WEBVTT

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Heat.

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[applause]

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Heat.

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For the following interview, Francis
Suarez, mayor of the city of Miami,

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takes the stage of America Business Forum.

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You got it.

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>> He's unflapable. He didn't even move

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[laughter] when the the smoke went up.

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So, Eric, this is the second time that I

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have the privilege to be able to

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interview you. So, uh, I'm very excited

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about this. Um, by the way,
mayor, I I have to

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interrupt. I'm very
interested in Shakespeare

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sonnetss. So, I just wrote one.
It's about you.

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>> Okay. >> It's entitled Upon
the Excellence of Mayor Suarez.

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>> Please.

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>> When first Miami's
helm he took in hand,

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a city poised between oceans azure deep

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and futures promise vast throughout the

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land. He swed where others scarce had

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dared to reap.

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With vision bold as concistadors of old,

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he brought forth commerce, tech, and

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innovations art, made Miami shine as

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cities rot of gold, and placed our fair

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metropolis apart.
It continues, don't worry.

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>> Okay.

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>> Through tempest rage and plague's most

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grievous tests, he stood as a bull work

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against adversity's tide. led his

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citizens with courage in his breast and

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made our city known far and wide. So

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shall his legacy in marble stand. The

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mayor who raised Miami's fortune grand.

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Mayor Suarez, [applause]

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>> this is the kind
of stuff we can do with AI.

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>> I was going to say I was going
to say >> it took me about two seconds.

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>> Okay. So, so now you're gonna make me

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tell a story. This is completely off

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script. So, I was asked to

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open the consulate of Morocco. Now,

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usually, as you know, Eric, we get when
we go to events, we get talking points.

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People give us talking points and all
that. [snorts] And so, I had not been

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reading my talking points lately. So,
I had been telling my staff, "Why don't

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you just give me one or two bullet
points wherever I go, and I'll weave a

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story into it." Well, I go to um you

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know, open up the consulate of of
Morocco and there's only two bullet

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points. Bullet point number one is that
there's direct flights to Casablanca.

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Bullet point number two is that it's the

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third consulate in America for Morocco.

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Not that much to go on, right? So, as

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I'm being introduced, I literally pull

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my phone out of my pocket and I have the

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chat GPT prompt on the phone
and I speaking to the phone.

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>> I would use Gemini.
Of course I have the

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Gemini prompt. That's what I meant. Uh,
yes, of course I meant I I meant Gemini.

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Of course, I have the Gemini prompt and

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I speak clearly into the Gemini prompt.

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Stand correctly. [applause]

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Know your audience. KYC. So, I have the

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Gemini prompt and I say, "Pretend you're
the mayor of Miami and you're about to

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open the Moroccan consulate and you only

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have two facts. Fact [laughter] number
one is there's direct flights to Monaco.

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Pretend you're the mayor of Miami.

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>> Pretend you're the mayor of Miami,
[laughter] right? Fact number one is

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direct flight to Casablanca. Fact number
two, it's a third consulate opening in

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the US. What would you say? Before they

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finished introducing me and before I

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walked the stage, Gemini had written

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this entire speech for me. I read it

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word for word. People were crying,

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laughing, hugging me. You know our

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country so well, Mr. Mayor. How have you

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known about us so much and so deep? So

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yes, thank you for that incredible >> so

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>> true story by the way.
>> And one more piece of congratulations

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which I'm sure you'll appreciate. No one

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has ever done an American business forum

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at this scale in America. This is an

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innovative mayor as well. Um, and I I I

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really want you to think about doing
this all around America because business

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is what we do and America's growth
depends on the kind of things we're

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talking about today. What's interesting
is that about three, three and a half

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years ago, maybe four years ago, there's

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a moment in San Francisco where people

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realized that these models could write.

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And boy, could they write. >> Oh, yeah.

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>> That's a real
discovery moment. It's one

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of those historic moments in history
similar to physics and chemistry and

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things like that.
>> It's incredibly disruptive and uh and I

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appreciate the the comments and of course
it's a it's a team effort. Nacho

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who vision it was to bring it from
Uruguay Sergio who's our big investor.

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Where are you Sergio? You're here
somewhere. I'm sure um he'll be here any

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minute. Steve who helped me my cousin
who helped me put this together. But

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let's get back to the interview. Um, you

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know, Eric, you're obviously
a world-renowned figure and tech pioneer.

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Did you have an inkling that you were
destined for greatness? Um, what was it

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about you, about your DNA? Was it your

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tenacity? I mean, what is the sort
of the components of you that made you

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supersede? >> I think
the most important thing to say

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anyone who's on stage here start with

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luck. I was lucky to be born now. I was

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lucky to be born in America. My parents
were academics. uh I had an awful lot of

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people who helped get me through
the various stages of life. One of the

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things that we who are now older owe the

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younger people is to give them the same

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opportunity, right?
It's really important and and I

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was thinking about what what should be a

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theme for this audience and the everyone

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in America is obsessed about everything

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except for one thing which is the human

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talent and the human talent of America

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is why we are exceptional. Focus
on humans. Focus on their education and

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their culture and their development
and their curiosity and their energy and

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their tenacity and so forth and help
them with the various travailes that

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happen in life. Focus on the humans of

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America. It's the only answer.

