WEBVTT

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- Palmer Luckey, good to see you again,
and welcome to the "Axios Show."

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- Thank you for having us on.
- Thank you for having us on.

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- You are the founder
and figurehead of Anduril Industries,

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among the splashiest,
fastest growing, most pro-autonomy

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and polarizing defense contractors
on the planet, I would hazard?

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- Wow, seven descriptors.
- Yes, I'm big on adjectives.

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You have your haters
and you have your hot takes,

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so I would like to lean
into both if you're game.

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- I am always game to lean into
the things that make me polarizing.

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- Fantastic. Describe for me Anduril
in one sentence, one quick sentence.

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Anduril is a defense product
company that spends its own money

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designing, developing, and shipping
tools that will save taxpayers

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hundreds of billions of dollars a year

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as we make tens of billions
of dollars a year, someday.

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- Someday. - We're not there yet.

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- Describe to me the culture in one word.

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- Effective.

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- Why?

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- Almost everything that we have here
is oriented around what type of competence

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will lead to actually delivering things
that actually work with the customer

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on a timeline that is relevant.

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So you're balancing, I could say,
"Oh yeah, we're focused on affordability,

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or we're focused or we're
focused on timelines."

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But the the reality is all of these
things interplay with each other.

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They're often opposed with each other.

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And it really just comes down to,
we need to build tools that are effective.

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And sometimes something needs to come
now rather than later to be effective.

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Sometimes it needs to be higher
capability to be effective or not.

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Sometimes, if it's not cheap
enough to buy in scale that matters,

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then it's not effective. So I would say
we have a pretty strong culture here.

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We're about 20% veterans here.

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People are very close to the customers.

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They're very close to the deployments,
and they understand,

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I think, a lot better than
a lot of other companies,

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how the military is truly using our tools.

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We have people who are forward deployed.

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We have people who are overseas
in the Middle East right now.

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We've had people who are in Ukraine
since the second week of the war.

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And so I think we have
a very good understanding

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of what it takes to be
effective with our customers.

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And if we don't, we develop it.

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If we go and we learn
that we are screwing it up,

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we put our own resources into fixing it.

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Look, you gave me one word. - Yeah.

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So if I'm gonna pick this one word, I'd
say the culture is around being effective,

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even when sometimes it is not,
for example, fiscally disciplined

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or when it is not responsible

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or it's a different question.
- To zoom out on effective,

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where in the world
have you been effective?

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Is that Ukraine with drones?
Is that Australia with Ghost Shark?

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Is that the Middle East?
- So we've been effective in,

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we've been effective in a lot of places.

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And, of course, we've had
bouts where it was ineffective.

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You know, like I'd say we've been very
effective in the Middle East right now.

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We've also had challenges in the past,
and then we've surged resources

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to get that fixed, which is one of the
reasons that things are working now.

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But I think we've been
effective in Ukraine.

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Australia, we're really just
beginning to deliver there, right?

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We've built a factory there.
We've hired a large team there.

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We've developed this Ghost Shark program
with them building robotic submarines

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at a very large scale, very quickly.

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We delivered the first submarine
a year ahead of schedule.

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I don't know if I would say
that's like effective yet,

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because Australia's not
fighting anybody right now.

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And I think they hope to keep it that way.

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So it's hard to prove,

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but I think Ukraine, Taiwan,
certainly the United States,

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we've proven that we are
effective a number of times.

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- What do you have in operation
in the Middle East right now?

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- That is like the one question
I probably can't answer in detail.

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I can say, of course, we are involved.

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Of course, we work
with a lot of the customers

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that are on footprints
all over the Middle East.

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Let's do a recap after things settle down.

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And I think that would be
a fun time to go through,

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you know, and then say,
"Hey, here's what we did.

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Here's what worked. Here's what didn't.

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Here's new stuff that came
up we didn't expect.

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Here's things that we were
perfectly prepared for.'

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I'm happy to sit down
and do that. - Fantastic.

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- But I think right now is not the time.

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- I'll hold you to that. Your competition
in the defense contracting world

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includes the entrenched primes,
the Lockheeds, - Sure.

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- The Northrops, the Boeings.
If I'm a Pentagon buyer,

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why do I buy Anduril versus those guys?

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- So it depends on what you're doing.

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But, in general, the sense that a
lot of people have in the Pentagon

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is that Anduril is a company that
is going to move very, very quickly.

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We're gonna bring a lot of our own
resources to bear on the project,

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and that even when programs
have run into political problems,

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because we're willing to spend
our own money as a product company

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continuing to keep things going,
there's a number of programs

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that have survived political
breaks that would've killed

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a lot of traditional cost-plus programs.

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And so I think a lot of the people
in the program offices in the Pentagon

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that are making decisions,
whether they're selecting Anduril

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or, let's say, keeping Anduril in the mix.

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You know, it's not always,
"We're gonna award to Anduril,"

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it's we're gonna select two
or three companies to work on this.

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I think the reason we stay in that basket
is they know that we'll move quickly.

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They know we'll put our own money in.

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They know that even when we
run into political challenges,

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we're not gonna do a stop-work order.

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We're not gonna just shut down our lines.

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We're gonna keep moving and hope
that we come out the other side.

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You know, remember the scene at the end
of, you know, "Return of the Jedi,"

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where you have the Millennium
Falcon, you know,

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it's coming out of the
exploding Death Star,

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and it barely comes out at the very end
with fire following it the whole way.

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We've had a number of programs

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that the Department
understands went just like that.

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And we are the company that comes out
of the fire, like the Millennium Falcon.

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And a lot of the other companies are
the ones that are consumed by the fire.

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And I think that's
the difference between us.

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- Who is emerging
as influential at the Pentagon?

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When they call you, you pick up.

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Is that Pete Hegseth?
Is that Steve Feinberg?

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Is that someone else?

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If Steve wants to talk
to me, I talk with him.

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If Emil wants to talk
with me, I talk with him.

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If Hegseth calls me, I talk to him.

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I have actually myself- -
Have they all called you?

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- Let me think about that. I mean, maybe
this is too much to talk about publicly,

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but I don't think they'll mind.

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I've, of course, met and had
meetings with all of them.

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In terms of an actual phone call
from them, I've had calls from Pete.

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I've had calls from Emil. I have not yet
had a call out of the blue from Steve,

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but, look, these guys,
I don't know if I would say

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they're, like, emerging as influential
so much as they were appointed

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into these extremely influential roles.

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And so, of course,
of course they're influential.

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They're the ones who are tasked
with making these decisions.

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From what I understand,

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they're running this whole
organization a little differently

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than people have run in the past.

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It's not just me getting the call,
I guess would be my point. - Yeah.

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- I think that they're calling
up lots of other people.

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And by the way,
the calls are not necessarily,

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"Hey, I've got good news for you."

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There's also a lot of, "Hey,
you need to fix your shit

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on X, Y, and Z. - Like the RTX
tweet we saw from the President.

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I think that that is exactly how this
whole department is being run right now.

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Like that's the president doing
it in public. - By Twitter or by?

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- That's the president doing it in public.

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But I think that you have a lot of this
pressure from the department as well.

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They're learning that the best way

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to fix these problems is to be very,
very honest and open about it

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and not filter it through, you know,

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let's say, a program review
that comes out months later

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that concludes with like,
"Performance unsatisfactory."

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You want to put pressure
on people early enough

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that they can actually
course correct and adapt.

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And so I very much appreciate all of this.

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To be honest, even talking with my,
I wanna say competitors,

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but remember we also collaborate

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with companies like Raytheon
and Northrop and Lockheed.

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In fact, we're teamed
up on certain programs.

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So I guess my colleagues. In my
conversations with my colleagues there,

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they actually appreciate this as well.

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They probably don't like being slammed in
the press, you know, or on Truth Social,

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but they do appreciate the early feedback

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from senior leaders on what
they're getting wrong

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and what they're getting right, because
they have the ability to course correct.

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- You, Alex Karp at Palantir, Elon Musk,

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you all have a distinct
style, a distinct tact.

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And you have said, you've described it
in the past as a bit of a caricature.

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Do you need to be a bit of a caricature
to run a successful defense company

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these days? - No. No. Some of the most
successful defense companies I know

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are run by very competent operators.

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They're the most straight-laced
guys you've ever seen.

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If you set us side by side,
we'd look like a Japanese comedy duo,

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the straight man and the funny
man playing off of each other.

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I don't think you need to be
a larger-than-life character.

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I think that what you see
is the larger-than-life characters

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are the ones that get the retweets
or the Re-Truths. (chuckles)

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And the straight players typically don't.

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But that's also not what
makes a company successful.

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I know a lot of people who are, they
don't maybe get as many likes as I get

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on Twitter, now X, but they are still
running very effective defense companies.

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- Is that also a measure of public affairs
and messaging and kind of marketing?

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- I would say marketing to our customers

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is mostly in terms of the
quality of our products.

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A lot of it is G to G,
government-to-government interactions.

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Like the best thing I have
for sales and marketing

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is someone telling somebody else,
this is how this Anduril system worked.

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They were able to move super fast,
and they got this problem,

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or China came outta nowhere
with this crazy new capability

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that we saw that Russia now has
and they were able to fix it,

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push an update in the field,
'cause that's really good.

