WEBVTT

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All right, everybody. We're thrilled to

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have the one, the only Tata Nadella

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here, the third CEO of Microsoft for a

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uh impromptu fireside chat with David

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Saxs, Arzar of AI and crypto. Satia

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third, CEO of Microsoft, born in India.

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What an incredible story. came here

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right after college and uh you had a

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little round trip to pick up your wife

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in your book to to bring her here. Tell

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everybody briefly uh how that occurred.

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>> Well um uh you know so that's that's a

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great story of uh the uh the labyrinth

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that is the immigration policies of the

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United States I think. Um I my wife and

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I went to college together in India. I

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came here for grad school. we then got

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married. Uh I got my green card um and

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she couldn't come join because we got

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married. So the story goes basically I

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had to give up my green card. So
the funny thing is I went to the American

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embassy in Delhi >> and I said
where's the line to give up

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my green card and they said
there is no such line. Um

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>> that would be a crazy thing to do in
the '9s. So it was a strange thing to give

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up your green card, get an H1 so that
she could join, but it all worked out.

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So um you know it's a long lost memory

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but it was you know a way to work around

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it. Um I wanted to ask you uh having

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launched a co-pilot first with GitHub

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then having a co-pilot on the desktop.

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You made a very bold move for Microsoft
to put that in the Windows product,

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which I use every day, on the desktop,
but you did that before it really could

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recognize the file system and interact
with applications. Got a little bit of a

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lukewarm reception, but now you've been
doubling down, doubling down, and there

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seems to be, in my estimation, three

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modalities for knowledge workers.

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Elon's building at XAI,

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what they're calling a human emulator,
if you saw that leak this week. Yeah.

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uh where they're just building employees
and just putting them into their chat

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rooms and email. Then you have Claude
came out with co-work this week.

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Incredibly powerful. People are kind
of losing their minds over it. I've been

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playing with it for the last 40 hours.

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Truly impressive.
What's your vision for Microsoft and how

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knowledge workers will actually put this
to use because there seems to be a gap

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between you know playing around
with chatbt and getting some interesting

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results and getting business results.

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>> Yeah. So I think it one of the most um

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perhaps illustrative examples um of

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trying to understand these various form
factors is looking at coding which is

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obviously a form of knowledge work or uh

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probably the best example of knowledge
work and if you think about the journey

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coding has been it started with u

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essentially uh uh the next edit suggest

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right that was the first time in fact my

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own belief in this entire uh generation

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of tech really sort of got formulated
where I started seeing I think it was G

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you know there's a codeex model back in

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the day it was preGPT35

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uh that's when next edits started

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working with some real accuracy then we

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went to chat then we went to actions and

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now to full autonomous agents and then

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the autonomous agents can be both

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foreground background in the cloud
or local right so that's all the form

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factors that exist today when you're
coding and interestingly If you look at

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it, you use all of them, right? It's
not like there's only one form factor. So

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that's I think probably one of the other
lessons. So for example, when I'm in a

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CLI, I can you go a foreground agent,

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background agent, and then just
literally go edit in VS Code, right?

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There all happening in parallel. Right?

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So that sort of shows how these form

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factors even composed. So then you bring

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that to knowledge work to your point. We

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started with chat. chat with reasoning

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sort of goes beyond just request

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response because you now have that chain

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of thought uh where you can see it work

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now they're actions right essentially

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either through computer use or through

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uh AP you know basically skills uh and

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agent calls so you can do actions so

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that's kind of the state of the copilot

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today now there is a way to think about

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you know the the theory of the mind
evolution Right? Because you need like

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if you remember you know Jobs had
the best line I would say for PCs or

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computers was to say if you it's a

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bicycle for the mind. Bill had a line
which I liked as well which was it's

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information at your fingertips. We kind

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of need now a new concept metaphor for
how we use computers in the AI age. And

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you have one >> and the one
I like actually came from

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the CEO of notion which I you know
that manager of >> incredible product.

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>> Yeah. You haven't
bought it yet? I'm not

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not that uh but the it's both management

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of you know basically a manager
of infinite minds. That's a

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nice way to think about it right when
you sort of really look at all the

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agents that you are working with you
kind of need to understand what I in

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fact the other term I
like is we macrodellegate

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and micro steer in fact you kind of need

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that in in in coding you kind of have it
right. So you do a macro delegation and

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then I can in parallel give it
instructions while it is doing work. So

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that's sort of the state even today
of co-pilot or what have you. you bring up

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a little bit of what one of one of the
form factors I'm very excited about and

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you'll see us even in the next week even

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uh do things is while I'm sitting in

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GitHub copilot what it's
not as if software developers

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sit in isolation right it's not like the

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only thing I work on is my repo I attend

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meetings um I write specs or others have

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written specs that I'm implementing uh I

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need to have my repo be consistent with

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that so that means using either a

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straightforward MCP server or a skill I

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want to be able to call into my work IQ

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which is the co-pilot bring that in

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that's the type of composition uh of
knowledge work that'll happen same thing

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with security say you're a security
professional you have lots of logs uh

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how do you sort of really analyze them
you drop them into a file system then

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write code on top of it create
a dashboard what have you those are the

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types of knowledge work that we can
enable there I think you bring up One

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more thing which is can you create
quote unquote digital employees, digital

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co-workers or what have you and it's all
about credentials right so the I today

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you could like you can literally assign
>> are you working on that as well

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>> yeah so in fact we introduced something
called agent 365 as a way to give

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identities in fact extending
the identities we have for humans today uh

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and the endpoint protection we have
for their compute devices to agents so

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>> so you might clone me working in the HR
department or working in the marketing

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department and have a virtual correct
>> version of me inside of office.