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>> You know, [applause] you're
a great leader. You've been a

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great mentor to me and friend >>
and you're an incredible coach and I

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think and you've I've read some books
on some of the people who coached you. Um,

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what's the coaching habit that you think
you consistently use to raise a level of

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the team? >> So, I wrote a book
about So, I had a coach name

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>> This is the book I read, by the way.

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>> Yeah, that's right. We we actually
talked about it. I had a I had a coach

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named Bill Campbell. And when I started
at Google, the venture capitalist, John

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Door, said, "You need a coach." And I
said, "I'm a big boy. I've run a lot of

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companies. I don't need a coach."
And he said to me, "Do tennis players have

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coaches?" >> Absolutely.
>> And I I knew he had trapped me, right?

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Because the answer is, of course, they do,
even though they may not be as good

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as the actual tennis player. Coaches do

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different things. And so we we hired
retained, if you will, Bill Campbell for

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free. U became my best friend at the

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time. And what he coached was not an

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individual but a team. And the thing I

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learned from Bill is as a CEO you manage

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the team. You don't manage
the individuals. And you work on the team

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dynamics, but fundamentally it's a team
sport. He was a football coach and a and

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not a particularly good one. But he
was an extraordinary human leader. And

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there's a book trillion dollar coach. If
we were to write the book today, he died

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unfortunately some years ago. Uh,
it would be called the $7 trillion coach

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because he was the coach for Apple
and Google. Think about it.

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>> I think it was a
Princeton coach, right?

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>> No. >> Colia. >> Colia.
>> And his [clears throat] winning record

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was terrible. >> Like 0
and 10 or something like that.

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Yeah.

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>> So, but but leadership but but I now

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understand that I needed coaching, my

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team needed coaching, and the way I

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manage is I manage as sort of CEO and
coach. and you watch what's going on and

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you try to get people to work together
and there are various techniques like

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let tell the people who talk too much
so let the people who don't talk as much

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talk more I mean stuff like that >>
you know I also didn't believe that much

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in coaching and my coach is probably
somewhere here in the audience Louis

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Arau I don't know if Louis is here

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somewhere there he is there's my coach

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right there he's a he's a great guy so

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for someone that's starting out in tech
what's sort of the mindset or the

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practice that you think is going
to compound the most over the next decade.

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>> So if you look at success, it's a

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combination of intelligence that is

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ability to do the work and grit. And I

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would add intelligence, grit
and curiosity. When I was young, I was a

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sponge for everything because I didn't
seem to know anything or I thought I

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knew nothing. And the internet had not
really been invented yet. It was just

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getting started. And so we didn't have
the resources we have today. If I were a

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16 or 18year-old or 20-year-old,
whatever right now, I would be online

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all the time just learning because
I would be curious and I want to know

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everything. Mayor, tell me about yourself.
Tell me about your family.

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Tell me what you did. How did you get

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here? What are the problems?

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>> And I train myself to to look at

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businesses and say, "How do they work?"

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Right? Like, "How does this place work?

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How did you fund this? What was it
your idea? Who did you work with?"

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>> Pain, right? But but that's grit,
>> right? So you have to have the

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intelligence. I have all sorts
of friends who are brilliant who can't get

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through the day, right? They wake up,
they have an idea, they have another

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idea. Nothing happens with them. It's
the people who have an idea that's very

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clever and they have the tenacity
to push it. Those things come from

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curiosity. Another example, and this I
think the technology that we're in is so

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extraordinary and I'm so excited about it,
but there are some things we've

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lost. One of them is that we've lost is

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the looking out the window phenomena.

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And there's some evidence that looking
out the window is fundamentally

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important for curiosity. So here's
an example for all of you. When you're

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leaving here today sometime,
turn off your phone, tell everyone who's

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around you to shut up in a nice way and

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look out the window and daydream.

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That daydream is is important, too,
because that's how the creative thoughts

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come. >> Yeah. Amazing.
I mean look, I think for

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me failure uh has always been a great

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teacher. Pain as you as we said,
what are the sort of high quality failures

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that you've had in your life that you
think have sort of permanently changed

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how you think about
the world or how you lead?

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>> I think when you're when you're running

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stuff, you make lots of mistakes. So I

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hold myself responsible for not getting
ahead. We had the technology to do what

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Meta is doing now and we didn't
implement it fast enough, right? That's

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what I hold myself responsible.

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>> Sure. >> Um but in general,
if you just keep

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pushing it works and one of the key

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ideas about success is just keep doing

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stuff. Um what happens in organizations

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especially if I can be honest in middle

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age is every everything becomes sort of

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normal. And uh I was interested in in in

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the innovation culture of America. Uh I

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was Ken Burns is a friend of mine and I

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was watching him and he was he was asked

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is America in crisis and he said oh I

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think it's in perpetual crisis. We've

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always been disagreeing and our

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revolution is the thing. So when you

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understand when you understand that the

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system is not designed to be static,

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it's designed to be dynamic and it's a

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jump ball, then you can do it. I've

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consistently been slow to see that if I

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do self-criticism and I've consistently
assumed that stable systems were always

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stable. Humans can always
change the system if

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you need to figure out a way to change

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it to make it a better place,

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>> you know. >> [applause]

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>> You've run a big company. I'm running
a billion and a half dollar company, which

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is the city of Miami with 5,000
employees and four labor unions.