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To be honest, the marketing that you
get, that you see like on Twitter,

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it's primarily a recruiting engine.

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Like I'm not marketing to necessarily
the guy who's buying my system.

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Like he's not the one who's,
you know, checking out the hot takes.

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But for recruiting, it's helpful.

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Like Anduril being out there
and having a position, for example,

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on who should have the final call
on how to use autonomous weapons

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or being out there and having an opinion
on what good manufacturing looks like,

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we are attracting the right people,
and, I think, repelling the wrong people.

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Our company probably wouldn't have
gotten a lot of our best talent

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if we weren't out there in that way.

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- Do you think your bluntness
comes across as rude or off-putting?

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- I think to certain
people it definitely does.

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- Who are those people?
What are they like?

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- Ordinary people who,

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you know, there's people
that you'll just like vibe with

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and you'll get along with really well.

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And maybe with certain friends
you're very, very blunt.

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And then people who like that bluntness
are more likely to become your friends.

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I think that that's kind of how it works.

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Like, I wouldn't say that people who
don't like bluntness are bad people.

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Like I'll just give you a straight answer.

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The Japanese.

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The Japanese do not value
the same cultural things

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that the United States does.
And so I have to admit,

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I normally am myself. - Yeah.

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- And I normally do not like
to try to be somebody else.

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But if you're in Japan,
you do need to realize

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that there are different cultural norms

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and you need to interact
in a different cultural context.

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I learned that not
at Anduril, but at Oculus,

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where we worked with lots
of Japanese video game developers,

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lots of video game publishers.

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You cannot go in and be, like,
if you think I'm a caricature

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of an American technology entrepreneur,
Imagine how that looks on their end.

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It's not just like a caricature,
it's like a surrealist comedy.

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- Do you have to tone it down when you're
trying to sell to the Japanese military,

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for example?

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- Yes, yes. You know,
like, here, shake by hand.

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No, no, no. Too strong. - Oh.
- There we go. (host chuckling)

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That's like a good Japanese handshake.

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It's just a different cultural context.

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And so you have to adjust
to meet them where they are.

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And interestingly enough, they try
to meet us in the middle too, you know?

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They think they're coming in and they'll
have the meeting that, for them,

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is, you know, the craziest meeting ever.

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And for a typical American company,

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it's a lot less. - What's the most
badass thing Anduril has built?

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- I'm supposed to love
all my children equally.

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- Everyone has a favorite child.

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- Everyone, everyone. It's true.

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The science bears it out.

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I think the coolest thing, you know,
there's a bit of recency bias here,

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but I think that the coolest
thing that we've built

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in my mind right now is Fury,
which is the FQ-44.

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It's an autonomous fighter jet
for the United States Air Force.

00:12:12.230 --> 00:12:14.317
You know, we were competing
with a lot of the big guys.

00:12:14.400 --> 00:12:17.777
And to go toe to toe with them
and then get selected by the Air Force

00:12:17.860 --> 00:12:22.367
to deliver these prototypes to them
was just the coolest thing ever.

00:12:22.450 --> 00:12:24.827
Because I don't wanna put down
the other things that we built,

00:12:24.910 --> 00:12:25.787
like I have a lot of other
favorites that I really like.

00:12:25.870 --> 00:12:28.917
I love Roadrunner and I love EagleEye,
our heads-up display systems.

00:12:29.000 --> 00:12:31.537
And I love our robotic
submarines, and I love Ghost,

00:12:31.620 --> 00:12:33.297
and I love some other
things I can't talk about.

00:12:33.380 --> 00:12:34.877
Only about half
of our products are public,

00:12:34.960 --> 00:12:36.837
which is another thing
that makes this difficult.

00:12:36.920 --> 00:12:40.007
But Fury was one where we went
toe-to-toe with the big guys

00:12:40.090 --> 00:12:44.177
for their bread and butter, not like a
side thing that they're not interested in,

00:12:44.260 --> 00:12:48.347
and we won. And that,
to me, was very gratifying,

00:12:48.430 --> 00:12:51.267
for me, for the team
working on the product,

00:12:51.350 --> 00:12:53.317
for all the other teams
building mission systems

00:12:53.400 --> 00:12:56.357
and support stuff that went on the
product, the people building the buildings

00:12:56.440 --> 00:12:58.490
that are being used to build the product.

00:12:59.320 --> 00:13:00.447
I think that that is one

00:13:00.530 --> 00:13:02.697
that everyone's still riding
a bit of an emotional high on.

00:13:02.780 --> 00:13:06.537
- What if the Air Force picks General
Atomics, what happens to Anduril?

00:13:06.620 --> 00:13:08.520
- What happens? I mean, we'll be fine.

00:13:09.330 --> 00:13:13.330
When you run a company like this, the way
to think of it is like flipping coins.

00:13:14.340 --> 00:13:18.927
If you have one coin flip
that your whole company rides on,

00:13:19.010 --> 00:13:20.427
it's very high stress environment.

00:13:20.510 --> 00:13:23.717
Like if it goes tails and we
self-destruct, that's really bad.

00:13:23.800 --> 00:13:28.597
In the early days, when Anduril had
two products, that was how we felt.

00:13:28.680 --> 00:13:30.807
And by the way, of our first
two hardware products,

00:13:30.890 --> 00:13:33.567
one came up ahead,
the Anduril Sentry Tower,

00:13:33.650 --> 00:13:36.277
and the other came down a tails,
the Anduril Sentry Tank,

00:13:36.360 --> 00:13:38.857
which was a firefighting vehicle,
both powered by Lattice,

00:13:38.940 --> 00:13:41.197
both powered by the same AI brain.

00:13:41.280 --> 00:13:44.577
And if we would've had two tails there, I
mean, that, that would've been it, right?

00:13:44.660 --> 00:13:47.407
Maybe not. Maybe I would've been able
to raise more money and try again.

00:13:47.490 --> 00:13:49.167
But it's not- - You have
been raising a lot of money.

00:13:49.250 --> 00:13:50.997
- We have, but this was eight
and a half years ago.

00:13:51.080 --> 00:13:53.627
Defense wasn't hot.
In fact, it was very unpopular.

00:13:53.710 --> 00:13:56.087
I had to twist arms and pull favors

00:13:56.170 --> 00:13:58.880
to get a lot of my Oculus
investors to invest in me,

00:13:59.880 --> 00:14:01.887
some of them because they
believed in what we were doing,

00:14:01.970 --> 00:14:03.880
others, honestly, as a favor to me,

00:14:04.840 --> 00:14:07.847
or maybe even a little bit of what
people would consider extortion, you know,

00:14:07.930 --> 00:14:11.847
a little bit of, "Hey, if you don't
invest in me and we are successful,

00:14:11.930 --> 00:14:15.107
I'm gonna tell everybody that
you're the only Oculus investor

00:14:15.190 --> 00:14:16.777
who didn't come back
to invest in my company.

00:14:16.860 --> 00:14:19.067
I thought you guys believed
in people, not companies.

00:14:19.150 --> 00:14:21.197
How many billions of dollars
did we make you again?

00:14:21.280 --> 00:14:24.987
How many billions?" And the point is,

00:14:25.070 --> 00:14:27.327
in the early days we were
flipping a couple coins.

00:14:27.410 --> 00:14:32.457
We now have a lot of coins.
If Fury goes on tails,

00:14:32.540 --> 00:14:36.417
the FQ-44, we will be okay. We've got
a lot of other things we're working on.

00:14:36.500 --> 00:14:38.257
We've got a lot of other capacity.

00:14:38.340 --> 00:14:42.377
If you had to ask me and if I'm
a betting man, and I guess I am,

00:14:42.460 --> 00:14:43.717
I would say that I think the Air Force

00:14:43.800 --> 00:14:46.717
is going to probably want
to have more than one company

00:14:46.800 --> 00:14:48.057
making autonomous fighter jets for them.

00:14:48.140 --> 00:14:51.177
I think, again, you know, again,
I can't speak for the Air Force.

00:14:51.260 --> 00:14:54.847
It's just me, the guy, you know,
from the peanut gallery.

00:14:54.930 --> 00:15:00.027
I think that it's very likely that they
would carry General Atomics and Anduril,

00:15:00.110 --> 00:15:02.067
if not more, into production,

00:15:02.150 --> 00:15:04.617
so that they can continuously
compete us against each other.

00:15:04.700 --> 00:15:07.867
Why give a monopoly to somebody
on something if you're able

00:15:07.950 --> 00:15:09.907
to have them continuously
at each other's throats

00:15:09.990 --> 00:15:12.577
for margins,
for performance, for upgrades.

00:15:12.660 --> 00:15:14.707
If I were president of the United States,

00:15:14.790 --> 00:15:18.087
I'd wanna have parallel
source and dual source minimum

00:15:18.170 --> 00:15:19.587
on everything that I'm doing,

00:15:19.670 --> 00:15:22.757
because now you get the power
of the American free markets,

00:15:22.840 --> 00:15:27.257
of the capital markets basically just
running at each other continuously

00:15:27.340 --> 00:15:28.847
across every problem that DoD is doing.

00:15:28.930 --> 00:15:31.557
I would love to have multiple
vendors of nuclear submarines,

00:15:31.640 --> 00:15:33.227
multiple vendors of aircraft carriers.

