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Heat.

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[applause]

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Heat.

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For the following interview, Francis
Suarez, mayor of the city of Miami,

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takes the stage of America Business Forum.

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You got it.

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>> He's unflapable. He didn't even move

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[laughter] when the the smoke went up.

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So, Eric, this is the second time that I

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have the privilege to be able to

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interview you. So, uh, I'm very excited

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about this. Um, by the way,
mayor, I I have to

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interrupt. I'm very
interested in Shakespeare

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sonnetss. So, I just wrote one.
It's about you.

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>> Okay. >> It's entitled Upon
the Excellence of Mayor Suarez.

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>> Please.

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>> When first Miami's
helm he took in hand,

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a city poised between oceans azure deep

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and futures promise vast throughout the

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land. He swed where others scarce had

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dared to reap.

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With vision bold as concistadors of old,

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he brought forth commerce, tech, and

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innovations art, made Miami shine as

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cities rot of gold, and placed our fair

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metropolis apart.
It continues, don't worry.

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>> Okay.

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>> Through tempest rage and plague's most

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grievous tests, he stood as a bull work

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against adversity's tide. led his

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citizens with courage in his breast and

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made our city known far and wide. So

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shall his legacy in marble stand. The

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mayor who raised Miami's fortune grand.

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Mayor Suarez, [applause]

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>> this is the kind
of stuff we can do with AI.

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>> I was going to say I was going
to say >> it took me about two seconds.

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>> Okay. So, so now you're gonna make me

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tell a story. This is completely off

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script. So, I was asked to

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open the consulate of Morocco. Now,

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usually, as you know, Eric, we get when
we go to events, we get talking points.

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People give us talking points and all
that. [snorts] And so, I had not been

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reading my talking points lately. So,
I had been telling my staff, "Why don't

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you just give me one or two bullet
points wherever I go, and I'll weave a

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story into it." Well, I go to um you

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know, open up the consulate of of
Morocco and there's only two bullet

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points. Bullet point number one is that
there's direct flights to Casablanca.

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Bullet point number two is that it's the

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third consulate in America for Morocco.

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Not that much to go on, right? So, as

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I'm being introduced, I literally pull

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my phone out of my pocket and I have the

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chat GPT prompt on the phone
and I speaking to the phone.

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>> I would use Gemini.
Of course I have the

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Gemini prompt. That's what I meant. Uh,
yes, of course I meant I I meant Gemini.

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Of course, I have the Gemini prompt and

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I speak clearly into the Gemini prompt.

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Stand correctly. [applause]

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Know your audience. KYC. So, I have the

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Gemini prompt and I say, "Pretend you're
the mayor of Miami and you're about to

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open the Moroccan consulate and you only

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have two facts. Fact [laughter] number
one is there's direct flights to Monaco.

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Pretend you're the mayor of Miami.

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>> Pretend you're the mayor of Miami,
[laughter] right? Fact number one is

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direct flight to Casablanca. Fact number
two, it's a third consulate opening in

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the US. What would you say? Before they

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finished introducing me and before I

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walked the stage, Gemini had written

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this entire speech for me. I read it

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word for word. People were crying,

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laughing, hugging me. You know our

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country so well, Mr. Mayor. How have you

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known about us so much and so deep? So

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yes, thank you for that incredible >> so

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>> true story by the way.
>> And one more piece of congratulations

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which I'm sure you'll appreciate. No one

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has ever done an American business forum

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at this scale in America. This is an

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innovative mayor as well. Um, and I I I

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really want you to think about doing
this all around America because business

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is what we do and America's growth
depends on the kind of things we're

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talking about today. What's interesting
is that about three, three and a half

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years ago, maybe four years ago, there's

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a moment in San Francisco where people

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realized that these models could write.

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And boy, could they write. >> Oh, yeah.

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>> That's a real
discovery moment. It's one

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of those historic moments in history
similar to physics and chemistry and

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things like that.
>> It's incredibly disruptive and uh and I

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appreciate the the comments and of course
it's a it's a team effort. Nacho

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who vision it was to bring it from
Uruguay Sergio who's our big investor.

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Where are you Sergio? You're here
somewhere. I'm sure um he'll be here any

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minute. Steve who helped me my cousin
who helped me put this together. But

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let's get back to the interview. Um, you

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know, Eric, you're obviously
a world-renowned figure and tech pioneer.