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The decisions that we make and that
we've made affect thousands of people.

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>> How do you deal with doubt in the face
of understanding the implications of

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those decisions and how
they impact people?

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I was talking to um um I've I've talked

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to the various presidents that I've
had an an honor to meet and when you

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actually talk to how the president
operates, there are moments in a

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presidency when the president makes a

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decision where they have no idea what's

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going to happen and yet they make the

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decision anyway. Uh that's I think how
you have to operate. Obviously not uh

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none of us have that kind of

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responsibility, thank God. Um, but

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fundamentally if it gets to you,
it shouldn't be an easy decision. The

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people who work for you should be able
to handle these things. One way to think

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about it is the really complex problems
are ones that you participate in. You

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lead the the you lead the team and you
make a bet and you iterate and iterate

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and iterate. All success
is fundamentally a genius and then

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iteration and and essentially just
constant evolution. Um, and you're

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always failing. are always trying things
that didn't work and so forth. One of

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the geniuses of America is that people

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who can go bankrupt can be rehired
and become hugely successful. Many of my

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favorite entrepreneurs, the first I
didn't work, the second I didn't work,

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the third I didn't work, and the fourth,

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boom. Right? So, never stop trying.

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On a similar note, when a project
is deeply uncertain but potentially

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transformative, how do
you communicate your vision

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and guide your team
through that uncertainty?

00:14:44.480 --> 00:14:47.037
Um, what I try to do is I try to frame

00:14:47.120 --> 00:14:51.037
the question correctly. Usually, if you

00:14:51.120 --> 00:14:53.677
can ask, so let's start with the basic

00:14:53.760 --> 00:14:55.997
principle. Don't tell people to do, ask

00:14:56.080 --> 00:14:59.037
what people want to do, right? But frame

00:14:59.120 --> 00:15:03.357
the question. Okay, this is what we want
to do. What is the best idea? Because

00:15:03.440 --> 00:15:06.717
frankly, people don't like to be told
what to do. They like to be asked,

00:15:06.800 --> 00:15:09.277
right? And the key leadership is to

00:15:09.360 --> 00:15:13.837
frame the question or the goal in such
a way that everyone kind of gets it. A

00:15:13.920 --> 00:15:17.597
simple rule is you have to repeat it
at least 20 times before people believe

00:15:17.680 --> 00:15:20.237
you. So I I become very repetitive.

00:15:20.320 --> 00:15:24.157
Another thing I do, which may be going
out of of favor because nobody uses

00:15:24.240 --> 00:15:28.477
email anymore, is I'm constantly writing
down this is what I think, this is where

00:15:28.560 --> 00:15:32.077
we should do, what do you guys think,
and so forth. So, it's it's much more

00:15:32.160 --> 00:15:36.877
interactive. Um, and the and the
strategies evolve and then you get some

00:15:36.960 --> 00:15:40.957
great product manager who can
brilliantly expose the result of this

00:15:41.040 --> 00:15:45.517
process, but it fundamentally starts
from saying, what is our goal? So, we

00:15:45.600 --> 00:15:47.357
want to win. Okay, what does that mean?

00:15:47.440 --> 00:15:50.477
Another thing I do that works well is I

00:15:50.560 --> 00:15:53.277
start by saying where will we be in five

00:15:53.360 --> 00:15:56.877
years? Humans are terrible at predicting

00:15:56.960 --> 00:16:02.157
past the next six 6 12 months. Right?
If you force people to say what will be

00:16:02.240 --> 00:16:06.637
true in five years, you get a very
different answer. So here's an example.

00:16:06.720 --> 00:16:11.197
Uh the cost of AI tokens that is the
delivery of queries is going down by a

00:16:11.280 --> 00:16:13.277
factor of 10 every year.

00:16:13.360 --> 00:16:16.397
>> Amazing. So 5 years 10 you know 10 to

00:16:16.480 --> 00:16:19.037
the 5th or sorry five to the what you

00:16:19.120 --> 00:16:21.357
you can do the math uh it's a very large

00:16:21.440 --> 00:16:27.277
number what happens when the cost
of my little sonnet is so cheap it's just

00:16:27.360 --> 00:16:30.717
everywhere right >> right all
in praise of you mayor >> of course

00:16:30.800 --> 00:16:34.397
>> um >> what does
that mean think backward

00:16:34.480 --> 00:16:41.080
almost every business fails to understand
the compounding of these technologies

00:16:41.200 --> 00:16:45.757
>> you know innovation is often
referred to has managed chaos.

00:16:45.840 --> 00:16:49.437
>> How do you explain that sort
of juxtaposition, that tension between

00:16:49.520 --> 00:16:51.597
managing and something that's somewhat

00:16:51.680 --> 00:16:55.037
organized or ordered and chaos?