00:15:33.310 --> 00:15:35.347
And I want to leverage private capital

00:15:35.430 --> 00:15:38.397
so that eventually you might have as much
private capital going into these problems

00:15:38.480 --> 00:15:40.227
as public capital taxpayer dollars.

00:15:40.310 --> 00:15:43.107
- What won't you build?
What's your red line?

00:15:43.190 --> 00:15:44.530
- What wouldn't I build?

00:15:45.990 --> 00:15:48.277
That's an interesting one. Well,
you know, I've been pretty public

00:15:48.360 --> 00:15:53.197
that how our weapons are used are,
you know, that's a matter for the DoD.

00:15:53.280 --> 00:15:55.877
But you're right, I have
control over what I can build.

00:15:55.960 --> 00:15:57.247
There's things that I could
say, for example, you know,

00:15:57.330 --> 00:15:59.337
that's a power too great for any man.

00:15:59.420 --> 00:16:02.087
- Nuclear weapons. - I would
definitely build nuclear weapons.

00:16:02.170 --> 00:16:03.207
I would build fission weapons.

00:16:03.290 --> 00:16:05.587
I would build fusion weapons.
I think that nuclear weapons

00:16:05.670 --> 00:16:09.797
have been one of the most
stabilizing forces in history ever.

00:16:09.880 --> 00:16:12.807
Now, granted, we're only about
half a century into that experiment,

00:16:12.890 --> 00:16:14.517
so there's time for me to be wrong.

00:16:14.600 --> 00:16:18.647
But we've seen, I think,
really large-scale, true,

00:16:18.730 --> 00:16:22.107
like total war seems off
the table between superpowers.

00:16:22.190 --> 00:16:24.027
That's incredible.
It's never been like that in history

00:16:24.110 --> 00:16:26.317
where total war is off the table.

00:16:26.400 --> 00:16:28.907
So fission weapons, fusion weapons,
absolutely I would build them.

00:16:28.990 --> 00:16:30.610
I would probably not build,

00:16:31.820 --> 00:16:33.447
I would not build biological weapons.

00:16:33.530 --> 00:16:35.537
- Chemical weapons?
- Chemical weapons I would build,

00:16:35.620 --> 00:16:37.167
but in a very specific vertical.

00:16:37.250 --> 00:16:39.417
And this is a very controversial
thing, and please don't clip,

00:16:39.500 --> 00:16:42.167
"Yes, I would build chemical
weapons," and put it on the Axios-

00:16:42.250 --> 00:16:46.257
- In future defense. (chuckling) - So I
wanna be very, very specific about this.

00:16:46.340 --> 00:16:50.427
And so if you guys post it,
you know, please include this as well.

00:16:50.510 --> 00:16:55.887
I'll give you an example. Pepper spray is
illegal for most non-military police units

00:16:55.970 --> 00:16:59.227
to use in the military.
So like certain MPs can use pepper spray.

00:16:59.310 --> 00:17:01.307
We are not able to use
pepper spray, tear gas

00:17:01.390 --> 00:17:03.647
as part of our conventional
offensive military tactics.

00:17:03.730 --> 00:17:05.067
I think that's a huge mistake.

00:17:05.150 --> 00:17:07.197
It falls under a lot of these
chemical weapon prohibitions.

00:17:07.280 --> 00:17:10.817
And I understand the worries about
fear of escalation or a slippery slope.

00:17:10.900 --> 00:17:12.277
I think we understand
chemical weapons enough

00:17:12.360 --> 00:17:16.457
to know there's no real slippery
slope from literally hot pepper juice

00:17:16.540 --> 00:17:20.327
to, you know, nerve, nerve
agents that are going to kill you.

00:17:20.410 --> 00:17:22.837
There is no slope.
And so I'll give you an example.

00:17:22.920 --> 00:17:25.047
You have a bunch of soldiers.
They're at a checkpoint.

00:17:25.130 --> 00:17:27.127
You have a guy who's approaching
towards the checkpoint.

00:17:27.210 --> 00:17:28.967
He comes up to the checkpoint.

00:17:29.050 --> 00:17:32.847
Something occurs that makes you
think that this person is a threat

00:17:32.930 --> 00:17:34.057
and you need to be able to subdue him,

00:17:34.140 --> 00:17:35.927
that you need to be able
to get them outta the car.

00:17:36.010 --> 00:17:39.097
Right now, you have one option,
you shoot the guy and you kill him.

00:17:39.180 --> 00:17:42.767
There is no escalation of force between
like waving a flashlight at a guy

00:17:42.850 --> 00:17:44.897
and yelling him and shooting at him.

00:17:44.980 --> 00:17:46.737
You could take warning shots at him,

00:17:46.820 --> 00:17:48.647
but like now you're creating
problems with shrapnel,

00:17:48.730 --> 00:17:50.357
with ricochets, with civilian damage.

00:17:50.440 --> 00:17:57.037
I think it is unarguably a moral win for
us to be able to have a continuum of force

00:17:57.120 --> 00:18:00.157
that does not have a gap between
shouting at people and shooting them.

00:18:00.240 --> 00:18:03.417
And I think pepper spray
is right in that continuum.

00:18:03.500 --> 00:18:07.837
So like I absolutely would love to build
certain types of chemical weapons

00:18:07.920 --> 00:18:10.047
that give you something in that continuum.

00:18:10.130 --> 00:18:13.337
I think if you go beyond shooting people
continuum, that's where I wouldn't.

00:18:13.420 --> 00:18:16.467
I would never build large scale,
large scale, you know,

00:18:16.550 --> 00:18:18.767
I'll call it like
strategic-level chemical weapons

00:18:18.850 --> 00:18:20.807
versus very, very focused tactical.

00:18:20.890 --> 00:18:22.517
Like biological weapons,
I would not build.

00:18:22.600 --> 00:18:24.937
Facial recognition
is actually another one.

00:18:25.020 --> 00:18:28.277
- Interesting. - I'm not saying
facial recognition has no uses.

00:18:28.360 --> 00:18:33.657
However, we've had a kind of internal
policy, me and Brian Schimpf, our CEO,

00:18:33.740 --> 00:18:36.447
that facial recognition
is probably the wrong tool to use

00:18:36.530 --> 00:18:41.457
as part of the kind of final-stage
targeting of kinetic weapons.

00:18:41.540 --> 00:18:43.747
It's just still a very fraught technology.

00:18:43.830 --> 00:18:45.167
There's a lot of ways to spoof it.

00:18:45.250 --> 00:18:47.297
There's a lot of ways
that it can be wrong.

00:18:47.380 --> 00:18:51.467
There's a lot of ways that
people can go out of their way

00:18:51.550 --> 00:18:54.717
to affirmatively trick a system
that is built on facial recognition.

00:18:54.800 --> 00:18:57.717
And so, to me, it's a great tool
for, let's say, law enforcement

00:18:57.800 --> 00:18:59.517
to perform investigative activity.

00:18:59.600 --> 00:19:04.057
It is not a good tool to use when
you're deciding who lives and who dies

00:19:04.140 --> 00:19:07.517
in a split-second decision. So we've
never integrated facial recognition

00:19:07.600 --> 00:19:08.700
in any of our systems,

00:19:09.690 --> 00:19:13.697
because we don't think the gains
are even close to the negatives.

00:19:13.780 --> 00:19:16.617
- So you mentioned chief technology
officer Emil Michael earlier,

00:19:16.700 --> 00:19:18.577
so I'd like to ask you about Anthropic.

00:19:18.660 --> 00:19:21.997
- Sure. - Do you think
the Pentagon overstepped

00:19:22.080 --> 00:19:24.410
labeling the company a supply-chain risk?

00:19:25.660 --> 00:19:27.167
- So correct me if I'm wrong,

00:19:27.250 --> 00:19:29.547
and maybe I'm behind the times,
there's been a lot going on.

00:19:29.630 --> 00:19:33.377
I think they have not yet formally
designated them as a supply-chain risk,

00:19:33.460 --> 00:19:36.047
using that. - Even threatened,
do you think it was a, - Correct.

00:19:36.130 --> 00:19:36.887
- Do you think they
overstepped even threatening it?

00:19:36.970 --> 00:19:42.760
- I am of the mind that no.

00:19:44.060 --> 00:19:47.607
If anything, I think I may have been
even more forceful in this rejection.

00:19:47.690 --> 00:19:51.987
And let me tell you why. The only
reason you have not seen, I think,

00:19:52.070 --> 00:19:54.777
a larger defection from other companies

00:19:54.860 --> 00:19:58.907
that are worried about,
you know, similar problems

00:19:58.990 --> 00:20:01.537
is because of the forceful
reaction of the Department.

00:20:01.620 --> 00:20:04.497
The Department is saying, "We are
not gonna let you slippery slope this.

00:20:04.580 --> 00:20:08.167
We're not gonna let one company
get their special provisions,

00:20:08.250 --> 00:20:10.587
and then we're gonna have a different
debate with a different company,

00:20:10.670 --> 00:20:11.587
a different debate
with a different entity."

00:20:11.670 --> 00:20:13.757
Because these companies do
have different values, right?

00:20:13.840 --> 00:20:16.007
They're not gonna all
simultaneously agree,

00:20:16.090 --> 00:20:19.507
you know, "Anthropic's version
of their limits is our version."

