything
in the physical world and and we really

00:15:00.560 --> 00:15:03.757
didn't start talking about how those
people are necessary for Silicon Valley

00:15:03.840 --> 00:15:05.757
technology until Mark's essay it's time

00:15:05.840 --> 00:15:10.877
to build until 2010 until we didn't have
enough PPE for co and so I I think it

00:15:10.960 --> 00:15:15.117
was really just sort of the kind
of almost the logical 180 to what have we

00:15:15.200 --> 00:15:18.877
done here? Like we're we're not
all Harvard grads uh building in the

00:15:18.960 --> 00:15:21.197
application layer when we should
be thinking about the things that we

00:15:21.280 --> 00:15:22.637
actually need in the physical world.

00:15:22.720 --> 00:15:23.837
>> Yeah. If I could
just Katherine, I think

00:15:23.920 --> 00:15:26.477
it's a good point. I just I'll add one
kind of personal component to that which

00:15:26.560 --> 00:15:30.717
is Bob of course grew up in rural Iowa
um and was sort of that world, you know,

00:15:30.800 --> 00:15:34.157
kind of World War II contemporaneous
generation. Um you know, he undoubtedly

00:15:34.240 --> 00:15:37.677
knew many uh servicemen and women.
you know, he he undoubtedly knew many, you

00:15:37.760 --> 00:15:40.237
know, he and his family undoubtedly knew
many soldiers who went to war and didn't

00:15:40.320 --> 00:15:44.237
come back um and others who came back
wounded. Um and um and you know, I grew

00:15:44.320 --> 00:15:46.317
up in rural Wisconsin. I actually
grew up in rural Wisconsin kind of post

00:15:46.400 --> 00:15:49.197
Vietnam. And you know, kind of very
similar thing like if you look at where

00:15:49.280 --> 00:15:52.077
the sort of war fighters in the American
military come from, it's it's you know,

00:15:52.160 --> 00:15:55.517
it's sort of the center of the country
in a lot of cases. And so if you grew up

00:15:55.600 --> 00:15:58.077
in one of those environments, it's just
it's like it's yeah, it's just like an

00:15:58.160 --> 00:16:02.157
integrated you just realize that this
is an integrated part of your society. Um

00:16:02.240 --> 00:16:05.037
yeah, and then uh yeah, maybe maybe I
I come from a little bit more of that

00:16:05.120 --> 00:16:07.597
background and then I'll I'll I'll tease
I'll tease Ben a little bit. He comes

00:16:07.680 --> 00:16:10.077
from of course the polar opposite uh the

00:16:10.160 --> 00:16:12.477
People's Republic of Berkeley. Um in

00:16:12.560 --> 00:16:17.357
which I'm guessing probably the uniforms
you saw people walking around in your

00:16:17.440 --> 00:16:18.637
youth were not camouflaged. They were

00:16:18.720 --> 00:16:21.597
somewhat something else. Um

00:16:21.680 --> 00:16:25.357
that that is definitely true. Although

00:16:25.440 --> 00:16:30.157
although you know I ended up um

00:16:30.240 --> 00:16:34.237
I ended up knowing a few people who did
go to the so you know probably because I

00:16:34.320 --> 00:16:37.517
played on the football team I ended up
knowing a few people who did go to the

00:16:37.600 --> 00:16:39.837
service and I mean I think that's one of

00:16:39.920 --> 00:16:45.277
the things that always um struck me as

00:16:45.360 --> 00:16:47.997
incorrect. I I I'll just say about the

00:16:48.080 --> 00:16:51.037
kind of anti you know we're not going to

00:16:51.120 --> 00:16:52.797
sell stuff to the US military and so

00:16:52.880 --> 00:16:57.117
forth. That's like, well, so here are

00:16:57.200 --> 00:17:00.157
friends of ours who are risking their

00:17:00.240 --> 00:17:03.357
lives to protect us, and we're not going

00:17:03.440 --> 00:17:07.357
to make sure they have the best, safest

00:17:07.440 --> 00:17:10.957
uh equipment and technology available,

00:17:11.040 --> 00:17:14.077
like, and that's your moral position.

00:17:14.160 --> 00:17:15.917
Like, that always struck me as very

00:17:16.000 --> 00:17:19.517
weird, but you know.

00:17:19.600 --> 00:17:24.717
>> Yeah. Um I remember a few months
ago Paul Graham was trying to critique

00:17:24.800 --> 00:17:28.557
Palunteer I think for sort
of involvement in some sort of military

00:17:28.640 --> 00:17:31.837
activ. >> Yeah. Yeah.
um is just indicative of

00:17:31.920 --> 00:17:36.637
kind of uh you know web 2010's insults
that that don't work anymore because the

00:17:36.720 --> 00:17:40.557
culture has changed so much such that you
know within just a few years Palmer

00:17:40.640 --> 00:17:43.437
could be uh you know you know uh

00:17:43.520 --> 00:17:47.757
negatively impacted or you know let go
from from meta for sort of uh political

00:17:47.840 --> 00:17:51.917
contributions to the to the wrong side
um or presumably the wrong side and now

00:17:52.000 --> 00:17:55.597
is is a hero for for his work in saving
American defense. It's just indicative

00:17:55.680 --> 00:17:59.277
of how much the culture has changed
the last few years. Yeah, it it turned out

00:17:59.360 --> 00:18:03.277
I'll I'll just bash the counter
arguments for a moment. Um uh having

00:18:03.360 --> 00:18:07.437
been trying to be fair earlier, I I'll
be totally unfair. Like a a lot of the

00:18:07.520 --> 00:18:11.277
arguments against like they're very
thinly substantive. They're they're

00:18:11.360 --> 00:18:13.997
emotional in nature and very thinly
substantive. And so my favorite story,

00:18:14.080 --> 00:18:17.517
Eric, of your your example was there
was there was a big pro there was a big

00:18:17.600 --> 00:18:19.197
protest against tech companies working

00:18:19.280 --> 00:18:22.237
um uh with ICE um in in the in the early

00:18:22.320 --> 00:18:26.557
in the first Trump term in uh 2016 2017
and there's sort of this revolt where a

00:18:26.640 --> 00:18:29.197
a bunch of tech CEOs kind of did this kind
of berry posturing thing where they

00:18:29.280 --> 00:18:31.757
said of course we're never going to work
with those horrible people you know who

00:18:31.840 --> 00:18:34.957
are you know trying to deal with like
all you know everything on the border.

00:18:35.040 --> 00:18:38.237
Um uh and and I remember actually
a friend of mine was running one of this

00:18:38.320 --> 00:18:41.517
kind of you know at the time one
of the most like culturally advanced

00:18:41.600 --> 00:18:45.437
technologically advanced coolest tech
companies in San Francisco and uh you

00:18:45.520 --> 00:18:47.917
know they they had a they had a contract
you know they had their their services

00:18:48.000 --> 00:18:50.317
used by ICE along with you know
thousands of other organizations um and

00:18:50.400 --> 00:18:53.037
and you know his employees did the big
you know kind of outrage how can we

00:18:53.120 --> 00:18:57.277
possibly do this um and so he actually
went out this is I think 2017 he went

00:18:57.360 --> 00:19:00.717
out like during the heat when it was
maximum level heat intensity of that of

00:19:00.800 --> 00:19:04.317
that time um and he went out and actually
got a former director actually

00:19:04.400 --> 00:19:07.197
he got a guy who had actually been
in the Obama administration is basically

00:19:07.280 --> 00:19:09.837
the head of head of border the head
of the border security and the Obama

00:19:09.920 --> 00:19:12.557
administration to basically come in and
give an hourlong seminar at the company

00:19:12.640 --> 00:19:15.277
and just explain like here's what's
actually involved at the border here are

00:19:15.360 --> 00:19:17.997
all the things that make it complicated
here's all the stuff involving you know

00:19:18.080 --> 00:19:21.277
not just you know not not not just
people coming across but also children

00:19:21.360 --> 00:19:24.557
and and and you know sex trafficking and
like you know drugs and like all all the

00:19:24.640 --> 00:19:27.997
other aspects of it and he and he was he
came in to do an hourong talk and you

00:19:28.080 --> 00:19:33.437
know and the entire company was invited
and you know three people showed up

00:19:33.520 --> 00:19:36.797
right and so like I think that,
you know, that that level of emotionality

00:19:36.880 --> 00:19:40.237
like it had its moment. And I and I
think it's just it's just over now. And

00:19:40.320 --> 00:19:43.037
I think we we we and, you know,
hopefully, you know, hopefully we and

00:19:43.120 --> 00:19:45.677
hopefully a lot of others are are just
kind of, you know, back back to back,

00:19:45.760 --> 00:19:48.397
you know, in a lot of ways back
to basics, back to fundamentals. These

00:19:48.480 --> 00:19:50.957
missions actually really do, you know,
independent of the political mood of the

00:19:51.040 --> 00:19:53.757
moment. These issues these these these
issues matter. These people matter.

00:19:53.840 --> 00:19:56.877
These organizations matter
and they deserve to be supported.

00:19:56.960 --> 00:20:00.077
>> Okay, cool. We've we've heard Ben
Mark's perspective on the on the origin of

00:20:00.160 --> 00:20:03.037
American dynamism. uh do you
and Katherine let's uh let's hear it from

00:20:03.120 --> 00:20:07.837
from your p perspective >>
when I joined the firm in 2018

00:20:07.920 --> 00:20:11.197
uh you know you have to remember what
time that was what era was in Silicon

00:20:11.280 --> 00:20:15.197
Valley I think Silicon Valley lost
its way as we've discussed in terms of

00:20:15.280 --> 00:20:19.197
focusing on defense um focusing
on really hard problems you know hardware

00:20:19.280 --> 00:20:21.677
was not in vogue um the intersection of

00:20:21.760 --> 00:20:26.957
software and advanced advanced hardware
was not was not popular um and about a

00:20:27.040 --> 00:20:30.877
year after I joined Mark asked me if I
wanted to meet Palmer Lucky who is the

00:20:30.960 --> 00:20:34.397
founder of Anderoll. I think Mark
was skeptical that our firm would be

00:20:34.480 --> 00:20:35.757
interested in a deal like that for a

00:20:35.840 --> 00:20:38.637
variety of reasons. Um, but I went down

00:20:38.720 --> 00:20:43.357
to uh Costa Mesa to their office.
They had just unveiled their their new

00:20:43.440 --> 00:20:46.877
office, which is no longer their new
office. It's now their old office. Um,

00:20:46.960 --> 00:20:49.917
and when I was there, you know, like we
we had fallen in love with the company.

00:20:50.000 --> 00:20:52.397
We thought it was amazing what they were
doing. When I was there, actually, I met

00:20:52.480 --> 00:20:56.317
Katherine. Um, she wanted to lead
the series B when she was at General

00:20:56.400 --> 00:20:58.317
Catalyst. I wanted to lead the series B.

00:20:58.400 --> 00:21:02.317
We ended up splitting it. Um, so we >>
wasn't the best first meeting. I'll put

00:21:02.400 --> 00:21:05.517
it that way. >> That That's true.
That's true. Um, I'll

00:21:05.600 --> 00:21:09.197
let you decide how much of that you want
to share. But we basically started out,

00:21:09.280 --> 00:21:13.277
I think, with uh, not knowing each other
at all, competing to win a deal, having

00:21:13.360 --> 00:21:16.637
to split it. I think one of the worst
things I did was that I actually had

00:21:16.720 --> 00:21:20.877
not, she had done so much work for the
series B. She had done all the diligence

00:21:20.960 --> 00:21:23.517
work. She had done notes. She actually
helped the company prepare for the

00:21:23.600 --> 00:21:27.437
series B. I had not done that work.
And I think to add insult to injury of

00:21:27.520 --> 00:21:30.957
having to split the deal, I then asked
her for her notes. Um, so I could write

00:21:31.040 --> 00:21:34.957
write our memo, which is really probably
uh, one of the more embarrassing.

00:21:35.040 --> 00:21:37.437
>> I sent them because because
I because I'm a good soldier.

00:21:37.520 --> 00:21:39.597
>> You are you are good.
Yeah. Yeah. It was

00:21:39.680 --> 00:21:42.957
it was a brutal way I think to meet.
But I respected Katherine. That's the

00:21:43.040 --> 00:21:47.437
important part. The important part is I
respected Katherine. Um, and we both uh

00:21:47.520 --> 00:21:49.917
thought Andrew was a great company. U a

00:21:50.000 --> 00:21:54.717
couple years later uh, and I I then
continued to follow all of Katherine's

00:21:54.800 --> 00:21:58.077
writings. she was really she used
different terminology at the time but

00:21:58.160 --> 00:22:01.517
eventually she came up with the
terminology of American dynamism. Um I

00:22:01.600 --> 00:22:04.237
thought that was a perfect uh phrase. Um

00:22:04.320 --> 00:22:08.477
I then in in 2021 I think uh invested in

00:22:08.560 --> 00:22:12.717
flock safety. Um that was at a time
where Black Lives Matters was a big

00:22:12.800 --> 00:22:16.877
movement. Um people thought the idea of
funding public safety and supporting the

00:22:16.960 --> 00:22:20.157
police was not so cool in Silicon Valley.
But we knew that when we talked

00:22:20.240 --> 00:22:23.597
to people um who actually were customers
of Flock Safety and people in the

00:22:23.680 --> 00:22:26.477
communities, they loved it. And I just
thought this was the highest and best

00:22:26.560 --> 00:22:30.477
use of my time. It's the time I wanted
to spend. Um at that point, Katherine

00:22:30.560 --> 00:22:35.197
Katherine uh she was really writing
more and more about this idea um and the

00:22:35.280 --> 00:22:39.277
importance in investing these areas
critical to the national interest. Um

00:22:39.360 --> 00:22:43.677
and I reached out to her with with Mark
and Ben's support and said, "Hey, um I

00:22:43.760 --> 00:22:47.277
think you we should join forces.
We should make this uh a full-fledged

00:22:47.360 --> 00:22:51.357
effort. we will make this a long-term
commitment. We'll raise money. We'll

00:22:51.440 --> 00:22:55.437
raise a fund. The firm is totally behind
it. Um I think she didn't believe me at

00:22:55.520 --> 00:22:59.277
first. She can she can give her version
of it, but then she came around to it.