00:16:55.120 --> 00:16:57.117
>> Um, it has to do with the structure of

00:16:57.200 --> 00:17:00.637
goals. You want to sit think a lot about

00:17:00.720 --> 00:17:05.277
goal alignment. In corporations, it's
pretty easy because everybody has stock

00:17:05.360 --> 00:17:09.437
options. They have a common goal.
It's much harder in what you do because

00:17:09.520 --> 00:17:13.837
there's multiple goals. So if I were you,
if I were running running the the

00:17:13.920 --> 00:17:17.917
city, which fortunately you're doing and
I'm not, I would sit down and say, "What

00:17:18.000 --> 00:17:20.797
are the real goals?"
>> Priorities, >> right?

00:17:20.880 --> 00:17:23.997
>> Healthcare, safety, economic growth,

00:17:24.080 --> 00:17:27.117
welfare, uh inward, and I'd measure

00:17:27.200 --> 00:17:30.717
them. Set the goals, measure them,

00:17:30.800 --> 00:17:34.477
articulate them, repeat, repeat, repeat.

00:17:34.560 --> 00:17:37.677
So how do you protect true innovation

00:17:37.760 --> 00:17:40.797
from the bureaucracy that inevitably

00:17:40.880 --> 00:17:46.077
grows around that success and can
stifle that same innovation

00:17:46.160 --> 00:17:50.397
>> in software which is what [clears
throat] I've done from 50 years

00:17:50.480 --> 00:17:55.197
which is I think largely going away
because AI is beginning to write software

00:17:55.280 --> 00:17:57.277
my simple rule was that three people

00:17:57.360 --> 00:17:59.597
would invent something new like the

00:17:59.680 --> 00:18:02.797
Chrome browser or you know the Android

00:18:02.880 --> 00:18:04.957
operating system or so forth and then it

00:18:05.040 --> 00:18:07.277
would take a thousand people to finish

00:18:07.360 --> 00:18:10.317
it and I kept thinking why do we need so

00:18:10.400 --> 00:18:12.957
many people and there's this constant

00:18:13.040 --> 00:18:16.077
problem of every team engineering team

00:18:16.160 --> 00:18:20.797
management team getting bigger
and bigger you want lean teams the lesson

00:18:20.880 --> 00:18:25.277
over and over is lean teams another
example I have a rule with the companies

00:18:25.360 --> 00:18:29.437
I'm running now that if we do new things
you can only have 10 people you can't

00:18:29.520 --> 00:18:33.917
have 11 when we go into a new country
you can have 10 people but not 11

00:18:34.000 --> 00:18:37.277
because I figure 10 people is a group
that's kind of a manageable group. It's

00:18:37.360 --> 00:18:38.797
self-managing. They know each other.

00:18:38.880 --> 00:18:43.677
They can figure it out and so forth and
you can judge the team. So what happens

00:18:43.760 --> 00:18:48.477
in in if you're if you're not
disciplined about that is you get uh who

00:18:48.560 --> 00:18:50.557
people who I call glue people and I mean

00:18:50.640 --> 00:18:55.677
this in the most affectionate way. They
are very nice people. They glue person A

00:18:55.760 --> 00:18:59.437
to person B and you discover you don't
need them. Person A can talk to person B

00:18:59.520 --> 00:19:03.117
without the person in between. Yeah. And
that glue person slows everything down.

00:19:03.200 --> 00:19:07.997
So time to decision, quickness, small
teams and agile thinking is important.

00:19:08.080 --> 00:19:09.757
My experience in talking about this

00:19:09.840 --> 00:19:11.917
around the world is everyone goes like

00:19:12.000 --> 00:19:15.197
this. And this means I'm a human and I'm

00:19:15.280 --> 00:19:17.357
breathing and I'm listening to you. It

00:19:17.440 --> 00:19:19.517
does not mean I'm going to do anything.

00:19:19.600 --> 00:19:22.717
So if you hear these ideas, unless you

00:19:22.800 --> 00:19:27.757
implement the things I'm talking about,
you won't get the benefit. Knowledge is

00:19:27.840 --> 00:19:31.677
not sufficient. you actually have
to take the leadership and that's and

00:19:31.760 --> 00:19:33.917
that's when it gets tough because you're

00:19:34.000 --> 00:19:37.037
talking about uh very protected groups,

00:19:37.120 --> 00:19:39.597
protected individuals and so forth. The

00:19:39.680 --> 00:19:45.117
great business people know when to push
those and when not to and that's a

00:19:45.200 --> 00:19:50.717
judgment. >> So,
of course, moving on to AI.

00:19:50.800 --> 00:19:55.517
AI is going to be the most powerful
tool humanity's ever created. It's also

00:19:55.600 --> 00:19:56.797
potentially going to be the most

00:19:56.880 --> 00:20:00.157
dangerous. Let's watch this clip.

00:20:00.240 --> 00:20:04.397
>> A new age has begun.
One not written in ink but in code.

00:20:04.480 --> 00:20:09.357
>> This innovation, this arrival
of this new alien incredible intelligence.

