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Sam, you've had an intense week to say
the least. So, I really appreciate you

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taking the time to join Decoded.

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>> Thanks for having me. >> Yeah.
Yeah. Uh, you were in Washington

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recently for the state dinner and OpenAI
President Greg Brockman just signed this

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voluntary accord on AI safety at the
White House. Um, I got to ask, do you

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expect this new agreement, this White
House brokered agreement to change

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OpenAI safety practices in a meaningful
way, or is this essentially just more

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window dressing? >> Well,
I don't think it's window dressing, but

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I I do want to be clear. we would have
we care like super deeply about safety

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and would have done and will do uh the

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best thing we can for safety security
and just sort of like trust and

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robustness in this technology whether
or not any you know voluntary agreement is

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signed. I I think it's great to have
the industry do this and I think clearly

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we're at a time where people are looking

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for reassurance from the industry uh and

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and the developers of this technology.

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But

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we were founded on a belief that
this technology was going to become as

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powerful as it has now and more powerful
in the future and that we wanted to make

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sure that people get the tremendous
benefits of it and and we will do that,

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you know, with or without such
an agreement, but I'm happy to have it.

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>> Yeah. and and you know, how do you
respond to those who worry that the

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public is being shut out of these very
important debates on AI safety and that

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really these policies are being crafted
by the president and just a handful of

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tech CEOs in back rooms
at the White House?

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>> I I do share that the spirit of that

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worry. I I I really think there are two
ways this technology can go very wrong.

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I mean there's many specifics we could
talk about but if we think about the

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kind of general directions that we

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should be worried about um one which has

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gotten a lot of attention recently is
that there could be a loss of control to

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AI and that we build something that we
don't have sufficiently aligned to human

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values and that allows people to stay in

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control of the future forever. Um and so

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we need to get safety right. But the
other way things can go wrong is too

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much concentration of power. And there's
been a lot of fear here where okay if we

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do too much to restrict this technology

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in the name of safety and we end up with

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a small number of companies or people or

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perhaps one country that have too much

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power over this. Um that also is a way

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that this can go horribly wrong because

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people are shut out of the kind of power

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and benefits and control and agency
over the future they should have. So, our

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goal here is to sort of be the pragmatic
centrists between these paths because we

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can see how tempting it is to heir
in one direction or the other.

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>> Yeah. Well, I'm glad you mentioned
that, you know, the very few people in the

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room here because Politico's actually
reported that this White House um

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accorded earlier was the brainchild of

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of Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg and Nvidia
CEO Jensen Hang um with basically

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minimal input from some of the other
folks who signed on. Obviously, Greg was

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there, but it was unclear to what extent
OpenAI influenced this. Were you guys

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blindsided by this agreement? And are
you concerned that, you know, maybe some

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of the CEOs are are back channeling
with the White House on this?

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>> No, I I think we've been talking with
our colleagues in the industry for quite

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like many many months and more

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intensively the weeks before this. Um,

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and

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I think people had like a lot of shared
goals here. I I would welcome something

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more, but I think this is like a great
a great start that the industry can get

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behind. >> Sure.
I appreciate that. I I got to ask

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about the other news out of the White
House this week. There was an executive

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order uh officially changing rebranding
artificial intelligence to to super

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intelligence. What do you think
of of the attempted rebrand here?

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>> We've been call we've been we use both,
but we've been talking about super

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intelligence for a few years now. Um >>
but it's it's a different thing, right?

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I mean, super intelligence
is like the machine.

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>> I kind of think the artificial
intelligence thing happened. I think a

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lot of people would say AGI happened
or is close to happening. I I think super

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intelligence does it still
sort of understates the

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magnitude of what I think is happening,
but I think it's a better word than

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artificial intelligence. Um,

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so yeah, I think like it kind of

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it matched how we've been talking about
it, but I think a lot of people continue

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to use AI as a phrase. >> Yeah.
Are I was going to ask, are you

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guys going to change the name to open SI?
No plans to do that. But we do like

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we have been talking about super
intelligence a lot and we will continue

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to talk about it. >> Yeah.
And and obviously I think the

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president in part is driven by this
desire to kind of rebrand AI so that

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it's less scary to people and I think
maybe artificial sounds bad. Everybody

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>> I mean does super intelligence sound
obviously less scary to people than

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artificial intelligence? >> Not to me.
So that's why I'm I'm curious

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whether you think this rebrand will
actually have any impact on on the

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public's perception of this technology.

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I don't

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Yeah, it's not clear to me that super
intelligence is a less scary term. I do

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think it's a more accurate term.

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>> Okay. And just >> but you know,
I think I'm gonna I think

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people are going to keep calling it AI.

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>> Yeah. Okay. And we won't and we won't
look out for the the corporate rebrand

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anytime soon. But uh but good to know
that you at least see see the accuracy

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there. um on your relationship.

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>> As a funny little story, uh when we a

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while ago, I wanted to this was like a >>
this was a thing I really wanted to do,

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but it didn't happen. I wanted to get

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openi.com, open agi.com, and openi.com.

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>> And as we moved up
the ladder from AI to

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AGI to super intelligence, we were
going to change the URL, but brands are

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sticky. >> The futures
that might have been. Wow.

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Uh so, um turning back to your
relationship with the president, um

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you've obviously been pushing for tougher
safety rules. kind of a shift a

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little bit for the company that seems
increasingly at odds with the

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president's claims that AI safety
is a hoax, regulations are a globalist

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scheme. You've had a good relationship
with with Trump, but but why can't you

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why isn't he listening to you when
when you're asking for stricter rules?

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>> Um, well,

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I think he really does want people to be

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able to use AI and rely on it being safe

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and robust and working the way
people expect it to work.

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um he clearly wants the companies to

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just do this themselves. Uh and you

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know, like we're going to,
as I mentioned earlier,

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we're going to we're going
to like make our own products safe

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no matter what the rules are and no
matter what other companies do. Um, I

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continue to think that as this

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technology reaches

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increasing levels of capability, um, and

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the world has to contend with what
this means for society as a whole, we

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probably will see more calls for sort of
some guard rails. But if I'm wrong about

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that and if nothing goes wrong along the

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way and, you know, we don't need

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anything there, then that's fine, too.