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Did you have an inkling that you were
destined for greatness? Um, what was it

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about you, about your DNA? Was it your

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tenacity? I mean, what is the sort
of the components of you that made you

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supersede? >> I think
the most important thing to say

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anyone who's on stage here start with

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luck. I was lucky to be born now. I was

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lucky to be born in America. My parents
were academics. uh I had an awful lot of

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people who helped get me through
the various stages of life. One of the

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things that we who are now older owe the

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younger people is to give them the same

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opportunity, right?
It's really important and and I

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was thinking about what what should be a

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theme for this audience and the everyone

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in America is obsessed about everything

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except for one thing which is the human

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talent and the human talent of America

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is why we are exceptional. Focus
on humans. Focus on their education and

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their culture and their development
and their curiosity and their energy and

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their tenacity and so forth and help
them with the various travailes that

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happen in life. Focus on the humans of

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America. It's the only answer.

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>> You know, [applause] you're
a great leader. You've been a

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great mentor to me and friend >>
and you're an incredible coach and I

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think and you've I've read some books
on some of the people who coached you. Um,

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what's the coaching habit that you think
you consistently use to raise a level of

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the team? >> So, I wrote a book
about So, I had a coach name

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>> This is the book I read, by the way.

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>> Yeah, that's right. We we actually
talked about it. I had a I had a coach

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named Bill Campbell. And when I started
at Google, the venture capitalist, John

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Door, said, "You need a coach." And I
said, "I'm a big boy. I've run a lot of

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companies. I don't need a coach."
And he said to me, "Do tennis players have

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coaches?" >> Absolutely.
>> And I I knew he had trapped me, right?

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Because the answer is, of course, they do,
even though they may not be as good

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as the actual tennis player. Coaches do

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different things. And so we we hired
retained, if you will, Bill Campbell for

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free. U became my best friend at the

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time. And what he coached was not an

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individual but a team. And the thing I

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learned from Bill is as a CEO you manage

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the team. You don't manage
the individuals. And you work on the team

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dynamics, but fundamentally it's a team
sport. He was a football coach and a and

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not a particularly good one. But he
was an extraordinary human leader. And

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there's a book trillion dollar coach. If
we were to write the book today, he died

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unfortunately some years ago. Uh,
it would be called the $7 trillion coach

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because he was the coach for Apple
and Google. Think about it.

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>> I think it was a
Princeton coach, right?

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>> No. >> Colia. >> Colia.
>> And his [clears throat] winning record

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was terrible. >> Like 0
and 10 or something like that.

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Yeah.

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>> So, but but leadership but but I now

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understand that I needed coaching, my

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team needed coaching, and the way I

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manage is I manage as sort of CEO and
coach. and you watch what's going on and

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you try to get people to work together
and there are various techniques like

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let tell the people who talk too much
so let the people who don't talk as much

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talk more I mean stuff like that >>
you know I also didn't believe that much

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in coaching and my coach is probably
somewhere here in the audience Louis

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Arau I don't know if Louis is here

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somewhere there he is there's my coach

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right there he's a he's a great guy so

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for someone that's starting out in tech
what's sort of the mindset or the

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practice that you think is going
to compound the most over the next decade.

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>> So if you look at success, it's a

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combination of intelligence that is

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ability to do the work and grit. And I

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would add intelligence, grit
and curiosity. When I was young, I was a

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sponge for everything because I didn't
seem to know anything or I thought I

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knew nothing. And the internet had not
really been invented yet. It was just

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getting started. And so we didn't have
the resources we have today. If I were a

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16 or 18year-old or 20-year-old,
whatever right now, I would be online

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all the time just learning because
I would be curious and I want to know

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everything. Mayor, tell me about yourself.
Tell me about your family.

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Tell me what you did. How did you get

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here? What are the problems?

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>> And I train myself to to look at

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businesses and say, "How do they work?"

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Right? Like, "How does this place work?

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How did you fund this? What was it
your idea? Who did you work with?"

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>> Pain, right? But but that's grit,
>> right? So you have to have the

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intelligence. I have all sorts
of friends who are brilliant who can't get

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through the day, right? They wake up,
they have an idea, they have another

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idea. Nothing happens with them. It's
the people who have an idea that's very

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clever and they have the tenacity
to push it. Those things come from

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curiosity. Another example, and this I
think the technology that we're in is so

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extraordinary and I'm so excited about it,
but there are some things we've

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lost. One of them is that we've lost is

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the looking out the window phenomena.

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And there's some evidence that looking
out the window is fundamentally

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important for curiosity. So here's
an example for all of you. When you're

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leaving here today sometime,
turn off your phone, tell everyone who's

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around you to shut up in a nice way and

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look out the window and daydream.