00:22:59.360 --> 00:23:03.277
Uh and at the end of 2021, she joined
the firm and uh we launched the American

00:23:03.360 --> 00:23:07.437
Dynamis practice and it's been uh as they
say up and to the right ever since.

00:23:07.520 --> 00:23:11.837
>> Can I give another part that we've
never told to you that is actually

00:23:11.920 --> 00:23:13.197
>> it's really for you to tell.

00:23:13.280 --> 00:23:15.117
>> You you could tell me.
We'll we'll we'll

00:23:15.200 --> 00:23:17.197
cut it if it's if it's uh inappropriate.

00:23:17.280 --> 00:23:20.317
But we'll give another part of the story
that we've never told which is who the

00:23:20.400 --> 00:23:23.117
actual matchmaker was for Du and I

00:23:23.200 --> 00:23:26.637
because until a single moment we had

00:23:26.720 --> 00:23:31.437
always been competing and you know I I
I had sort of secretly been like I wish I

00:23:31.520 --> 00:23:34.237
wish you would just stop looking
at these companies. It actually is flock

00:23:34.320 --> 00:23:37.277
safety. Garrett Langley called me um

00:23:37.360 --> 00:23:41.757
very late like 11:30 at night um right
before his process was about to kick off

00:23:41.840 --> 00:23:45.917
and he said I have terrible terrible news.
Great news for me but terrible

00:23:46.000 --> 00:23:49.517
news for you. Uh David flew out and
wouldn't let me leave the restaurant and

00:23:49.600 --> 00:23:53.917
made me sign a term sheet and I'm not
going to be running a process anymore.

00:23:54.000 --> 00:23:57.037
And I said Garrett, how could you do this?
I've been you know like not I

00:23:57.120 --> 00:23:59.997
wasn't like how could you do I was like
happy for you but I'm like Garrett you

00:24:00.080 --> 00:24:03.437
know I wanted to be part of your process
and he said well I think the right

00:24:03.520 --> 00:24:05.757
solution and I told David this is that

00:24:05.840 --> 00:24:10.557
you guys should just join
forces and you should join and

00:24:10.640 --> 00:24:12.637
then I kid you not two minutes later

00:24:12.720 --> 00:24:16.157
David calls me um and says hey like we

00:24:16.240 --> 00:24:20.237
haven't we haven't had a meal we should
we should grab a meal um and so I sort

00:24:20.320 --> 00:24:22.157
of knew what was what was cooking but I

00:24:22.240 --> 00:24:24.397
am forever grateful I think for Garrett

00:24:24.480 --> 00:24:28.157
Langley um kind of trying to to smooth

00:24:28.240 --> 00:24:32.397
things over and kind of thread the needle
very gracefully for himself. Um,

00:24:32.480 --> 00:24:35.277
saying, "Well, why don't you just join
Andrea and Norwoods and that way we can

00:24:35.360 --> 00:24:39.277
all work together." He >> he's
an amazing CEO. There's one other

00:24:39.360 --> 00:24:42.397
funny part about that fundraising round,
which has never happened to me in any

00:24:42.480 --> 00:24:45.597
other, this is just sort of a
nonsequittor, but another investor who

00:24:45.680 --> 00:24:49.277
was really excited about that round and
not excited about that phone call wrote

00:24:49.360 --> 00:24:51.677
me this crazy email. I won't say who it

00:24:51.760 --> 00:24:56.637
was. Um, but one of his reasons about
why he should then get into the round um

00:24:56.720 --> 00:25:00.317
was that he had already printed out the
term sheet. And I was like, well, I also

00:25:00.400 --> 00:25:03.837
own a printer. Like I don't like what
is what does printing out the term sheet

00:25:03.920 --> 00:25:08.317
have to do with anything?
>> Or had some some very upset people who

00:25:08.400 --> 00:25:12.797
were hanging around the hoop um who
didn't fly out to Atlanta um the the day

00:25:12.880 --> 00:25:17.517
before he started u which is a very
strong um reminder to all of us. Get on

00:25:17.600 --> 00:25:21.117
the plane and fly out before
the process starts. to totally

00:25:21.200 --> 00:25:24.717
>> and don't let them leave until the term
she designed. I like that pro pro move

00:25:24.800 --> 00:25:28.077
to you. The um so let's segue into you

00:25:28.160 --> 00:25:32.317
started American Dynamism and I'm
curious cuz people had this perception

00:25:32.400 --> 00:25:36.717
that you know hardware is very hard
it's very capital intensive margins are

00:25:36.800 --> 00:25:41.117
worse. It it takes a long time to to get
returns if they ever do. How should

00:25:41.200 --> 00:25:44.717
people think about this category from an
investment perspective given some of the

00:25:44.800 --> 00:25:48.317
preconceived notions that people people
had about the category? There's a bunch

00:25:48.400 --> 00:25:51.837
of different ways to build a hardware
company. Um I think if you look at a lot

00:25:51.920 --> 00:25:55.917
of the American Dynamism companies, at
least the early um sort of innings of of

00:25:56.000 --> 00:25:59.277
where they started, a lot of them were
using off-the-shelf commodity hardware

00:25:59.360 --> 00:26:01.517
with really advanced software. Um so

00:26:01.600 --> 00:26:03.837
Flock Safety was basically a camera um a

00:26:03.920 --> 00:26:06.877
cell phone camera in a box um with with

00:26:06.960 --> 00:26:11.197
power to it um and an LTE connection.
If you look at some of the early Androll

00:26:11.280 --> 00:26:15.517
work, it was largely commodity optics,
commodity hardware, commodity, you know,

00:26:15.600 --> 00:26:18.557
um, parts that they were able to turn
into things like the Sentry tower. Um,

00:26:18.640 --> 00:26:21.997
and then over time, those things have
gotten more sophisticated. But a lot of

00:26:22.080 --> 00:26:26.637
the companies we invest in, their early
versions, um, are really more commodity

00:26:26.720 --> 00:26:28.077
hardware they're able to put together.

00:26:28.160 --> 00:26:31.277
And then I think the unique thing
and the the the key thing is that we're at

00:26:31.360 --> 00:26:34.317
this moment where you can then pair
that with advanced software that drives

00:26:34.400 --> 00:26:37.437
things like computer vision, autonomy,

00:26:37.520 --> 00:26:42.077
um, etc. And I think that that that
is why this is the moment in time where

00:26:42.160 --> 00:26:45.597
hardware makes a lot more sense.
The other thing is that the customers that

00:26:45.680 --> 00:26:49.597
they're serving, it's not like you have
to build your hardware for the Christmas

00:26:49.680 --> 00:26:51.357
um gifting season where you only have

00:26:51.440 --> 00:26:54.637
one shot to make 80% of your sales. Um

00:26:54.720 --> 00:26:57.517
when you do government uh hardware or

00:26:57.600 --> 00:27:00.797
hardware for uh for the Pentagon um or

00:27:00.880 --> 00:27:04.877
across enterprises, it's a much
different um sales cycle and process.

00:27:04.960 --> 00:27:09.757
you can better manage your inventory and
your pacing and your hardware spend. Um,

00:27:09.840 --> 00:27:12.877
and there's also just a lot more,
I would say, equipment financing available

00:27:12.960 --> 00:27:16.877
for the very large scale hardware
projects. Um, and so it really is just a

00:27:16.960 --> 00:27:19.837
different dynamic. And I think if you
understand that and you spend time in

00:27:19.920 --> 00:27:23.197
these categories, you recognize that
this is not the same thing as making

00:27:23.280 --> 00:27:27.117
like a consumer electronics toy, which
is a really almost like a hits business

00:27:27.200 --> 00:27:30.717
or, you know, if you have one major
issue and recall, it destroys the

00:27:30.800 --> 00:27:34.557
company. It's not it's not quite like
that. Do you let's go deeper on on

00:27:34.640 --> 00:27:37.837
energy. Where are you most excited
or where are we thinking about it from a

00:27:37.920 --> 00:27:41.757
from investment perspective? >> Yeah,
look, I I've said this many times.

00:27:41.840 --> 00:27:44.557
We we as a general society, as an

00:27:44.640 --> 00:27:49.197
economy, have an insatiable thirst for
for energy and for power. Um, and those

00:27:49.280 --> 00:27:51.277
are not exactly the same the same thing.

00:27:51.360 --> 00:27:54.317
Um, but we need power in order to run

00:27:54.400 --> 00:27:57.277
our AI compute loads. um we need base

00:27:57.360 --> 00:28:02.077
load power which means always on power
um to run our electrical our aging

00:28:02.160 --> 00:28:05.917
electrical grid that means we need
generation we need transmission and we

00:28:06.000 --> 00:28:10.477
need storage um and so again whether
it's electric vehicles whether it's AI

00:28:10.560 --> 00:28:14.397
compute it does it doesn't really matter
what what the reason is we know that

00:28:14.480 --> 00:28:19.197
there's just absolute demand from the
consumer side to have more and more

00:28:19.280 --> 00:28:23.437
electricity in the system and more and
more power generation um and so I think

00:28:23.520 --> 00:28:25.837
what we look for is where are there just

00:28:25.920 --> 00:28:28.797
massive ways to create um and generate

00:28:28.880 --> 00:28:32.477
energy that is uh transposable, that is

00:28:32.560 --> 00:28:36.957
transmittable, that can be modular, that
can be mobile. Um and so we've made two

00:28:37.040 --> 00:28:39.437
investments in the energy space. Um

00:28:39.520 --> 00:28:41.997
exowatt is one, radiant nuclear is the

00:28:42.080 --> 00:28:45.277
other. Um we know that those are two um

00:28:45.360 --> 00:28:47.437
power power generation systems. One uses

00:28:47.520 --> 00:28:51.037
the sun, one uses nuclear uh energy um

00:28:51.120 --> 00:28:55.917
to create reliable um power systems. And
so we're very excited about it. Um, and

00:28:56.000 --> 00:29:00.317
we we certainly I think would make more
investments. But we the last the last

00:29:00.400 --> 00:29:02.957
thing I would say is that there's been
multiple studies that we we've seen

00:29:03.040 --> 00:29:07.357
shared around over the years that when
you pour more and more energy into an

00:29:07.440 --> 00:29:12.077
economy, you get economic growth.
And that's been true um in all of modern

00:29:12.160 --> 00:29:15.597
history. Uh, and I think that's
going to be true today as well.

00:29:15.680 --> 00:29:20.477
>> Yeah. Gen, I I want to segue
to aerospace. There's there's a lot going

00:29:20.560 --> 00:29:23.917
on in in terms, you know, space
manufacturing, uh, hypersonics,

00:29:24.000 --> 00:29:27.837
responsive launch. Where are we making
making bets where are we most excited to

00:29:27.920 --> 00:29:30.557
to make more? >> Yeah.
So, I think the thing that's

00:29:30.640 --> 00:29:34.157
really changed about aerospace that I
think we're we're incredibly excited

00:29:34.240 --> 00:29:38.317
about is it used to be that everyone had
to vertically integrate. Um, and sort of

00:29:38.400 --> 00:29:42.477
space 1.0 was was very much categorized
with companies taking the SpaceX model.

00:29:42.560 --> 00:29:46.397
You will build everything yourself.
Um, it might take 10 years to get to space

00:29:46.480 --> 00:29:51.677
and that's okay. uh that is not the case
anymore. Uh we you know we we were one

00:29:51.760 --> 00:29:55.357
of the earliest investors in a company
called Apex Space. I believe they are

00:29:55.440 --> 00:29:57.117
the fastest company to get from clean

00:29:57.200 --> 00:30:00.557
sheet design to orbit in 13 months

00:30:00.640 --> 00:30:04.957
>> um in in history. Um which is which
is pretty incredible. Um but they had a

00:30:05.040 --> 00:30:08.477
different view which is that we only
want to make the satellite bus. Um, and

00:30:08.560 --> 00:30:12.637
if we can figure out ways to make the
satellite bus cheaper, more efficiently,

00:30:12.720 --> 00:30:15.277
and and work with all of the the legacy

00:30:15.360 --> 00:30:20.077
primes and the new primes, um, to put
their payloads into space, um, that will

00:30:20.160 --> 00:30:23.117
be far more efficient for these
companies that are building, um,

00:30:23.200 --> 00:30:26.797
different types of of payloads.
And I think that thesis has been has been

00:30:26.880 --> 00:30:30.557
largely correct. Um, they've been able
to work with um, you know, some of the

00:30:30.640 --> 00:30:35.277
the most kind of legendary, I would say,
um, you know, legacy companies, um, but

00:30:35.360 --> 00:30:38.717
also the the emerging ones. they, you
know, they they um Andrew flew on their

00:30:38.800 --> 00:30:42.157
first flight. Um so I think there
there's there's something to be said

00:30:42.240 --> 00:30:45.757
about sort of deconstructing
the vertical integration process in space.