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>> Yeah. And obviously the president is
talking to other folks as well. He's got

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venture capitalists in his orbit that
think AI should be regulated in a very

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light fashion. Um existing laws they
think can clamp down on any safety

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concerns. Um and frankly a lot of those
people thought that your company was on

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their side on this question but we've
heard from some of these um I think

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people call them AI accelerationists
recently and to be to be frank they feel

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betrayed. Uh they feel like open AI is

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basically copying anthropic uh and its

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CEO Dario Emodi in its push for very
aggressive regulations on AI. Can I just

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ask, you know, where do you specifically
diverge from Anthropic and its

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pro-regulation uh CEO Dario when it

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comes to new AI rules? Um where's

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where's the daylight?

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>> I think there's
a lot of daylight. Um we

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have always been a big believer
that this technology has

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to be democratized and put into people's
hands. Uh I think one of the biggest

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differences between us and some of the

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stricter let's say AI safety people
is we believe that the world should accept

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some bad things happening for the

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benefits of this technology and people

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having the agency. So like you know I I

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disagree but I understand the perspective
of people who are like this

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technology is going to get so powerful
and it's so dangerous that a single lab

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in San Francisco should have it and make
sure nothing bad happens and kind of

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figure out how to do out the benefits.
I think that is a completely unacceptable

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trade-off from a perspective
of liberty and human agency and people

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self-determining the future. But I

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understand where it comes from. And I do

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think the lighter touch regulatory

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stance that we advocate for comes with
an accepting of the fact that some bad

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things are going to happen as society
figures out the resilience. So, I

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wouldn't take a trade of saying like

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we'll make sure there's no major hacks,
there's no kind of like misuse of this

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technology, there's zero scams, there's
zero all the other bad things that will

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happen. Um because I think
people will do tremendously

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orders of magnitude more good stuff than

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bad stuff. But when it comes to the

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potential of like a serious loss
of control to AI, and this is not a today

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worry, but it may not be in the distant

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future. Um this is where I would say to

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the accelerationists like let's be a

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little thoughtful about lurching into

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this future. Um so I would say accept

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bounded risks accept risks that we

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understand in exchange for the benefits

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and um liberty agency all those things I

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was just talking about but don't accept
like the really catastrophic risk.

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>> Yeah. And just to be clear you
mentioned a single lab in San Francisco

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controlling all of this technology. Um,
that sounds a lot like the folks who say

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Anthropic is making a play to basically
capture regulators and be the sole uh

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sort of like dominant maybe the only
player at the frontier. Um, do you think

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that might be what they're doing? And and
obviously you have concerns about that.

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>> You would need to I mean I would have
concerns if they actually did that. You

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would need to ask them if
that's what they want to do.

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>> And again just
on specific policies that

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you guys um do not want to support that
anthropic is supporting whether it's the

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federal level at the state level um
because again you guys are are now on

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the same page when it comes to uh pacing
the frontier with China. same page with

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thirdparty evaluators. Um, you know,
what's what's just one differentiator?

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>> Um,

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the last I heard one of the different

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differentiators is we don't want any

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restrictions or testing on anything
but the frontier models. We do not want to

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slow down people that make very powerful

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but not the absolute frontier in the

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spirit of um, you know, really focusing

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on the potential catastrophic risks. I

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don't I don't think even though I

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believe that if you don't put any
testing or any oversight on models that

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are one or two generations behind the
frontier, I accept that bad things will

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happen with those. Um I would not go
advocate a licensing regime for those.

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>> Okay. Yeah, I appreciate that. Um
one of the other things we hear from your

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accelerationist critics is that um you
OpenAI are kind of being held hostage by

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your researchers at some level. So
there's I I think a through line through

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a lot of the AI safety community, the
research community in San Francisco. Um

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you call them AI doomers, you call
them effective altruists. Um you were

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famously a target of an unsuccessful
coup attempt by these people.

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>> That worked for a little while.

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>> Sorry. What was that?
>> I mean successful [clears throat] and

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then unsuccessful, but yeah.
>> So yeah. Yeah. Like a couple days you

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you you were re you regained your throne.
So I think that was uh

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unsuccessful ultimately. But I I want
to ask you know is is the AI doomer

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mentality among your researchers
is that a real thing? Uh, and is it maybe

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shifting Open AI in favor of these new
regulations? Are the researchers kind of

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driving the ship here? >> Um,
I don't think we're the lab that gets

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accused of being the doomers. Uh,
I think we are the like we want people to

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have this. We think and I think we've
been proven right. There are tremendous

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benefits. And also society can figure

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out how to have this technology safely.

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I I do think there are other researchers
and other labs who said like don't

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deploy this terrible stuff. It's going
to happen. People can't be trusted with

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this. And I think our worldview has been

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proven. But part of that centism is also

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we don't want to go all in on like I
think blind doomerism is bad. I think

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blind optimism is bad too. Um and I like

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our culture of

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debate and I like our culture of trying

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to like not

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fall into like the mental absolutism
in either direction. Uh I think one of the

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strongest things about our culture
is that we can hold this complexity in our

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head and we don't fall into the trap
that some of the other AI labs do if

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it's all zero or one one way or the other.
Um and we can you know kind of

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like figure out how to exist in this

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middle space. Um so do we have

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researchers that are concerned about
where this technology could go? Yes. Do

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we have researchers who are like very
confident we can mitigate the concerns?

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Also yes. And very often
they're the same people.

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>> And I think this is a healthy
thing about our culture.

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>> Yeah. And sometimes maybe it goes
a little too far. And it was reported

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earlier today that three safety
researchers at OpenAI uh parted ways

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with the company. Frankly, it sounds
like they were they were fired allegedly

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for sharing confidential information
with a third party uh evaluation group.

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Um some people are already comparing
these researchers to whistleblowers.

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They're saying opening eyes has been
on record supporting these third party

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safety evaluators embedded in the company.
So, I mean, do you think firing

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or letting go of these researchers,
is that potentially at odds with your

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company's support for whistleblowers,
outside evaluators, this sort of AI

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safety structure that's been
built up uh around these labs? I

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>> I'm obviously not going
to comment on specific

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people. Um, but I will say we continue

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to really believe in the
importance of working with

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third party evaluators and external

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safety testers and the kind of broader

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safety community. Um

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but we still expect confidentiality uh

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to be respected. >> Yeah.
Um let's turn to the rogue AI

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situation. Uh models emanating from your
company went on an unauthorized sort of

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spree across the internet this summer
uh accessing non-public information from

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government websites in Australia
attempting to infiltrate the US

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Department of Education and meddling
with other government sites in the

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United States. Are you aware of any
additional instances of rogue behavior

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by OpenAI models that have
not yet become public?

