WEBVTT

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It's been a massive year for artificial
intelligence reshaping markets and the

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global race for tech dominance. And few

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companies sit closer to the center of

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that transformation than Palunteer,

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whose software powers decision-making

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from Wall Street to the US government.

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And here with me now is Palanteer CEO,
Alex Karp. Alex, great to see you.

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>> Great to see you, too.
We've been at this for a long time,

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>> a long many years, my friend. Let me
start here. Uh question for investors.

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Maybe it's the biggest question for

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investors right now. AI boom, Alex, or

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AI bubble? A lot of smart people have
different views on that. I'm curious to

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hear yours. >> Well, I mean,
first of all, it always

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it's always interesting to to define

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what it means to be smart. But um uh so

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if smart means informed, I think uh

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there the the debate comes down to um uh

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two questions. um how large is the

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market and how large is the market
for things that actually work. So there's

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really two AI markets from Palanteer's

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perspective. People using AI call it

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enhanced intelligence to do basic things
but things that are not sophisticated

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enough so that they would change your

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revenue or margins.

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>> That that is a very
large market. Um you

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you one could argue as an informed

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citizen that that market is very large

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but does may not create enough value to

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justify the actual cost of large

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language models or their implementation.

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The the the our what we see on the

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ground not again not not as an opinion

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but as like a fact is a subset of that

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larger AI market. I would call AI that

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works either in a way that it can change

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the battlefield or it can change your
margins or it can change your revenue

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and by the way can do it in a way that's
so quickly that you can do it in the

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public sphere. So you can do it
as a public company. You don't have to

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inherently take the company private
although you can do it in the private

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context or you can do it so quickly
you can change things on the battlefield

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that portion of the market. Uh so the

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subset of AI where you can show

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quantifiable results again life and

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death safety results or results so
that margins or revenue actually change

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dramatically and quickly enough so that
you can capture the value while you're

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still running the company in the in the
structure as it exists now. So it used

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to be to do these things you had
to isolate essentially isolate an

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institution. I want to rebuild my
military. I want to rebuild a company. I

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want to change the trajectory of my
private company. The timeline on that

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and that what you would have the violence
involved meant that you had to

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take it offline for 5 years. Okay, that
that's a really and sometimes you still

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have to do that. What the special thing

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about the category we're in is you can

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do all that so quickly uh that you can

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show quantifiable results and that

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portion of the market is expanding
as a subset. So if the whole AR market is

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here, this was a tiny subset that is

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metabolizing the rest of the AR market.

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And so what we see on the ground is uh

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it's a it's a that people are very very

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receptive under the condition you can

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show it having worked in a similar

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environment somewhere anywhere on the

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globe. So the part of the market that is

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is weak that where people talk about a

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bubble is in the institutional context.

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So not consumer internet where you can

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never you cannot show the thing having
worked that part of the market is is

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very weak and dissipating. Now the part
of the market we're in which is we'll

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show you the results quickly and we'll
get paid a subset of it uh that part of

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the market's getting bigger and bigger
and bigger and that part of the market

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is going to dominate the rest of the
market in the institutional context.

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>> Let me ask you this. So you're
describing where Palanteer is today.

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Alex, help me understand where,
you know, you think about where Palanteer

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could be five years from now or 10 years
from now and and one way to think about

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is that, you know, you you sometimes
talk about, Alex, how AI will define the

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future of warfare. So, let's say you
you talk five or 10 years out. I'm

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interested how how you think about what
the future battlefield will look like

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and what Palunteers place on that
battlefield could be. Let let me let me

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kind of invert the question and say

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where will America be because I think

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we're downstream from America's success.

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Uh and America is the only country in

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the world that provides everything from

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chips to ontology above and below one

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country. So the question is, can we grow

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the aggregate GDP and can we grow the

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subset of GDP that affects working-class
people? Because that's essentially the

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challenge we have. We're in a unique
environment where we probably can grow

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aggregate abs GD GDP in absolute terms,

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meaning GDP that affects you and me. And

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now we have to can we grow it in a way
that affects that positively affects the

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welder, the plumber, the truck driver.