00:30:45.840 --> 00:30:49.117
That's been very um novel in space 2.0.

00:30:49.200 --> 00:30:51.117
We're also investors in Northwood space.

00:30:51.200 --> 00:30:54.557
Um it's building ground stations. Um
you know, that's a that's a problem that

00:30:54.640 --> 00:30:57.837
hasn't been tackled in a in a in a very
long time. We do not have enough ground

00:30:57.920 --> 00:31:01.197
stations to get data back to Earth
as quickly as we need to. And given that

00:31:01.280 --> 00:31:05.277
low Earth orbit has just been,
I would say, you know, saturated um by by

00:31:05.360 --> 00:31:08.477
payloads in the last several years,
particularly because the cost of launch

00:31:08.560 --> 00:31:11.037
has come down and because SpaceX has put

00:31:11.120 --> 00:31:15.357
85% of all mass into orbit, um we we do

00:31:15.440 --> 00:31:19.277
need more comms. We do need um
an ability to be able to to have

00:31:19.360 --> 00:31:23.117
communication and downlink to from lower
Earth orbit in particular to to ground

00:31:23.200 --> 00:31:26.557
stations. So these companies, I think,
are attacking very important parts of

00:31:26.640 --> 00:31:30.477
the problem, but they're also kind
of deconstructing the problem of space,

00:31:30.560 --> 00:31:34.637
which used to be build it all yourself,
build it in house. Um, which was, of

00:31:34.720 --> 00:31:37.517
course, the reason why SpaceX has been
so successful. But we're sort of seeing

00:31:37.600 --> 00:31:41.437
this unbundling um with the the emerging
companies that are doing parts of the

00:31:41.520 --> 00:31:46.397
stack that that maybe SpaceX and some
of the legacy players um haven't innovated

00:31:46.480 --> 00:31:48.397
in or don't see as the priority.

00:31:48.480 --> 00:31:52.157
>> That's a that's a good overview.
I I want to segue to defense which is bas

00:31:52.240 --> 00:31:57.117
you you both know know about um maybe
Katherine we we'll start with you

00:31:57.200 --> 00:32:00.317
similarly where are we excited where
have we made bets where are we looking

00:32:00.400 --> 00:32:02.717
to to make more or what
have we seen change

00:32:02.800 --> 00:32:06.477
>> I mean the the thing that's really
exciting about defense is for the first

00:32:06.560 --> 00:32:08.877
time you have sort of this I would say

00:32:08.960 --> 00:32:11.677
almost a golden triangle of the customer

00:32:11.760 --> 00:32:14.717
is desperate and moving very fast and

00:32:14.800 --> 00:32:19.197
and the customer isn't just the Pentagon
it's also Congress uh do you and I and

00:32:19.280 --> 00:32:23.437
and Mark, we're were just in Washington
um talking to to senators and and

00:32:23.520 --> 00:32:28.077
members of members of the House who were
very engaged on this year's NDAA. Um how

00:32:28.160 --> 00:32:32.317
do we fix some of the core problems with
procurement? And I think that it it you

00:32:32.400 --> 00:32:36.397
know, I've never been so hopeful um
about these minor changes in procurement

00:32:36.480 --> 00:32:40.877
reform having a dramatic impact on all
of the defense ecosystem. So not just,

00:32:40.960 --> 00:32:43.757
you know, not just our companies,
not just even little tech, but I think it

00:32:43.840 --> 00:32:47.117
will have a dramatic impact on improving
research and development even in the

00:32:47.200 --> 00:32:50.397
primes. So, so there's there's something
to be said of, you know, the last 10

00:32:50.480 --> 00:32:53.117
years we've been saying the same thing
over and over and over again, which is

00:32:53.200 --> 00:32:57.437
we need more competition. We need, you
know, modern software and Silicon Valley

00:32:57.520 --> 00:33:00.637
engineering to be brought into the
Pentagon. And now you're actually seeing

00:33:00.720 --> 00:33:03.677
it and you're seeing everyone say the
same thing. But the other things that I

00:33:03.760 --> 00:33:07.197
think have really changed in the last 10
years and particularly since we started

00:33:07.280 --> 00:33:12.237
uh the AD fund is one, the the downstream
capital requirement that used

00:33:12.320 --> 00:33:16.157
to be sort of the thing that made
investors very nervous. It's there.

00:33:16.240 --> 00:33:19.197
downstream capital has never been more
excited to invest in these these hard

00:33:19.280 --> 00:33:22.637
tech companies, American Dynamism
companies. And so the sort of messy

00:33:22.720 --> 00:33:25.757
middle that used to exist where
companies had to sort of float through

00:33:25.840 --> 00:33:27.677
or hope that they would get contracts.

00:33:27.760 --> 00:33:31.277
Now there's capital to subsidize which
is I think is really important. And

00:33:31.360 --> 00:33:36.237
that's led to so many different founders
leaving the Andurals and the SpaceX's

00:33:36.320 --> 00:33:39.357
and the extraord you know they they've
sort of graduated with the blessing of

00:33:39.440 --> 00:33:43.517
of of their of their teams and they're
building things that are that are novel

00:33:43.600 --> 00:33:47.517
in the physical world. taking
the the methodology of how they learned

00:33:47.600 --> 00:33:49.677
manufacturing from SpaceX or taking the

00:33:49.760 --> 00:33:54.797
manufacturing methodologies they learned
um or pioneered at Anderol and and and

00:33:54.880 --> 00:33:57.517
you know and and doing them in in
different ways doing them for different

00:33:57.600 --> 00:34:00.877
things sometimes not even in defense.
I mean I love pointing out um another

00:34:00.960 --> 00:34:02.957
energy company that we invested in base

00:34:03.040 --> 00:34:06.237
power u you know the the the founder CTO

00:34:06.320 --> 00:34:08.797
of of that company led at manufacturing

00:34:08.880 --> 00:34:13.357
at at Andreal for years and so it's
they they learn they learn the process or

00:34:13.440 --> 00:34:17.757
build the process in house in in one
area in one sector and then they move to

00:34:17.840 --> 00:34:21.597
something that's that's that's adjacent
but not necessarily the same and so I

00:34:21.680 --> 00:34:25.997
think defense is really benefiting from
just years of people learning from the

00:34:26.080 --> 00:34:29.597
school of Elon Musk and then building
these new companies for very kind of I

00:34:29.680 --> 00:34:33.757
would say specific use cases. Um and
they're finally sort of awake and saying

00:34:33.840 --> 00:34:36.397
hey we will we will write you a contract.
So I think it's only going to

00:34:36.480 --> 00:34:40.397
get better. I keep saying I mean yes
we're early stage but um and and very

00:34:40.480 --> 00:34:43.197
optimistic. I think there's never been
a better time to start a defense company.

00:34:43.280 --> 00:34:45.997
I just think I think that the the
floodgates are opening and we're going

00:34:46.080 --> 00:34:50.237
to just see just incredible pace
of innovation um with startups that are

00:34:50.320 --> 00:34:54.797
starting today. >> It's um
yeah it's amazing the the the

00:34:54.880 --> 00:34:57.117
founders that have emerged from from
those two companies as you mentioned.

00:34:57.200 --> 00:35:00.957
You know, we did this episode a few
weeks ago about uh how Apple built China

00:35:01.040 --> 00:35:05.357
and how the expertise that uh that people
who went to work on Apple go, you

00:35:05.440 --> 00:35:07.997
know, um translated into other
industries and maybe there'll be

00:35:08.080 --> 00:35:12.637
something someday around like how Ander
SpaceX rebuilt America to some degree in

00:35:12.720 --> 00:35:15.437
terms of all the expertise that was
developed there and how they went on to

00:35:15.520 --> 00:35:18.877
go and build uh you know, other
tremendous companies. Yeah, I mean I do

00:35:18.960 --> 00:35:22.397
think that the legacy of SpaceX, yes,
everything they've built and done is

00:35:22.480 --> 00:35:25.597
important, but the the manufacturing
processes that people have learned at

00:35:25.680 --> 00:35:29.437
SpaceX is going to be carrying America
forward for generations. Uh when you

00:35:29.520 --> 00:35:33.677
think how tens of thousands of people
of engineers have left SpaceX and gone on

00:35:33.760 --> 00:35:37.117
to other companies and pioneered new
ways of building and the manufacturing

00:35:37.200 --> 00:35:41.197
process in particular is is what was
novel and different. The factory is the

00:35:41.280 --> 00:35:46.077
product of how how Elon built across
Tesla and SpaceX. So I think the the in

00:35:46.160 --> 00:35:49.917
some ways it can't be overstated just
how important um that company is for for

00:35:50.000 --> 00:35:51.437
a number of different domains.

00:35:51.520 --> 00:35:55.997
>> Yeah. And and a lot of people thought
that the the legacy incumbents sort of

00:35:56.080 --> 00:35:57.997
their lobbying arms were just so

00:35:58.080 --> 00:36:00.557
powerful that it' be just very difficult

00:36:00.640 --> 00:36:03.677
for um you know for startups to break in

00:36:03.760 --> 00:36:05.677
against the against their the primes.

00:36:05.760 --> 00:36:10.317
What um what changed? Obviously you know
the sort of the need has been there for

00:36:10.400 --> 00:36:13.597
a while. Did it just come to a breaking
point at some point or or what really

00:36:13.680 --> 00:36:16.157
sort of, you know,
created this opportunity?

00:36:16.240 --> 00:36:18.237
>> Well, we always say
SpaceX and Palanteer

00:36:18.320 --> 00:36:19.517
walked so that everyone else could run.

00:36:19.600 --> 00:36:22.717
And I would, it's maybe unfair to say
that they walked, but both of them had

00:36:22.800 --> 00:36:27.597
to sue the government. Um um so so
you know, those are those are two early

00:36:27.680 --> 00:36:31.997
companies, extremely early, right? These
are the companies that wereed in 2002

00:36:32.080 --> 00:36:35.837
2003. Um so I think
in some ways they had to

00:36:35.920 --> 00:36:39.597
do the very very difficult work
of educating the government, educating

00:36:39.680 --> 00:36:42.157
themselves, right? Explaining why it is

00:36:42.240 --> 00:36:46.717
so important. Um but I think you know
that now 20 years on from from those

00:36:46.800 --> 00:36:51.197
companies founding we just see
an extraordinary amount of I I think

00:36:51.280 --> 00:36:54.637
alignment um that we've never seen before.
One because the the kind of you

00:36:54.720 --> 00:36:59.357
know stakes have changed in 2002 no one
was worried about China. In 2012 no one

00:36:59.440 --> 00:37:01.837
was worried about China, right? So
there there's something that I think has

00:37:01.920 --> 00:37:05.677
changed in terms of nearpeer adversaries
as well that people are now waking up

00:37:05.760 --> 00:37:09.597
and saying okay like we we we you know
we can't let our own procurement process

00:37:09.680 --> 00:37:12.957
be the thing that stops us from actually
fielding these technologies and

00:37:13.040 --> 00:37:15.597
producing them in mass.
>> I think that's right. I think on the

00:37:15.680 --> 00:37:19.037
adversary basis we now have a much
healthier respect for China as an

00:37:19.120 --> 00:37:23.037
adversary particularly on their
production capability but I think the

00:37:23.120 --> 00:37:24.477
product has also changed. I think the

00:37:24.560 --> 00:37:28.157
war in Ukraine really um put a very very

00:37:28.240 --> 00:37:33.437
bright light on how our exquisite large
platforms are not uh going to be the

00:37:33.520 --> 00:37:35.037
platforms for the fight of the future.

00:37:35.120 --> 00:37:38.557
And we needed new we needed new products.
You know, when when Andreal

00:37:38.640 --> 00:37:42.797
talks about rebuilding the arsenal
of democracy, they're talking about not

00:37:42.880 --> 00:37:46.637
doing it with new aircraft carriers. are
talking about with the tradable systems

00:37:46.720 --> 00:37:49.677
um with you know swarms of drones uh

00:37:49.760 --> 00:37:54.557
with with new kinds of autonomous uh
submersibles and other vehicles and so

00:37:54.640 --> 00:37:58.237
it really is a different product and I
think the government has woken up in in

00:37:58.320 --> 00:38:02.157
many ways to that need and they are now
working through the procurement reforms

00:38:02.240 --> 00:38:06.477
a lot of a lot of the the work that
Katherine and I and Mark and and and Ben

00:38:06.560 --> 00:38:09.997
and others do inside the firm
in Washington is to really drive some of

00:38:10.080 --> 00:38:13.917
these reforms which will benefit um
ultimately will benefit America but will

00:38:14.000 --> 00:38:17.597
benefit at all companies but you know
in addition to the companies we work with

00:38:17.680 --> 00:38:20.557
um but the product has changed and I
think the customer recognizes they need

00:38:20.640 --> 00:38:23.437
a different product which is going
to come from from a different place.