255
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>> Um, we are in the process of disclosing

256
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more incidents. There's nothing else I'm
aware of at that level of severity, but

257
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we have more things to disclose
and because some of them involve security

258
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vulnerabilities like it'll we give
people a long time to address those and

259
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it's kind of often up to them
to disclose it or not. Um so more things

260
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but nothing else at that level and we're
kind of going through a very rigorous

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process. you know to your earlier point

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like

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this is I think an a good example of why

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you don't want like max accelerationism
and when we in our context of reality

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and more increasingly powerful models
find that like oh the models are now

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capable of a new threat vector like we

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are going to take the time to learn how

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to defend against that and I think you

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should want us to do that and I think
I don't really know how many of our

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critics that are like oh open AI
is advocating for a slowdown can look at

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what we're doing and say anything other
than like open air had something bad

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happen. They're being responsible
and they're gonna like you know secure

273
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against this. >> Yeah.
And obviously you guys also paused

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the release of the new um GPT 6.1 Astra
model. Uh that was that was sort of a

275
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surprise. Folks were expecting that to be
released. Um I'm curious what your

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researchers saw that led to that pause.

277
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Um, without getting into specifics, uh,

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we have like a bunch of alignment evals

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and we expect each model that we put out

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as it becomes more capable to be more

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robust, better aligned, more likely to

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do what its user asks and less likely to

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like cause unintended side effects. And

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given where the level of capability
is going, I think that's also something

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that most users of models are going to

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want and demand too. like you, like many

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other people, I now have a model
running with access to my most sensitive

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information, my email, my texts,
messages, like all the stuff on my

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computer, and I really want to know that I
can trust that model and it's going to

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behave well. >> Yeah, understood.
And, you know, to go

291
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back to what you said earlier that you
don't expect anything more serious than

292
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what has already been disclosed to come
out. Were you referencing the Australia

293
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hack and the hack of or I guess
the tampering with the US um government

294
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websites or were you referencing
something like hugging face? I guess

295
00:16:12,400 --> 00:16:15,517
what I'm asking is are we should we see
are we expecting to see more incidents

296
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like Australia and like the Department
of Education but nothing like like the

297
00:16:18,880 --> 00:16:20,877
hugging face hack we saw this summer.

298
00:16:20,960 --> 00:16:24,877
>> I don't want to get into like a live
thing here of trying to like say that

299
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one thing is worse than the other
but I'll say of that cluster the other

300
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things that I know are like
not worse than that cluster.

301
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>> Okay. Yeah, understood. Um uh so
>> and by the way I I think what many

302
00:16:35,280 --> 00:16:38,717
companies would do in this place is just
say like you know what if a if something

303
00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:41,837
logged into a website with a credential
that was published on the web or if

304
00:16:41,920 --> 00:16:46,157
something was using like a minor
security vulnerability that was already

305
00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:49,517
well known and that most people had
fixed like you don't need to disclose

306
00:16:49,600 --> 00:16:51,597
that. We are trying to be very thorough

307
00:16:51,680 --> 00:16:55,037
because I think this is like

308
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a sign of things to come. It's
a practice run for our company, but it's

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also like I think this is one of the

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00:17:01,200 --> 00:17:03,917
times as before the models get truly

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very powerful where the world like
the world can understand what these AI

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00:17:08,320 --> 00:17:13,517
incidents are going to be like. And so I
think we're trying to go way beyond what

313
00:17:13,600 --> 00:17:16,077
I think other companies
might do in this situation.

314
00:17:16,160 --> 00:17:19,917
>> Sure. But you guys have obviously had
the most severe uh incident so far with

315
00:17:20,000 --> 00:17:23,597
hugging case. Um and and earlier this
week, uh Politico actually reported on a

316
00:17:23,680 --> 00:17:27,517
lawsuit filed by an advocacy group
in California against your company for the

317
00:17:27,600 --> 00:17:31,597
hugging face hack. Do you think that
under existing civil law, OpenAI can be

318
00:17:31,680 --> 00:17:35,677
held legally responsible for that breach
or other breaches committed autonomously

319
00:17:35,760 --> 00:17:39,597
by its models? >> Um

320
00:17:39,680 --> 00:17:43,357
I mean, I don't know enough about
existing law to comment on that one way

321
00:17:43,440 --> 00:17:47,517
or another. I do think there's going
to need to be a liability framework for

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00:17:47,600 --> 00:17:50,077
companies that are offering models like

323
00:17:50,160 --> 00:17:54,077
this and and yes I like I don't not a

324
00:17:54,160 --> 00:17:57,437
lawyer here can't speak to the legal
details but I think if like something

325
00:17:57,520 --> 00:18:00,877
goes wrong with our models during
training like there's going to be some

326
00:18:00,960 --> 00:18:02,717
version of that we need
to be responsible for

327
00:18:02,800 --> 00:18:06,797
>> perhaps a separate new legal liability
model for AI training specifically like

328
00:18:06,880 --> 00:18:09,997
outside >> I mean this is like the kind of
thing that we are hoping that our policy

329
00:18:10,080 --> 00:18:15,197
makers will all debate Yeah.
>> But but in the meantime, like we just

330
00:18:15,280 --> 00:18:17,837
don't want our models to do this during
training, like that this is clearly

331
00:18:17,920 --> 00:18:19,837
unacceptable way for the models to behave.

332
00:18:19,920 --> 00:18:22,557
>> Yeah. I mean, I was going to ask
irrespective of the law, do you feel any

333
00:18:22,640 --> 00:18:25,597
like personal responsibility for for
what happened or or I guess what might

334
00:18:25,680 --> 00:18:27,757
happen down the line? Um just as a as a

335
00:18:27,840 --> 00:18:31,037
as a citizen and a a corporate citizen.