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>> That's correct. So, so there are
two sort of modalities there. One is you

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give every knowledge worker infinite

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minds. That's kind of one and then you

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create even infinite minds independent
of the your identity because the

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identity is one of the key things you
got to get right even for it to work

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right. So permissions
>> and decision making

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>> permissions decision
making and like one

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of the key in things is who did what to
whom is sort of the most important query

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in an organization right at the end
of the day the organization needs to

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understand what work got done h and

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what's the provenence of that work uh
and how do you trace it back right so

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therefore you kind of want either what

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if it's a human with a lot of agents

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then it's really macro delegation micro

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steering by the human whose identity
was passed on. So it's delegation versus a

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separate identity >>
and that was done by a level of

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management, product management
that you've eliminated, that Alphabets

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eliminated. Meta has started
to eliminate in their organization four

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years ago. You had the same number of

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employees you have at Microsoft now, but

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you put a $90 billion onto the top line

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of the revenue in that time and you

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doubled your income during that time. So

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how did that happen? Is that automation
of those jobs? Is it you were a little

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bit overstaffed? >> Unpack.
>> I think it's it's actually you're

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pulling on a very interesting thread
which is at some level what's the big

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structural change that needs to happen?

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In fact, I would say this is probably

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the biggest change in knowledge work
since PCs. I mean I always you know

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think about like how did work happen
precise right? I mean think about a

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multinational company like ours trying

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to do a forecast. uh right faxes went

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around, inter office memos got sent and

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then you kind of created a you know uh
a forecast then suddenly you know PCs

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became standard issue uh you put
an Excel spreadsheet put some numbers sent

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it in email everybody entered numbers
and you had a forecast so the work the

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work artifact and the workflow all

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changed that's what's happening so for

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example I'll give you uh at LinkedIn

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uh we used to have product managers we

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had designers uh we had front-end
engineers and then we had CIS backend

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engineers and so on. So what we did
is we sort of took those first four roles

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and combined them in fact increased

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scope and said let's they're all full

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stack builders. So I like that because

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that's a structural change that allows

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for us to increase the change both the

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work and the workflow between these
functions and I would assume the

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velocity because you don't have four
people communicating and that throughput

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of ideas it's just one person and vibe
coding. Exactly. And there's a new

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workflow. So what at the same time
as you can imagine if to build an AI

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product today, there's a complete new

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workflow, right? It starts with eval

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right. So basically there's this eval to

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science to infrastructure. And so eval

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are done by these full stack builders
and what have you and product managers

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in the new form. The infrastructure
is built by the systems engineers at the

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back end because they support the science
that supports the product. So in

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some sense there's a new loop uh and you

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have to structurally change and so a lot

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of what is happening inside a tech is

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that change uh which is I think going
to be pretty massive uh and at the same

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time a company like ours I have to do
everything it's not like I can just so

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go live in the future I have to make
sure we're doing a fantastic job of

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doing hot patching on Windows is done
with quality uh while at the same time

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building the evals that are improving
co-pilot quality right and so both of

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those have to be first class.
>> I assume this is the most challenging

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moment of your career because Microsoft

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was so dominant duopoly in some spaces.

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Um, but you really weren't up against

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the competition level. You're up against
now. I was talking to Elon, you know,

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and he was sort of saying, well,
building cars was pretty easy, uh,

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because I was up against the legacy
car makers. And now I'm up against

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just look at the set you're up against.

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Yeah, it's it's a pretty intense time. I

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mean, so the way I I I always think is

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it's always helpful uh when you have a

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complete new set of competitors every
decade because that keeps you fit. Uh if

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you think about it, I joined uh

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Microsoft in ' 92 when I had Noel as the

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big existential competitor we had. Um

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and here we are in 2026. Uh and you're

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absolutely right. It's a pretty intense
time. I'm glad there's the competition.

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uh it's it's quite honestly at the end
of the day when I look at it right as a

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percentage of GDP 5 years from now where

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will tech be right uh it will be higher

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so we're blessed to be in this industry

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it's lot of intense competition but it's
not so zero sum as some people make it out

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>> it's getting much bigger >> much
the TAM and the you know just the

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impact of this tech is going to be so
massive um the question then of course

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is what is like I I always go back
to what's the brand identity Microsoft has

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brand permission. We have what do

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customers expect from us. It's sometimes

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we kind of overthink somehow that every

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customer wants the same thing from all
of the competitors and finding that out.