00:20:09.440 --> 00:20:11.357
>> Artificial intelligence. The most

00:20:11.440 --> 00:20:13.197
powerful tool humanity has ever [music]

00:20:13.280 --> 00:20:16.397
created and perhaps its greatest test.

00:20:16.480 --> 00:20:21.197
>> The most important thing that's going
to happen in about 500 years, maybe a

00:20:21.280 --> 00:20:25.197
thousand years in human society. Few
understand it better than Eric Schmidt,

00:20:25.280 --> 00:20:29.357
the man who helped shape the digital
world as we know it. Today, he stands at

00:20:29.440 --> 00:20:33.357
the frontier of innovation and [music]
responsibility, asking the question that

00:20:33.440 --> 00:20:36.077
will define our future. Can we control

00:20:36.160 --> 00:20:38.537
what we've created? The next revolution

00:20:38.620 --> 00:20:43.400
[music] isn't coming. It's already here.

00:20:46.160 --> 00:20:48.717
>> So, >> wow, that's
that's as good as my son.

00:20:48.800 --> 00:20:52.237
>> Thank you. Good job. So I I'm
going to go a little off script, more

00:20:52.320 --> 00:20:54.877
provocative, I told you. So is this sort

00:20:54.960 --> 00:20:58.717
of AI race really a race between

00:20:58.800 --> 00:21:02.557
hopefully the good guys outprogramming
the bad guys? Is that what this race

00:21:02.640 --> 00:21:05.677
going to be? With more power, more

00:21:05.760 --> 00:21:10.477
compute, more sort of programming
knowledge. Is that is that how this is

00:21:10.560 --> 00:21:12.077
going to go down?

00:21:12.160 --> 00:21:14.877
Well, the the race to build a nonhuman

00:21:14.960 --> 00:21:17.597
intelligence that we collaborate with is

00:21:17.680 --> 00:21:20.717
the defining event of our generation of

00:21:20.800 --> 00:21:24.237
our lifetimes. It will color everything.

00:21:24.320 --> 00:21:27.837
U the gains will be phenomenal. Uh one

00:21:27.920 --> 00:21:30.237
of my friends is dying of ALS. Can you

00:21:30.320 --> 00:21:33.597
imagine the value of a solution to that?

00:21:33.680 --> 00:21:38.637
It's horrible to see. And he's a great
human being. Uh I I can go on and on

00:21:38.720 --> 00:21:40.477
about the tragedies that humans

00:21:40.560 --> 00:21:42.717
experience that these technologies can

00:21:42.800 --> 00:21:45.757
address. Healthcare is one obvious one.

00:21:45.840 --> 00:21:48.557
Um the arrival of intelligence for every

00:21:48.640 --> 00:21:52.797
single human being, right? Having
an assistant that's as smart or smarter

00:21:52.880 --> 00:21:55.277
than you, the Einstein in the pocket.

00:21:55.360 --> 00:21:58.637
Just just imagine all of that. Um these

00:21:58.720 --> 00:22:03.997
things it's very hard to predict what
will happen with this amount of new

00:22:04.080 --> 00:22:07.197
intelligent. Remember I said the most
important are humans? Well, now we have

00:22:07.280 --> 00:22:12.237
humans plus the AI. There are plenty
of downsides, right? And we can talk about

00:22:12.320 --> 00:22:14.157
them, but the most important thing is

00:22:14.240 --> 00:22:16.877
this stuff needs to be built in America

00:22:16.960 --> 00:22:19.517
on our values with our views. [applause]

00:22:19.600 --> 00:22:21.517
And I feel very very strongly about

00:22:21.600 --> 00:22:25.117
this. I want American I'll use the word

00:22:25.200 --> 00:22:28.077
liberalism in the classic sense. Um,

00:22:28.160 --> 00:22:32.397
America's rule of law, its individual
freedom, its distrust of the government.

00:22:32.480 --> 00:22:34.877
Sorry. uh the the com the combination of

00:22:34.960 --> 00:22:38.637
that individualism the frontier um

00:22:38.720 --> 00:22:41.597
belief is really really important and

00:22:41.680 --> 00:22:45.197
we're on a revolutionary frontier here a

00:22:45.280 --> 00:22:49.757
simple example is imagine if
the internet had been invented in China

00:22:49.840 --> 00:22:53.757
just think about it just think about
how different it would be and how your

00:22:53.840 --> 00:22:57.517
different your experience would be on it
>> by the way after that sonnet there's no

00:22:57.600 --> 00:23:03.037
offense taken whatsoever um so
okay so first question was was a

00:23:03.120 --> 00:23:07.437
little bit provocative. I think
my second question is the following.

00:23:07.520 --> 00:23:11.517
The acceleration of the
intelligence is so profound

00:23:11.600 --> 00:23:15.197
that the question becomes are these
systems going to have their own

00:23:15.280 --> 00:23:17.997
consciousness?
>> And if they have their own

00:23:18.080 --> 00:23:21.357
consciousness, are they going to be
able to make decisions independent of the

00:23:21.440 --> 00:23:25.197
prompting? Which means if they're
smarter than us and they're

00:23:25.280 --> 00:23:27.917
independently prompted, can they figure

00:23:28.000 --> 00:23:32.717
out more intelligently than we can how
to prevent us from turning them off?