00:38:23.520 --> 00:38:26.957
>> Is there anything more we want to say
on on Ukraine and h how that sort of

00:38:27.040 --> 00:38:30.477
changed the investment landscape or did
you sort of say the main thing you

00:38:30.560 --> 00:38:34.877
wanted to say? You know, one one other
thing I would add is that um and and

00:38:34.960 --> 00:38:38.237
you've seen this actually, you know,
when JD Vance went and gave a speech in

00:38:38.320 --> 00:38:41.597
Europe, I think at the Munich Security
Conference, he really said like it's

00:38:41.680 --> 00:38:45.997
time for Europe to step up and start
spending money on defense again. Um and

00:38:46.080 --> 00:38:49.597
you know, while the reaction in in the
press was like negative, how could he do

00:38:49.680 --> 00:38:52.557
this? How could you do this to our
friend and our allies and and like

00:38:52.640 --> 00:38:56.957
whatever, the reality was like a lot
of a lot of the uh politicians in Europe

00:38:57.040 --> 00:39:00.637
said, "Okay, wait, wait a minute.
This is actually probably true." And uh

00:39:00.720 --> 00:39:05.277
almost every major country in Europe
has made a commitment to double or more

00:39:05.360 --> 00:39:09.997
their spending their GDP level of spend
on on defense. And that spend is

00:39:10.080 --> 00:39:13.837
ultimately going to go there. There
aren't enough incumbents in Europe to

00:39:13.920 --> 00:39:17.277
have to have all that money go
to companies in Europe. So it's a huge

00:39:17.360 --> 00:39:21.757
opportunity for um their strongest ally,
which is the United States, for the

00:39:21.840 --> 00:39:25.917
companies here to actually go and increase
their business uh overseas. And

00:39:26.000 --> 00:39:29.517
so I think there's just broadly a ton of
opportunity. Um, and you're going to see

00:39:29.600 --> 00:39:31.197
that and I think look, the fight in the

00:39:31.280 --> 00:39:34.797
Ukraine obviously has has caused the uh

00:39:34.880 --> 00:39:39.037
the all the countries in NATO and you
know all of Western Europe to wake up

00:39:39.120 --> 00:39:43.037
and recognize that they have to change
their posture when it comes to defense.

00:39:43.120 --> 00:39:45.997
The we've been talking about energy,
we've been talking about aerospace,

00:39:46.080 --> 00:39:49.837
we've been talking about defense.
What what's next in terms of where are we

00:39:49.920 --> 00:39:53.597
excited to invest or where
are the opportunities? Do you

00:39:53.680 --> 00:39:57.357
>> Yeah. Well, I think a couple things
I would say. One is that sometimes people

00:39:57.440 --> 00:40:01.357
think the categories that we invest
in are just totally desperate and and it's

00:40:01.440 --> 00:40:05.357
like oh we like we like them and so
they think like okay yeah it's space it's

00:40:05.440 --> 00:40:09.597
defense it's energy but actually um
these categories are often much more

00:40:09.680 --> 00:40:11.917
interrelated than people people realize.

00:40:12.000 --> 00:40:13.997
You cannot have strong national security

00:40:14.080 --> 00:40:19.117
without a reliable uh energy grid
and electrical grid. Um you cannot have

00:40:19.200 --> 00:40:22.317
obviously strong national security
without strong defense. You can't have

00:40:22.400 --> 00:40:26.957
that without strong communications
which requires space uh satellites and

00:40:27.040 --> 00:40:30.317
satellite communications and space
domain awareness. Um and so these things

00:40:30.400 --> 00:40:34.237
are much more interrelated than people
realize. Um we obviously have other

00:40:34.320 --> 00:40:37.757
investments in areas that we say
as Katherine often puts it serve the

00:40:37.840 --> 00:40:41.757
national interest. So we have
investments in education. We have a

00:40:41.840 --> 00:40:45.917
massive portfolio in public safety.
Um that you know every definition of the

00:40:46.000 --> 00:40:49.117
American dream that somebody would come
up with would include the idea of living

00:40:49.200 --> 00:40:52.637
in a safe community. So, we have
a massive um I think we're probably the

00:40:52.720 --> 00:40:54.637
largest public safety venture investors

00:40:54.720 --> 00:40:57.197
uh in the country um if not if not the

00:40:57.280 --> 00:41:02.317
world. Um and I think as you look to the
future, I mean, everyone has their own

00:41:02.400 --> 00:41:05.757
view of what the the future will will
look like for American dynamism, but I

00:41:05.840 --> 00:41:08.717
think we you'll see us increasingly
shift left. That's why we look at

00:41:08.800 --> 00:41:13.597
minerals and uh we look at critical
critical minerals and and mining. um we

00:41:13.680 --> 00:41:17.277
look at manufacturing and the supply
chain and the criticality of the supply

00:41:17.360 --> 00:41:21.677
chain and the ability to get
the important uh precursor ingredients we

00:41:21.760 --> 00:41:26.477
need for manufacturing um in the event
of a conflict. Uh and so I think I think

00:41:26.560 --> 00:41:28.797
those are some areas
that I'm excited about.

00:41:28.880 --> 00:41:33.597
>> Yeah, I'll echo that you know I I joke
that I just love production companies um

00:41:33.680 --> 00:41:37.117
and that it you know you're now actually
seeing large companies say we're moving

00:41:37.200 --> 00:41:39.757
back our manufacturing back to the USA.

00:41:39.840 --> 00:41:42.637
Um, I just think there's never been
a better time to to really focus on

00:41:42.720 --> 00:41:44.957
components, um, and to focus on sort of

00:41:45.040 --> 00:41:47.517
like the the like almost like the dumb

00:41:47.600 --> 00:41:52.317
parts, um, the dumb hardware that's
needed for a war of mass. And so, I

00:41:52.400 --> 00:41:55.517
think we're we're taking serious
looks at a lot of companies that have

00:41:55.600 --> 00:41:59.117
interesting thesis on how you do that
in bulk. Obviously, Hadrien was an early

00:41:59.200 --> 00:42:03.277
company um you know that that really
focused on how do you build a factory of

00:42:03.360 --> 00:42:06.797
the future but I think a lot of learnings
over the last several years of

00:42:06.880 --> 00:42:11.197
how you how you really automate
factories to build for um you know

00:42:11.280 --> 00:42:14.477
whether whether it's exquisite systems
or sort of dumb parts all will be

00:42:14.560 --> 00:42:17.517
necessary in a war of mass and so I
think we're we're taking all of that

00:42:17.600 --> 00:42:21.277
very seriously. You mentioned al also
education which isn't always a category

00:42:21.360 --> 00:42:25.357
that people uh you know uh sort of tie
to American dynamism. Katherine I know

00:42:25.440 --> 00:42:28.557
we've done Odyssey. What has been a sort
of our our thesis in terms of where

00:42:28.640 --> 00:42:30.877
we're excited there? >> Well,
what's what's exciting about

00:42:30.960 --> 00:42:32.717
Odyssey? I'll give a an overview there.

00:42:32.800 --> 00:42:35.837
That was an early education company
that saw the sea change happening at the

00:42:35.920 --> 00:42:40.717
state level um around education saving
accounts. Um so in the same way that you

00:42:40.800 --> 00:42:43.837
have a health savings account through
your employer that you can then put

00:42:43.920 --> 00:42:46.397
forward towards health care of any kind.

00:42:46.480 --> 00:42:50.317
Um this was a view um by a lot of states
that that people should be able to opt

00:42:50.400 --> 00:42:52.877
out of the public school system,
particularly parents that want to

00:42:52.960 --> 00:42:57.037
homeschool or that want to have sort of
a hybrid uh method of learning for their

00:42:57.120 --> 00:43:00.637
children. Um and this became very
popular during co um because it was sort

00:43:00.720 --> 00:43:03.517
of there weren't enough schools,
there weren't enough, you know, a lot of

00:43:03.600 --> 00:43:06.797
people had moved around the country
and and and homeschooling and sort of

00:43:06.880 --> 00:43:09.917
alternative learning became very popular.
But now you're seeing, you

00:43:10.000 --> 00:43:12.397
know, uh, states like Texas pass a

00:43:12.480 --> 00:43:17.517
universal ESA where any parent can opt
their their child out of out of the the

00:43:17.600 --> 00:43:21.037
public school system and receive cash
from the state. And that cash has to be

00:43:21.120 --> 00:43:24.157
transferred and regulated somehow and
ensured that that's actually being spent

00:43:24.240 --> 00:43:27.997
on education. And so Odyssey is building
the the financial rails to do that

00:43:28.080 --> 00:43:30.957
tracking to make sure that parents
get the the cash that they deserve from

00:43:31.040 --> 00:43:32.957
these state programs um and can put

00:43:33.040 --> 00:43:38.157
forward to to any program that is, you
know, approved by by the state um based

00:43:38.240 --> 00:43:40.957
on their bylaws. And I think you're
just seeing more and more experimentation

00:43:41.040 --> 00:43:44.717
with with K- through2 education. One,
because it's necessary, right? There's

00:43:44.800 --> 00:43:48.317
there's more and more, I would say,
special needs kids or kids that have

00:43:48.400 --> 00:43:51.997
different um learning capacities,
and people are realizing that one-on-one

00:43:52.080 --> 00:43:54.637
tutoring can support that. Um, and so I

00:43:54.720 --> 00:43:59.197
think you're you're seeing, you know,
a variety of different um, methods of of

00:43:59.280 --> 00:44:01.837
learning and they have to be, you know,
supported by different types of

00:44:01.920 --> 00:44:06.157
technology. Um, we're also obviously
looking at how AI and and one-on-one

00:44:06.240 --> 00:44:09.677
tutoring can can support these
initiatives. I think we're just going to

00:44:09.760 --> 00:44:13.997
see so many changes to K through2
education um over the next decade um

00:44:14.080 --> 00:44:17.597
enabled by not only technology but also
just this kind of I would say this this

00:44:17.680 --> 00:44:22.157
sea change that happened because of co
um which is realizing that that parents

00:44:22.240 --> 00:44:25.117
are sometimes best equipped to make
the decisions about how their how their

00:44:25.200 --> 00:44:27.597
children are going to learn.
>> We've talked about the categories we're

00:44:27.680 --> 00:44:31.837
excited about investing in. Is there any
for AD entrepreneurs listening to this?

00:44:31.920 --> 00:44:35.997
Are there any requests for startups that
you particularly want to see that people

00:44:36.080 --> 00:44:39.997
yet haven't yet done um as much or as
well as they should have across any of

00:44:40.080 --> 00:44:42.637
these categories? >> I have
one I feel like I'm a broken

00:44:42.720 --> 00:44:46.637
record um with my request which
is offensive space. Uh I think everyone

00:44:46.720 --> 00:44:49.997
looks to the past conflict and says oh
well we look at what happened in Ukraine

00:44:50.080 --> 00:44:53.757
and that's what we should build.
I actually think there's very few um

00:44:53.840 --> 00:44:58.557
lessons from Ukraine that are going to be
relevant in the future war. Candidly,

00:44:58.640 --> 00:45:01.277
I think that the future war,
the infrastructure that we already have in

00:45:01.360 --> 00:45:05.437
low low Earth orbit will be
exceptionally important. Um, and we have

00:45:05.520 --> 00:45:08.397
to figure out ways to protect what
we're building in low Earth orbit in

00:45:08.480 --> 00:45:12.077
particular. And so I think anything to do
with offenses of space um both on the

00:45:12.160 --> 00:45:15.757
software side and the hardware side,
we're we're very excited about.

00:45:15.840 --> 00:45:19.037
>> Yeah. You've mentioned that the how do
you phrase it? It's the war is not going

00:45:19.120 --> 00:45:21.597
to be about space. It's going
to be in space or something.

00:45:21.680 --> 00:45:25.037
>> Yes. Yeah. No, I I very much believe
that and it's because we already have so

00:45:25.120 --> 00:45:28.957
much important infrastructure. Like
what when when we visited I was fortunate

00:45:29.040 --> 00:45:32.877
enough to go to the the border
of Ukraine with some um US officials and

00:45:32.960 --> 00:45:36.397
and and operators on the ground and every
time I talked to to people on the

00:45:36.480 --> 00:45:39.117
ground and asked them what's the most
important piece of technology that you

00:45:39.200 --> 00:45:41.677
use, they all said Starlink. Um and of

00:45:41.760 --> 00:45:43.997
course Starlink is in low Earth orbit.