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Right. It's kind of a different take
on the Peter Theal thing which is you got

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to avoid competition by really

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understanding what customers really want

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from you uh versus thinking
everybody's a competitor.

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>> David. >> Yeah.
So there are a lot of heads of

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state here obviously at Davos as well
as CEOs of Fortune 500 companies and I

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think you got asked a question last
night at the dinner about how they

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should think about AI and how to be

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successful and I recall they used
the word diffusion and I wondering if you

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could expand on those remarks because
that really resonated with some of the

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policy work I've been doing. No,
absolutely. In fact, uh what you all

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have been doing to make sure in in this

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context of the American tech stack um is

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broadly used around the world and is

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trusted around the world because I think

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uh when I look back David to me um uh at

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the end of the day you create the

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technology but really the benefits

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come only by intense use. In fact, one

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of my favorite studies has always been
this work that uh an economist I think

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out of Dartmouth did uh his name is Diego
Kman where he studied uh basically

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what happened during the industrial
revolution um how did countries get

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ahead. Um and the simple sort of

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takeaway from that was any country uh

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that brought the latest technology into

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their uh country and then did value add

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technology on top of it. Right? So it's
like don't reinvent the wheel, bring the

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latest and then build on top of it.

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That's to me what happens, you know,
when you have diffusion. So especially

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with general purpose technologies like AI,
it needs to spread like right in

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our, you know, in our own country in the
United States, we now need we have the

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tech. The question is, is it being used
in healthcare? Is it being used um in

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financial services? Is it being used
in every sector of the economy by large

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businesses, small business, public

00:14:23.600 --> 00:14:27.357
sector? Um so to me un unless and until

00:14:27.440 --> 00:14:31.277
we see that diffusion and intense use uh

00:14:31.360 --> 00:14:35.837
we're not going to have the success.
Um uh and so that's the phase we are in

00:14:35.920 --> 00:14:38.237
it's f you know it's diffusing faster um

00:14:38.320 --> 00:14:40.237
and so some of the work policy work you

00:14:40.320 --> 00:14:43.677
have done um and in general all you know

00:14:43.760 --> 00:14:45.437
the good news here is the technologies

00:14:45.520 --> 00:14:48.557
there the rails around cloud and mobile

00:14:48.640 --> 00:14:52.717
that were laid out make it possible for
this thing to spread right it's not you

00:14:52.800 --> 00:14:56.717
know impossible to get the tokens
the question is what are the use cases how

00:14:56.800 --> 00:15:00.797
do and how do you manage the change
in all of that um you know like one of the

00:15:00.880 --> 00:15:04.797
questions at least in Davos is it's one
for the west and the developed nations.

00:15:04.880 --> 00:15:07.197
What about the global south? Um I think

00:15:07.280 --> 00:15:09.197
global south has a huge opportunity too

00:15:09.280 --> 00:15:11.837
quite frankly because to me like let's

00:15:11.920 --> 00:15:15.037
say you know 40% 50% of the GDP of most

00:15:15.120 --> 00:15:17.757
global south countries is public sector.

00:15:17.840 --> 00:15:21.037
So just imagine this tech making a

00:15:21.120 --> 00:15:23.597
difference in how the governments uh

00:15:23.680 --> 00:15:28.077
really parlay the taxpayer money into
services for citizens and there's if

00:15:28.160 --> 00:15:32.077
there's efficiency gains that's probably
couple of points for GDP growth right

00:15:32.160 --> 00:15:34.957
there and so I'm very optimistic that

00:15:35.040 --> 00:15:37.597
there's going to be a pull uh and that

00:15:37.680 --> 00:15:39.917
we should as the United States given the

00:15:40.000 --> 00:15:43.197
technology stack we have uh in Europe in

00:15:43.280 --> 00:15:47.757
Asia in you know in South
America in Africa and everywhere

00:15:47.840 --> 00:15:49.917
get it to be broadly deployed.

00:15:50.000 --> 00:15:51.437
>> You one of the questions I get asked a

00:15:51.520 --> 00:15:55.117
lot about the AI race is how do you know

00:15:55.200 --> 00:15:59.357
if you're winning or how do you know if
the United States is ahead of its global

00:15:59.440 --> 00:16:02.877
competitors? And the answer I give
is market share. You [clears throat] know,

00:16:02.960 --> 00:16:05.517
if we look around the world in 5 years

00:16:05.600 --> 00:16:08.557
and we see that American companies,

00:16:08.640 --> 00:16:12.557
American technology has say 80% market
share, it means we did a good job. If we

00:16:12.640 --> 00:16:16.717
look around the world in 5 years and see
that it's say Chinese chips and Chinese

00:16:16.800 --> 00:16:20.957
models that are being used all over
the world, well means we probably lost. So

00:16:21.040 --> 00:16:25.757
you know ultimately usage is the proof
of the pudding is in the eating of it. I

00:16:25.840 --> 00:16:27.837
mean the in this case the way that you

00:16:27.920 --> 00:16:31.357
know that you're succeeding is through

00:16:31.440 --> 00:16:35.757
market shares through usage. and and I
I would agree with that. But David, since