00:23:32.800 --> 00:23:36.317
>> Yes. You're now writing a movie script
that I think we're going to see a lot of

00:23:36.400 --> 00:23:40.877
movies written about. So for a bit
of background right now, these AI systems

00:23:40.960 --> 00:23:45.277
are prompted by humans. The technical
term is called prompt engineering. And

00:23:45.360 --> 00:23:48.717
young people in college will go
to prompt engineering class where they'll

00:23:48.800 --> 00:23:53.517
learn how to manipulate these models in
really, really powerful ways. That's not

00:23:53.600 --> 00:23:58.077
general intelligence. That's special
intelligence. So if I'm a physicist,

00:23:58.160 --> 00:24:00.957
which I'm not, I'll have my physics
assistant and I'll say, "I have the

00:24:01.040 --> 00:24:04.477
following idea." And the physics
assistant will say, "Well, I I've

00:24:04.560 --> 00:24:06.477
analyzed that. Here's a better idea for

00:24:06.560 --> 00:24:08.557
you." But the invocation or the

00:24:08.640 --> 00:24:12.557
initiation occurs from the human. The

00:24:12.640 --> 00:24:17.037
question is when do these systems when
are they able to initiate on their own?

00:24:17.120 --> 00:24:20.397
The technical term for that is called
recursive self-improvement. They just

00:24:20.480 --> 00:24:22.717
naturally learning and getting smarter.

00:24:22.800 --> 00:24:26.717
And there are all sorts of terrible
scenarios. It discovers that the only

00:24:26.800 --> 00:24:28.717
thing the computer needs is electricity.

00:24:28.800 --> 00:24:32.237
So it decides to shut down a hospital
to get more electricity for itself. Those

00:24:32.320 --> 00:24:34.957
are the kind of movie scenarios. To me,

00:24:35.040 --> 00:24:37.837
all of these are red lines. The point at

00:24:37.920 --> 00:24:40.637
which we humans give agency to these

00:24:40.720 --> 00:24:44.557
computers for what they do is a mistake.

00:24:44.640 --> 00:24:47.837
And I think collectively we need
to define those red lines. Another example

00:24:47.920 --> 00:24:51.757
would be access to weapons. The last
thing I want is an AI system making

00:24:51.840 --> 00:24:53.677
decisions about nuclear war. Nor do any

00:24:53.760 --> 00:24:57.517
of us. That kind of thing.

00:24:57.600 --> 00:24:59.357
>> I have a bunch of questions from that.

00:24:59.440 --> 00:25:03.197
>> Because the problem is with that is
is is certainly and we see this sort of

00:25:03.280 --> 00:25:08.637
play out geopolitically.
The US we presume will be responsible. The

00:25:08.720 --> 00:25:11.597
question is how do we deal with people
who may have this that are not

00:25:11.680 --> 00:25:15.837
responsible number one and and I
and I I'll give a little bit of hope to

00:25:15.920 --> 00:25:18.957
humanity. This is the second
time I interview Eric by the way

00:25:19.040 --> 00:25:22.397
>> and we we talked about this the first
time just to give humanity a little bit

00:25:22.480 --> 00:25:24.317
of hope. Obviously nuclear weapons have

00:25:24.400 --> 00:25:27.517
been around for a generation and but for

00:25:27.600 --> 00:25:29.757
the first time that they were employed

00:25:29.840 --> 00:25:32.637
thankfully you know they we've limited

00:25:32.720 --> 00:25:34.557
this technology to something that has

00:25:34.640 --> 00:25:38.877
not so far destroyed us. So I guess my

00:25:38.960 --> 00:25:43.037
question is we can potentially have
faith in our country hopefully to do the

00:25:43.120 --> 00:25:44.877
right thing and draw those red lines.

00:25:44.960 --> 00:25:47.437
How do we deal with the nefarious actors

00:25:47.520 --> 00:25:51.997
who may not be so ethical?
>> We're going to have this problem. every

00:25:52.080 --> 00:25:55.997
technology. I mean, when Alexander
Graanbell invented the telephone, it

00:25:56.080 --> 00:25:59.597
didn't occur to him that criminals would
use it. I remember one day people said,

00:25:59.680 --> 00:26:03.197
"Did you know that there are criminals
on the internet?" And I said, "Who let

00:26:03.280 --> 00:26:05.517
them in?" >> Right? [laughter]

00:26:05.600 --> 00:26:10.397
We didn't design the internet for
criminals and they showed up. Right? So,

00:26:10.480 --> 00:26:13.677
you have to assume the same thing
is going to happen with with this

00:26:13.760 --> 00:26:17.597
technology. And I think the most
important thing is to put in the the

00:26:17.680 --> 00:26:19.597
observational systems to watch for it.