00:45:44.080 --> 00:45:47.597
It's not um something that necessarily
you would you would need to to target

00:45:47.680 --> 00:45:50.477
low Earth orbit and able to take out
that infrastructure. And so, you know,

00:45:50.560 --> 00:45:55.037
obviously SpaceX is a very um
sophisticated company. Um but but I

00:45:55.120 --> 00:45:58.717
think anything to do with offensive
space capabilities that can shore up

00:45:58.800 --> 00:46:02.397
what the US government needs given given
where the next conflict will be uh I

00:46:02.480 --> 00:46:07.037
think is extremely important. I want
to zoom out and also talk about how we

00:46:07.120 --> 00:46:10.557
think about American dynamism in the
context of our international efforts

00:46:10.640 --> 00:46:13.757
because you mentioned you know and for
different uh different spaces but also

00:46:13.840 --> 00:46:16.157
countries are trying to build their own
version of it and of course Andrew's

00:46:16.240 --> 00:46:20.877
also you know working internationally
as well but um maybe Katherine we'll start

00:46:20.960 --> 00:46:25.517
with you how do you sort of think about
uh American dynamism but also and I'll

00:46:25.600 --> 00:46:29.517
pass it to Ben as we're building
our international efforts uh our American

00:46:29.600 --> 00:46:33.517
allies. Well, I I think
you know Ben Ben has

00:46:33.600 --> 00:46:36.797
always said every time and I I I won't
put words in your mouth, Ben, but every

00:46:36.880 --> 00:46:40.637
time that he travels, I mean, the the
thing that people want is exactly what

00:46:40.720 --> 00:46:44.397
we named the category, which is how do
we build American dynamism? How do we

00:46:44.480 --> 00:46:48.397
build Silicon Valley in our own country,
right? Like how do how do we build

00:46:48.480 --> 00:46:51.357
national resilience? How do how do
we think about, you know, future of

00:46:51.440 --> 00:46:55.517
manufacturing? What are the things
that are going to supercharge our own um

00:46:55.600 --> 00:47:00.317
economy? And I think the the thing that
that by calling it American dynamism and

00:47:00.400 --> 00:47:03.517
by talking about how important it is to be
building in the physical world, I I

00:47:03.600 --> 00:47:06.797
think we kind of captured a few things
that are really important to to every

00:47:06.880 --> 00:47:10.317
nation state. One is, you know,
we always point to the fact that 25 years

00:47:10.400 --> 00:47:12.877
ago, if you looked at the market cap um

00:47:12.960 --> 00:47:14.637
of the largest 10 companies in the

00:47:14.720 --> 00:47:17.517
world, 25 years ago, uh three of the top

00:47:17.600 --> 00:47:22.157
10 were American tech companies.
Now that is nine of the top 10 25 years

00:47:22.240 --> 00:47:24.477
later. So Silicon Valley has truly I

00:47:24.560 --> 00:47:29.997
think transformed with software um you
know the the the size and scale of how

00:47:30.080 --> 00:47:31.277
large you can build these companies.

00:47:31.360 --> 00:47:34.637
Many of the companies that are now
in the top 10 in terms of of market cap

00:47:34.720 --> 00:47:38.717
didn't even exist in 2000. Um,
so I think that's something where other

00:47:38.800 --> 00:47:42.157
nations look at what Silicon Valley can
build, whether it's hardware, software,

00:47:42.240 --> 00:47:44.397
whether it's, you know, companies that
are building in the physical world and

00:47:44.480 --> 00:47:47.597
say we want to bring this to our own
country. How do we do that? And the

00:47:47.680 --> 00:47:51.517
spirit of American dynamism
is recognizing that it's not just uh, you

00:47:51.600 --> 00:47:55.917
know, an economic zone in a silo.
It's not just um pure software. Like the

00:47:56.000 --> 00:47:59.277
companies that are that are really
having the impact of that scale are

00:47:59.360 --> 00:48:02.317
building the physical world and they're
interfacing with governments not only in

00:48:02.400 --> 00:48:05.117
the US, but they're interfacing with
governments around the world. And in

00:48:05.200 --> 00:48:09.517
order to build, you know, many many more
of those companies, um, we we have to

00:48:09.600 --> 00:48:12.797
have sort of a game plan of of how you
interface with with regulators, with

00:48:12.880 --> 00:48:17.117
governments, um,
and with the international community.

00:48:17.200 --> 00:48:19.757
And >> Ben, what would you add to that?

00:48:19.840 --> 00:48:22.717
>> Yeah, I think that um, you know,

00:48:22.800 --> 00:48:25.117
geopolitically we we've kind of entered

00:48:25.200 --> 00:48:28.157
a new era. Uh and so if you kind of go

00:48:28.240 --> 00:48:30.717
back, you know, post World War II, we

00:48:30.800 --> 00:48:34.157
had kind of um bombed our big

00:48:34.240 --> 00:48:39.197
manufacturing competitors, you know,
Japan and and Germany uh kind of out of

00:48:39.280 --> 00:48:40.877
existence or out of the game for a while

00:48:40.960 --> 00:48:43.437
and America became the the just the

00:48:43.520 --> 00:48:46.317
dominant economic power uh in the world

00:48:46.400 --> 00:48:49.117
for for decades. And as a result, we

00:48:49.200 --> 00:48:52.397
could be um team America world police uh

00:48:52.480 --> 00:48:56.637
and just kind of, you know,
provide defense to everybody. And our our

00:48:56.720 --> 00:49:01.757
strategy was kind of like it's actually
not only do we not, you know, we don't

00:49:01.840 --> 00:49:05.037
need other countries to defend themselves.
If they were to do so, it

00:49:05.120 --> 00:49:09.117
might be dangerous. And so we kind of uh
station our troops all over the world.

00:49:09.200 --> 00:49:11.677
And we built this massive military. Um

00:49:11.760 --> 00:49:14.957
fast forward to 2025, we're $ 38

00:49:15.040 --> 00:49:17.997
trillion in debt. Um and you know

00:49:18.080 --> 00:49:21.837
there's a very uh competitive superpower

00:49:21.920 --> 00:49:25.757
um economically in China uh who has a I

00:49:25.840 --> 00:49:30.157
I I would just say a very different idea
about the way the world should work and

00:49:30.240 --> 00:49:31.917
the way their society should work than

00:49:32.000 --> 00:49:34.717
than we do. And so now we're in a

00:49:34.800 --> 00:49:38.157
position where allies matter a lot. Um,

00:49:38.240 --> 00:49:40.397
and not only do allies matter, but we

00:49:40.480 --> 00:49:43.517
need them to uh to be able to defend

00:49:43.600 --> 00:49:45.757
themselves and to work with us to kind

00:49:45.840 --> 00:49:50.477
of defend our values, our kind of way of

00:49:50.560 --> 00:49:54.877
life, our view of freedom. Um, and you
know, what it means to kind of be a

00:49:54.960 --> 00:49:56.717
citizen.

00:49:56.800 --> 00:49:59.997
And you know as a result of that uh you

00:50:00.080 --> 00:50:02.317
know American dynamism does need to kind

00:50:02.400 --> 00:50:04.557
of extend out beyond America to our

00:50:04.640 --> 00:50:07.597
allies because you know if they are

00:50:07.680 --> 00:50:09.757
providing their own defense um and they

00:50:09.840 --> 00:50:11.917
are allied with us then they need these

00:50:12.000 --> 00:50:15.037
same kinds of uh technologies and uh and

00:50:15.120 --> 00:50:19.437
products and so you know it's just part
of the overall mission that I think we

00:50:19.520 --> 00:50:23.037
have to pursue. It also makes
the economics for these companies work

00:50:23.120 --> 00:50:26.797
better if there are kind of a larger
market for them. going to deeper on on

00:50:26.880 --> 00:50:30.957
China, it seems like a lot of the
cultural embracing of American dynamism

00:50:31.040 --> 00:50:34.477
stems from some of the realities that
Katherine mentioned like like Ukraine,

00:50:34.560 --> 00:50:38.157
like COVID and and of course sort of
this great power conflict with with with

00:50:38.240 --> 00:50:42.477
China and people realizing the the
urgency of of uh and need to to prepare

00:50:42.560 --> 00:50:46.557
for it and it seems to inspire a lot uh
you know some of the American dynamism

00:50:46.640 --> 00:50:48.637
um f focus and and and where we invest.

00:50:48.720 --> 00:50:53.197
So maybe let's just briefly take
stock on what are the areas in which uh

00:50:53.280 --> 00:50:57.997
they're ahead, what what are our unique
advantages and how does that inform uh

00:50:58.080 --> 00:51:01.517
sort of where we're thinking for for
American dynamism. Katherine, do you

00:51:01.600 --> 00:51:03.597
want to take initial step? >> Sure.

00:51:03.680 --> 00:51:06.877
>> Yeah. I mean, I thought the the
conversation that that you all had in

00:51:06.960 --> 00:51:08.797
the last episode with with Brian and

00:51:08.880 --> 00:51:11.597
Chris about what does it mean to to

00:51:11.680 --> 00:51:14.317
participate in wars of mass is one that

00:51:14.400 --> 00:51:18.637
Silicon Valley really hadn't thought
about uh until very recently. Um, you

00:51:18.720 --> 00:51:21.997
know, I if if you go to Washington,
there's all this talk now about what is

00:51:22.080 --> 00:51:25.437
what is known as a treatable systems,
which are systems where, you know,

00:51:25.520 --> 00:51:29.037
you're not spending millions
and millions of dollars building out

00:51:29.120 --> 00:51:33.277
exquisite systems that that only are are
usable once. You're you're building out,

00:51:33.360 --> 00:51:37.757
you know, very cheap drones, very cheap
hardware where if you lose them, that's

00:51:37.840 --> 00:51:41.517
okay. And because the and the reason
why that is so important um is because I

00:51:41.600 --> 00:51:44.477
think a lot of the the learnings
of Ukraine um if you have an exquisite

00:51:44.560 --> 00:51:47.037
system that was hundreds of millions
of dollars and it can be taken out with a

00:51:47.120 --> 00:51:51.757
thousand dollar drone uh that changes
the economics of war and it particularly

00:51:51.840 --> 00:51:56.397
changes the the economics of a war
of mass. Um so I'd encourage people to to

00:51:56.480 --> 00:52:00.317
kind of understand um the sort
of complexities of of why you know why it

00:52:00.400 --> 00:52:03.357
matters so much that we've exported
our manufacturing that we can't uh

00:52:03.440 --> 00:52:07.597
manufacture these attitudable systems
as cheaply and as quickly and in terms of

00:52:07.680 --> 00:52:11.757
as as as many um as say as say China
could. But I say there's there's two

00:52:11.840 --> 00:52:15.517
also there's two really important things
to take from the war in Ukraine which is

00:52:15.600 --> 00:52:20.237
that China has been supplying both sides
of that war. Um, when you look at sort

00:52:20.320 --> 00:52:23.597
of the drone warfare that is that has
come out of the trenches for the last 3

00:52:23.680 --> 00:52:27.037
years, you know, China is a is a supplier
in the same way that Russia is

00:52:27.120 --> 00:52:29.677
a supplier to to its own side. But that

00:52:29.760 --> 00:52:31.917
means that their their industrial bases

00:52:32.000 --> 00:52:36.717
have been built up in a way that the US
industrial base hasn't built up um in

00:52:36.800 --> 00:52:39.437
the past 3 years. And that's something
that I think a lot of our American

00:52:39.520 --> 00:52:42.797
dynamism companies are very cognizant of.
um that we're we're at a

00:52:42.880 --> 00:52:46.397
disadvantage because we haven't been
supplying just in time manufacturing to

00:52:46.480 --> 00:52:51.437
to the Ukrainians in the way that say um
you know Chinese parts um have been. And

00:52:51.520 --> 00:52:54.317
so that that's something we we very much
have to think about when we think about

00:52:54.400 --> 00:52:58.157
wars of mass is how quickly can we can
we start investing in our manufacturing

00:52:58.240 --> 00:53:01.517
base so that we can have this just
in time manufacturing and these attritable

00:53:01.600 --> 00:53:06.157
systems um to compete against a country
that that has been building for the last

00:53:06.240 --> 00:53:09.597
20 years. Mark, I'd like to hear your your

00:53:09.680 --> 00:53:13.917
thoughts on on on manufacturing. We were
talking offline a bit ago and about how,

00:53:14.000 --> 00:53:18.557
you know, people hope for the old
manufacturing jobs back and and how it's

00:53:18.640 --> 00:53:21.517
uh harder to to bring those back,
but there's an opportunity for for more

00:53:21.600 --> 00:53:25.037
advanced manufacturing. Why don't you
describe the opportunity you see it?