00:16:35.840 --> 00:16:40.237
you even worked at Microsoft for a few
years, um you I you know, one of the

00:16:40.320 --> 00:16:44.317
things that I'm very grounded on is
always uh that Bill Gates line of a

00:16:44.400 --> 00:16:48.477
platform, right? So, one of the things
that I always think about is it's market

00:16:48.560 --> 00:16:52.397
share, but it's also ecosystem effects,
right? See, what the United States

00:16:52.480 --> 00:16:55.037
always has done is not just about our

00:16:55.120 --> 00:16:58.717
market share or even um the revenues to

00:16:58.800 --> 00:17:02.557
US companies. In fact, one of the things
I learned at Microsoft is whenever I did

00:17:02.640 --> 00:17:04.717
a country visit, the data I would first

00:17:04.800 --> 00:17:07.997
study is in let's say in the UK or in

00:17:08.080 --> 00:17:09.757
Switzerland or what have you is what is

00:17:09.840 --> 00:17:12.637
the total employment created in

00:17:12.720 --> 00:17:15.597
Switzerland uh in our channel that used

00:17:15.680 --> 00:17:20.237
to be like the number one thing uh in our
country reports right and the total number

00:17:20.320 --> 00:17:22.957
>> that be like the number
of IT workers the number

00:17:23.040 --> 00:17:24.957
>> exactly we used to have office workers

00:17:25.040 --> 00:17:27.757
channel so channel partners we ISVS so

00:17:27.840 --> 00:17:30.957
number of ISVS uh who were there. So we

00:17:31.040 --> 00:17:33.117
used to have a complete marker of how

00:17:33.200 --> 00:17:35.517
did the ecosystem around the platform

00:17:35.600 --> 00:17:38.397
get built one country at a time and that

00:17:38.480 --> 00:17:40.157
is what the United States has always

00:17:40.240 --> 00:17:42.877
done. In fact the US tech stack

00:17:42.960 --> 00:17:46.157
including in China got built because

00:17:46.240 --> 00:17:50.237
others built around our tech stack. The
same thing is going to happen. So that's

00:17:50.320 --> 00:17:52.877
why I think the work you're
doing around diffusion, >> right,

00:17:52.960 --> 00:17:55.757
>> is about really increasing the size of

00:17:55.840 --> 00:18:01.357
the pie, the trust in the platform so
that there is true economic opportunity

00:18:01.440 --> 00:18:03.837
quite frankly. >> Well,
you're right and and I remember

00:18:03.920 --> 00:18:07.997
actually you brought back some memories
from this is about a decade ago when my

00:18:08.080 --> 00:18:11.437
company Yammer was acquired by Microsoft.
We were part of uh the

00:18:11.520 --> 00:18:14.077
SharePoint group and I remember that the

00:18:14.160 --> 00:18:15.917
um the product managers there were very

00:18:16.000 --> 00:18:19.037
proud of the fact that the revenue from

00:18:19.120 --> 00:18:21.597
the SharePoint ecosystem meaning non-

00:18:21.680 --> 00:18:24.637
Microsoft the um the consulting

00:18:24.720 --> 00:18:28.637
community the implementers who would
go into companies implement SharePoint I

00:18:28.720 --> 00:18:32.717
think their revenue is something like
seven times greater than Microsoft's own

00:18:32.800 --> 00:18:35.117
software revenue and I
think >> in aggregate

00:18:35.200 --> 00:18:39.117
>> in aggregate and I think and I think
Bill had a line about you're not an

00:18:39.200 --> 00:18:43.677
ecosystem platform until
the revenue on top of your platform

00:18:43.760 --> 00:18:48.477
>> is some, you know, factor of your own
revenue. And and I and I think that I

00:18:48.560 --> 00:18:52.317
think what's really important about
this is when we talk about diffusion and

00:18:52.400 --> 00:18:56.557
obviously want the United States to have
this leading position, it doesn't mean

00:18:56.640 --> 00:18:59.757
it's bad for the rest of the world
because they're able to build on top of

00:18:59.840 --> 00:19:02.477
those platforms
and create even more value.

00:19:02.560 --> 00:19:04.477
>> 100%. In fact, that's sort of the most

00:19:04.560 --> 00:19:06.237
important point, right? So this is not

00:19:06.320 --> 00:19:11.597
that this is not about uh American tech
um and America revenues to the United

00:19:11.680 --> 00:19:15.037
States. It's actually creating
opportunity using a new platform

00:19:15.120 --> 00:19:17.357
everywhere. And in fact you know the you

00:19:17.440 --> 00:19:19.517
know like I remember I worked on our

00:19:19.600 --> 00:19:22.317
database products uh in the '90s u you

00:19:22.400 --> 00:19:25.677
know with SAP in fact the combination of

00:19:25.760 --> 00:19:29.197
uh SQL Server and R3 were successful on

00:19:29.280 --> 00:19:32.717
both sides. There's a lot talked about
Intel and Microsoft, but one of the

00:19:32.800 --> 00:19:36.477
other things that I grew up in which has
sort of been foundational in how I look

00:19:36.560 --> 00:19:40.797
at the world is what we did with a
European software company that is still

00:19:40.880 --> 00:19:45.197
uh you know a giant. And so that you
know who knows what the next big AI app

00:19:45.280 --> 00:19:47.277
will be and where and what will happen.