00:26:19.680 --> 00:26:22.717
And we should be able to create
surveillance systems within the internet

00:26:22.800 --> 00:26:25.117
to watch for bad actors, at least in the

00:26:25.200 --> 00:26:27.597
extreme cases. Um, I'm worried about it

00:26:27.680 --> 00:26:29.997
for the following reason. In our

00:26:30.080 --> 00:26:33.437
lifetimes, in the next 5 or 10 years,

00:26:33.520 --> 00:26:35.917
every single human on the planet who has

00:26:36.000 --> 00:26:38.397
a mobile phone, cell phone, will have

00:26:38.480 --> 00:26:41.517
access to Einstein, Leonardo, da Vinci,

00:26:41.600 --> 00:26:44.557
you know, whomever in some form. We've

00:26:44.640 --> 00:26:47.277
never had that devolution of power.

00:26:47.360 --> 00:26:49.277
We've never had that decentralized

00:26:49.360 --> 00:26:52.557
empowerment of humans. Now, this group I

00:26:52.640 --> 00:26:55.197
trust. There's an awful lot of wacky

00:26:55.280 --> 00:26:59.757
countries and wacky cultures and wacky
religions. Sorry, where I'm not so sure

00:26:59.840 --> 00:27:03.277
I would trust their collective action
being consistent with our values.

00:27:03.360 --> 00:27:07.037
>> For sure. >> Right.
And I think history will judge us

00:27:07.120 --> 00:27:12.157
based on how we make this how we
handle the humans as this intelligence

00:27:12.240 --> 00:27:16.157
evolution occurs and empowers individuals.

00:27:16.240 --> 00:27:19.277
So the most famous use case obviously
of AI right now is the large language

00:27:19.360 --> 00:27:23.197
models. I mean they're the ones that are
being used day in and day out. What

00:27:23.280 --> 00:27:27.517
would you say are probably going to be
let's say the top one or two or three

00:27:27.600 --> 00:27:31.357
next use cases that you think are going
to change things and maybe one or two

00:27:31.440 --> 00:27:32.637
that people aren't thinking about?

00:27:32.720 --> 00:27:37.037
>> Well, so today there are sort of three
things going on. I'll simplify language

00:27:37.120 --> 00:27:40.557
stuff. That's what we were joking
about with large language models.

00:27:40.640 --> 00:27:44.397
>> There's something called the agentic
revolution where you have agents. An

00:27:44.480 --> 00:27:48.637
agent takes language in, it has memory
and it produces something. So it says,

00:27:48.720 --> 00:27:52.957
"I want to do a conference in Miami and it
selects a venue and then it calls the

00:27:53.040 --> 00:27:56.877
mayor and the mayor says yes." Because
the mayor is very pro business and then

00:27:56.960 --> 00:28:00.237
it calls the security people and then
it calls the contractors and then it

00:28:00.320 --> 00:28:03.117
designs the stadium. Each of these is a

00:28:03.200 --> 00:28:07.757
work plan, right? Um over and over again

00:28:07.840 --> 00:28:10.397
that's workflow. Workflow is what

00:28:10.480 --> 00:28:15.117
happens in business. The technical
industry believes two things. First, the

00:28:15.200 --> 00:28:17.117
scaling laws, which are the laws of

00:28:17.200 --> 00:28:20.477
improvement, are not slowing down. The

00:28:20.560 --> 00:28:23.037
crazy investment that you see is there

00:28:23.120 --> 00:28:25.597
for a reason. They're seeing the kind of

00:28:25.680 --> 00:28:30.157
gains, this factor of 10 every year are
continuing to come. It's pretty amazing.

00:28:30.240 --> 00:28:34.237
Um, and and most importantly, with that
investment comes everything else that we

00:28:34.320 --> 00:28:36.157
talked about. It's enormously expensive.

00:28:36.240 --> 00:28:39.037
And by the way, we're going to run
out of electricity before we run out of

00:28:39.120 --> 00:28:41.357
money, which is a separate discussion.

00:28:41.440 --> 00:28:44.157
But the important thing is you have
language. The next thing and then you

00:28:44.240 --> 00:28:46.717
have agents. And these agents do
everything. There's something called

00:28:46.800 --> 00:28:48.237
agent orchestration where you can move

00:28:48.320 --> 00:28:51.197
the agents around. And the third one is

00:28:51.280 --> 00:28:53.837
essentially reasoning. You now have

00:28:53.920 --> 00:28:58.397
systems that can pass math tests,
chemistry tests, biology tests, and so

00:28:58.480 --> 00:29:03.197
forth at the graduate level and beat
the humans. That's really remarkable. And

00:29:03.280 --> 00:29:06.237
I've watched them and I have no idea
what problems they're solving. And you

00:29:06.320 --> 00:29:08.077
can watch them go forward. It doesn't

00:29:08.160 --> 00:29:09.917
work. They problem solve like a human

00:29:10.000 --> 00:29:14.477
being. The union of those is the power

00:29:14.560 --> 00:29:18.637
that will give us the power to innovate
to address our problems. And the the

00:29:18.720 --> 00:29:23.277
thought experiment that I would give
you is let's imagine that one of the

00:29:23.360 --> 00:29:26.717
American companies I obviously have
my own bias but we'll pick somebody else

00:29:26.800 --> 00:29:30.077
you whoever manages to get to the point

00:29:30.160 --> 00:29:32.237
where these systems can solve problems

00:29:32.320 --> 00:29:34.477
that humans have never been able to

00:29:34.560 --> 00:29:37.917
solve. What is the value of that

00:29:38.000 --> 00:29:43.197
company? How many trillions
of dollars >> in one company?