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That daydream is is important, too,
because that's how the creative thoughts

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come. >> Yeah. Amazing.
I mean look, I think for

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me failure uh has always been a great

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teacher. Pain as you as we said,
what are the sort of high quality failures

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that you've had in your life that you
think have sort of permanently changed

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how you think about
the world or how you lead?

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>> I think when you're when you're running

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stuff, you make lots of mistakes. So I

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hold myself responsible for not getting
ahead. We had the technology to do what

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Meta is doing now and we didn't
implement it fast enough, right? That's

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what I hold myself responsible.

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>> Sure. >> Um but in general,
if you just keep

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pushing it works and one of the key

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ideas about success is just keep doing

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stuff. Um what happens in organizations

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especially if I can be honest in middle

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age is every everything becomes sort of

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normal. And uh I was interested in in in

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the innovation culture of America. Uh I

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was Ken Burns is a friend of mine and I

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was watching him and he was he was asked

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is America in crisis and he said oh I

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think it's in perpetual crisis. We've

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always been disagreeing and our

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revolution is the thing. So when you

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understand when you understand that the

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system is not designed to be static,

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it's designed to be dynamic and it's a

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jump ball, then you can do it. I've

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consistently been slow to see that if I

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do self-criticism and I've consistently
assumed that stable systems were always

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stable. Humans can always
change the system if

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you need to figure out a way to change

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it to make it a better place,

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>> you know. >> [applause]

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>> You've run a big company. I'm running
a billion and a half dollar company, which

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is the city of Miami with 5,000
employees and four labor unions.

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The decisions that we make and that
we've made affect thousands of people.

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>> How do you deal with doubt in the face
of understanding the implications of

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those decisions and how
they impact people?

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I was talking to um um I've I've talked

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to the various presidents that I've
had an an honor to meet and when you

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actually talk to how the president
operates, there are moments in a

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presidency when the president makes a

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decision where they have no idea what's

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going to happen and yet they make the

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decision anyway. Uh that's I think how
you have to operate. Obviously not uh

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none of us have that kind of

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responsibility, thank God. Um, but

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fundamentally if it gets to you,
it shouldn't be an easy decision. The

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people who work for you should be able
to handle these things. One way to think

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about it is the really complex problems
are ones that you participate in. You

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lead the the you lead the team and you
make a bet and you iterate and iterate

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and iterate. All success
is fundamentally a genius and then

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iteration and and essentially just
constant evolution. Um, and you're

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always failing. are always trying things
that didn't work and so forth. One of

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the geniuses of America is that people

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who can go bankrupt can be rehired
and become hugely successful. Many of my

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favorite entrepreneurs, the first I
didn't work, the second I didn't work,

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the third I didn't work, and the fourth,

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boom. Right? So, never stop trying.

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On a similar note, when a project
is deeply uncertain but potentially

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transformative, how do
you communicate your vision

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and guide your team
through that uncertainty?

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Um, what I try to do is I try to frame

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the question correctly. Usually, if you

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can ask, so let's start with the basic

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principle. Don't tell people to do, ask

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what people want to do, right? But frame

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the question. Okay, this is what we want
to do. What is the best idea? Because

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frankly, people don't like to be told
what to do. They like to be asked,

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right? And the key leadership is to

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frame the question or the goal in such
a way that everyone kind of gets it. A

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simple rule is you have to repeat it
at least 20 times before people believe

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you. So I I become very repetitive.

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Another thing I do, which may be going
out of of favor because nobody uses

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email anymore, is I'm constantly writing
down this is what I think, this is where

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we should do, what do you guys think,
and so forth. So, it's it's much more

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interactive. Um, and the and the
strategies evolve and then you get some

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great product manager who can
brilliantly expose the result of this

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process, but it fundamentally starts
from saying, what is our goal? So, we

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want to win. Okay, what does that mean?

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Another thing I do that works well is I

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start by saying where will we be in five

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years? Humans are terrible at predicting

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past the next six 6 12 months. Right?
If you force people to say what will be

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true in five years, you get a very
different answer. So here's an example.

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Uh the cost of AI tokens that is the
delivery of queries is going down by a

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factor of 10 every year.

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>> Amazing. So 5 years 10 you know 10 to

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the 5th or sorry five to the what you

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you can do the math uh it's a very large

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number what happens when the cost
of my little sonnet is so cheap it's just

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everywhere right >> right all
in praise of you mayor >> of course

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>> um >> what does
that mean think backward

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almost every business fails to understand
the compounding of these technologies

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>> you know innovation is often
referred to has managed chaos.