00:19:47.360 --> 00:19:49.837
But uh I I sort of go in with the

00:19:49.920 --> 00:19:54.637
attitude that there will be tech
companies uh maybe even top five tech

00:19:54.720 --> 00:19:56.797
companies that could emerge everywhere

00:19:56.880 --> 00:20:02.077
with even the American tech stack.
you have um done some amazing acquisitions

00:20:02.160 --> 00:20:05.197
and you're quite a dealmaker on top
of being a technologist. It's probably the

00:20:05.280 --> 00:20:08.157
least reported aspect of your

00:20:08.240 --> 00:20:09.997
spectacular tenure and the massive

00:20:10.080 --> 00:20:12.397
growth you've had.

00:20:12.480 --> 00:20:15.837
But you did a deal with OpenAI and

00:20:15.920 --> 00:20:18.077
probably one of the most savvy

00:20:18.160 --> 00:20:19.917
slashcontroversial dealmakers of all

00:20:20.000 --> 00:20:23.037
time, Sam Alman. That deal was looked at

00:20:23.120 --> 00:20:27.517
as you you you're you're set up to get a

00:20:27.600 --> 00:20:31.517
windfall in cash which you don't need
as Microsoft always nice I'm guessing if

00:20:31.600 --> 00:20:34.237
they IPO but did you create potentially

00:20:34.320 --> 00:20:37.197
and this was the criticism of it

00:20:37.280 --> 00:20:40.157
an ultimate competitor to Microsoft and

00:20:40.240 --> 00:20:44.557
how do you think about that and how can
Microsoft which missed Steve Balmer's

00:20:44.640 --> 00:20:46.157
biggest regret missing the mobile

00:20:46.240 --> 00:20:50.317
revolution how can you not have a Gemini

00:20:50.400 --> 00:20:53.917
an XAI a claude that is your own or in

00:20:54.000 --> 00:20:57.597
your mind do you have that because
you have the source code of open AI?

00:20:57.680 --> 00:21:00.797
>> Yeah, I think that that's right.
So when when people say uh where is your

00:21:00.880 --> 00:21:04.637
foundation model I mean at the end
of the day we do have the IP but that said

00:21:04.720 --> 00:21:08.797
I think you bring up a couple different
things right one is to us the most

00:21:08.880 --> 00:21:10.877
important thing when I look at what is

00:21:10.960 --> 00:21:14.637
Microsoft's uh strategy today one is we

00:21:14.720 --> 00:21:18.397
want to build token factories right
so our biggest business today is Azure

00:21:18.480 --> 00:21:20.557
business and the Azure business the TAM

00:21:20.640 --> 00:21:22.877
given what's going to happen is is so

00:21:22.960 --> 00:21:25.437
huge that we now need to be fantastic uh

00:21:25.520 --> 00:21:29.917
at building these token factories and um
that's means a heterogeneous fleet of

00:21:30.000 --> 00:21:33.997
infrastructure and that every
hyperscaler has always done which is use

00:21:34.080 --> 00:21:36.637
software to make maximum use of it and

00:21:36.720 --> 00:21:41.197
for TCO and utilization. So that's one
side of it. Then there's the app server

00:21:41.280 --> 00:21:44.877
business right which is everybody we you
talked about like if everyone's going to

00:21:44.960 --> 00:21:49.997
be building agents have infinite minds
have these RL gyms have eval what have

00:21:50.080 --> 00:21:54.077
you there's an entire just like every
platform has had an app server this one

00:21:54.160 --> 00:21:57.117
has an app server that's what we're
doing with foundry and what have you

00:21:57.200 --> 00:22:01.197
right so there's an app server business
in that app server one of the things

00:22:01.280 --> 00:22:03.917
that structurally now is pretty clear is

00:22:04.000 --> 00:22:08.717
anyone building any application or any
company is going to use not one model

00:22:08.800 --> 00:22:12.557
but all the models Right? Why would I not?
Right? Which is in fact I will

00:22:12.640 --> 00:22:17.677
orchestrate for any given task even
multiple models. Right? There's this one

00:22:17.760 --> 00:22:21.197
nice thing that we came out in our
healthcare practice called the decision

00:22:21.280 --> 00:22:24.477
orchestrator. What it proves is that by

00:22:24.560 --> 00:22:27.517
assigning roles, right? So investigator,

00:22:27.600 --> 00:22:30.317
data analyst, domain expert, just giving

00:22:30.400 --> 00:22:33.437
even prompted roles to models and then

00:22:33.520 --> 00:22:35.917
orchestrating them gets better results

00:22:36.000 --> 00:22:38.397
than any one single frontier model. Am I

00:22:38.480 --> 00:22:43.037
right to read into that then that you're
bullish on the open- source models and

00:22:43.120 --> 00:22:47.117
think large language models will largely
be commoditized and that's not where the