00:29:43.280 --> 00:29:45.757
>> Infinity, >> right?
It's just it's literally I mean

00:29:45.840 --> 00:29:49.037
um think about all the problems you face
every day and it can solve every one of

00:29:49.120 --> 00:29:52.157
them and you can sit there
and drink coffee and you know sort of

00:29:52.240 --> 00:29:54.157
>> my wife just solves most
of them but that's okay.

00:29:54.240 --> 00:29:56.877
>> That's right. Uh the important thing is

00:29:56.960 --> 00:29:59.197
that we're on the threshold of being

00:29:59.280 --> 00:30:02.557
able to have truly new innovation and

00:30:02.640 --> 00:30:04.877
that's the that's the hype. That's the

00:30:04.960 --> 00:30:07.437
promise. If we don't get there people

00:30:07.520 --> 00:30:12.157
will be destroyed just from their own
hype. I mean it's extraordinary. I'm

00:30:12.240 --> 00:30:15.997
going to ask one last question. It's
a follow-up to the the problem that you

00:30:16.080 --> 00:30:20.717
presented. Is SMRS, which are
a smallcale modular reactors, is that the

00:30:20.800 --> 00:30:22.637
solution for that energy gap that you're

00:30:22.720 --> 00:30:24.637
talking about or be something else?

00:30:24.720 --> 00:30:28.157
>> We need more energy in America. We need

00:30:28.240 --> 00:30:31.997
every kind of energy. Um, we need uh

00:30:32.080 --> 00:30:34.397
nuclear, we need fusion, we need natural

00:30:34.480 --> 00:30:37.517
gas, we need renewables, we need wind,

00:30:37.600 --> 00:30:40.557
we need solar, we need it all. Why?

00:30:40.640 --> 00:30:42.317
Because those data centers which account

00:30:42.400 --> 00:30:45.677
for 1% of GDP growth this year in

00:30:45.760 --> 00:30:49.517
America need power. If you want that 3%

00:30:49.600 --> 00:30:52.717
growth that the president and others
have talked about, you need to solve the

00:30:52.800 --> 00:30:56.317
energy problem. >> Eric, thank you so
much. What a provocative conversation.

00:30:56.400 --> 00:30:58.237
>> Thank you. >> Appreciate that.

00:30:58.320 --> 00:30:59.437
>> Can I read one thing?

00:30:59.520 --> 00:31:02.637
>> Oh, of course. [applause]

00:31:02.720 --> 00:31:05.277
I I I was thinking a lot about you gave

00:31:05.360 --> 00:31:07.197
me the honor to talk to this incredible

00:31:07.280 --> 00:31:10.317
group about the frontier.

00:31:10.400 --> 00:31:12.637
Um in 1893

00:31:12.720 --> 00:31:15.197
a fellow named U. Frederick Turner

00:31:15.280 --> 00:31:19.437
talked about the frontier and he said

00:31:19.520 --> 00:31:21.917
to the frontier the American intellect

00:31:22.000 --> 00:31:26.797
owes its striking characteristics.
This is 150 years ago. That coarseness and

00:31:26.880 --> 00:31:30.797
strength combined with acuteness,
inquisitiveness, that practical

00:31:30.880 --> 00:31:33.437
inventive turn of mind, quick to find

00:31:33.520 --> 00:31:35.917
expedience, that masterful grasp of

00:31:36.000 --> 00:31:38.877
material things, lacking in the artistic

00:31:38.960 --> 00:31:41.357
but powerful to affect great ends, that

00:31:41.440 --> 00:31:44.317
restless nervous energy, that dominant

00:31:44.400 --> 00:31:47.117
individualism, working for good and

00:31:47.200 --> 00:31:49.597
evil, and with all that buoyancy and

00:31:49.680 --> 00:31:51.997
exuberance which comes with freedom.

00:31:52.080 --> 00:31:54.717
These are the traits of the frontier.

00:31:54.800 --> 00:31:58.317
This is America. This is us. This is why

00:31:58.400 --> 00:32:00.317
we're here. This is why you're a great

00:32:00.400 --> 00:32:05.780
leader. Thank you very much.
>> That was [applause]

00:32:07.200 --> 00:32:11.837
that was in 1893. >> 1893. >> You
know what happened three years later?

00:32:11.920 --> 00:32:13.917
>> What's that? >> You know
what happened three years later?

00:32:14.000 --> 00:32:17.757
>> What? >> The city of Miami
was established. 1896.

00:32:17.840 --> 00:32:20.637
>> 1896. Happy birthday to Miami. Thank

00:32:20.720 --> 00:32:24.637
you. Okay, mayor. Thank you guys.

00:32:24.720 --> 00:32:26.740
>> [music]

00:32:38.160 --> 00:32:39.997
>> At the Adam Smith Center for Economic

00:32:40.080 --> 00:32:46.720
Freedom, you don't just learn,
you achieve through our interdisiplinary