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>> How do you explain that sort
of juxtaposition, that tension between

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managing and something that's somewhat

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organized or ordered and chaos?

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>> Um, it has to do with the structure of

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goals. You want to sit think a lot about

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goal alignment. In corporations, it's
pretty easy because everybody has stock

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options. They have a common goal.
It's much harder in what you do because

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there's multiple goals. So if I were you,
if I were running running the the

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city, which fortunately you're doing and
I'm not, I would sit down and say, "What

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are the real goals?"
>> Priorities, >> right?

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>> Healthcare, safety, economic growth,

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welfare, uh inward, and I'd measure

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them. Set the goals, measure them,

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articulate them, repeat, repeat, repeat.

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So how do you protect true innovation

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from the bureaucracy that inevitably

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grows around that success and can
stifle that same innovation

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>> in software which is what [clears
throat] I've done from 50 years

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which is I think largely going away
because AI is beginning to write software

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my simple rule was that three people

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would invent something new like the

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Chrome browser or you know the Android

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00:18:02,880 --> 00:18:04,957
operating system or so forth and then it

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would take a thousand people to finish

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it and I kept thinking why do we need so

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many people and there's this constant

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problem of every team engineering team

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management team getting bigger
and bigger you want lean teams the lesson

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over and over is lean teams another
example I have a rule with the companies

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I'm running now that if we do new things
you can only have 10 people you can't

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have 11 when we go into a new country
you can have 10 people but not 11

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because I figure 10 people is a group
that's kind of a manageable group. It's

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self-managing. They know each other.

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They can figure it out and so forth and
you can judge the team. So what happens

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in in if you're if you're not
disciplined about that is you get uh who

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people who I call glue people and I mean

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this in the most affectionate way. They
are very nice people. They glue person A

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to person B and you discover you don't
need them. Person A can talk to person B

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without the person in between. Yeah. And
that glue person slows everything down.

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So time to decision, quickness, small
teams and agile thinking is important.

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My experience in talking about this

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around the world is everyone goes like

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this. And this means I'm a human and I'm

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breathing and I'm listening to you. It

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does not mean I'm going to do anything.

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So if you hear these ideas, unless you

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implement the things I'm talking about,
you won't get the benefit. Knowledge is

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not sufficient. you actually have
to take the leadership and that's and

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that's when it gets tough because you're

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talking about uh very protected groups,

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protected individuals and so forth. The

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great business people know when to push
those and when not to and that's a

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judgment. >> So,
of course, moving on to AI.

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AI is going to be the most powerful
tool humanity's ever created. It's also

340
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potentially going to be the most

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dangerous. Let's watch this clip.

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>> A new age has begun.
One not written in ink but in code.

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>> This innovation, this arrival
of this new alien incredible intelligence.

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>> Artificial intelligence. The most

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powerful tool humanity has ever [music]

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created and perhaps its greatest test.

347
00:20:16,480 --> 00:20:21,197
>> The most important thing that's going
to happen in about 500 years, maybe a

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00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:25,197
thousand years in human society. Few
understand it better than Eric Schmidt,

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00:20:25,280 --> 00:20:29,357
the man who helped shape the digital
world as we know it. Today, he stands at

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00:20:29,440 --> 00:20:33,357
the frontier of innovation and [music]
responsibility, asking the question that

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will define our future. Can we control

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what we've created? The next revolution

353
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[music] isn't coming. It's already here.

354
00:20:46,160 --> 00:20:48,717
>> So, >> wow, that's
that's as good as my son.

355
00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:52,237
>> Thank you. Good job. So I I'm
going to go a little off script, more

356
00:20:52,320 --> 00:20:54,877
provocative, I told you. So is this sort

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of AI race really a race between

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hopefully the good guys outprogramming
the bad guys? Is that what this race

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going to be? With more power, more

360
00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:10,477
compute, more sort of programming
knowledge. Is that is that how this is

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going to go down?

362
00:21:12,160 --> 00:21:14,877
Well, the the race to build a nonhuman

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intelligence that we collaborate with is

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the defining event of our generation of

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our lifetimes. It will color everything.

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U the gains will be phenomenal. Uh one

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of my friends is dying of ALS. Can you

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00:21:30,320 --> 00:21:33,597
imagine the value of a solution to that?

369
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It's horrible to see. And he's a great
human being. Uh I I can go on and on

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about the tragedies that humans

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experience that these technologies can

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address. Healthcare is one obvious one.