00:22:47.200 --> 00:22:49.437
value will occur. >> In fact,
the way I think about it is

00:22:49.520 --> 00:22:52.477
that just like Apple
thinks that too. By the way,

00:22:52.560 --> 00:22:54.317
>> by the way,
what the way you think about

00:22:54.400 --> 00:22:57.837
what happened in the database market,
right? You know, I used to be like

00:22:57.920 --> 00:23:01.597
everything is just a SQL database until
it was not, right? There was I mean,

00:23:01.680 --> 00:23:05.597
think about it. There doc databases,
there is no SQL databases. the

00:23:05.680 --> 00:23:09.597
proliferation of database right who
would have thought that the database

00:23:09.680 --> 00:23:13.597
market would have such a richness to it
>> or that it could ever be open source

00:23:13.680 --> 00:23:16.957
that was that's I mean talk about
Postgress or what has happened even with

00:23:17.040 --> 00:23:20.637
which is open but there are even
companies that have backed it and so so

00:23:20.720 --> 00:23:24.877
to me that's what's going to happen
it to me a model is like the database

00:23:24.960 --> 00:23:28.637
market you know it's it's got it's got
differences but I sort of somehow think

00:23:28.720 --> 00:23:32.077
that uh it's not there are definitely
going to be frontier models that are

00:23:32.160 --> 00:23:35.757
closed source you know there going to be
open source models that are going to be

00:23:35.840 --> 00:23:38.317
uh uh frontier class. In fact, if

00:23:38.400 --> 00:23:40.717
anything, I think in this next year,

00:23:40.800 --> 00:23:43.357
what will be probably a big part of the

00:23:43.440 --> 00:23:46.077
discussion is what's the future of a

00:23:46.160 --> 00:23:50.717
firm? A firm should be able to take the

00:23:50.800 --> 00:23:54.797
tacit knowledge it has and embed it

00:23:54.880 --> 00:23:59.677
inside a weights in a model that they
control. Right? So, when somebody asks

00:23:59.760 --> 00:24:03.357
me how many models should be there,
I'll say as many models as firms in the

00:24:03.440 --> 00:24:04.797
world. Right? That's sort of the an

00:24:04.880 --> 00:24:07.837
extreme way uh because because to me

00:24:07.920 --> 00:24:10.397
that's how I think this you know this

00:24:10.480 --> 00:24:12.557
knowledge economy becomes an AI economy.

00:24:12.640 --> 00:24:15.037
>> Are you secretly
and you can say it here

00:24:15.120 --> 00:24:18.557
since we're on allin working on an LLM

00:24:18.640 --> 00:24:22.237
to exist on the Windows
desktop because that you are

00:24:22.320 --> 00:24:23.837
>> you have it like today there's a five

00:24:23.920 --> 00:24:26.397
silica model which is completely

00:24:26.480 --> 00:24:29.757
resident using NPUs and of course using

00:24:29.840 --> 00:24:34.397
uh GPUs. in fact the largest
installation um of high power. In fact,

00:24:34.480 --> 00:24:37.357
it's one of the fascinating the
workstation is back. I'm one of the most

00:24:37.440 --> 00:24:42.077
if you went to see each great
for Microsoft because you you have a nice

00:24:42.160 --> 00:24:44.957
desktop business. >> Absolutely.
And so we and in fact we

00:24:45.040 --> 00:24:47.437
think that that form factor especially I

00:24:47.520 --> 00:24:52.477
mean I I always say this which is u you
know I started my career on a command

00:24:52.560 --> 00:24:55.037
line. Who knows I may just
end it in a command line.

00:24:55.120 --> 00:24:59.277
>> Well you started at Sun which was the
original 5 $10,000 workstation. Do you

00:24:59.360 --> 00:25:01.437
see a time where you'll be meeting with

00:25:01.520 --> 00:25:03.757
your customers here and advocating a 10

00:25:03.840 --> 00:25:07.117
$20,000 desktop machine that has an LLM

00:25:07.200 --> 00:25:09.357
and the hardware? You can you can put a

00:25:09.440 --> 00:25:14.717
DGX card and you can have like just
a fantastic machine and the models I and

00:25:14.800 --> 00:25:18.877
by the way you know we are one
architecture tweak away from even having

00:25:18.960 --> 00:25:22.877
some kind of a distributed model
architecture right even ane architecture

00:25:22.960 --> 00:25:27.197
that shows knows how to really
distribute itself right that's the type

00:25:27.280 --> 00:25:29.357
of breakthrough that can completely

00:25:29.440 --> 00:25:32.317
change uh what hybrid AI may look like

00:25:32.400 --> 00:25:34.557
but we're absolutely committed and

00:25:34.640 --> 00:25:37.437
focused on making the PC a great place

00:25:37.520 --> 00:25:42.397
for local models uh and local models
that then do even a lot of the prompt

00:25:42.480 --> 00:25:45.517
processing and call into the cloud,
right? So there's a whole lot of work

00:25:45.600 --> 00:25:48.557
that can happen and that's sort
of definitely something that's underway.