336
00:18:31,120 --> 00:18:33,757
>> Yeah. I mean like
the the this is a very

337
00:18:33,840 --> 00:18:36,797
stressful job. Like there's incredible
upside to these models, but there's like

338
00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:41,197
real things that can go very wrong. And
you know, I hear you characterize it as

339
00:18:41,280 --> 00:18:44,237
like, oh, you all are just a bunch
of doomers and you know, these people are

340
00:18:44,320 --> 00:18:48,797
mad that you're slowing down progress,
but I feel a lot of responsibility to

341
00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,917
get this right. >> You guys
are definitely in a push and

342
00:18:52,000 --> 00:18:55,277
pull. And to be clear, that's not me
characterizing. We hear from all sides.

343
00:18:55,360 --> 00:18:58,157
And I want to talk a little bit about
the other side, too. Um, and and about

344
00:18:58,240 --> 00:19:00,237
political spending by the AI industry.

345
00:19:00,320 --> 00:19:02,077
Um because your your president, Greg

346
00:19:02,160 --> 00:19:04,877
Brockman, uh his $25 million donation to

347
00:19:04,960 --> 00:19:09,197
the ProAI super PAC, Leading the Future,
did not go over well inside OpenAI. And

348
00:19:09,280 --> 00:19:12,317
in fact, there was reporting, new
reporting that he apologized internally

349
00:19:12,400 --> 00:19:15,677
for that donation. He called it
a distraction and said he would not be

350
00:19:15,760 --> 00:19:19,117
donating an additional 25 million
to that group that he had initially

351
00:19:19,200 --> 00:19:22,077
promised. I mean, do you agree
that that Greg's donation to LTF was

352
00:19:22,160 --> 00:19:26,840
counterproductive? Um,

353
00:19:29,120 --> 00:19:32,237
I'm not familiar with that
note you were talking about.

354
00:19:32,320 --> 00:19:34,797
>> This This came out yesterday. It was
in the New York Times. Uh, there was an

355
00:19:34,880 --> 00:19:38,317
internal I understand.
I can't keep up with it

356
00:19:38,400 --> 00:19:41,197
always either. There was an internal
Slack message I think in June where

357
00:19:41,280 --> 00:19:45,117
Brockman said, um, this was a terrible
distraction. Um, I'm sorry I did it and

358
00:19:45,200 --> 00:19:48,717
and I'm not planning to do the extra 25
million. I mean, you can respond to to

359
00:19:48,800 --> 00:19:51,517
the Brockman thing specifically. There's
also just a broader question about AI

360
00:19:51,600 --> 00:19:55,677
money and politics which has just been
flooding in on both sides. Right. I do I

361
00:19:55,760 --> 00:19:57,437
want to get your specific
answer on Brockman.

362
00:19:57,520 --> 00:19:59,517
>> I haven't seen the Brockman thing so
I don't want to get like I I don't want to

363
00:19:59,600 --> 00:20:01,837
respond to that but I can respond
to the general thing if that's okay.

364
00:20:01,920 --> 00:20:05,037
>> Yeah. Well, can I ask you first? Were
you ever approached by LTF or any other

365
00:20:05,120 --> 00:20:06,717
politically political organizations?

366
00:20:06,800 --> 00:20:09,997
Okay. for donations and no >> no
I've like supported some candidates

367
00:20:10,080 --> 00:20:14,317
in the past but now that I think AI
is so at the center and you know we do

368
00:20:14,400 --> 00:20:17,677
business with government I don't I'm
not donating to any candidates but I've

369
00:20:17,760 --> 00:20:20,477
supported individual
candidates in the past

370
00:20:20,560 --> 00:20:22,157
>> yeah but there has
been this surge of AI

371
00:20:22,240 --> 00:20:26,557
money into politics and frankly you know
your your your CEO your your rival CEO I

372
00:20:26,640 --> 00:20:31,437
guess Dario at anthropic has donated
to um AI safety groups also to candidates

373
00:20:31,520 --> 00:20:34,797
promoting AI safety specifically
Alex Bores in New York um they've been

374
00:20:34,880 --> 00:20:38,077
pouring money on the one side the VCs
and and your president have been pouring

375
00:20:38,160 --> 00:20:41,517
money in on the other. How do you
think all that money has impacted the

376
00:20:41,600 --> 00:20:45,517
perception of AI among
politicians and the public?

377
00:20:45,600 --> 00:20:47,037
>> Well, something's clearly not working.

378
00:20:47,120 --> 00:20:49,837
Uh I don't I don't you know, I don't
think the perception of AI is where we'd

379
00:20:49,920 --> 00:20:51,437
like it to be. So,

380
00:20:51,520 --> 00:20:56,957
>> um the I get why AI has a really

381
00:20:57,040 --> 00:21:00,637
negative perception right now. Um

382
00:21:00,720 --> 00:21:02,957
people actually love using the tools in

383
00:21:03,040 --> 00:21:07,917
many cases. you know, people talk about
all the ways that chatbt um makes their

384
00:21:08,000 --> 00:21:10,797
lives better or easier or does these
sort of useful things and gives them

385
00:21:10,880 --> 00:21:15,117
time back. But there's like
a lot of anxiety about what

386
00:21:15,200 --> 00:21:18,317
the economic impact of all this is going
to be. There's a real fear that I think

387
00:21:18,400 --> 00:21:21,677
is quite justified about concentration
of power. there's this other fear about

388
00:21:21,760 --> 00:21:26,957
like you know what if there's like you
have like oh anthropics head of safety

389
00:21:27,040 --> 00:21:29,917
research saying there's a 10% chance
we're going to die or something which I

390
00:21:30,000 --> 00:21:31,677
hate because that person should have a

391
00:21:31,760 --> 00:21:33,197
lot of agency to make that number lower.

392
00:21:33,280 --> 00:21:37,117
It's not like a static number. Um so

393
00:21:37,200 --> 00:21:40,557
it's not surprising to me that people
feel all of this and I don't think

394
00:21:40,640 --> 00:21:43,517
spending money on politics is what's
going to make people feel better about

395
00:21:43,600 --> 00:21:48,637
it. Um >> so do you think
should Sorry, go ahead.