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Um the arrival of intelligence for every

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00:21:48,640 --> 00:21:52,797
single human being, right? Having
an assistant that's as smart or smarter

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than you, the Einstein in the pocket.

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Just just imagine all of that. Um these

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things it's very hard to predict what
will happen with this amount of new

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00:22:04,080 --> 00:22:07,197
intelligent. Remember I said the most
important are humans? Well, now we have

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00:22:07,280 --> 00:22:12,237
humans plus the AI. There are plenty
of downsides, right? And we can talk about

380
00:22:12,320 --> 00:22:14,157
them, but the most important thing is

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this stuff needs to be built in America

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on our values with our views. [applause]

383
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And I feel very very strongly about

384
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this. I want American I'll use the word

385
00:22:25,200 --> 00:22:28,077
liberalism in the classic sense. Um,

386
00:22:28,160 --> 00:22:32,397
America's rule of law, its individual
freedom, its distrust of the government.

387
00:22:32,480 --> 00:22:34,877
Sorry. uh the the com the combination of

388
00:22:34,960 --> 00:22:38,637
that individualism the frontier um

389
00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,597
belief is really really important and

390
00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:45,197
we're on a revolutionary frontier here a

391
00:22:45,280 --> 00:22:49,757
simple example is imagine if
the internet had been invented in China

392
00:22:49,840 --> 00:22:53,757
just think about it just think about
how different it would be and how your

393
00:22:53,840 --> 00:22:57,517
different your experience would be on it
>> by the way after that sonnet there's no

394
00:22:57,600 --> 00:23:03,037
offense taken whatsoever um so
okay so first question was was a

395
00:23:03,120 --> 00:23:07,437
little bit provocative. I think
my second question is the following.

396
00:23:07,520 --> 00:23:11,517
The acceleration of the
intelligence is so profound

397
00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:15,197
that the question becomes are these
systems going to have their own

398
00:23:15,280 --> 00:23:17,997
consciousness?
>> And if they have their own

399
00:23:18,080 --> 00:23:21,357
consciousness, are they going to be
able to make decisions independent of the

400
00:23:21,440 --> 00:23:25,197
prompting? Which means if they're
smarter than us and they're

401
00:23:25,280 --> 00:23:27,917
independently prompted, can they figure

402
00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:32,717
out more intelligently than we can how
to prevent us from turning them off?

403
00:23:32,800 --> 00:23:36,317
>> Yes. You're now writing a movie script
that I think we're going to see a lot of

404
00:23:36,400 --> 00:23:40,877
movies written about. So for a bit
of background right now, these AI systems

405
00:23:40,960 --> 00:23:45,277
are prompted by humans. The technical
term is called prompt engineering. And

406
00:23:45,360 --> 00:23:48,717
young people in college will go
to prompt engineering class where they'll

407
00:23:48,800 --> 00:23:53,517
learn how to manipulate these models in
really, really powerful ways. That's not

408
00:23:53,600 --> 00:23:58,077
general intelligence. That's special
intelligence. So if I'm a physicist,

409
00:23:58,160 --> 00:24:00,957
which I'm not, I'll have my physics
assistant and I'll say, "I have the

410
00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:04,477
following idea." And the physics
assistant will say, "Well, I I've

411
00:24:04,560 --> 00:24:06,477
analyzed that. Here's a better idea for

412
00:24:06,560 --> 00:24:08,557
you." But the invocation or the

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00:24:08,640 --> 00:24:12,557
initiation occurs from the human. The

414
00:24:12,640 --> 00:24:17,037
question is when do these systems when
are they able to initiate on their own?

415
00:24:17,120 --> 00:24:20,397
The technical term for that is called
recursive self-improvement. They just

416
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:22,717
naturally learning and getting smarter.

417
00:24:22,800 --> 00:24:26,717
And there are all sorts of terrible
scenarios. It discovers that the only

418
00:24:26,800 --> 00:24:28,717
thing the computer needs is electricity.

419
00:24:28,800 --> 00:24:32,237
So it decides to shut down a hospital
to get more electricity for itself. Those

420
00:24:32,320 --> 00:24:34,957
are the kind of movie scenarios. To me,

421
00:24:35,040 --> 00:24:37,837
all of these are red lines. The point at

422
00:24:37,920 --> 00:24:40,637
which we humans give agency to these

423
00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:44,557
computers for what they do is a mistake.