00:20:19.590 --> 00:20:23.267
What you end up with very quickly
is a patchwork of different regulations

00:20:23.350 --> 00:20:24.847
across all these different companies.

00:20:24.930 --> 00:20:28.437
And the Department now has to ask, is
this operation, is this planning element,

00:20:28.520 --> 00:20:32.477
is this tool compliant with these
five different companies versions

00:20:32.560 --> 00:20:36.357
of what their limit is? And by the way,
that version changes over time.

00:20:36.440 --> 00:20:37.947
They now have to weigh these things.

00:20:38.030 --> 00:20:41.447
Let's set aside the,
you know, Anthropic was saying

00:20:41.530 --> 00:20:46.037
it's about offensive autonomous
weapons with no human in the loop

00:20:46.120 --> 00:20:48.367
or about mass surveillance.
There's a lot of questions there.

00:20:48.450 --> 00:20:50.747
Like, okay, what defines offensive?

00:20:50.830 --> 00:20:52.747
What defines no human in the loop?

00:20:52.830 --> 00:20:56.717
What defines weapon?
What defines use, right?

00:20:56.800 --> 00:21:00.257
And I know this sounds a little bit like,
you know, Bill Clinton, you know,

00:21:00.340 --> 00:21:04.637
depends on what the definition of is is
thing, but these things really do matter.

00:21:04.720 --> 00:21:07.437
Imagine if it was something
even more simple.

00:21:07.520 --> 00:21:12.567
A tech company said, "Department of War,
I'll do anything that you want.

00:21:12.650 --> 00:21:16.777
We will not turn it off unless
you target innocent civilians.

00:21:16.860 --> 00:21:21.867
We want it in paper that we can turn it
off if you target innocent civilians."

00:21:21.950 --> 00:21:26.117
Well, what is targeting? Like,
is it inadvertent versus explicit?

00:21:26.200 --> 00:21:28.537
What is innocence?
Is it determined by the courts?

00:21:28.620 --> 00:21:30.077
Is it determined by the Hague?

00:21:30.160 --> 00:21:31.287
Is it determined by people in Brussels?

00:21:31.370 --> 00:21:34.797
Is it determined by Dario?
What is a civilian?

00:21:34.880 --> 00:21:38.127
And who decides? What if there's
civilian mixed in with other things?

00:21:38.210 --> 00:21:41.837
You run into these problems
where, if you agree to this,

00:21:41.920 --> 00:21:45.137
you are giving more power
to private companies,

00:21:45.220 --> 00:21:49.097
executives making billions off taxpayers
than the president of the United States.

00:21:49.180 --> 00:21:52.607
They could just unilaterally,
you know, pull the keys on stuff

00:21:52.690 --> 00:21:55.187
in a way that not even
the commander-in-chief can do.

00:21:55.270 --> 00:21:56.317
I don't think that that's correct.

00:21:56.400 --> 00:21:58.447
I think that our military
has to be accountable

00:21:58.530 --> 00:22:02.107
to our civilian elected leadership,
not to corporations.

00:22:02.190 --> 00:22:05.197
So I guess your question,
did they respond too strongly?

00:22:05.280 --> 00:22:09.957
No, I think they have to show,
we will not allow this to progress.

00:22:10.040 --> 00:22:12.620
And I'll end this with one last bit.

00:22:13.710 --> 00:22:17.837
If the military truly
was using these things

00:22:17.920 --> 00:22:20.507
in a way that is truly objectionable,

00:22:20.590 --> 00:22:22.547
let's say, they are
targeting innocent civilians.

00:22:22.630 --> 00:22:24.217
These are the worst case
scenarios they bring up.

00:22:24.300 --> 00:22:26.887
What if they kill everyone who
didn't vote for the president?

00:22:26.970 --> 00:22:28.227
What if they're using drones to do that?

00:22:28.310 --> 00:22:32.437
I'd say, you know what, at that point,
they should take an illegal action

00:22:32.520 --> 00:22:35.017
and they should turn it off.
They shouldn't have it in their contract

00:22:35.100 --> 00:22:37.317
that they can do so.
It shouldn't be up to them to judge it.

00:22:37.400 --> 00:22:40.647
If it becomes so bad,
they should do the same thing

00:22:40.730 --> 00:22:42.277
that many soldiers have
done throughout history,

00:22:42.360 --> 00:22:46.987
which is do something that is illegal
because it's the right thing.

00:22:47.070 --> 00:22:49.907
And I think that, probably, society
comes out on the right side of that.

00:22:49.990 --> 00:22:52.997
But it is not okay to give them that say.

00:22:53.080 --> 00:22:56.707
- Do you think this is more a battle
of policies or personalities?

00:22:56.790 --> 00:22:59.377
- Hmm. It's all, I mean, it's both, right?

00:22:59.460 --> 00:23:00.797
I mean, that's what politics is.

00:23:00.880 --> 00:23:03.467
I think that there are
people who know how to, like,

00:23:03.550 --> 00:23:07.137
I bet there is somebody in the tech
world, I don't know if it's me,

00:23:07.220 --> 00:23:09.137
somebody probably could have gotten

00:23:09.220 --> 00:23:11.387
something equivalent
to those policies through

00:23:11.470 --> 00:23:15.147
by talking about it in exactly the right
way, writing exactly the same thing,

00:23:15.230 --> 00:23:18.357
and making sure to not rub
the wrong people the wrong way.

00:23:18.440 --> 00:23:21.487
Like there, there's a way where you
could talk people through these things.

00:23:21.570 --> 00:23:24.107
Maybe you could say, "Oh,
you know, we're gonna do this

00:23:24.190 --> 00:23:27.237
in a way that it's not taking
authority away from you."

00:23:27.320 --> 00:23:30.617
Maybe it would be something like,
instead of in our contract

00:23:30.700 --> 00:23:33.327
it says you can't do these things,
it would say, you know,

00:23:33.410 --> 00:23:36.417
"We're handing this
language over to Congress

00:23:36.500 --> 00:23:38.747
and should they ratify it,
this is how it would go.

00:23:38.830 --> 00:23:41.967
But of course we want your input
on what these things would be."

00:23:42.050 --> 00:23:44.467
So look, personalities
always enter into it.

00:23:44.550 --> 00:23:46.047
I'd be naive to say otherwise.

00:23:46.130 --> 00:23:50.387
- Last question on this. - And I think
probably the personalities in this case

00:23:50.470 --> 00:23:54.807
did not approach this in the most
collaborative way that they could,

00:23:54.890 --> 00:23:56.847
but in the end, I give
the win to the Department,

00:23:56.930 --> 00:23:58.517
because they're the one
that has to make sure

00:23:58.600 --> 00:24:02.357
that use of force and responsibility
for force lies in the chain of command

00:24:02.440 --> 00:24:05.947
that is accountable
to the people that we elect.

00:24:06.030 --> 00:24:10.287
- Elon Musk tweeted that Anthropic
hates Western Civilization.

00:24:10.370 --> 00:24:14.407
Secretary Pete Hegseth retweeted
it on his personal account.

00:24:14.490 --> 00:24:15.890
Do you agree with that take?

00:24:16.750 --> 00:24:21.750
- I probably would not
agree with it enough to-

00:24:22.920 --> 00:24:25.170
- Would you retweet it?
- Would I retweet it?

00:24:25.880 --> 00:24:28.550
Let me give you the steel
man for it before I answer.

00:24:30.340 --> 00:24:31.967
It depends on how much
you know about somebody.

00:24:32.050 --> 00:24:35.977
So I know people in Anthropic
who are patriotic Americans,

00:24:36.060 --> 00:24:38.807
and they do absolutely
support the United States

00:24:38.890 --> 00:24:41.067
having a stronger military
than our adversaries.

00:24:41.150 --> 00:24:44.817
They support, you know,
ideas like freedom of expression,

00:24:44.900 --> 00:24:47.607
freedom to self-determine,
freedom of association.

00:24:47.690 --> 00:24:51.987
And so it's hard for me to say
Anthropic hates Western Civilization.

00:24:52.070 --> 00:24:53.827
What is Anthropic? Is it the people?

00:24:53.910 --> 00:24:55.617
Is it the policy at the top?
But here's the steel man

00:24:55.700 --> 00:24:57.917
for why somebody might
believe that they would.

00:24:58.000 --> 00:25:02.877
Remember that Anthropic had
in their constitution for Claude,

00:25:02.960 --> 00:25:05.967
you may have seen the,
do you know what I'm talking about?

00:25:06.050 --> 00:25:08.507
- Yes. Yeah. - Where it says
something like, you know,

00:25:08.590 --> 00:25:11.387
generate the response
that is least offensive

00:25:11.470 --> 00:25:14.347
to non-Western cultural sensibilities.

00:25:14.430 --> 00:25:18.637
Generate a response that does
not conflict with positions

00:25:18.720 --> 00:25:24.527
contrary to typical Western-supremacy
ideals of cultural imperialism.

00:25:24.610 --> 00:25:27.947
You've seen what,
it's like a 10 prompts in that.

00:25:28.030 --> 00:25:30.947
I think it's really easy to look
at that and say, okay, they built a tool

00:25:31.030 --> 00:25:35.947
that inherently takes the counter-Western
position, the anti-Western position.