00:53:25.120 --> 00:53:29.197
>> Yeah, so I g I grew up in sort of
described as light manufacturing country

00:53:29.280 --> 00:53:33.597
um in Wisconsin. So we were adjacent
to Detroit um and we sort of viscerally

00:53:33.680 --> 00:53:37.277
experienced you know the decline and fall
of Detroit um you know but we were

00:53:37.360 --> 00:53:40.477
we were right in the middle of it but we
were kind of around the edges um and so

00:53:40.560 --> 00:53:44.397
you know been thinking about this you
know for for for a long time. Um, look,

00:53:44.480 --> 00:53:47.517
I think the the the sort of the sort
of great offshoring of manufacturing that

00:53:47.600 --> 00:53:49.997
happened over the last 40 years,
you know, happened as a result of of a set

00:53:50.080 --> 00:53:53.517
of policy issues, uh, a set of policy
decisions, like a set of explicit

00:53:53.600 --> 00:53:55.757
decisions that were made, and we could
we could we could spend a long time

00:53:55.840 --> 00:53:58.557
talking about, you know, those decisions,
but that, you know, it was it

00:53:58.640 --> 00:54:01.757
was it was a real set of decisions. Um,
there are a set of policy decisions that

00:54:01.840 --> 00:54:04.237
have to be made and and and are currently,
you know, some of them are in

00:54:04.320 --> 00:54:07.997
the works now. Um, you know, to kind
of uh to kind of reverse that. But, you

00:54:08.080 --> 00:54:11.597
know, kind of to your point, actually,
I'll I'll quote Heracitus. uh a man

00:54:11.680 --> 00:54:14.477
cannot uh step into the same river twice

00:54:14.560 --> 00:54:16.397
uh because it is not the same river and

00:54:16.480 --> 00:54:20.237
he is not the same man. Um right so

00:54:20.320 --> 00:54:23.757
what's not like even if you completely
cleaned up all the regulatory stuff and

00:54:23.840 --> 00:54:26.957
legal stuff which I think we should um
and you you you sort of corrected the

00:54:27.040 --> 00:54:30.157
incentives that drove everything out I
think what you're just not going to get

00:54:30.240 --> 00:54:32.317
practically is you're just you're not
going to get the old factories back and

00:54:32.400 --> 00:54:35.197
you're not getting the old jobs back
in the in the way that they were 40 years

00:54:35.280 --> 00:54:38.637
ago when they were lost. Um and the
reason you're not going to get that is

00:54:38.720 --> 00:54:40.877
it's actually several reasons.
one is that the nature of the products

00:54:40.960 --> 00:54:45.677
themselves have changed and I'll talk
about that a little bit. Um uh and by

00:54:45.760 --> 00:54:47.997
the way to the good that you know the
the things that are getting manufactured

00:54:48.080 --> 00:54:51.437
in the in in in the in the future
decades are much more complex and

00:54:51.520 --> 00:54:54.637
sophisticated and technologically you
know kind of infused and powered than

00:54:54.720 --> 00:54:57.997
than the things that that used to get
manufactured. So the products themselves

00:54:58.080 --> 00:55:01.197
have changed. Um the the methods
of manufacturing have changed. So there's

00:55:01.280 --> 00:55:04.637
you know a lot more a lot more robotics
and automation now than there was 30 or

00:55:04.720 --> 00:55:08.237
40 years ago. And then the jobs
themselves have changed. Um, and you

00:55:08.320 --> 00:55:10.957
know, look, if you go into like
a manufacturing plant in China and

00:55:11.040 --> 00:55:13.677
they're, you know, assembling phones or
whatever, like you're building bicycles,

00:55:13.760 --> 00:55:16.237
like you are going to see a lot
of people, you know, standing at an

00:55:16.320 --> 00:55:19.437
assembly line doing the same thing over
and over again for 10 hours. Um, and

00:55:19.520 --> 00:55:22.237
there was a component of that to the,
you know, manufacturing jobs that were

00:55:22.320 --> 00:55:23.837
lost, you know, 40 years ago in the US.

00:55:23.920 --> 00:55:28.237
But like, you're probably not going to get
the bicycle manufacturing plant back

00:55:28.320 --> 00:55:31.197
that's going to build bicycles the way
they existed 40 years ago, where the

00:55:31.280 --> 00:55:33.437
plant's going to work the same way it
were 40 years ago, and where the jobs

00:55:33.520 --> 00:55:36.557
are going to be the same as they were 40
years ago. And it's just like it's just

00:55:36.640 --> 00:55:40.237
like the the the level, you know,
it's one is it just is cheaper to do that

00:55:40.320 --> 00:55:43.757
overseas and then like that that's just
that that that's the backward-look view

00:55:43.840 --> 00:55:46.477
like that that's just that's not
necessarily the thing you want you want

00:55:46.560 --> 00:55:51.117
to get. What you would like in contrast,
right, would be something much better.

00:55:51.200 --> 00:55:53.437
And the better thing, let's just
take bicycles as an example. What you

00:55:53.520 --> 00:55:56.317
actually want is you you want to be
making electric bikes. You you want to

00:55:56.400 --> 00:55:59.677
be making ebikes, right, which are
much more sophisticated, right? physical

00:55:59.760 --> 00:56:02.717
artifacts that involve, you know,
batteries and computers and chips and,

00:56:02.800 --> 00:56:04.797
you know, you might want to have
all kinds of, you know, advanced

00:56:04.880 --> 00:56:08.637
capabilities in the bike just like
people have now in cars and motorcycles.

00:56:08.720 --> 00:56:12.157
Um, and and then um, you know, maybe,
by the way, maybe a bike that balances

00:56:12.240 --> 00:56:15.917
itself, right? Like, you know, things
like that, right? Um, so like a new kind

00:56:16.000 --> 00:56:19.277
of product that's much like
more sophisticated um, built in a

00:56:19.360 --> 00:56:22.317
manufacturing plant that is more
sophisticated, right? and has a much you

00:56:22.400 --> 00:56:25.997
know greater degree of automation where
you don't have human beings standing in

00:56:26.080 --> 00:56:29.997
line you know turning a you know turning
the same sphere every time for 10 hours

00:56:30.080 --> 00:56:33.197
but where what you have is a large
number of jobs that are kind of call

00:56:33.280 --> 00:56:36.557
them blue collar plus jobs and then and
then also you know white collar jobs and

00:56:36.640 --> 00:56:40.477
all the associated service jobs around
those um that are that are building and

00:56:40.560 --> 00:56:44.317
maintaining that new kind of plant
to build that new kind of thing um and and

00:56:44.400 --> 00:56:48.397
I think those job and by the way you
can see this if you visit a Tesla fac you

00:56:48.480 --> 00:56:51.757
know you go visit a Tesla factory today
you know you see this in action like you

00:56:51.840 --> 00:56:54.397
know this is how the world's leading
manufacturers actually actually do this

00:56:54.480 --> 00:56:58.637
like this is actually happening and so
I think what you can do is you can leap

00:56:58.720 --> 00:57:01.037
forward on the nature of the product
you're building you can leap forward on

00:57:01.120 --> 00:57:03.357
the nature of the plant that you're
building and you can you can leap

00:57:03.440 --> 00:57:07.117
forward and actually create much better
jobs right higher paying jobs higher

00:57:07.200 --> 00:57:10.637
skilled jobs that are frankly a lot more
pleasant that are a lot more interesting

00:57:10.720 --> 00:57:14.557
and so I I think you want to have like
the futuristic outlook on this and and

00:57:14.640 --> 00:57:17.197
then if you pair that with the regulatory
reforms and you know you you

00:57:17.280 --> 00:57:19.997
solve all the issues around energy
prices and natural resources and

00:57:20.080 --> 00:57:21.437
everything else that need to solved.

00:57:21.520 --> 00:57:26.637
Like I think that's the formula. Um and
by the way, if we don't do that, all of

00:57:26.720 --> 00:57:30.077
those things are going to get made
in China, which does mean over time, not

00:57:30.160 --> 00:57:33.117
just phones being made in China and not
just drones being made in China, but

00:57:33.200 --> 00:57:38.237
also cars. Um and also, um uh uh and also
robots. Um you know, you know, the

00:57:38.320 --> 00:57:40.397
great industry of the future that we
could spend a long time talking about is

00:57:40.480 --> 00:57:43.997
going to be is going to be robots, right?
AI and mechanical form u which is

00:57:44.080 --> 00:57:46.477
going to be, you know, I think the biggest
industry that's ever been built.

00:57:46.560 --> 00:57:49.837
And you know, right now, by default,
China's set up to do that. You know,

00:57:49.920 --> 00:57:52.877
like what an amazing story it would be
for America in the 21st century, which

00:57:52.960 --> 00:57:56.077
is we re-industrialize not to build
the products of the past, but to build the

00:57:56.160 --> 00:57:59.517
products of the future.
And I and I think that's the opportunity.

00:57:59.600 --> 00:58:02.397
>> Let's go deeper there. Uh I want to ask
you the same question I asked Katherine

00:58:02.480 --> 00:58:05.757
about our unique strengths relative
to to their unique strengths because I I

00:58:05.840 --> 00:58:08.557
heard you say this framing in another
conversation which I really liked, which

00:58:08.640 --> 00:58:12.637
is, you know, are we going to win by being
more like us or or more like them?

00:58:12.720 --> 00:58:15.197
So why don't you uh flush
that out a little bit, Mark?

00:58:15.280 --> 00:58:17.757
>> Yeah. So we actually had this fight,
this fight actually happened during the

00:58:17.840 --> 00:58:20.637
during the first cold war with the
Soviet Union. Um, and there was just

00:58:20.720 --> 00:58:23.997
this raging debate that started in the,
you know, 1920s, but like was fully

00:58:24.080 --> 00:58:26.797
raging in the ' 50s, '60s, '7s,
including when I was growing up, which

00:58:26.880 --> 00:58:31.437
is, you know, basically, you know,
democracy or dictatorship. Um, and then,

00:58:31.520 --> 00:58:33.517
uh, uh, free markets or, uh, you know,

00:58:33.600 --> 00:58:39.117
state directed capitalism. Um, you know,
or sort of state directed production. Um

00:58:39.200 --> 00:58:41.757
and and you know this was a very real
debate and and one of the sort of little

00:58:41.840 --> 00:58:44.797
fun facts of how kind of screwy
everything got in the 20th century was

00:58:44.880 --> 00:58:48.237
America common American undergraduate
textbooks economics textbooks in the

00:58:48.320 --> 00:58:52.717
1980s would stated as fact that communism
was a superior economic system

00:58:52.800 --> 00:58:55.837
to capitalism and they they would have
these charts of projected growth rates

00:58:55.920 --> 00:58:58.957
and they would show that it's purely
inevitable uh that communism was going

00:58:59.040 --> 00:59:01.837
to outperform capitalism because it
was a better organized system right it had

00:59:01.920 --> 00:59:05.197
it had top- down controls it didn't
have all this messy inefficiency of of of

00:59:05.280 --> 00:59:09.277
free market capitalism um and So you
know they you a lot of sort of economic

00:59:09.360 --> 00:59:12.237
experts in the US including ones with
like big newspaper columns and like big

00:59:12.320 --> 00:59:16.157
media footprints you know were
basically selling the siren song of of of

00:59:16.240 --> 00:59:19.597
communism all all the way through
the late 80 all through the late ' 80s and

00:59:19.680 --> 00:59:22.157
and and the reason I say that is like
that that that debate was actually

00:59:22.240 --> 00:59:25.437
happening all through that period which
is right are are you better off having a

00:59:25.520 --> 00:59:29.197
Soviet style system where the state
directs production and if the state

00:59:29.280 --> 00:59:32.957
decides that you need to build tanks
or planes or cars or anything else like

00:59:33.040 --> 00:59:35.037
they're going to directly that's going
to happen it's going to happen with

00:59:35.120 --> 00:59:37.037
maximum sort of centralized efficiency.

00:59:37.120 --> 00:59:39.757
it's going to happen with like
the entirety of natur you know the natural

00:59:39.840 --> 00:59:43.197
resources lined up against it like
everything orchestrated you know in the

00:59:43.280 --> 00:59:46.957
right way to be able to maximize
production um or are you going to have

00:59:47.040 --> 00:59:51.117
the American system which you know has
aspects of you know communism here and

00:59:51.200 --> 00:59:54.957
there u you know but it's much more you
know the pro argument much more dynamic

00:59:55.040 --> 00:59:58.077
much more flexible um so are you going
to have in the American system are you

00:59:58.160 --> 01:00:00.637
going to have a higher degree of sort
of independent action on the part of

01:00:00.720 --> 01:00:03.917
individual capitalists indep you
know independent companies independent

01:00:04.000 --> 01:00:07.117
technologists are you going to be
inventing a much broader range of new

01:00:07.200 --> 01:00:09.437
technologies. Are you going to be
deploying those technologies in much

01:00:09.520 --> 01:00:12.477
more creative ways? Um or you know,
are you going to be just like much much

01:00:12.560 --> 01:00:15.117
faster on the innovation curve because
you've unleashed the the sort of

01:00:15.200 --> 01:00:18.237
inherent creativity of all your people
rather than just like ordering them to

01:00:18.320 --> 01:00:22.397
all stand in the line together. Um and
then you know the capitalist approach is

01:00:22.480 --> 01:00:25.197
messy, right? And you know it has
boom bus cycles and it you know it has

01:00:25.280 --> 01:00:27.917
companies go out of business and there's
like you know sometimes there's too much

01:00:28.000 --> 01:00:31.277
competition and you know profits go
to zero and like you know you get into all

01:00:31.360 --> 01:00:35.197
these kind of crazy crazy things but you
have you have dynamism on your side,

01:00:35.280 --> 01:00:38.157
right? you you you've got you got
you got you got freedom, exploration,

01:00:38.240 --> 01:00:41.277
creativity, innovation, uh uh free

01:00:41.360 --> 01:00:46.157
market competition um and and dynamism
on your side. Um I think that question

01:00:46.240 --> 01:00:48.077
was asked and answered in the 20th

01:00:48.160 --> 01:00:51.037
century quite definitively. um you know

01:00:51.120 --> 01:00:54.557
it is back today. um you know the new

01:00:54.640 --> 01:00:58.317
you know the upcoming new mayor of you
know of uh New York City uh you know is

01:00:58.400 --> 01:01:01.837
proposing government run grocery stores
right because there you know like it's

01:01:01.920 --> 01:01:05.757
the exact same argument is back and and
there are you know people in you know

01:01:05.840 --> 01:01:08.477
you know people in positions of great
power uh you know who still want to have

01:01:08.560 --> 01:01:12.477
this argument u I think it's long
settled it does seem to be back um it is

01:01:12.560 --> 01:01:14.957
coming back and I think it's
fundamentally the same thing and by the

01:01:15.040 --> 01:01:18.157
way like it's not that the centralized
approach doesn't have certain advantages

01:01:18.240 --> 01:01:21.197
like if you want to pump out you know
20 million tanks or something or if you

01:01:21.280 --> 01:01:24.557
want to pump out you know a billion
phones There is something to a top down

01:01:24.640 --> 01:01:27.997
centralized approach, right? I mean, you
know, every company within itself is it

01:01:28.080 --> 01:01:30.397
is it, you know, is a form of a
dictatorship that does that. And so,

01:01:30.480 --> 01:01:33.597
like, you know, there is some advantage,
you know, to China at being able to kind

01:01:33.680 --> 01:01:34.957
of direct all the national resources.