424
00:24:44,640 --> 00:24:47,837
And I think collectively we need
to define those red lines. Another example

425
00:24:47,920 --> 00:24:51,757
would be access to weapons. The last
thing I want is an AI system making

426
00:24:51,840 --> 00:24:53,677
decisions about nuclear war. Nor do any

427
00:24:53,760 --> 00:24:57,517
of us. That kind of thing.

428
00:24:57,600 --> 00:24:59,357
>> I have a bunch of questions from that.

429
00:24:59,440 --> 00:25:03,197
>> Because the problem is with that is
is is certainly and we see this sort of

430
00:25:03,280 --> 00:25:08,637
play out geopolitically.
The US we presume will be responsible. The

431
00:25:08,720 --> 00:25:11,597
question is how do we deal with people
who may have this that are not

432
00:25:11,680 --> 00:25:15,837
responsible number one and and I
and I I'll give a little bit of hope to

433
00:25:15,920 --> 00:25:18,957
humanity. This is the second
time I interview Eric by the way

434
00:25:19,040 --> 00:25:22,397
>> and we we talked about this the first
time just to give humanity a little bit

435
00:25:22,480 --> 00:25:24,317
of hope. Obviously nuclear weapons have

436
00:25:24,400 --> 00:25:27,517
been around for a generation and but for

437
00:25:27,600 --> 00:25:29,757
the first time that they were employed

438
00:25:29,840 --> 00:25:32,637
thankfully you know they we've limited

439
00:25:32,720 --> 00:25:34,557
this technology to something that has

440
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:38,877
not so far destroyed us. So I guess my

441
00:25:38,960 --> 00:25:43,037
question is we can potentially have
faith in our country hopefully to do the

442
00:25:43,120 --> 00:25:44,877
right thing and draw those red lines.

443
00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:47,437
How do we deal with the nefarious actors

444
00:25:47,520 --> 00:25:51,997
who may not be so ethical?
>> We're going to have this problem. every

445
00:25:52,080 --> 00:25:55,997
technology. I mean, when Alexander
Graanbell invented the telephone, it

446
00:25:56,080 --> 00:25:59,597
didn't occur to him that criminals would
use it. I remember one day people said,

447
00:25:59,680 --> 00:26:03,197
"Did you know that there are criminals
on the internet?" And I said, "Who let

448
00:26:03,280 --> 00:26:05,517
them in?" >> Right? [laughter]

449
00:26:05,600 --> 00:26:10,397
We didn't design the internet for
criminals and they showed up. Right? So,

450
00:26:10,480 --> 00:26:13,677
you have to assume the same thing
is going to happen with with this

451
00:26:13,760 --> 00:26:17,597
technology. And I think the most
important thing is to put in the the

452
00:26:17,680 --> 00:26:19,597
observational systems to watch for it.

453
00:26:19,680 --> 00:26:22,717
And we should be able to create
surveillance systems within the internet

454
00:26:22,800 --> 00:26:25,117
to watch for bad actors, at least in the

455
00:26:25,200 --> 00:26:27,597
extreme cases. Um, I'm worried about it

456
00:26:27,680 --> 00:26:29,997
for the following reason. In our

457
00:26:30,080 --> 00:26:33,437
lifetimes, in the next 5 or 10 years,

458
00:26:33,520 --> 00:26:35,917
every single human on the planet who has

459
00:26:36,000 --> 00:26:38,397
a mobile phone, cell phone, will have

460
00:26:38,480 --> 00:26:41,517
access to Einstein, Leonardo, da Vinci,

461
00:26:41,600 --> 00:26:44,557
you know, whomever in some form. We've

462
00:26:44,640 --> 00:26:47,277
never had that devolution of power.

463
00:26:47,360 --> 00:26:49,277
We've never had that decentralized

464
00:26:49,360 --> 00:26:52,557
empowerment of humans. Now, this group I

465
00:26:52,640 --> 00:26:55,197
trust. There's an awful lot of wacky

466
00:26:55,280 --> 00:26:59,757
countries and wacky cultures and wacky
religions. Sorry, where I'm not so sure

467
00:26:59,840 --> 00:27:03,277
I would trust their collective action
being consistent with our values.

468
00:27:03,360 --> 00:27:07,037
>> For sure. >> Right.
And I think history will judge us

469
00:27:07,120 --> 00:27:12,157
based on how we make this how we
handle the humans as this intelligence

470
00:27:12,240 --> 00:27:16,157
evolution occurs and empowers individuals.