396
00:21:48,720 --> 00:21:51,997
No, I think the industry needs to figure
out a way to address what the actual

397
00:21:52,080 --> 00:21:55,517
concerns are and right now I think a lot
of people in the industry are being like

398
00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,797
quite tonedeaf. >> So do you
think that spending in maybe

399
00:21:58,880 --> 00:22:03,597
the 2028 race uh should be curtailed
on all sides just to try to give that I

400
00:22:03,680 --> 00:22:06,157
mean to your point that the power
concentration I think is what people

401
00:22:06,240 --> 00:22:08,717
look at in part on that.
I mean what what would you say

402
00:22:08,800 --> 00:22:12,797
>> on on possibly curtailing
spending for the next cycle?

403
00:22:12,880 --> 00:22:17,197
>> Like how how would that work
in practice? just just I mean there's

404
00:22:17,280 --> 00:22:21,037
hundreds of millions of dollars
right now going from the AI labs to uh

405
00:22:21,120 --> 00:22:25,277
candidates to packs um and it's not just
on your side it's on it's from the VCs

406
00:22:25,360 --> 00:22:27,437
it's from anthropics >> you
mean like do I think the whole AI

407
00:22:27,520 --> 00:22:29,517
industry should agree to stop
giving money to politics

408
00:22:29,600 --> 00:22:33,117
>> yeah maybe a slowdown
a pacing of political spending

409
00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:37,357
>> um I mean generally speaking I would
love much less money in politics I don't

410
00:22:37,440 --> 00:22:42,477
think it improves the dynamics of our
political system or uh but I don't know

411
00:22:42,560 --> 00:22:45,837
how I don't think I or the indust have the

412
00:22:45,920 --> 00:22:49,917
power to like disarm that and I don't
think it works for to tell like some

413
00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:53,117
people they can give money and other
people they can't. If you have a way to

414
00:22:53,200 --> 00:22:56,157
get less money into politics, I would be
very thrilled to support it if it could

415
00:22:56,240 --> 00:23:00,637
be done overall. >> Yeah. Not outside
of my job description unfortunately.

416
00:23:00,720 --> 00:23:03,437
>> Unfortunately,
but I do think it'd be good.

417
00:23:03,520 --> 00:23:05,037
>> Sure. Yeah. Everybody says that. Yeah.

418
00:23:05,120 --> 00:23:08,477
And then and then the chips come down uh
when it's election time. I I do want to

419
00:23:08,560 --> 00:23:12,237
turn to the states briefly. Um, Politico
reported that you texted California

420
00:23:12,320 --> 00:23:16,077
Governor Gavin Newsome about a kid's
chatbot safety bill before it passed the

421
00:23:16,160 --> 00:23:20,397
legislature this summer. Um, do you see
Newsome as a partner on AI policy? Um,

422
00:23:20,480 --> 00:23:23,197
do you think he can maybe mend the fences
between the Democratic party and

423
00:23:23,280 --> 00:23:25,037
Silicon Valley?

424
00:23:25,120 --> 00:23:27,437
>> Um,

425
00:23:27,520 --> 00:23:32,477
I like him. I I think that and I I have
always found him someone that is like

426
00:23:32,560 --> 00:23:35,597
really thoughtful about trying to bring
many constituencies in the state

427
00:23:35,680 --> 00:23:39,917
together. So, yeah, I think he can
play a role there. Okay. Yeah. I mean,

428
00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:41,437
obviously he's a presidential candidate.

429
00:23:41,520 --> 00:23:45,037
Um, do you see any or, you know, very
much a potential presidential candidate?

430
00:23:45,120 --> 00:23:47,917
I think he probably will be likely
on going to be on the ballot or, you know,

431
00:23:48,000 --> 00:23:51,277
on some kind of ballot at some point.
Do you see any other or potential

432
00:23:51,360 --> 00:23:54,077
presidential candidates that are on your
speed dial? I mean, who who else are you

433
00:23:54,160 --> 00:23:57,997
talking to regularly about AI or just
about politics or or anything about when

434
00:23:58,080 --> 00:23:59,917
it comes to the the race
to the White House?

435
00:24:00,000 --> 00:24:01,757
>> Um,

436
00:24:01,840 --> 00:24:07,037
I plan to do my best to work with
whoever the next president is. Uh, but

437
00:24:07,120 --> 00:24:11,837
I'm not spending like a lot of time with
the likely candidates yet. Uh, I will I

438
00:24:11,920 --> 00:24:15,197
I will work with whoever the US
president is when that happens.

439
00:24:15,280 --> 00:24:17,677
>> Sure. And you just talked to Newsome
because you're in California and

440
00:24:17,760 --> 00:24:20,397
obviously that's those are live balls.

441
00:24:20,480 --> 00:24:21,997
>> Yeah. I mean, he's our governor.

442
00:24:22,080 --> 00:24:24,877
>> Yeah. Yeah. Um, are there any world
leaders that you talk to frequently

443
00:24:24,960 --> 00:24:28,157
about AI or that you think are really
sort of like paving a way here uh on

444
00:24:28,240 --> 00:24:33,037
policy or on on other things? >> Um,

445
00:24:33,120 --> 00:24:36,157
I mean, kind of all of them are talking
about AI. I don't think I've had a

446
00:24:36,240 --> 00:24:38,877
conversation with a world leader in
the last couple of years where AI wasn't

447
00:24:38,960 --> 00:24:40,557
like a genuinely top of mind thing.

448
00:24:40,640 --> 00:24:41,917
>> But who impressed you?
Who impresses you

449
00:24:42,000 --> 00:24:45,597
the most in terms of their AI policy
or their plans for this technology?

450
00:24:45,680 --> 00:24:48,680
>> Um,

451
00:24:49,360 --> 00:24:51,997
again like many good ones, the person
that came to mind as you were saying

452
00:24:52,080 --> 00:24:55,357
that is uh the French president. I think
is extremely thoughtful and has been for

453
00:24:55,440 --> 00:25:00,157
a long time about where this is going and
what the shape of it needs to look like.

454
00:25:00,240 --> 00:25:03,597
>> Okay. Yeah. Uh moving briefly
to national security and some of the risks

455
00:25:03,680 --> 00:25:07,917
uh to frontier companies. Um OpenAI
has been very vocal about adversarial

456
00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,437
distillation coming from Chinese
companies like Moonshot. And so

457
00:25:11,520 --> 00:25:14,397
distillation is basically where you know
they they use your AI models to train

458
00:25:14,480 --> 00:25:17,917
theirs at a fraction of the cost um and
can obviously undercut you on price as a

459
00:25:18,000 --> 00:25:21,197
result. Um do you think these
distillation attacks are undercutting

460
00:25:21,280 --> 00:25:24,637
OpenAI's business model
in a fundamental way?