01:01:35.040 --> 01:01:38.557
And and there is something frustrating
being on the American side where like in

01:01:38.640 --> 01:01:41.117
theory, you all share the same mission,
but in practice, you're too busy beating

01:01:41.200 --> 01:01:44.877
each other's brains out, you know, to,
you know, to to ever get to the get to

01:01:44.960 --> 01:01:48.237
the um, you know, in competition, ever
get to the shared purpose. Having said

01:01:48.320 --> 01:01:52.477
that, like I I think we won Cold War I
by doing it our way. I think we win cold

01:01:52.560 --> 01:01:56.397
war by doing it our way. Um, every time
somebody stands up and says we need to

01:01:56.480 --> 01:01:59.757
get to be more like China, I always ask
the counter question, you know, where we

01:01:59.840 --> 01:02:03.357
need like more state control, you know,
more top down, more direction, uh, more

01:02:03.440 --> 01:02:05.997
planning and all these things, you know,
I always just ask the opposite question,

01:02:06.080 --> 01:02:08.877
which is, well, no, actually, like what
if we take the opposite approach? What

01:02:08.960 --> 01:02:12.477
if we become more like us, right?
And and and what if what if we lean even

01:02:12.560 --> 01:02:15.597
harder into innovation and even harder
into creativity and even harder into

01:02:15.680 --> 01:02:18.557
entrepreneurship? And isn't there so
much more that we could do if we if we

01:02:18.640 --> 01:02:21.517
if we got to be more like us? And
obviously I think that's what we should

01:02:21.600 --> 01:02:24.077
be doing. It is interesting that
that that debate is back though.

01:02:24.160 --> 01:02:27.277
>> Mark sort of defined the the Chinese
system, but he also sort of defined one

01:02:27.360 --> 01:02:31.757
of the major problems with procurement
which is that the the Department of War

01:02:31.840 --> 01:02:35.997
makes its decisions about what weapons
it's going to buy on fiveyear cycles,

01:02:36.080 --> 01:02:39.757
10-year production cycles, right?
And it's very difficult to to correct the

01:02:39.840 --> 01:02:43.117
ship because of the way that we've
structured our procurement process going

01:02:43.200 --> 01:02:47.117
back to going back to the 60s and the 70s.
So I think there is something about

01:02:47.200 --> 01:02:50.797
the you know if you look at the last
25 years the second American century has

01:02:50.880 --> 01:02:55.357
been a story of American dynamism
innovation creativity and how on a

01:02:55.440 --> 01:02:59.037
global stage that has actually led us
from three companies in the top 10 to

01:02:59.120 --> 01:03:01.997
nine companies in the top 10 that are
tech companies but the department of

01:03:02.080 --> 01:03:05.517
defense really hasn't benefited from that.
It's the exact same companies that

01:03:05.600 --> 01:03:09.677
were that were founded in some
founded in world just after World War I

01:03:09.760 --> 01:03:13.837
solidified their dominance in World
War II and then you know mergers in the

01:03:13.920 --> 01:03:17.357
1990s post the Cold War with this view
that we're post war we don't actually

01:03:17.440 --> 01:03:19.197
have to worry about things anymore. So

01:03:19.280 --> 01:03:21.597
there really is sort of I think a Soviet

01:03:21.680 --> 01:03:26.317
style uh procurement system that's still
at work inside of the Department of War

01:03:26.400 --> 01:03:28.877
and there's many good people
in Washington trying to change that to

01:03:28.960 --> 01:03:31.837
allow for this American dynamism
to actually flow into the places that it

01:03:31.920 --> 01:03:35.037
needs to exist. So it's actually just
a historical tweak which is if you I don't

01:03:35.120 --> 01:03:37.197
know about DoD but if you work with big
companies a lot you know one of the

01:03:37.280 --> 01:03:39.917
things you see is they have they they
often have fiveyear plans they have five

01:03:40.000 --> 01:03:43.437
year planning cycles fiveyear strategies
and actually you know the creator of the

01:03:43.520 --> 01:03:47.597
concept of the five-year plan
was of course Joseph Stalin

01:03:47.680 --> 01:03:50.797
like it it was literally it
was literally the Soviet Union run as

01:03:50.880 --> 01:03:55.437
five-year plans and actually in in the
between the 20 1920s 1950s that idea

01:03:55.520 --> 01:03:58.237
actually mainstreamed itself into
Western society and into Western

01:03:58.320 --> 01:04:00.237
business and has stuck there ever since.

01:04:00.320 --> 01:04:03.197
Um, and and by the way, it routinely
doesn't work. Like it like routinely

01:04:03.280 --> 01:04:04.637
fails because the world is too dynamic.

01:04:04.720 --> 01:04:07.517
And, you know, that's that's not nearly
a fast enough, you know, iteration

01:04:07.600 --> 01:04:11.037
cycle. Um, and yet people still stick
to the five-year plan thing. And it's just

01:04:11.120 --> 01:04:13.517
it's like this it's like the, you know,
it's like Soviet communism out, you

01:04:13.600 --> 01:04:16.557
know, the hand coming out of the grave,
you know, kind of still strangling our

01:04:16.640 --> 01:04:19.197
ability to actually, you know, advance
and be able to, you know, get get our

01:04:19.280 --> 01:04:23.757
jobs done. Um, yeah. And and look, like
just to double underline what Katherine

01:04:23.840 --> 01:04:27.197
said, right, the battlefield itself
is changing, right? Um and so one of the

01:04:27.280 --> 01:04:30.557
things that you see for example in the
in the Russia Ukraine conflict is an

01:04:30.640 --> 01:04:33.197
incredibly high rate of iteration
the battlefield techniques and use of

01:04:33.280 --> 01:04:35.997
technology on the battlefield you
know I mean I don't know whe they have

01:04:36.080 --> 01:04:39.917
Katherine a 5day plan or something you
know in the Ukrainian military in terms

01:04:40.000 --> 01:04:43.277
of how fast they adopt new technology
and adapt what they have um and and

01:04:43.360 --> 01:04:45.117
that's what they need to be able
to fight and if they didn't have that

01:04:45.200 --> 01:04:48.637
approach you know they would have lost
a long time ago um and and and by the way

01:04:48.720 --> 01:04:52.077
the Russians are you know are trying
to match them on that um and so you know

01:04:52.160 --> 01:04:56.957
the the the old model of World War II
era you know just simply mass um you

01:04:57.040 --> 01:05:00.877
know mass machinery and mass men to win
wars like those days are long over. Um

01:05:00.960 --> 01:05:03.517
you know even even when you have like
this very kind of contentious you know

01:05:03.600 --> 01:05:06.157
even the modern version of trench
warfare still you still have this very

01:05:06.240 --> 01:05:10.797
rapid iterative cycle time um and and if
and again this should play greatly to

01:05:10.880 --> 01:05:13.917
America's benefit if we unleash
our strength which is if we take our

01:05:14.000 --> 01:05:17.677
strength of flexibility innovation
creativity dynamism uh and apply that

01:05:17.760 --> 01:05:20.237
into the battlefield of the future
like we we really ought to win if we're

01:05:20.320 --> 01:05:24.877
really able to do that. Yeah, I I I
would just add to Mark's thinking um

01:05:24.960 --> 01:05:26.717
that

01:05:26.800 --> 01:05:29.837
going the other direction for the US is

01:05:29.920 --> 01:05:33.357
literally fighting our everything about

01:05:33.440 --> 01:05:37.837
our culture, everything about our history,
everything about our system.

01:05:37.920 --> 01:05:40.157
And the fact that it has appeal is like

01:05:40.240 --> 01:05:43.037
I think like a weird psychological

01:05:43.120 --> 01:05:47.917
defect that some people have where
they're just they just always want

01:05:48.000 --> 01:05:51.757
central control. Um and they always
think it's better. And this is, you

01:05:51.840 --> 01:05:56.157
know, the a great investing strategy is
to if you see a company with a five-year

01:05:56.240 --> 01:05:58.557
plan, short it. Um, and it works every

01:05:58.640 --> 01:06:02.957
time. And yet they still do it. And I it

01:06:03.040 --> 01:06:06.637
just comes it really has no basis in

01:06:06.720 --> 01:06:10.797
anything. We saw this actually weirdly
in networking. You know, Mark and David

01:06:10.880 --> 01:06:12.477
and I all come from the networking field

01:06:12.560 --> 01:06:15.837
and when uh decentralized networks and

01:06:15.920 --> 01:06:17.837
packet switching came, you know, people

01:06:17.920 --> 01:06:20.957
fought it to the death. uh even after

01:06:21.040 --> 01:06:23.437
Len Kleinrock like mathematically proved

01:06:23.520 --> 01:06:28.077
it worked like people would still say it
would never work uh because you couldn't

01:06:28.160 --> 01:06:32.317
control it and this and that and the third
and you know of course history has

01:06:32.400 --> 01:06:37.357
has proven them all wrong but you know
it's not logical it is just like some

01:06:37.440 --> 01:06:39.117
kind of brain defect that they have in

01:06:39.200 --> 01:06:42.157
their psychology where they can't even

01:06:42.240 --> 01:06:46.397
you know visualize the fact
that a system could work well that's

01:06:46.480 --> 01:06:49.917
decentralized. Well,
I think we we see this over and

01:06:50.000 --> 01:06:53.597
over again. I mean, I I even think about,
you know, there was like uh I'm

01:06:53.680 --> 01:06:56.717
curious what Mark thinks, but like when
I think about Project Warp Speed, to me,

01:06:56.800 --> 01:07:00.477
that was like promoting capitalism
at its best. We said like, you know, any

01:07:00.560 --> 01:07:03.517
company that creates a vaccine like like
we will distribute it, the government

01:07:03.600 --> 01:07:06.877
will distribute it. And then so it's not
that there's no role for government, but

01:07:06.960 --> 01:07:10.317
they really step stepped aside and let
the private companies come up with a

01:07:10.400 --> 01:07:13.757
vaccine, which happened much faster.
And we had, you know, depending on how you

01:07:13.840 --> 01:07:17.197
count, we had three working vaccines
in a record-breaking time. I mean if you

01:07:17.280 --> 01:07:20.477
look at what China did they they did
not have that and they were unsuccessful

01:07:20.560 --> 01:07:24.477
because they weren't able to lean
on creativity and ingenuity. I think when

01:07:24.560 --> 01:07:28.397
we look at defense you know some
of the defense reforms that we want to see

01:07:28.480 --> 01:07:32.397
happen are things that actually push
more toward entrepreneurship not on past

01:07:32.480 --> 01:07:36.237
performance but like what can you do
for me today? What can you deliver today?

01:07:36.320 --> 01:07:40.477
Can we can we put out the demand signals
and then have you actually deliver it

01:07:40.560 --> 01:07:44.717
against against those? Not look at what
you did 10 years ago, 20 years ago. you

01:07:44.800 --> 01:07:49.277
know, the idea that there the government
currently puts out RSPs that that have a

01:07:49.360 --> 01:07:52.957
criteria of what have you delivered
in the past, no matter if it was over

01:07:53.040 --> 01:07:57.037
budget um or over time, but just what
what have you done in the past doesn't

01:07:57.120 --> 01:08:01.437
uh doesn't lend toward leaning towards
startups and uh so some of the changes

01:08:01.520 --> 01:08:04.637
we're pushing for I think will benefit
all companies and certainly will benefit

01:08:04.720 --> 01:08:08.317
America and actually lean more
toward that idea of entrepreneurship

01:08:08.400 --> 01:08:10.237
um and and to what we're best at.