471
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,277
So the most famous use case obviously
of AI right now is the large language

472
00:27:19,360 --> 00:27:23,197
models. I mean they're the ones that are
being used day in and day out. What

473
00:27:23,280 --> 00:27:27,517
would you say are probably going to be
let's say the top one or two or three

474
00:27:27,600 --> 00:27:31,357
next use cases that you think are going
to change things and maybe one or two

475
00:27:31,440 --> 00:27:32,637
that people aren't thinking about?

476
00:27:32,720 --> 00:27:37,037
>> Well, so today there are sort of three
things going on. I'll simplify language

477
00:27:37,120 --> 00:27:40,557
stuff. That's what we were joking
about with large language models.

478
00:27:40,640 --> 00:27:44,397
>> There's something called the agentic
revolution where you have agents. An

479
00:27:44,480 --> 00:27:48,637
agent takes language in, it has memory
and it produces something. So it says,

480
00:27:48,720 --> 00:27:52,957
"I want to do a conference in Miami and it
selects a venue and then it calls the

481
00:27:53,040 --> 00:27:56,877
mayor and the mayor says yes." Because
the mayor is very pro business and then

482
00:27:56,960 --> 00:28:00,237
it calls the security people and then
it calls the contractors and then it

483
00:28:00,320 --> 00:28:03,117
designs the stadium. Each of these is a

484
00:28:03,200 --> 00:28:07,757
work plan, right? Um over and over again

485
00:28:07,840 --> 00:28:10,397
that's workflow. Workflow is what

486
00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:15,117
happens in business. The technical
industry believes two things. First, the

487
00:28:15,200 --> 00:28:17,117
scaling laws, which are the laws of

488
00:28:17,200 --> 00:28:20,477
improvement, are not slowing down. The

489
00:28:20,560 --> 00:28:23,037
crazy investment that you see is there

490
00:28:23,120 --> 00:28:25,597
for a reason. They're seeing the kind of

491
00:28:25,680 --> 00:28:30,157
gains, this factor of 10 every year are
continuing to come. It's pretty amazing.

492
00:28:30,240 --> 00:28:34,237
Um, and and most importantly, with that
investment comes everything else that we

493
00:28:34,320 --> 00:28:36,157
talked about. It's enormously expensive.

494
00:28:36,240 --> 00:28:39,037
And by the way, we're going to run
out of electricity before we run out of

495
00:28:39,120 --> 00:28:41,357
money, which is a separate discussion.

496
00:28:41,440 --> 00:28:44,157
But the important thing is you have
language. The next thing and then you

497
00:28:44,240 --> 00:28:46,717
have agents. And these agents do
everything. There's something called

498
00:28:46,800 --> 00:28:48,237
agent orchestration where you can move

499
00:28:48,320 --> 00:28:51,197
the agents around. And the third one is

500
00:28:51,280 --> 00:28:53,837
essentially reasoning. You now have

501
00:28:53,920 --> 00:28:58,397
systems that can pass math tests,
chemistry tests, biology tests, and so

502
00:28:58,480 --> 00:29:03,197
forth at the graduate level and beat
the humans. That's really remarkable. And

503
00:29:03,280 --> 00:29:06,237
I've watched them and I have no idea
what problems they're solving. And you

504
00:29:06,320 --> 00:29:08,077
can watch them go forward. It doesn't

505
00:29:08,160 --> 00:29:09,917
work. They problem solve like a human

506
00:29:10,000 --> 00:29:14,477
being. The union of those is the power

507
00:29:14,560 --> 00:29:18,637
that will give us the power to innovate
to address our problems. And the the

508
00:29:18,720 --> 00:29:23,277
thought experiment that I would give
you is let's imagine that one of the

509
00:29:23,360 --> 00:29:26,717
American companies I obviously have
my own bias but we'll pick somebody else

510
00:29:26,800 --> 00:29:30,077
you whoever manages to get to the point

511
00:29:30,160 --> 00:29:32,237
where these systems can solve problems

512
00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:34,477
that humans have never been able to

513
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:37,917
solve. What is the value of that

514
00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:43,197
company? How many trillions
of dollars >> in one company?

515
00:29:43,280 --> 00:29:45,757
>> Infinity, >> right?
It's just it's literally I mean

516
00:29:45,840 --> 00:29:49,037
um think about all the problems you face
every day and it can solve every one of

517
00:29:49,120 --> 00:29:52,157
them and you can sit there
and drink coffee and you know sort of

518
00:29:52,240 --> 00:29:54,157
>> my wife just solves most
of them but that's okay.