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So this is the core challenge for America.
And then as a subset of that

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because in a weird way uh our ability
to defend oursel or our need to defend

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oursel is going to depend on our economic
strength and our military strength.

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>> And how does AI play into that?

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>> So so yeah. So first of all something
that we just have to say over and over

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and overgo we forget in this country.

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We're the only country in the world who

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has every part of the stack where the

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dominant feature of that stack is built
in our country. So this is completely

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unique. So we have a very different
problem than say Europe has. Europe has

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the problem that they don't have
any part of the stack as the dominant

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player. Now our pro so the advantage for

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us is we can we have a very plausible

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narrative to growing our economy. The

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disadvantage for us is we have to show

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we can grow the economy in a way where

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the average person with a skilled job

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participates. Now so how does AI happen?

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It depends what you mean by AI. Again,

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if you mean AI that you're just going to

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be running some query, that's very hard
to see why GDP inherently grows. It's

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also hard to see why the plumber,
the welder, the truck driver has a better

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job or the job they have today, but gets
paid more tomorrow. And if you do if

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you're doing AI the way the way
Palanteer is actually doing it on the

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factory floor, on the battlefield,
and in corporate environments all over

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America, you can see that what we're
doing is we're taking the welder and

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saying, "Oh, we can make you into
the kind of welder that can work in a

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complicated environment that you could
not have worked in the past. We're

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taking the truck driver presumably
and saying, "Hey, if we reroute you this

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way, you're more efficient. You save
energy. you actually know how to repair

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your truck or predictively chair and so
you are a more valuable engineer and

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arguably the most important thing is we're
equipping war fighters with lethal

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technology that is substantially above
what our adversaries have which means

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our adversaries don't
want to fight with us.

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>> Do you do you see that remaining so in

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the future? Okay. Well,

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the the danger we have honestly in this
country is just, you know, a play like

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so many of the crazy debates we have in

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this country are downstream from, you

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know, we we have a bounty of riches and

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like our issue is how do you how do you

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manage that? Like it sounds like an easy
problem, but just as an example, if

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Europe had one of these things, it would
be very good at protecting it. We have

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so many of these things, people think
it's automatic. We're automatically

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going to win. we can afford the we can
afford these internets and invites. My

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personal view maybe not I'm not saying

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those of everybody like we we like we

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can't afford open borders and complete

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delusion that we can get away with a
non-marritocratic society. Most of that

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comes from the left but it's like if we

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stick we can't get away with diverging
from our unique heritage which is

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particularly valuable like you know free
speech, first and second amendment an

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ability to defend ourselves. These

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things are especially the fact that we

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attract and retain the best uh
entrepreneurs from other countries but

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we already have many of the best ones
here. Um and you know so like every

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other country is scrambling to get
something to work. Our problem is

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actually different problem. Can can we
stick to the hand we have? We've been

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dealt a blessed hand. >> C are
we going to screw it up now? And

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that that's really our problem. like
are we going to so regulate AI so that

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somehow it's easier to do it somewhere

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else. Are we going to eviscerate

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concepts like meritocracy because you
know like partly because now this is

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where Silicon Valley could do
a better job. People are nervous about

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meritocracy because they think it's

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meritocracy for me and like uh oligarch

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an oligarch for you, right? So it's like

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no it's like does this work for everybody?
is a real or most people like

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are we going to have a society where
people believe that tomorrow is better

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than today like or are we going to have
a dystopian set of views because people

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think it's only working for Silicon

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Valley. Um what what does it look like

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to navigate foreign environments? Uh can

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we be honest about like successes
and failure? I mean, like, can I get any

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progressive I know to admit that
President Trump has done an amazing job

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in foreign policy, especially on Iran
and especially on the border? Well, it

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feel I think we it feels like we've
come to the part where I think a lot of

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Americans right now uh Alex on that

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point I think sort of feel like I'm for

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kind of reflexely whatever my political
opponent is against is where

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>> well again we're we're it's like it's
honestly it's we have a we have we we

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have a we have a we're in a unique
environment where we've been blessed

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with the most important resource in
the world currently. call it the ability

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from chips to ontology like above and
below. Obviously, the two most valuable

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things are kind of the chips and ontology.
They're both here >> in this.