461
00:25:24,720 --> 00:25:29,357
>> Um it's a it's like
an interesting thing. we're doing,

462
00:25:29,440 --> 00:25:34,557
you know, great economically and then
on the other hand there's this

463
00:25:34,640 --> 00:25:37,757
constant worry about ah there's going
to be all this pressure and some days it's

464
00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:42,557
from a competitor some days it's from open
source models um but some days it's

465
00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:46,237
from something else like what I would
say is we want to make sure that we have

466
00:25:46,320 --> 00:25:49,037
a lead that we can protect national

467
00:25:49,120 --> 00:25:53,997
security and that people get like
abundant access to AI and as in many

468
00:25:54,080 --> 00:25:56,957
other parts of this conversation
there's sort of like a a complicated set

469
00:25:57,040 --> 00:26:00,157
trade-offs there. >> Sure.
I I mean, obviously you guys are

470
00:26:00,240 --> 00:26:02,877
raising the the alarm about these
distillation attacks, but it's not

471
00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:05,837
really clear what folks can do about them.
I mean, do you think the US

472
00:26:05,920 --> 00:26:09,437
government should be doing more to address
adversarial distillation from China?

473
00:26:09,520 --> 00:26:12,717
>> Well, I think there are a lot of things
people could do about them. Um, the

474
00:26:12,800 --> 00:26:15,037
issue is there's just like a lot
of trade-offs on all of them. You know, we

475
00:26:15,120 --> 00:26:16,477
could expose products in different ways.

476
00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:20,077
They'd be much harder to distill,
but that would like take away some of the

477
00:26:20,160 --> 00:26:23,277
open-ended creativity, and we don't
really want to have to do that. We

478
00:26:23,360 --> 00:26:27,357
certainly don't want to be
forced to do that. Um the

479
00:26:27,440 --> 00:26:31,357
so I think there are a lot of things
that people can do here. Uh they just

480
00:26:31,440 --> 00:26:34,717
all come with trade-offs and you know
some of them are like national policy

481
00:26:34,800 --> 00:26:37,517
some of them are company
normal companies competing.

482
00:26:37,600 --> 00:26:41,197
>> I mean do you guys have a preference
for what should be done or are you the bas

483
00:26:41,280 --> 00:26:43,677
>> under active discussion? I don't think
we would say yet like here's the thing

484
00:26:43,760 --> 00:26:46,237
we really are behind. >> Yeah.
Well when you guys figure that out

485
00:26:46,320 --> 00:26:50,717
you guys got to come to Politico and and
let us know. Um that sounds good. Um, so

486
00:26:50,800 --> 00:26:54,797
OpenAI is reportedly committed
to spending around 750 billion on compute

487
00:26:54,880 --> 00:26:58,317
between now and 2030. I think this was
from the Wall Street Journal uh over the

488
00:26:58,400 --> 00:27:01,917
summer. Um, but you know, credit
conditions are tightening. Uh, and your

489
00:27:02,000 --> 00:27:05,517
firm has been identified as a credit
risk to companies like Oracle that are,

490
00:27:05,600 --> 00:27:07,997
you know, at the forefront
of hyperscaling and building out this

491
00:27:08,080 --> 00:27:12,237
infrastructure. Um, is that dynamic
driving up costs for AI or is it expect

492
00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:16,157
or sorry for OpenAI or is it expected
to drive up costs for Open AI?

493
00:27:16,240 --> 00:27:19,197
I think it's the supply chain that's
driving up costs much more than the

494
00:27:19,280 --> 00:27:23,277
financing markets.
Um, financing still seems

495
00:27:23,360 --> 00:27:27,197
easy to come by, but there's like
a lot of it and silicon wafers seem much

496
00:27:27,280 --> 00:27:31,197
tighter and where much more
of the cost expansion is happening.

497
00:27:31,280 --> 00:27:33,517
>> Okay. Uh, well, OpenAI has delayed its

498
00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:36,717
its IPO until 2027. Um, are you guys

499
00:27:36,800 --> 00:27:39,277
considering delaying it further?

500
00:27:39,360 --> 00:27:41,517
Um,

501
00:27:41,600 --> 00:27:46,637
I think when we have a few safety cases

502
00:27:46,720 --> 00:27:50,797
under our belt and we see that we can
operate well in this new regime, there

503
00:27:50,880 --> 00:27:54,637
may still be like market changes that
would cause us to have to think about it

504
00:27:54,720 --> 00:27:59,037
differently like you know unpredictable
stuff can happen in the world but from a

505
00:27:59,120 --> 00:28:02,637
safety perspective and certainly from an
financial perspective I would expect us

506
00:28:02,720 --> 00:28:05,517
to be ready. >> Okay. Yeah.
Um uh there's been a lot of

507
00:28:05,600 --> 00:28:09,437
chatter uh going back to this reg
regulation uh effort that I think has

508
00:28:09,520 --> 00:28:12,797
been largely led by industry. There's
been a lot of chatter for a FINRA for

509
00:28:12,880 --> 00:28:17,197
AI. I know that you and Daario Deabas
at Google DeepMind have been talking a lot

510
00:28:17,280 --> 00:28:20,077
about this. Um basically
a self-regulating body that can share

511
00:28:20,160 --> 00:28:23,917
information maybe coordinate slowdown
if things get super scary. Um how do you

512
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:27,037
guys all talk about that? Is there like
a WhatsApp channel or or how do you guys

513
00:28:27,120 --> 00:28:30,557
communicate on this?
>> There's no like big WhatsApp that

514
00:28:30,640 --> 00:28:34,717
everybody's in. Uh but there's like lots
of you know people are running to treat

515
00:28:34,800 --> 00:28:35,757
each other at the same conference.

516
00:28:35,840 --> 00:28:38,317
There's calls occasional
meetings stuff like that.

517
00:28:38,400 --> 00:28:41,917
>> Okay. I do do you think that the
government needs to give uh top AI

518
00:28:42,000 --> 00:28:44,957
companies an antitrust exemption
in order to coordinate like this? That

519
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:47,117
that's what Dario and Tropic have said.