00:25:48.640 --> 00:25:50.877
>> Yeah, I think that
the cloud co-work has

00:25:50.960 --> 00:25:53.997
kind of shown the power of tapping into
the local file drive and be able to use

00:25:54.080 --> 00:25:56.077
that. That that brings up another point.

00:25:56.160 --> 00:25:59.357
You you got me thinking about Yammer
and for people who don't know um you know

00:25:59.440 --> 00:26:03.437
Yammer's claim to fame, this is about
15 years ago, was that it pioneered a lot

00:26:03.520 --> 00:26:07.437
of um well it used a lot of consumer
growth tactics to attack enterprise

00:26:07.520 --> 00:26:09.357
software. I'm wondering as you think

00:26:09.440 --> 00:26:13.117
about enterprise adoption of AI. How do

00:26:13.200 --> 00:26:16.477
you think it's going to spread over
the next year? It feels like we're at sort

00:26:16.560 --> 00:26:21.117
of a a a critical point. Do you think
it's going to be top down? Is it going

00:26:21.200 --> 00:26:25.917
to come from the CEO directing a team,
giving them a strategic transformation

00:26:26.000 --> 00:26:29.837
project, and they're going to do an RFP,
or do you think it's going to spread

00:26:29.920 --> 00:26:32.637
bottom up in the enterprise through AI

00:26:32.720 --> 00:26:37.517
native employees who are adaptable,
who are using the tools in their own lives

00:26:37.600 --> 00:26:41.277
and they start to bring these things
to work and start accomplishing amazing

00:26:41.360 --> 00:26:43.357
things. >> Yeah. No,
I think, you know, like all

00:26:43.440 --> 00:26:47.277
things, David, I think it's both the top
down, bottom up, right? uh the that the

00:26:47.360 --> 00:26:49.757
reason I say that top down is if I look

00:26:49.840 --> 00:26:53.277
at the ROI uh of uh applying AI in

00:26:53.360 --> 00:26:56.317
customer service uh or in supply chain

00:26:56.400 --> 00:26:59.677
or in HR self-service those are the easy

00:26:59.760 --> 00:27:03.917
projects where uh IT and CXOs can make

00:27:04.000 --> 00:27:05.917
calls and that's where you'll see the

00:27:06.000 --> 00:27:09.437
first drop of uh real AI adoption but

00:27:09.520 --> 00:27:13.917
the bottom up is what ultimately will
happen right I mean with even with the

00:27:14.000 --> 00:27:16.077
PCs in fact if you think back at the

00:27:16.160 --> 00:27:18.797
lawyers brought word in and then finance

00:27:18.880 --> 00:27:23.197
bought Excel in and then email came
and then it became standard issue. That's

00:27:23.280 --> 00:27:27.197
what's happening right now. So
for example, these agents when I sort of

00:27:27.280 --> 00:27:29.117
talk about everybody's building agents,

00:27:29.200 --> 00:27:33.197
they are figuring out a way to go create

00:27:33.280 --> 00:27:37.437
these things that are changing workflow
and removing drudgery in their work.

00:27:37.520 --> 00:27:40.157
Right? That's sort of the beginning of

00:27:40.240 --> 00:27:43.117
what is a bottomup transformation. Um I

00:27:43.200 --> 00:27:47.197
you know you I was in fact the thing
that I'm most excited about is this

00:27:47.280 --> 00:27:48.877
bottomup change even at Microsoft for

00:27:48.960 --> 00:27:52.237
example we manage something like 500 odd

00:27:52.320 --> 00:27:56.797
fiber operators around the world
in in Azure today and by the way I had not

00:27:56.880 --> 00:28:00.477
myself realized it a lot of it you know
it's called DevOps but it's a it's a

00:28:00.560 --> 00:28:04.957
physical asset things get cut and when
you sort of say DevOps that means you

00:28:05.040 --> 00:28:08.397
literally are emailing people and saying
hey what happened to that fiber cut how

00:28:08.480 --> 00:28:10.557
do we repair it so there's a lot of back

00:28:10.640 --> 00:28:15.597
and forth so this network the the person
who runs our global network basically

00:28:15.680 --> 00:28:19.357
has built to your point about these
person they're just digital employees

00:28:19.440 --> 00:28:21.997
essentially that are doing all of that

00:28:22.080 --> 00:28:25.277
devops uh and so that's and there's a

00:28:25.360 --> 00:28:29.357
completely bottoms up uh where you see
the tools it's kind of like hey I have

00:28:29.440 --> 00:28:31.997
the new way to build agents it's there

00:28:32.080 --> 00:28:34.237
I'm going to use it to create levels of

00:28:34.320 --> 00:28:36.717
automation uh that remove drudgery

00:28:36.800 --> 00:28:39.197
improve efficiency improve quality and

00:28:39.280 --> 00:28:41.757
that ultimately is a skilling thing

00:28:41.840 --> 00:28:46.237
which is sort of the big issue which is u
and skilling is not mystical it's just

00:28:46.320 --> 00:28:48.157
by doing right so it's not like I go to

00:28:48.240 --> 00:28:50.397
a class per se it's like the diffusion

00:28:50.480 --> 00:28:55.517
of the tools uh and using the tools
and that I think is what's really going to