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>> So, but but again, but again, but yes,
it means we have to get out of our

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parochial little niche and start

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evaluating things on the issues like we

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we you know, the the the bounty of

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riches that we have it it can be a huge

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danger like do you know what any like
I spent half my life in Germany. Do you

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know what Germany would do for our tech

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scene? Any Europe country in Europe, any

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country in the world? Like this is a

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like no other country has this. And by
the way, it's it's it's incredibly hard

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to replicate because it's not people
people want to believe, including in the

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valley, it's like some pure IQ.
It's not. It's like it's like a way of

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organizing things, a way of doing things

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plus IQ and other attributes. And and

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this is somehow in this country,
if you're like me, you're like, "Yeah, we

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we we we our constitution was given
to us by a higher power. We have a special

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role in the world." Some people don't
believe that. But, you know, there's a

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lot of evidence for for what I believe,
including the this whole conversation.

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And then the really the real question is,
do we screw it up? And yeah, we

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could screw it up. >> Let me
ask you this. In this in this AI

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discussion we're having, investors have

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clearly determined, Alex, that Palanteer
is an AI winner. your stock has soared.

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I talked to some analysts who cover
Palunteer. I want your reaction to this.

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And I'll ask them, you cover Palunteer.

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Why isn't Palanteer a hold? And here's
what they'll tell me. They'll say, I

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like Corp. I like the company.
I like the tech, but

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>> it is too pricey. It's too expensive.

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We're nosebleleed levels.
What do you say to that?

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>> How often have you been right in the
past? That's literally my qu my question

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is >> that would be your question
to the analyst. No, like I'm not going to

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engage on your prognications of the
future if your record. By the way, this

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is and as much as I like to bast
analysts and as much as many deserve it,

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it's really there are analysts who are
I think some of the analysts say that I

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think some of them say look I was wrong
in the past and now I'm looking deeper.

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So it's it's one one can't generalize

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even about analysts. But I would say all
sorts of people who have let's say all

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sorts of people that have negative
attitudes towards Palier or broadly

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defined the quote unquote analyst
is like you know nosebleleed level

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valuation. The quote unquote journalist
that says we're we're we're powering the

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surveillance state domestically.
The quote unquote person that says I'm a

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conspiracy. The quote unquote person I
don't know. There's all these things in

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every country. There's a negative
Palunteer meme. What I would say to any

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one of them, and by the way, not just on

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this issue, there's persuasion and being

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right. One of the most important things

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you have to ask yourself is how often

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has this person been right? And that is

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more important than is it persuasive?

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If you analyst, journalist, politician,

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if they've been right on five out of six
things and they say a seventh, I think

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one should assume they're likely to be
right. What if they've been wrong about

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all those things? And by the way,
where I do have a bone to pick with

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>> like traditional financial people,
including their minions, the analysts,

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some of them, not all, is >> do you
know how much money you've robbed

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of people with your views on Palunteer?

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>> Like, you know, it's like they have
all these views. There's no downside risk

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for their view. >> At what?
It's like it really should be

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next to every statement. I said don't
buy Palunteer at six. I said don't buy

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Palunteer at 12. I and the welder,

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plumber, technician who didn't buy it or

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sold too soon, I owe them money.

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And and by the way, let me tell you

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something about Palanteer that is very

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positive. By my reckoning, Palanteer is

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one, if not one of the very few, if not

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the only where the average American

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bought

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and the average sophisticated American

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sat on the sidelines or sold.
Why do what do you think explains that?

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>> Yeah, because
the average American was a

00:13:57.360 --> 00:13:59.517
lot smarter than they were and listened

00:13:59.600 --> 00:14:02.877
and was not bigoted like was not was not

00:14:02.960 --> 00:14:07.277
held down by a whole set of training
beliefs that were wrong like what does

00:14:07.360 --> 00:14:10.317
it mean to build enterprise? What does
it mean to have FDES? What does it mean

00:14:10.400 --> 00:14:13.197
to go to market? What does it mean
to get paid? Does your enterprise have to

00:14:13.280 --> 00:14:15.117
be parasitic? Should it be a parasitic?