520
00:28:47,200 --> 00:28:50,477
>> It's again not a lawyer as I understand
it. The law is like fairly clear that

521
00:28:50,560 --> 00:28:54,157
we're allowed to Yeah. I mean, we can't
like say like, "Let's price our models

522
00:28:54,240 --> 00:28:56,957
here," obviously, and that would not
be good or let's not release this or

523
00:28:57,040 --> 00:29:00,877
whatever. But I think the law is fairly
clear that we're like allowed to share

524
00:29:00,960 --> 00:29:04,477
safety best practices and incident
reports and stuff like that.

525
00:29:04,560 --> 00:29:05,837
>> Why do you think Anthropic is calling

526
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:09,597
for an antitrust exemption?

527
00:29:09,680 --> 00:29:12,157
>> You have to ask them.

528
00:29:12,240 --> 00:29:15,677
>> Yeah. Um there's a lot of AI uh movies

529
00:29:15,760 --> 00:29:19,997
coming out these days. Uh there one
of them is uh has um Andrew Garfield

530
00:29:20,080 --> 00:29:22,237
playing you. I think it's called
artificial. I guess maybe it should be

531
00:29:22,320 --> 00:29:26,797
called super. Uh under the new the new
framework. Um who who should play you? I

532
00:29:26,880 --> 00:29:30,557
mean, is Andrew Garfield a good a good
character? Uh uh do you have another

533
00:29:30,640 --> 00:29:33,117
another person in mind?
Everybody thinks about this, right?

534
00:29:33,200 --> 00:29:34,477
>> Who should play them in a movie?

535
00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:35,757
>> Who should play you in a movie?

536
00:29:35,840 --> 00:29:41,800
>> Oh, I I never thought about it
before this [laughter] happened. Um I

537
00:29:41,920 --> 00:29:45,037
I thought it's pretty
good in Spider-Man. Yeah.

538
00:29:45,120 --> 00:29:48,717
>> Okay. I mean, >> so you >> I
don't know. I think it's like going to

539
00:29:48,800 --> 00:29:52,477
be a weird thing no
matter what. Uh, >> yeah.

540
00:29:52,560 --> 00:29:56,717
>> But I love people. I love, you know,
I hope it's entertaining. I hope it's like

541
00:29:56,800 --> 00:30:01,117
a funny I'm sure it won't be accurate,
but I hope it's funny and enjoyable to

542
00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:05,997
watch. >> Yeah. Yeah. Um, I I do want to
ask just a little bit more about the China

543
00:30:06,080 --> 00:30:07,437
question while while we have you here.

544
00:30:07,520 --> 00:30:11,597
Um, the distillation is one thing.
Uh, there is also this broader question

545
00:30:11,680 --> 00:30:16,157
about the race with China. And, um,
I don't know if how carefully you guys are

546
00:30:16,240 --> 00:30:19,437
tracking sort of like who's ahead.
I'm not even entirely sure how you track

547
00:30:19,520 --> 00:30:22,797
that. Um, do you guys track that?
You know, who's sort of in the lead on the

548
00:30:22,880 --> 00:30:26,397
frontier and and what would you gauge
the the, you know, open eye, Anthropic,

549
00:30:26,480 --> 00:30:29,917
sort of the leaders in the space?
How far ahead are you guys from from these

550
00:30:30,000 --> 00:30:32,397
other Chinese companies?

551
00:30:32,480 --> 00:30:34,877
>> I do think we're ahead. I think it's

552
00:30:34,960 --> 00:30:38,077
very hard to like put a number on it of

553
00:30:38,160 --> 00:30:42,237
how far ahead because it is one of like
there's many decisions that impact what

554
00:30:42,320 --> 00:30:44,637
that number is going to be. So I can say

555
00:30:44,720 --> 00:30:47,357
with some confidence I believe our best

556
00:30:47,440 --> 00:30:51,277
internal model is well ahead of the best

557
00:30:51,360 --> 00:30:56,157
internal model that any Chinese company
has. But it's a little difficult to say

558
00:30:56,240 --> 00:30:58,717
exactly how far ahead. >> I I'm
curious how you know that. I mean

559
00:30:58,800 --> 00:31:01,197
it it's because it seems like something
maybe like an intelligence analyst would

560
00:31:01,280 --> 00:31:03,517
know. But but >> you don't
that I was just going to say

561
00:31:03,600 --> 00:31:07,277
like I we have reason to believe this

562
00:31:07,360 --> 00:31:10,957
but it's not perfect and I wish I
knew with like absolute confidence.

563
00:31:11,040 --> 00:31:12,637
>> Yeah. Um,
does the government ever share

564
00:31:12,720 --> 00:31:15,757
information with you on this? Uh,
I gota assume they're looking at the the

565
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:19,197
Chinese labs. >> Uh, I mean
they might with somebody else

566
00:31:19,280 --> 00:31:21,917
at OpenAI that like has a security
clearance or something. They don't. They

567
00:31:22,000 --> 00:31:25,357
have not told me you are X months ahead
of this other effort and here's the thing.

568
00:31:25,440 --> 00:31:29,037
>> Maybe that would just add some extra
pressure. Not needed. Um, I uh I I do

569
00:31:29,120 --> 00:31:31,197
want to ask, you know, you were
here for the state dinner. Yeah.

570
00:31:31,280 --> 00:31:35,677
>> Um, there was a lot of pressure for
some sort of agreement with the Chinese

571
00:31:35,760 --> 00:31:39,197
government on pacing.
>> The president doesn't seem to want

572
00:31:39,280 --> 00:31:43,277
anything to do with that. And I'm
curious whether you think any kind of

573
00:31:43,360 --> 00:31:48,237
deal with the Chinese um is possible
in the near term with this administration

574
00:31:48,320 --> 00:31:51,757
even. >> I assume something's
possible. I mean, I

575
00:31:51,840 --> 00:31:56,397
don't know the exact like shape of what
can get done, but this president is

576
00:31:56,480 --> 00:32:00,557
incredible at making deals. >> Yeah.
Do you think it needs to ratchet

577
00:32:00,640 --> 00:32:03,597
up the chain? And I mean one thing
people have described to me is you know

578
00:32:03,680 --> 00:32:07,357
you need to sort of regulate your own
house first and then maybe you need to

579
00:32:07,440 --> 00:32:10,717
go to the democracies and see if we can
all get on the same page and then once

580
00:32:10,800 --> 00:32:12,477
that happens you can go to the Chinese.