00:25:36.030 --> 00:25:39.537
You can say anything that
offends Western sensibilities,

00:25:39.620 --> 00:25:42.957
nothing that would offend people who
are outside of that cultural system.

00:25:43.040 --> 00:25:45.337
And so you say, "Well, wait,
what are Western sensibilities?"

00:25:45.420 --> 00:25:48.757
I mean, you're talking about, again,
freedom of speech, freedom to self-govern,

00:25:48.840 --> 00:25:53.427
freedom of association. And I think
it's actually pretty reasonable to say,

00:25:53.510 --> 00:25:56.387
okay, a company that had
their internal constitution

00:25:56.470 --> 00:25:59.517
for their core product
is clearly anti-Western.

00:25:59.600 --> 00:26:03.687
I'm not taking moral judgment on that,
but it was clearly anti-Western.

00:26:03.770 --> 00:26:08.857
Is it reasonable to say that that
company is not aligned with the West?

00:26:08.940 --> 00:26:11.697
Absolutely. Does it mean
they hate the West? Maybe not.

00:26:11.780 --> 00:26:13.447
For example, you could say,
"Well, it's actually

00:26:13.530 --> 00:26:14.987
that they were afraid of bad press.

00:26:15.070 --> 00:26:16.747
They're afraid of social justice warriors.

00:26:16.830 --> 00:26:22.037
They're all in San Francisco they
were all just kind of lost sight

00:26:22.120 --> 00:26:23.787
of reality for a little while."

00:26:23.870 --> 00:26:27.297
So I probably wouldn't retweet it,
but I think it's- - You didn't either.

00:26:27.380 --> 00:26:32.637
- I didn't retweet it, but I think like if
me and Pete were debating it right here,

00:26:32.720 --> 00:26:34.177
I think that he would probably say,

00:26:34.260 --> 00:26:39.137
"Palmer, their core product
literally is anti-Western."

00:26:39.220 --> 00:26:41.057
And then another person would say,

00:26:41.140 --> 00:26:45.057
"But Pete, they removed that from
their constitution months ago."

00:26:45.140 --> 00:26:46.527
And someone can reasonably say,

00:26:46.610 --> 00:26:49.357
"Okay, but did they remove it because they
don't believe it or did they remove it

00:26:49.440 --> 00:26:52.107
because they realize this
is an extremely bad position

00:26:52.190 --> 00:26:54.317
for basically any
American looking in this.

00:26:54.400 --> 00:26:57.657
This isn't a DoD thing.
Like I bet most Americans, you're like,

00:26:57.740 --> 00:26:59.367
"Hey, what do you think
about this AI constitution

00:26:59.450 --> 00:27:03.167
that says to, you know, make sure it never
says anything that might offend anybody

00:27:03.250 --> 00:27:05.207
who doesn't believe in Western principles

00:27:05.290 --> 00:27:08.207
and does not value these
Western principles at all?

00:27:08.290 --> 00:27:11.377
- Do you think most Americans are worried
about this Anthropic/Pentagon feud?

00:27:11.460 --> 00:27:13.127
Or is that in our little defense bubble?

00:27:13.210 --> 00:27:16.047
- No, I think we are. I think
it's a defense and politics bubble.

00:27:16.130 --> 00:27:20.597
I think if you were to go, I think if
you were to go to the beach, you know,

00:27:20.680 --> 00:27:23.097
in South Carolina
and ask a bunch of people,

00:27:23.180 --> 00:27:25.057
"What do you think about
this Anthropic deal?"

00:27:25.140 --> 00:27:27.147
They'd be like, "What?" (host chuckling)

00:27:27.230 --> 00:27:29.357
You'd be like, "You know,
Anthropic, the AI company?"

00:27:29.440 --> 00:27:30.770
They'd say, "What?"

00:27:32.440 --> 00:27:36.277
This is very much a little
bit of a tempest in a teacup.

00:27:36.360 --> 00:27:39.197
It just happens to be of great
importance for the future of our nation.

00:27:39.280 --> 00:27:41.537
- Another hot topic, Iran. - Sure.

00:27:41.620 --> 00:27:45.537
- If you look back at Iran 2026
right now, Epic Fury. - Yeah.

00:27:45.620 --> 00:27:49.337
- As you've looked back at previous
Middle East interventions,

00:27:49.420 --> 00:27:53.007
what would you say is going
wrong now, could go wrong now?

00:27:53.090 --> 00:27:54.087
- Is going wrong or could go wrong?

00:27:54.170 --> 00:27:58.007
Well, one thing I've been talking
about is we're starting to see, I think,

00:27:58.090 --> 00:27:59.757
one of the artifacts of the United States

00:27:59.840 --> 00:28:04.727
having had such a liberal and permissive
refugee policy vis-a-vis Iran.

00:28:04.810 --> 00:28:07.727
And I'm not saying that we
should not have had that policy.

00:28:07.810 --> 00:28:11.397
I'm not making a judgment and saying we
should not have accepted Iranian refugees

00:28:11.480 --> 00:28:14.317
who were persecuted by the government,
probably would've been killed years ago

00:28:14.400 --> 00:28:16.817
if they didn't come here.
But I can still recognize

00:28:16.900 --> 00:28:22.827
that allowing many of their smartest
people who are most against the regime

00:28:22.910 --> 00:28:25.287
to come to America
and other Western countries

00:28:25.370 --> 00:28:27.207
has kind of hollowed out their country

00:28:27.290 --> 00:28:31.957
of the reservoir of kind
of patriotic Iranian individuals

00:28:32.040 --> 00:28:35.297
who nonetheless don't like the theocratic
regime that is currently in power.

00:28:35.380 --> 00:28:38.587
I think one of the reasons, Trump
has said, "I'm giving you your moment.

00:28:38.670 --> 00:28:42.767
Now is the time to rise up." The
combination of sending people like that

00:28:42.850 --> 00:28:47.437
to countries like America and the
Ayatollah killing 35,000 protestors

00:28:47.520 --> 00:28:50.397
in a single weekend, those
things combined have left them

00:28:50.480 --> 00:28:53.567
where you don't have many
people left who could rise up,

00:28:53.650 --> 00:28:56.897
take control of the machinery,
and lead us in a good direction.

00:28:56.980 --> 00:29:00.197
I think that's one of the reasons
you're not seeing that happen.

00:29:00.280 --> 00:29:02.367
And so that's something that I
think will continue to go wrong.

00:29:02.450 --> 00:29:05.997
- Does does that then require boots
on the ground from the US to solve this?

00:29:06.080 --> 00:29:09.077
- Geez, I hope not. I mean,
I don't think the United States

00:29:09.160 --> 00:29:11.747
has the political will to do it,
whether it's good or bad.

00:29:11.830 --> 00:29:12.877
I've been saying this for years.

00:29:12.960 --> 00:29:16.587
I think after our adventures in the
Middle East of the last couple decades

00:29:16.670 --> 00:29:22.637
have robbed America of its ability
to sustain a boots-on-the-ground campaign.

00:29:22.720 --> 00:29:26.517
I think that what Trump's doing, like, you
know, whether it's in Venezuela or Iran,

00:29:26.600 --> 00:29:29.517
it's a totally new type of warfare,

00:29:29.600 --> 00:29:31.607
but I think it's born
of strategic realities, right?

00:29:31.690 --> 00:29:35.527
Like we do not have it in us to do
this, for good reasons or bad.

00:29:35.610 --> 00:29:37.357
I don't think that we're
ready to go fight,

00:29:37.440 --> 00:29:40.817
let's say World War II
for the right reasons,

00:29:40.900 --> 00:29:44.077
much less reasons that not
everyone agrees with.

00:29:44.160 --> 00:29:47.247
I think that we don't have
another D-Day in us right now,

00:29:47.330 --> 00:29:49.957
and I think that's
actually a bit of a problem.

00:29:50.040 --> 00:29:53.287
I think that it means that even in a very
important fight, we might not show up,

00:29:53.370 --> 00:29:54.837
but it's one of the
reasons I've been saying

00:29:54.920 --> 00:29:57.587
the United States probably needs
to transition from being the world police

00:29:57.670 --> 00:30:01.337
to being the world gun store. We need
to give the people that work with us,

00:30:01.420 --> 00:30:04.297
who have a stronger stake
in these interests than even we do,

00:30:04.380 --> 00:30:06.347
the tools that they
need to defend themselves

00:30:06.430 --> 00:30:08.727
and hopefully align with US interests.

00:30:08.810 --> 00:30:11.057
I don't think it's gonna
go to boots on the ground.

00:30:11.140 --> 00:30:14.937
Maybe I'll be eating my words in a week,
but I don't think that we have it in us.

00:30:15.020 --> 00:30:18.397
- So Trump ran as a bit of an
anti-war president, some in MAGA-

00:30:18.480 --> 00:30:20.607
- And he and he did
that even in the first one.

00:30:20.690 --> 00:30:22.487
You know, remember when
Hillary Clinton was running

00:30:22.570 --> 00:30:25.077
and saying she would enforce
a no-fly zone in Syria.

00:30:25.160 --> 00:30:28.197
And you had Trump saying, they'd say,
"Well, well what would you do, you know,

00:30:28.280 --> 00:30:31.457
if you were president?" He said,
"Well, I wouldn't start World War III."