00:28:55.600 --> 00:28:57.437
be happening >> and and we're
in a very interesting

00:28:57.520 --> 00:29:00.957
moment empowering an existing employee

00:29:01.040 --> 00:29:03.917
with these tools is so much easier than

00:29:04.000 --> 00:29:08.077
hiring and mentoring and bringing up
the next generation so it feels like we're

00:29:08.160 --> 00:29:13.117
in a little bit of an indigestion moment
at Microsoft, do you think who's going

00:29:13.200 --> 00:29:14.797
to have my job

00:29:14.880 --> 00:29:17.677
>> in 30 or 40 years if the company stays

00:29:17.760 --> 00:29:20.957
the same size? Because given your

00:29:21.040 --> 00:29:24.717
technology first approach, there's
really no reason to ever add another

00:29:24.800 --> 00:29:26.717
Microsoft employee at the pace this is

00:29:26.800 --> 00:29:31.117
going and you haven't for years. So, how

00:29:31.200 --> 00:29:34.637
you may have swapped some in and out
and changed the texture of it. So, how do

00:29:34.720 --> 00:29:38.717
you think about maybe this next
generation? What advice would you have

00:29:38.800 --> 00:29:42.077
for these college graduates who maybe
don't have an offer from Microsoft right

00:29:42.160 --> 00:29:46.317
now? And you used to spend a lot of time
on that building that group, but maybe

00:29:46.400 --> 00:29:49.437
you don't have that luxury now.
Do you think about it ever?

00:29:49.520 --> 00:29:52.797
>> I I it's a great question. I you know
there's a little bit of a debate what

00:29:52.880 --> 00:29:56.957
happens to early in career and how
is college recruiting. I still am a big

00:29:57.040 --> 00:29:58.717
believer in uh college recruiting

00:29:58.800 --> 00:30:02.877
because at the end of the day um this is

00:30:02.960 --> 00:30:05.677
going to change the curve by which

00:30:05.760 --> 00:30:08.317
anyone can pick up proficiency in a

00:30:08.400 --> 00:30:10.317
codebase let's just takes sort of just

00:30:10.400 --> 00:30:14.157
regular CS hiring u what has changed is

00:30:14.240 --> 00:30:16.797
perhaps for someone who comes in new

00:30:16.880 --> 00:30:20.477
into a team and to be able to ramp up

00:30:20.560 --> 00:30:24.637
thanks to all of uh the markdowns the

00:30:24.720 --> 00:30:28.397
skills uh the fact that I
can go ask the agent.

00:30:28.480 --> 00:30:33.117
I mean, think about it, right? It's
like having an unbelievable mentor who is

00:30:33.200 --> 00:30:35.197
getting you onboarded onto a codebase

00:30:35.280 --> 00:30:36.797
faster. So, in some sense, the

00:30:36.880 --> 00:30:40.237
productivity curve uh of a college hire

00:30:40.320 --> 00:30:45.117
is going to be much steeper than it
ever before. So, I think there might be a

00:30:45.200 --> 00:30:47.597
difference. In fact, one of the things
we're experimenting with is a different

00:30:47.680 --> 00:30:49.597
type of apprenticeship, right? which is

00:30:49.680 --> 00:30:53.037
you take somebody who's an IC senior dev

00:30:53.120 --> 00:30:56.477
have like a cohort of college uh hires

00:30:56.560 --> 00:31:00.637
working with them because it's a new way
of working it's like I remember like all

00:31:00.720 --> 00:31:04.477
you know everybody who joined Microsoft
would say go how did you know whatever

00:31:04.560 --> 00:31:07.437
um Cutler implement Malik or what have

00:31:07.520 --> 00:31:09.997
you right he would go try to read uh his

00:31:10.080 --> 00:31:12.397
code to understand uh what great

00:31:12.480 --> 00:31:14.957
craftsmanship looks like nowadays I

00:31:15.040 --> 00:31:17.117
think that great craftsmanship uh comes

00:31:17.200 --> 00:31:20.157
by looking at even how the 10x 100x

00:31:20.240 --> 00:31:24.317
engineers use AI to build great quality

00:31:24.400 --> 00:31:29.277
products. uh and that is what these
new college grads will learn and learn

00:31:29.360 --> 00:31:32.957
faster and so that's a beneficial thing
for a company like us because at the end

00:31:33.040 --> 00:31:34.637
of the day you know until we saw

00:31:34.720 --> 00:31:37.837
longevity or something we need people to

00:31:37.920 --> 00:31:41.837
come into the workforce be successful
at Microsoft so we are very committed but

00:31:41.920 --> 00:31:46.877
we are also making sure that the scopes
of the jobs make sense for what the

00:31:46.960 --> 00:31:50.157
aspirations of people are going to be
both who are currently in the workforce

00:31:50.240 --> 00:31:52.637
and people who are entering the workforce.

00:31:52.720 --> 00:31:58.570
Okay, on that note, Sache Nadella,
>> thank you so much. [applause]