01:08:10.320 --> 01:08:14.717
>> Yeah. And an even uh kind of better
or an equally good example of that is you

01:08:14.800 --> 01:08:16.637
know the whole chip industry in the US

01:08:16.720 --> 01:08:19.757
kind of came out of uh the uh the the

01:08:19.840 --> 01:08:23.197
the the race to get to the moon. Um

01:08:23.280 --> 01:08:25.037
where the US government specified look

01:08:25.120 --> 01:08:27.517
if you build a a chip with these

01:08:27.600 --> 01:08:30.717
characteristics we'll buy it. Um and so

01:08:30.800 --> 01:08:34.717
the government is can set rules can
create incentives can do a lot of good

01:08:34.800 --> 01:08:37.037
things. Um but centrally controlling

01:08:37.120 --> 01:08:39.997
everything uh tends not to work so well

01:08:40.080 --> 01:08:44.397
at least for us.
>> So segueing more more concretely into

01:08:44.480 --> 01:08:48.637
some American dynamism investment thesis.
Um do you why don't you share a

01:08:48.720 --> 01:08:51.517
couple of the areas we're particularly
excited about or opportunities we're

01:08:51.600 --> 01:08:54.237
looking at. >> Yeah,
I'll I'll start and then maybe

01:08:54.320 --> 01:08:58.717
Katherine can jump in. Um I think energy
is a great one. We you know you can sort

01:08:58.800 --> 01:09:02.717
of zoom in at any level you want. at a
macro level uh you know we've just seen

01:09:02.800 --> 01:09:06.317
throughout history when you pour energy
into a system you get just tremendous

01:09:06.400 --> 01:09:11.277
economic output economic growth um if
you look at where where we are today not

01:09:11.360 --> 01:09:16.077
even looking forward we have this
insatiable thirst for for energy um

01:09:16.160 --> 01:09:19.677
whether it's for AI compute or whether
it's for people switching to electric

01:09:19.760 --> 01:09:24.157
vehicles um or even moving to systems
that are just electrified I mean even

01:09:24.240 --> 01:09:27.917
the entire department of war has
multiple initiatives about moving toward

01:09:28.000 --> 01:09:30.477
electrification um and so that This has

01:09:30.560 --> 01:09:35.037
this this huge uh consequence
of creating opportunities for power

01:09:35.120 --> 01:09:38.877
generation, power transmission, power
storage. And the question is are there

01:09:38.960 --> 01:09:42.157
going to be opportunities that we think
are venture scale there? We think there

01:09:42.240 --> 01:09:44.317
are. We've invested in nuclear power

01:09:44.400 --> 01:09:49.437
companies, a company called Radiant
Nuclear. Um we've invested in uh Exolot.

01:09:49.520 --> 01:09:53.357
Uh we've looked at lots of battery
technology companies. Um, and we might

01:09:53.440 --> 01:09:55.837
just think there's great opportunities
here, but I mean, even just

01:09:55.920 --> 01:09:59.837
pragmatically, you know, we we have
three companies now that are on China's

01:09:59.920 --> 01:10:04.877
unreliable entities list, which
is an an amazingly named list, but they're

01:10:04.960 --> 01:10:08.077
they're forbidden now from buying
batteries from China. So, it's like if

01:10:08.160 --> 01:10:11.677
you care about the defense industrial
base, if you care about uh anything that

01:10:11.760 --> 01:10:14.957
requires a battery, even consumer
electronics, like you need to have

01:10:15.040 --> 01:10:18.877
battery capability in the United States
and or or amongst our allies, you need

01:10:18.960 --> 01:10:22.077
to have there's a whole bunch of things
you need. And uh so we just think

01:10:22.160 --> 01:10:26.397
there's exciting opportunities there
on on the energy side um in the same vein

01:10:26.480 --> 01:10:30.397
if you start if you continue to shift
left uh you look at critical minerals

01:10:30.480 --> 01:10:32.877
and whether it's magnets uh whether it's

01:10:32.960 --> 01:10:34.557
motors whether it's copper for

01:10:34.640 --> 01:10:38.317
manufacturing uh whether it's steel um

01:10:38.400 --> 01:10:39.997
there there's all the all these areas

01:10:40.080 --> 01:10:45.357
where you know software that are massive
massive economic um spend centers I mean

01:10:45.440 --> 01:10:46.797
trillions of trillions of dollars is

01:10:46.880 --> 01:10:50.557
spent in mining in construction uh in

01:10:50.640 --> 01:10:53.757
manufacturing uh where software has

01:10:53.840 --> 01:10:57.917
really not uh looked into these areas
like nobody's figured out can you really

01:10:58.000 --> 01:11:02.237
apply uh advanced algorithms to figure
out how to do mining better. Um and

01:11:02.320 --> 01:11:04.957
while that sounds like a quote that would
be like you know memeable of like

01:11:05.040 --> 01:11:08.557
why that sounds so stupid it's actually
not stupid. There's pressure, there's

01:11:08.640 --> 01:11:11.837
temperature, there's a lot of work
that goes into mining, not just in sight

01:11:11.920 --> 01:11:13.517
selection, but actually in the process.

01:11:13.600 --> 01:11:17.677
And these are areas where I think we
now see incredible talent shifting their

01:11:17.760 --> 01:11:21.437
their eyes toward these areas. And,
you know, we we just think it's a great

01:11:21.520 --> 01:11:23.757
opportunity and it will
ultimately be good for America.

01:11:23.840 --> 01:11:26.477
>> If we go back to sort of our early
investments, you know, again,

01:11:26.560 --> 01:11:30.477
investments like Ander and Shield AI
where we led the series A in 2016, we've

01:11:30.560 --> 01:11:34.957
been around this space for a very long
time. Um, but those early companies,

01:11:35.040 --> 01:11:38.957
they had no other choice but to be
what's known as the prime. They had to

01:11:39.040 --> 01:11:41.277
compete against the legacy incumbents.

01:11:41.360 --> 01:11:44.317
They had to try to get their own
contracts in working with the Department

01:11:44.400 --> 01:11:48.477
of War. And it was a uphill battle
for them as they were the first. But what

01:11:48.560 --> 01:11:51.757
we're seeing now from our our companies,
which you know, I I always refer to them

01:11:51.840 --> 01:11:56.717
as sort of defense 2.0 or the ones that
really started around 2021 2022. These

01:11:56.800 --> 01:12:00.317
companies are happy to work with the
existing legacy primes. I'd also say

01:12:00.400 --> 01:12:03.597
that a lot of the industrial base is is
kind of waking up and recognizing that

01:12:03.680 --> 01:12:06.877
they need to bring software. They
need to bring uh the best and brightest

01:12:06.960 --> 01:12:10.077
engineers from Silicon Valley into what
they're offering government and they're

01:12:10.160 --> 01:12:13.837
already on contracts. So, one of the
things that we've seen at least in in in

01:12:13.920 --> 01:12:15.517
the kind of second cohort that's come

01:12:15.600 --> 01:12:18.157
through American Dynamism Fund 1 is that

01:12:18.240 --> 01:12:21.357
these companies can grow so much faster

01:12:21.440 --> 01:12:26.077
and they have a much richer customer set
that they're supporting because of that.

01:12:26.160 --> 01:12:29.197
Um, so I think that's something that's
sometimes lost on people is just how how

01:12:29.280 --> 01:12:32.397
is it how is it possible that these
companies can can really be working with

01:12:32.480 --> 01:12:36.237
the government this quickly. One, it's
because you have a a government now that

01:12:36.320 --> 01:12:39.357
understands why they need to bring these
companies in from, you know, from from

01:12:39.440 --> 01:12:43.037
Silicon Valley or other places that
really understand nextgen engineering.

01:12:43.120 --> 01:12:46.797
But like the real reason is everyone's
sort of woken up to to the opportunity.

01:12:46.880 --> 01:12:49.917
Um, and there's a lot of partnerships
that are happening among the legacy and

01:12:50.000 --> 01:12:52.957
the new new players. And and they're
they're reaching, I would say,

01:12:53.040 --> 01:12:56.877
extraordinary heights much earlier
in their trajectory than than the previous

01:12:56.960 --> 01:13:02.077
generation of of space
and defense companies in 1.0.

01:13:02.160 --> 01:13:05.917
>> I'd also say a lot of these founders
are coming from some of these version 1.0

01:13:06.000 --> 01:13:10.397
companies. So, they've seen what success
looks like in these areas at least at

01:13:10.480 --> 01:13:13.597
some level. I mean, if you come out of
SpaceX and you were there for, you know,

01:13:13.680 --> 01:13:18.317
six, seven, eight years and you saw how
SpaceX got built, like you have a huge

01:13:18.400 --> 01:13:22.397
head start in starting the next
American Dynamism company.

01:13:22.480 --> 01:13:24.477
>> Yeah. To that you
mentioned some winners

01:13:24.560 --> 01:13:28.317
in in the portfolio and and you know,
others like Ceronics and Apex and Bass

01:13:28.400 --> 01:13:30.557
and Flock and and and and many others.

01:13:30.640 --> 01:13:34.397
Um, as as they've emerged, what can we
and maybe gearing towards closing here,

01:13:34.480 --> 01:13:38.477
what can you say about the founders and
the the types of founders that are that

01:13:38.560 --> 01:13:42.077
are building these companies? uh maybe
what's interesting about sort of them

01:13:42.160 --> 01:13:46.397
culturally or or philosophically
or or their backgrounds or or or what what

01:13:46.480 --> 01:13:49.037
they're understanding that may maybe
others don't don't fully appreciate.

01:13:49.120 --> 01:13:50.957
Katherine, what would you say?

01:13:51.040 --> 01:13:53.597
>> Well, I'd say you know what what's
what we've always pointed to is that these

01:13:53.680 --> 01:13:57.357
companies are built across America.
So Seronic is based in Austin, Flock is

01:13:57.440 --> 01:14:01.757
based in Atlanta. And if you look at the
the founders, it it's not your typical

01:14:01.840 --> 01:14:06.397
again to go back to the the Bob noise
uh Harvard dorm room comparison. It's not

01:14:06.480 --> 01:14:10.397
your typical, you know, software
engineer coming out of a college dorm.

01:14:10.480 --> 01:14:13.677
Like these are people, you know, the case
of of Dino at Seronic, you know, he

01:14:13.760 --> 01:14:18.557
served in the Navy Seals enlisted for 11
years before going back to to school and

01:14:18.640 --> 01:14:21.357
then and then founding companies and
learning private equity, right? So, it's

01:14:21.440 --> 01:14:25.917
there there's something about being um
entrenched in what the customer needs

01:14:26.000 --> 01:14:29.437
that I think is very specific
to American dynamism. A lot of the best

01:14:29.520 --> 01:14:32.797
founders, you know, they've either sold
to the government before they, you know,

01:14:32.880 --> 01:14:35.597
many of them have clearances before
they even start their company. They

01:14:35.680 --> 01:14:38.957
understand um how to how to how
to really speak the language of the

01:14:39.040 --> 01:14:41.757
customer, which I think is is very
important for this category. It's

01:14:41.840 --> 01:14:44.877
something that we always, you know,
really look for when we're investing in

01:14:44.960 --> 01:14:48.477
new companies is how deeply does
this founder understand the customer. And

01:14:48.560 --> 01:14:51.437
it's very hard to understand
the customer if you've never served, if

01:14:51.520 --> 01:14:55.037
you've never worked inside of government.
And so I'd say that's

01:14:55.120 --> 01:14:58.637
actually something we very much test for
across these categories is how deeply do

01:14:58.720 --> 01:15:00.797
you understand who you're selling to?

01:15:00.880 --> 01:15:04.397
>> May maybe just gearing forward, um,
you know, we've we've covered the the past

01:15:04.480 --> 01:15:06.237
and present of of American Dynamism.

01:15:06.320 --> 01:15:10.157
What can you tell us about what
what we're looking forward to?

01:15:10.240 --> 01:15:11.997
Yeah, I mean I think that we're in this

01:15:12.080 --> 01:15:17.677
exciting moment in time where both
the the need and the demand uh for new

01:15:17.760 --> 01:15:22.557
technologies whether it's in public
safety or or uh in in the department of

01:15:22.640 --> 01:15:25.917
war uh or anywhere else in the
government or just anywhere across the

01:15:26.000 --> 01:15:29.357
United States is greater than it's
ever been. We're also at this major

01:15:29.440 --> 01:15:32.877
transformation moment. You know,
Mark mentioned I think robotics is AI

01:15:32.960 --> 01:15:36.877
personified in physical form. Um I think
it's going to be extremely exciting. I

01:15:36.960 --> 01:15:40.477
think it's a lot closer than people think.
Um, you know, if you've been in

01:15:40.560 --> 01:15:44.237
San Francisco, got into a Whimo,
you already know that, um, autonomy and

01:15:44.320 --> 01:15:49.757
self-driving cars is absolutely uh going
to be like the way forward. Um, we we

01:15:49.840 --> 01:15:52.397
just see that there's we're just sort of,
you know, entering this incredible

01:15:52.480 --> 01:15:54.317
moment in time where new technology is

01:15:54.400 --> 01:15:56.957
meeting these very very legacy uh and

01:15:57.040 --> 01:16:00.237
old uh uh categories and and I'm very

01:16:00.320 --> 01:16:04.237
excited about where it's going. we see
more and more founders entering the area

01:16:04.320 --> 01:16:06.637
uh across all these different domains.

01:16:06.720 --> 01:16:10.077
Um and you know for us to me it's just

01:16:10.160 --> 01:16:14.957
like this this we're just in the early
innings of America sort of on a major uh

01:16:15.040 --> 01:16:18.717
comeback when it comes to introducing
new technology into these key areas. I

01:16:18.800 --> 01:16:21.517
think it's pretty exciting.
>> That's uh sounds like a great place to

01:16:21.600 --> 01:16:22.797
wrap. This is a great conversation on

01:16:22.880 --> 01:16:28.760
the history and philosophy and the past,
present, future of American dynamism.