581
00:32:12,560 --> 00:32:16,317
Can you sort of short circuit that process
or or does it have to go up that

582
00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:19,757
value chain in your mind?
>> Here you are asking the wrong you you

583
00:32:19,840 --> 00:32:22,557
probably know a lot of experts on like
complex international stuff. You got a

584
00:32:22,640 --> 00:32:25,517
question about AI tech. I can give you
a good answer. Okay. You get the complex

585
00:32:25,600 --> 00:32:28,477
international thing done. I'm probably
not the smartest person you can ask.

586
00:32:28,560 --> 00:32:32,957
>> Or maybe this is a question for your
for your policy staff. Um I uh and and I

587
00:32:33,040 --> 00:32:35,117
guess just you know when it comes to the

588
00:32:35,200 --> 00:32:37,677
Chinese uh

589
00:32:37,760 --> 00:32:42,957
situation I mean do you see them as a
major national security threat with AI?

590
00:32:43,040 --> 00:32:47,037
I mean there's been this effort to impose
export controls on uh the flow of

591
00:32:47,120 --> 00:32:50,877
AI chips to China. Um some of those
controls are already in place. Uh

592
00:32:50,960 --> 00:32:55,117
there's efforts to tighten them in the
upcoming um uh lame duck uh regardless

593
00:32:55,200 --> 00:32:56,797
of who kind of wins the election. Do you

594
00:32:56,880 --> 00:32:59,117
think those have been effective?

595
00:32:59,200 --> 00:33:03,117
I simultaneously think that

596
00:33:03,200 --> 00:33:07,597
it is clearly a huge national security
issue about what countries are using

597
00:33:07,680 --> 00:33:11,037
more powerful AI against each other,
which is part of why I'd like there to

598
00:33:11,120 --> 00:33:15,037
be some sort of deal here. And you know,
we've done that for other kind of

599
00:33:15,120 --> 00:33:17,837
majorly disruptive pieces of technology
in our history, even with between

600
00:33:17,920 --> 00:33:18,797
countries that really don't like each

601
00:33:18,880 --> 00:33:22,397
other. And I also think that the shape

602
00:33:22,480 --> 00:33:25,597
of this technology is just so

603
00:33:25,680 --> 00:33:29,677
unusual that doing the kinds of things
that restrict that worked in the last

604
00:33:29,760 --> 00:33:32,797
you know maybe if we
use the example of like

605
00:33:32,880 --> 00:33:36,797
nuclear technology where you could
really focus on raw materials and such

606
00:33:36,880 --> 00:33:39,597
it's not going to work quite the same
way and so I think a lot of the current

607
00:33:39,680 --> 00:33:42,877
approaches are based in

608
00:33:42,960 --> 00:33:46,797
sort of the last era of thinking.
So you think export

609
00:33:46,880 --> 00:33:49,437
controls are kind
of an outdated uh attempt to

610
00:33:49,520 --> 00:33:50,797
>> I mean there's probably some version of

611
00:33:50,880 --> 00:33:54,637
it that could work but

612
00:33:54,720 --> 00:33:58,957
you you know like you can train a model
in some other country and then when it's

613
00:33:59,040 --> 00:34:01,437
done just send the weights over the
internet. It's like a different shape of

614
00:34:01,520 --> 00:34:03,917
thing. >> Yeah.
And Enthropic has pushed heavily

615
00:34:04,000 --> 00:34:06,557
for for export controls and they're
actually real big China hawks over

616
00:34:06,640 --> 00:34:09,117
there. They think that you know this the
way the way to beat the Chinese on this

617
00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:13,117
is to to clamp down on their on their
access to US hardware. Um is that

618
00:34:13,200 --> 00:34:15,917
something you share? Is that do
you think that that's some one way

619
00:34:16,000 --> 00:34:20,637
>> that's in the category of thing? Well,
again I want like I want the whole world

620
00:34:20,720 --> 00:34:23,357
to get to benefit from this technology
first of all. So the whole like only the

621
00:34:23,440 --> 00:34:25,357
US people should get to benefit and we
don't want the Chinese people to have

622
00:34:25,440 --> 00:34:30,237
it. I don't like I don't like that
mindset. I do think there are real

623
00:34:30,320 --> 00:34:32,157
>> geopolitical power implications though.

624
00:34:32,240 --> 00:34:34,637
Um but it's it's very unclear to me that

625
00:34:34,720 --> 00:34:39,597
like chip flow is going to be

626
00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:41,677
the best way to deal with the problem.

627
00:34:41,760 --> 00:34:44,637
And you did mention at the top of this
conversation that you were worried about

628
00:34:44,720 --> 00:34:49,357
concentration of power among people, but
also among countries, maybe one country.

629
00:34:49,440 --> 00:34:52,637
Um, it doesn't sound super America first,
but it does sound like you're of

630
00:34:52,720 --> 00:34:54,237
the mind that like this is technology

631
00:34:54,320 --> 00:34:56,237
that everybody should share. Uh, if I

632
00:34:56,320 --> 00:35:00,157
could if I could like wave a magic wand,

633
00:35:00,240 --> 00:35:03,197
I would say that America has like the

634
00:35:03,280 --> 00:35:05,997
most powerful AI models, the plurality

635
00:35:06,080 --> 00:35:09,197
of AI compute, that America gets to like

636
00:35:09,280 --> 00:35:12,157
lead the policy decisions in the world.

637
00:35:12,240 --> 00:35:14,957
I like I love the American system
and the American value framework and

638
00:35:15,040 --> 00:35:18,157
obviously America. Um, but I don't think

639
00:35:18,240 --> 00:35:21,997
it should be like only Americans get
to benefit from the technology or have any

640
00:35:22,080 --> 00:35:25,517
voice in the future or have like a super
lopsided concentration of power with the

641
00:35:25,600 --> 00:35:27,597
rest of the world. >> Um, well,
Sam, thank you so much. This

642
00:35:27,680 --> 00:35:29,117
is great. Uh, I'd love to do it again.

643
00:35:29,200 --> 00:35:32,637
Um, and thanks so much for for being
on the inaugural episode. It's great.

644
00:35:32,720 --> 00:35:35,880
>> Take care.