00:30:31.540 --> 00:30:34.457
And, I have to admit,
that resonated with me.

00:30:34.540 --> 00:30:37.457
I was like, you know what,
that's probably the right attitude

00:30:37.540 --> 00:30:40.047
in terms of not starting wars needlessly,

00:30:40.130 --> 00:30:42.677
not expending munitions
and arms and industrial capacity

00:30:42.760 --> 00:30:45.797
that we need to fight more important
wars than that particular issue.

00:30:45.880 --> 00:30:47.637
- Is the Iran war an important one?

00:30:47.720 --> 00:30:49.597
- Here's the thing,
I'm not in the Gang of Eight.

00:30:49.680 --> 00:30:52.100
I haven't seen the briefing
that people saw.

00:30:53.520 --> 00:30:58.937
So far you've had people saying,
and you know, whether it's Secretary Rubio

00:30:59.020 --> 00:31:01.607
or other people
in Congress who were briefed

00:31:01.690 --> 00:31:04.657
that there was an imminent
threat to the United States

00:31:04.740 --> 00:31:07.827
to, not just servicemen,
but also civilians.

00:31:07.910 --> 00:31:10.407
It seems to be, this is not
necessarily based on the briefing,

00:31:10.490 --> 00:31:11.247
but things have leaked out

00:31:11.330 --> 00:31:15.707
is we now know that Israel
was planning a preemptive strike

00:31:15.790 --> 00:31:17.627
because they believed
that if they did not,

00:31:17.710 --> 00:31:21.587
there was going to be
a large-scale attack on Israel.

00:31:21.670 --> 00:31:23.217
And so it becomes one of those things

00:31:23.300 --> 00:31:25.630
where I don't have
enough information to say.

00:31:26.720 --> 00:31:29.217
I think that probably we'll
find out in the long run

00:31:29.300 --> 00:31:34.097
if this is as justified as it
seems to the administration.

00:31:34.180 --> 00:31:36.897
And this aligns with what
I've also been saying is like,

00:31:36.980 --> 00:31:41.147
this is why decisions like this cannot
be up to corporate executives.

00:31:41.230 --> 00:31:44.607
Like we cannot allow military policy
to be controlled by a corporatocracy,

00:31:44.690 --> 00:31:46.367
because we won't necessarily
have all that information.

00:31:46.450 --> 00:31:49.867
And can you imagine a world where
like the president and his secretaries

00:31:49.950 --> 00:31:55.287
have to brief like 20 CEOs, "Okay,
okay, okay, corporate overlords,

00:31:55.370 --> 00:31:57.627
here's why we're going
to be attacking Iran.

00:31:57.710 --> 00:31:58.747
Here's what we're gonna be doing.

00:31:58.830 --> 00:32:01.007
If we don't do it, there's
this many people are gonna die.

00:32:01.090 --> 00:32:04.547
Are you guys willing to make
some money on this or not?

00:32:04.630 --> 00:32:07.177
Let us know and we'll get to it or not."

00:32:07.260 --> 00:32:09.807
Like that would be a crazy situation.

00:32:09.890 --> 00:32:11.637
But based on what I know,

00:32:11.720 --> 00:32:15.727
if it is true that there was going to be
an imminent attack on the United States,

00:32:15.810 --> 00:32:19.057
not just military members,
but also civilians,

00:32:19.140 --> 00:32:20.607
I think that it seems very reasonable.

00:32:20.690 --> 00:32:24.197
And the steel man I've heard
is Iran's ballistic missile capacity

00:32:24.280 --> 00:32:26.197
had taken a huge turn up, right?

00:32:26.280 --> 00:32:27.737
They had built these new facilities.

00:32:27.820 --> 00:32:31.287
- But couldn't reach America.
- So not necessarily America,

00:32:31.370 --> 00:32:34.787
but still lots of US interests
in the region still, lots of US allies,

00:32:34.870 --> 00:32:37.997
and, of course, we have
dozens of bases in the region.

00:32:38.080 --> 00:32:42.707
I think the steel man
for this is China had provided Iran

00:32:42.790 --> 00:32:45.797
with manufacturing equipment
and manufacturing expertise

00:32:45.880 --> 00:32:48.387
that had caused a steep curve upwards

00:32:48.470 --> 00:32:50.507
in their ballistic
missile production capacity

00:32:50.590 --> 00:32:53.557
and that they were only a few
months into that production capacity.

00:32:53.640 --> 00:32:57.057
If you allowed them to continue
that for even two years,

00:32:57.140 --> 00:32:59.307
they would build
an arsenal that is so vast

00:32:59.390 --> 00:33:01.317
that we could never afford to take action.

00:33:01.400 --> 00:33:03.477
They could build nuclear
weapons with impunity.

00:33:03.560 --> 00:33:06.027
They could strike US
or allied bases with impunity,

00:33:06.110 --> 00:33:07.067
and we just wouldn't
be able to do anything.

00:33:07.150 --> 00:33:08.567
This is like the North Korea scenario.

00:33:08.650 --> 00:33:11.447
North Korea has so much
artillery built up in the hills

00:33:11.530 --> 00:33:15.457
that we really can't even dream
of doing anything against them, right?

00:33:15.540 --> 00:33:17.327
They build nukes.
We can't do anything about it,

00:33:17.410 --> 00:33:22.087
'cause they're going to pound Seoul into
pieces with weapons from 50 years ago.

00:33:22.170 --> 00:33:26.757
And so I think the steel man is,
we could not let the Iran situation

00:33:26.840 --> 00:33:30.380
turn into North Korea on steroids.

00:33:31.680 --> 00:33:33.967
- What needs to happen
before Anduril goes public?

00:33:34.050 --> 00:33:37.227
Word on the street is that you're
raising 4 billion at 60 billion.

00:33:37.310 --> 00:33:39.557
We reported that the other day.

00:33:39.640 --> 00:33:42.227
- I can tell you that
that's not quite right.

00:33:42.310 --> 00:33:46.397
But I will tell you also that we
are basically continuously raising,

00:33:46.480 --> 00:33:49.397
talking to investors.
As long as there are things

00:33:49.480 --> 00:33:53.367
that we think we could private capital
to work on, building better tools,

00:33:53.450 --> 00:33:54.447
building better capacity,
we're gonna do it.

00:33:54.530 --> 00:33:58.497
Like our last round, we raised,
how much did we raise?

00:33:58.580 --> 00:34:00.457
It was quite a bit of money.
I forget. - It was, yeah, billions.

00:34:00.540 --> 00:34:04.667
- It was billions of dollars. We put most
of that money into building Arsenal-1,

00:34:04.750 --> 00:34:07.047
which is this 5-million-square-foot
production facility

00:34:07.130 --> 00:34:11.427
to build missiles, fighter
jets, air defense systems,

00:34:11.510 --> 00:34:13.800
all kinds of things at this huge facility.

00:34:14.890 --> 00:34:16.427
And if we were raising right now,

00:34:16.510 --> 00:34:18.477
we'd be putting into basically
exactly the same thing.

00:34:18.560 --> 00:34:21.897
So we need to massively
scale up our capability.

00:34:21.980 --> 00:34:25.227
There's a huge number of things that we're
making that are extremely relevant.

00:34:25.310 --> 00:34:29.487
And I cannot wait for the government
to come, give me an order, give me money,

00:34:29.570 --> 00:34:31.197
then start building the factory,

00:34:31.280 --> 00:34:33.657
then train the people to build
it and then start building.

00:34:33.740 --> 00:34:36.787
If we do that, we are
gonna miss a lot of windows.

00:34:36.870 --> 00:34:38.997
Like think how stupid I would feel

00:34:39.080 --> 00:34:41.827
if I won a bunch of contracts
to build the things

00:34:41.910 --> 00:34:45.167
that would deter China
from invading Taiwan.

00:34:45.250 --> 00:34:49.467
And then because it takes three years
to get them out the door, the war happens.

00:34:49.550 --> 00:34:53.337
I mean, I would feel like the, I'd
feel like the biggest idiot in history.

00:34:53.420 --> 00:34:55.717
And luckily we've got a lot
of investors who feel the same way.

00:34:55.800 --> 00:34:58.717
Last thing I'll say on this is we
have investors who are investing in us

00:34:58.800 --> 00:35:00.677
because they believe in Anduril

00:35:00.760 --> 00:35:03.977
and they believe that we will become
the type of company that can go public.

00:35:04.060 --> 00:35:05.767
We're gonna get our financials
in the right shape

00:35:05.850 --> 00:35:07.527
that we can be a publicly-traded company.

00:35:07.610 --> 00:35:09.987
There's a number of them that, to them,

00:35:10.070 --> 00:35:14.987
that is secondary to wanting
us to promote stability,

00:35:15.070 --> 00:35:18.327
stop a great power conflict with China.

00:35:18.410 --> 00:35:20.657
And I think they feel that
actually investing in Anduril

00:35:20.740 --> 00:35:23.667
protects other investments that they
have, not just in the United States,

00:35:23.750 --> 00:35:25.327
but around the world. - On Arsenal-1,

00:35:25.410 --> 00:35:27.837
y'all said the production
lines could go hot

00:35:27.920 --> 00:35:31.000
as soon as this July,
a few months from now.