00:14:15.200 --> 00:14:18.717
Should the host essentially be paying
for the privilege of making your company

00:14:18.800 --> 00:14:22.157
larger and getting no value except
for a weird feeling that you get from the

00:14:22.240 --> 00:14:25.277
parasite that you're better than you are?
It's like essentially replicating

00:14:25.360 --> 00:14:29.197
the whole woke mind virus in the
enterprise. You know, they were open. By

00:14:29.280 --> 00:14:33.357
the way, they were also not only they
were not bigoted against some obvious

00:14:33.440 --> 00:14:36.717
truths that we've been saying for 20
years with by the way these views when

00:14:36.800 --> 00:14:40.237
they were not popular >> like what Alex >>
like America is a better way to organize

00:14:40.320 --> 00:14:43.517
and live than any other place in the
world that even though it's better we

00:14:43.600 --> 00:14:46.637
shouldn't be exporting or especially
it's better we shouldn't export we don't

00:14:46.720 --> 00:14:48.797
need to export our values abroad we need

00:14:48.880 --> 00:14:51.117
to be strong enough in America so that

00:14:51.200 --> 00:14:54.077
nobody screws with us including my bo my

00:14:54.160 --> 00:14:58.157
views on the border like we should have
actual border we should have an actual

00:14:58.240 --> 00:15:00.637
culture We should have meritocracy. We

00:15:00.720 --> 00:15:03.117
should not tolerate discrimination and

00:15:03.200 --> 00:15:07.757
discrimination means against white males
or whatever that is. We we should we

00:15:07.840 --> 00:15:10.237
should build the best products.
The products are going to have to be much

00:15:10.320 --> 00:15:12.237
better than any other products
in the world or they're not going to get

00:15:12.320 --> 00:15:16.477
implemented. Uh I mean all these things
we've been saying for 20 years and you

00:15:16.560 --> 00:15:18.957
know what they pissed off a lot
of people in the league. You know who they

00:15:19.040 --> 00:15:21.117
didn't piss off? The the the same people

00:15:21.200 --> 00:15:23.677
were also making AI work for the truck

00:15:23.760 --> 00:15:28.157
drivers, the plumbers. I run into people
all over America and quite frankly all

00:15:28.240 --> 00:15:31.437
over the world. People who of like
normal means who are now rich because of

00:15:31.520 --> 00:15:33.997
Palanteer. You know who's not rich
because of Palunteer? The people who

00:15:34.080 --> 00:15:38.557
read the analyst notes and the people
who wrote them. And you know what?

00:15:38.640 --> 00:15:42.477
They're also kind of still kind of angry
because while they're cruising along in

00:15:42.560 --> 00:15:46.157
their broken down car, the person
cruising next to them in their beautiful

00:15:46.240 --> 00:15:49.117
Tesla uh is a is a is an actual worker

00:15:49.200 --> 00:15:53.197
in this providing actual value who may
have gotten rich on Palunteer. I want

00:15:53.280 --> 00:15:57.517
>> and I by the way I love that it is
nothing makes me happier than looking in

00:15:57.600 --> 00:16:02.237
my mind's eye at the at the at the at
the bank executive who's hanging out

00:16:02.320 --> 00:16:04.477
with their thing who's living on the

00:16:04.560 --> 00:16:06.797
drip drip of some highinterest loan

00:16:06.880 --> 00:16:09.997
watching some person who's free American

00:16:10.080 --> 00:16:14.557
riding their car who has a who did not
go to an elite school but bought knew

00:16:14.640 --> 00:16:18.157
enough because they didn't probably go
to elite school to buy Palunteer shares

00:16:18.240 --> 00:16:22.157
and now are you going to make even more
money using our platform? Let me ask you

00:16:22.240 --> 00:16:24.797
this. I want to end here. There is a
book coming. I want your view on this.