519
00:29:54,240 --> 00:29:56,877
>> That's right. Uh the important thing is

520
00:29:56,960 --> 00:29:59,197
that we're on the threshold of being

521
00:29:59,280 --> 00:30:02,557
able to have truly new innovation and

522
00:30:02,640 --> 00:30:04,877
that's the that's the hype. That's the

523
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,437
promise. If we don't get there people

524
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:12,157
will be destroyed just from their own
hype. I mean it's extraordinary. I'm

525
00:30:12,240 --> 00:30:15,997
going to ask one last question. It's
a follow-up to the the problem that you

526
00:30:16,080 --> 00:30:20,717
presented. Is SMRS, which are
a smallcale modular reactors, is that the

527
00:30:20,800 --> 00:30:22,637
solution for that energy gap that you're

528
00:30:22,720 --> 00:30:24,637
talking about or be something else?

529
00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:28,157
>> We need more energy in America. We need

530
00:30:28,240 --> 00:30:31,997
every kind of energy. Um, we need uh

531
00:30:32,080 --> 00:30:34,397
nuclear, we need fusion, we need natural

532
00:30:34,480 --> 00:30:37,517
gas, we need renewables, we need wind,

533
00:30:37,600 --> 00:30:40,557
we need solar, we need it all. Why?

534
00:30:40,640 --> 00:30:42,317
Because those data centers which account

535
00:30:42,400 --> 00:30:45,677
for 1% of GDP growth this year in

536
00:30:45,760 --> 00:30:49,517
America need power. If you want that 3%

537
00:30:49,600 --> 00:30:52,717
growth that the president and others
have talked about, you need to solve the

538
00:30:52,800 --> 00:30:56,317
energy problem. >> Eric, thank you so
much. What a provocative conversation.

539
00:30:56,400 --> 00:30:58,237
>> Thank you. >> Appreciate that.

540
00:30:58,320 --> 00:30:59,437
>> Can I read one thing?

541
00:30:59,520 --> 00:31:02,637
>> Oh, of course. [applause]

542
00:31:02,720 --> 00:31:05,277
I I I was thinking a lot about you gave

543
00:31:05,360 --> 00:31:07,197
me the honor to talk to this incredible

544
00:31:07,280 --> 00:31:10,317
group about the frontier.

545
00:31:10,400 --> 00:31:12,637
Um in 1893

546
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,197
a fellow named U. Frederick Turner

547
00:31:15,280 --> 00:31:19,437
talked about the frontier and he said

548
00:31:19,520 --> 00:31:21,917
to the frontier the American intellect

549
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:26,797
owes its striking characteristics.
This is 150 years ago. That coarseness and

550
00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:30,797
strength combined with acuteness,
inquisitiveness, that practical

551
00:31:30,880 --> 00:31:33,437
inventive turn of mind, quick to find

552
00:31:33,520 --> 00:31:35,917
expedience, that masterful grasp of

553
00:31:36,000 --> 00:31:38,877
material things, lacking in the artistic

554
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:41,357
but powerful to affect great ends, that

555
00:31:41,440 --> 00:31:44,317
restless nervous energy, that dominant

556
00:31:44,400 --> 00:31:47,117
individualism, working for good and

557
00:31:47,200 --> 00:31:49,597
evil, and with all that buoyancy and

558
00:31:49,680 --> 00:31:51,997
exuberance which comes with freedom.

559
00:31:52,080 --> 00:31:54,717
These are the traits of the frontier.

560
00:31:54,800 --> 00:31:58,317
This is America. This is us. This is why

561
00:31:58,400 --> 00:32:00,317
we're here. This is why you're a great

562
00:32:00,400 --> 00:32:05,780
leader. Thank you very much.
>> That was [applause]

563
00:32:07,200 --> 00:32:11,837
that was in 1893. >> 1893. >> You
know what happened three years later?

564
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:13,917
>> What's that? >> You know
what happened three years later?

565
00:32:14,000 --> 00:32:17,757
>> What? >> The city of Miami
was established. 1896.

566
00:32:17,840 --> 00:32:20,637
>> 1896. Happy birthday to Miami. Thank

567
00:32:20,720 --> 00:32:24,637
you. Okay, mayor. Thank you guys.

568
00:32:24,720 --> 00:32:26,740
>> [music]

569
00:32:38,160 --> 00:32:39,997
>> At the Adam Smith Center for Economic

570
00:32:40,080 --> 00:32:46,720
Freedom, you don't just learn,
you achieve through our interdisiplinary