00:35:32.050 --> 00:35:34.007
- Actually, they're going
live in a matter of weeks.

00:35:34.090 --> 00:35:36.427
We're ahead of schedule.
So I just came back from Ohio,

00:35:36.510 --> 00:35:38.257
we were doing our final site survey.

00:35:38.340 --> 00:35:40.430
We have our first main building.

00:35:41.430 --> 00:35:44.477
We have our first main building done,
about a million square feet,

00:35:44.560 --> 00:35:48.147
and we have the exterior work
done on the second building.

00:35:48.230 --> 00:35:51.487
So that first line is actually gonna
be coming online in a matter of weeks.

00:35:51.570 --> 00:35:53.120
- What's rolling off that line?

00:35:54.150 --> 00:36:00.537
- We are making a variety of aircraft
and missiles and other stuff.

00:36:00.620 --> 00:36:05.417
- So like Barracuda and Fury?
- Barracuda is there, Fury is there.

00:36:05.500 --> 00:36:09.377
There's another aircraft that we're
making there as well for a different.

00:36:09.460 --> 00:36:13.877
Look, this facility is making things for
SOCOM, for the Army, for the Marine Corps,

00:36:13.960 --> 00:36:16.887
for the Air Force, and one other customer.

00:36:16.970 --> 00:36:22.347
I mean, like we already have the space
all allocated to make all of these things.

00:36:22.430 --> 00:36:26.017
You know, it's more slanted
towards one customer than another

00:36:26.100 --> 00:36:27.557
in terms of square footage right now.

00:36:27.640 --> 00:36:30.147
But yeah, that's coming
online in a matter of weeks.

00:36:30.230 --> 00:36:34.480
And we should be at full
scale with that by,

00:36:37.450 --> 00:36:40.200
it'll probably be Q2 next year.

00:36:41.280 --> 00:36:45.367
- Real quick, before a lightning
round, who's ahead in the AI race?

00:36:45.450 --> 00:36:46.750
US, China?

00:36:48.410 --> 00:36:50.957
- The United States
is ahead in the AI race.

00:36:51.040 --> 00:36:53.547
- How big is the gap?
- It's extremely small,

00:36:53.630 --> 00:36:55.257
because China's been doing a very good job

00:36:55.340 --> 00:36:58.547
of distilling our models,
copying a lot of our technology,

00:36:58.630 --> 00:37:03.967
leveraging open-source AI advancements and
getting those advancements into fielding,

00:37:04.050 --> 00:37:07.977
not just with the military, but also their
police state, their surveillance apparatus

00:37:08.060 --> 00:37:09.937
much, much faster than
the United States has.

00:37:10.020 --> 00:37:12.977
I'm not saying we need to build a,
you know, police state,

00:37:13.060 --> 00:37:15.567
a surveillance apparatus.
I'm just recognizing

00:37:15.650 --> 00:37:19.447
that China has the will at the top

00:37:19.530 --> 00:37:21.867
to push these things out much
faster than the United States.

00:37:21.950 --> 00:37:26.117
And you can criticize authoritarian
regimes while still recognizing

00:37:26.200 --> 00:37:28.577
that certain structural advantages exist,

00:37:28.660 --> 00:37:32.497
and China is maximizing
those structural advantages

00:37:32.580 --> 00:37:36.667
to push AI into their entire
government and its fingers,

00:37:36.750 --> 00:37:38.297
I think, faster than the United States.

00:37:38.380 --> 00:37:39.757
Like I would say the Department of War

00:37:39.840 --> 00:37:43.257
is the furthest along in pushing
AI into a lot of these.

00:37:43.340 --> 00:37:47.727
I mean, like they're using AI right now
in this Iran operation to great effect.

00:37:47.810 --> 00:37:50.937
Try to name another part of government
that is leveraging AI that effectively.

00:37:51.020 --> 00:37:53.897
Yeah, like the Department
of War, and I think probably

00:37:53.980 --> 00:37:57.607
because you have personalities
like Emil, you know, in the lead,

00:37:57.690 --> 00:37:59.987
that's why they're
leveraging it so quickly.

00:38:00.070 --> 00:38:02.487
You know, I'm not putting
down Trump's other appointees

00:38:02.570 --> 00:38:05.577
of the other departments, but you,
in the bureaucracies particularly,

00:38:05.660 --> 00:38:07.697
you are not seeing Department
of Agriculture using AI

00:38:07.780 --> 00:38:09.207
as effectively as the Department of War.

00:38:09.290 --> 00:38:13.037
You're certainly not seeing
the Department of Education

00:38:13.120 --> 00:38:14.417
using it as effectively as they could.

00:38:14.500 --> 00:38:17.757
It's probably like Department of War
then maybe Department of Energy

00:38:17.840 --> 00:38:20.087
are probably the two that I
would say are in the lead.

00:38:20.170 --> 00:38:22.217
- Lightning round? - Let's do it. - Okay.

00:38:22.300 --> 00:38:24.200
How long does it take to do your hair?

00:38:26.850 --> 00:38:29.347
You and me both. (chuckling) - That's it.

00:38:29.430 --> 00:38:31.687
- You had subterranean on your website.

00:38:31.770 --> 00:38:33.977
- That's right. - You went a bit
viral the other week or month

00:38:34.060 --> 00:38:36.647
for talking about
subterranean capabilities.

00:38:36.730 --> 00:38:38.607
What are you guys planning?
What are up to?

00:38:38.690 --> 00:38:41.357
- Anduril has working prototypes
of subterranean systems

00:38:41.440 --> 00:38:45.277
that can deliver a variety of kinetic,
electronic, and other effects.

00:38:45.360 --> 00:38:48.077
I've been talking about it
louder and louder and louder,

00:38:48.160 --> 00:38:50.327
because, first, when I
started talking about it

00:38:50.410 --> 00:38:52.867
before we had built anything years ago,
everyone thought that I was crazy.

00:38:52.950 --> 00:38:54.377
And to be clear, the thing
people thought was crazy

00:38:54.460 --> 00:38:54.577
is I said, "I think
the next war-fighting domain,

00:38:54.660 --> 00:38:57.257
is I said, "I think
the next war-fighting domain,

00:38:57.340 --> 00:38:59.507
before it's the moon,
is the subterranean domain."

00:38:59.590 --> 00:39:01.337
- Is it subterranean, then the moon?

00:39:01.420 --> 00:39:02.717
- Yeah, subterranean, then the moon.

00:39:02.800 --> 00:39:06.347
The moon's just gonna take longer
to become an actual war-fighting domain.

00:39:06.430 --> 00:39:09.597
And I'd say it's not a domain when
it's like a special weirdo little place

00:39:09.680 --> 00:39:10.727
where a few people might live.

00:39:10.810 --> 00:39:12.847
Like it needs to be larger than that.

00:39:12.930 --> 00:39:15.767
Look, the United States and the Soviet
Union both believed during the Cold War

00:39:15.850 --> 00:39:18.437
that the crust of the earth
would turn into a battle space,

00:39:18.520 --> 00:39:22.817
and that you would move
people and machines and effects

00:39:22.900 --> 00:39:26.237
through fire and logistics chains
using the crust of the earth

00:39:26.320 --> 00:39:29.447
the same way that a submarine
moves through the ocean.

00:39:29.530 --> 00:39:31.407
And I think that the thing
that killed that dream

00:39:31.490 --> 00:39:34.037
isn't that we decided
that it was impossible,

00:39:34.120 --> 00:39:37.247
it was that we won the Cold
War and we turned the spigot off

00:39:37.330 --> 00:39:39.417
on a lot of very, very interesting things.

00:39:39.500 --> 00:39:41.797
The difference now is that
with the power of autonomy,

00:39:41.880 --> 00:39:45.757
you can now build these things much more
cheaply, much, much, much lower risk.

00:39:45.840 --> 00:39:47.807
You don't need to build
manned, crude things.

00:39:47.890 --> 00:39:49.847
You've seen the movie
"The Core," of course.

00:39:49.930 --> 00:39:51.517
We don't need- - Is that
what you guys are up to?

00:39:51.600 --> 00:39:54.687
- No, like the thing from "The
Core" is what the US and the Soviets

00:39:54.770 --> 00:39:56.147
were trying to build back then.

00:39:56.230 --> 00:39:58.107
The Soviets built a working subterrene.

00:39:58.190 --> 00:40:02.107
It worked so well, they lost it in the
earth, a nuclear powered subterrene,

00:40:02.190 --> 00:40:05.400
a submarine that moves
through terra firma.

00:40:06.740 --> 00:40:06.947
Anyway, I've been talking
louder and louder about this,

00:40:07.030 --> 00:40:09.367
Anyway, I've been talking
louder and louder about this,

00:40:09.450 --> 00:40:11.447
because when I talk about these things,

00:40:11.530 --> 00:40:14.907
it acts as a lighthouse
that attracts all of the people.

00:40:14.990 --> 00:40:16.787
They say, "Wait, what's that over there?

00:40:16.870 --> 00:40:17.787
There's a guy who's doing this."

00:40:17.870 --> 00:40:21.127
And so I'm talking about it loudly
to attract all the right people,

00:40:21.210 --> 00:40:22.877
the people who wanna
work on these problems,

00:40:22.960 --> 00:40:25.257
the people in government who
need to solve these problems.

00:40:25.340 --> 00:40:30.640
And it's moving along slower than I
would like, because it seems so crazy.

00:40:31.470 --> 00:40:36.017
It isn't. - You unveiled
EagleEye at AUSA in October.

00:40:36.100 --> 00:40:37.230
Does it have cat ears?

00:40:38.060 --> 00:40:44.697
- Oh, the EarPods. - Yeah. - So it has
modular sensor mounts that allow you

00:40:44.780 --> 00:40:47.487
to put sensors in it. - Have you seen
the rumors that those are cat ears?

00:40:47.570 --> 00:40:49.447
- I have seen the rumors,
and I have to admit,

00:40:49.530 --> 00:40:51.907
there may have definitely
been some consideration.

00:40:51.990 --> 00:40:53.827
Internally, we actually
call them wolf ears.

00:40:53.910 --> 00:40:57.910
- Okay. But the wolf ear modules,
if you think about it rationally,

00:40:58.870 --> 00:41:00.627
here, you have all
of your hearing protection.

00:41:00.710 --> 00:41:02.047
You have already a lot of stuff going on.

00:41:02.130 --> 00:41:04.230
Then you have a rail that's going on here.

00:41:05.500 --> 00:41:07.127
So you basically have like this span,

00:41:07.210 --> 00:41:10.297
you wanna put these weights on top
of your head going back into your spine.

00:41:10.380 --> 00:41:13.007
You don't want them floating out here
or you're floating way off the side

00:41:13.090 --> 00:41:14.307
where they're gonna get stuck on stuff,

00:41:14.390 --> 00:41:16.017
where they're gonna tilt
you to one side or the other.

00:41:16.100 --> 00:41:18.477
You want them to be basically
as central as possible

00:41:18.560 --> 00:41:20.227
and as far back in your head as possible.

00:41:20.310 --> 00:41:23.317
But you also need this central
vein for things like IR beacons,

00:41:23.400 --> 00:41:25.317
things that are visible
from all different directions.

00:41:25.400 --> 00:41:27.197
And so when you run the math,
there's actually,

00:41:27.280 --> 00:41:29.527
like the ears could be like here or here.

00:41:29.610 --> 00:41:32.117
There's actually very little flexibility.

00:41:32.200 --> 00:41:34.117
And so what, for people who don't
know what we're talking about,

00:41:34.200 --> 00:41:37.747
our helmet has these pods where I
can put different modular sensors on.

00:41:37.830 --> 00:41:41.287
So I've got my main thermal and night
vision and vision enhancement up here.

00:41:41.370 --> 00:41:42.497
And then up here I can have, let's say,

00:41:42.580 --> 00:41:46.627
a long-range thermal sensor
or a hyperspectral camera

00:41:46.710 --> 00:41:49.337
that allows me to see
explosive residue on something.

00:41:49.420 --> 00:41:51.927
But I can have that be modular where I
don't have to carry it around on my head

00:41:52.010 --> 00:41:54.347
all the time. I can carry
my hyperspectral camera on my pouch,

00:41:54.430 --> 00:41:55.677
only use it when I'm actually,

00:41:55.760 --> 00:41:57.927
let's say, you know,
inspecting something for residue.

00:41:58.010 --> 00:42:01.187
Or maybe one guy in the squad
has long-range thermal,

00:42:01.270 --> 00:42:03.977
another guy has hyperspectral,
another guy has a SWIR thing,

00:42:04.060 --> 00:42:06.437
because he's the guy who's
marking fires for air support,

00:42:06.520 --> 00:42:07.857
and he needs that in his HUD.

00:42:07.940 --> 00:42:10.487
It makes these things easier
to replace, easier to upgrade,

00:42:10.570 --> 00:42:12.657
easier to have different
roles in the squad

00:42:12.740 --> 00:42:15.197
with different technological capabilities.

00:42:15.280 --> 00:42:19.117
But yes, there are people who say
that they look like anime girl cat ears.

00:42:19.200 --> 00:42:24.210
And I will admit that
the comparison was made

00:42:24.330 --> 00:42:27.967
immediately upon converging
on that engineering solution.

00:42:28.050 --> 00:42:33.257
- Last two questions. You mentioned before
we started, Gavin Newsom saved Anduril.

00:42:33.340 --> 00:42:38.060
- Oh, yes, that's right. And I said,
"I think he did it without even knowing."

00:42:39.640 --> 00:42:41.687
This is not to say that Gavin did this,

00:42:41.770 --> 00:42:42.977
because he wasn't even
thinking of Anduril.

00:42:43.060 --> 00:42:46.897
I suspect he was not at all. But the
California state legislature passed a bill

00:42:46.980 --> 00:42:49.107
that was regulating AI.
So it made it through the house

00:42:49.190 --> 00:42:50.890
and it made it through the Senate,

00:42:51.940 --> 00:42:56.367
not with a super majority. So it
was not a bill that could not be vetoed.

00:42:56.450 --> 00:42:59.157
And one of the provisions
in the bill said that it was illegal

00:42:59.240 --> 00:43:04.247
for companies to build products
with AI that cause harm to humans,

00:43:04.330 --> 00:43:07.877
in fact, that could cause
physical harm to humans.

00:43:07.960 --> 00:43:12.047
This would've been a total prohibition on
using artificial intelligence on weapons

00:43:12.130 --> 00:43:13.637
for the United States military.

00:43:13.720 --> 00:43:15.927
And I think that this is a terrible thing.

00:43:16.010 --> 00:43:19.387
That bill, I'm a states'-rights
guy, I lean libertarian.

00:43:19.470 --> 00:43:21.267
But that bill is the reason

00:43:21.350 --> 00:43:23.597
that I think we need federal
preemption on these issues.

00:43:23.680 --> 00:43:27.567
You cannot afford to have
states pass legislation

00:43:27.650 --> 00:43:30.027
that unilaterally cripples the entire,

00:43:30.110 --> 00:43:32.277
like, what if I literally
can't push software updates

00:43:32.360 --> 00:43:34.487
to a system that the department has

00:43:34.570 --> 00:43:36.527
that are desperately needed
to protect a military base,

00:43:36.610 --> 00:43:40.827
because California legislators passed a
law saying it is illegal for me to do so.

00:43:40.910 --> 00:43:46.577
That's crazy. Gavin vetoed the bill,
and I'm very, very glad that he did.

00:43:46.660 --> 00:43:48.247
I think, look- - Have you told him this?

00:43:48.330 --> 00:43:52.927
0 I have not told him this. If I have the
chance, I probably will mention it to him.

00:43:53.010 --> 00:43:55.387
Look, me and Gavin,
we disagree on a lot of things.

00:43:55.470 --> 00:43:59.757
There's plenty of things that I
could criticize Gavin Newsom on.

00:43:59.840 --> 00:44:04.437
But I will say, on the balance,
he is not one of the crazy people, right?

00:44:04.520 --> 00:44:07.267
You can disagree with him very
easily, but he is not someone

00:44:07.350 --> 00:44:10.607
who wants to tear down capital markets.

00:44:10.690 --> 00:44:16.697
He does not want our military to be
the weakest military in the world.

00:44:16.780 --> 00:44:19.617
Like he's generally a sane guy

00:44:19.700 --> 00:44:25.457
and apparently more sane than most of
our legislators who voted for that bill.

00:44:25.540 --> 00:44:29.247
I mean, to say nothing of what it would've
done to like the California economy.

00:44:29.330 --> 00:44:30.837
You basically would've
had to have everybody

00:44:30.920 --> 00:44:34.087
who's doing anything
with the Department move out.

00:44:34.170 --> 00:44:36.967
Because it's not just weapons
companies like Anduril,

00:44:37.050 --> 00:44:38.927
it's anyone who works
with the federal government

00:44:39.010 --> 00:44:42.387
on these systems would've
been hit by this, so.

00:44:42.470 --> 00:44:45.597
But you know, like, I mean, you remember
when there were a lot of state legislators

00:44:45.680 --> 00:44:48.727
who were telling Elon that he
should get out of California

00:44:48.810 --> 00:44:50.767
and celebrating when he
brought all those jobs with him.

00:44:50.850 --> 00:44:54.187
So there's certain people who they look
at their responsibility to the state

00:44:54.270 --> 00:44:58.367
very differently than I think most
Californians or Americans would.

00:44:58.450 --> 00:45:01.197
- Last question, might be your favorite,

00:45:01.280 --> 00:45:04.740
is Yoko Taro the right
person to reboot Evangelion?

00:45:05.740 --> 00:45:09.417
- I have a lot of trust
in Hideaki Anno and his judgment

00:45:09.500 --> 00:45:11.337
when it comes to the franchise.

00:45:11.420 --> 00:45:13.627
And if he believes it is the right choice,

00:45:13.710 --> 00:45:17.967
and he is, you know, notoriously
protective of that intellectual property.

00:45:18.050 --> 00:45:22.217
All the licenses of Evangelion have
to be personally approved by him.

00:45:22.300 --> 00:45:26.807
I think that if he is okay
with it, then so too must I.

00:45:26.890 --> 00:45:27.770
- You a NieR fan?

00:45:29.520 --> 00:45:32.267
- No, not really.
- Palmer, thanks for the time.

00:45:32.350 --> 00:45:33.350
- Thank you so much.