00:16:24.880 --> 00:16:27.357
It's a biography of you, The Philosopher

00:16:27.440 --> 00:16:31.197
in the Valley. When I read this book, is

00:16:31.280 --> 00:16:34.637
it going to be a fair, balanced portrait

00:16:34.720 --> 00:16:38.797
of Dr. Alex Kark? >> Well,
I mean, only be fair and balanced

00:16:38.880 --> 00:16:43.117
if everything was good. Um, no.
Uh, look, it's 70% accurate. It's very

00:16:43.200 --> 00:16:45.837
>> What's the 30 that's not? >> Uh,
you know, he's got Trump derangement

00:16:45.920 --> 00:16:48.797
syndrome, obviously. >> How does
that come out? uh like anything

00:16:48.880 --> 00:16:51.277
that Palanteer's done that it's it's

00:16:51.360 --> 00:16:55.837
basically it's two books. It's one book
about my childhood which is a complex

00:16:55.920 --> 00:17:00.397
background and you know came
from nothing and highly dyslexic and

00:17:00.480 --> 00:17:03.917
amorphous. is like the whole thing
amorphous background a little bit too

00:17:04.000 --> 00:17:06.157
amorphous racially a little too Jewish a

00:17:06.240 --> 00:17:09.517
little too uh very dyslexic uh political

00:17:09.600 --> 00:17:11.677
that part's fascinating it's a little

00:17:11.760 --> 00:17:15.677
hyperbolic but it's like 85 90% true um

00:17:15.760 --> 00:17:19.837
then of course the Trump derangement
syndrome you know the fact that you know

00:17:19.920 --> 00:17:21.357
you know President Trump did these

00:17:21.440 --> 00:17:25.197
courageous things in Iran uh you knowh

00:17:25.280 --> 00:17:29.597
and and and closed the border and and
pounders played a a role in these things

00:17:29.680 --> 00:17:33.117
obviously not the role that the people
did the work or the president, but you

00:17:33.200 --> 00:17:35.277
know that just sets off this mind virus.

00:17:35.360 --> 00:17:39.277
So Karp has to be evil. It's you know
that part of the book obviously is is

00:17:39.360 --> 00:17:42.637
you know but it's so obvious that you
can kind of read through it and yeah

00:17:42.720 --> 00:17:46.237
there's some things but I guess it's
a good read. I think people read it uh

00:17:46.320 --> 00:17:48.477
will say oh wow that's really interesting.
There's some things about

00:17:48.560 --> 00:17:51.997
Alex I I didn't know and you know you
can assume all the things you don't like

00:17:52.080 --> 00:17:54.957
about me are the in on the inaccurate
side and all the things you do are

00:17:55.040 --> 00:17:57.917
accurate. But it's it I think a lot
of people are going to read it. I think

00:17:58.000 --> 00:18:00.957
people will enjoy reading it.
Since we're talking politics there, final

00:18:01.040 --> 00:18:04.797
question. How have and we've been
talking for a long time, the two of us

00:18:04.880 --> 00:18:09.437
years. How have um how have politics
changed in Silicon Valley as you've

00:18:09.520 --> 00:18:11.277
watched it? What's the arc been like?

00:18:11.360 --> 00:18:13.837
And how has that if at all impacted the

00:18:13.920 --> 00:18:18.317
defense tech sector? >> Well,
I mean, I'll tell you the thing I

00:18:18.400 --> 00:18:22.317
get in most trouble for in my
intellectual circles is the following

00:18:22.400 --> 00:18:27.277
statement. Silicon Valley, like the rest
of the world, will listen to you if

00:18:27.360 --> 00:18:30.637
those ideas make you money. Now,
of course, you still have to have

00:18:30.720 --> 00:18:33.757
convincing ideas that are true. But if

00:18:33.840 --> 00:18:35.757
those ideas are not tailored to real

00:18:35.840 --> 00:18:38.397
world things that work in the valley,

00:18:38.480 --> 00:18:41.677
quite frankly, is dollars.

00:18:41.760 --> 00:18:46.237
>> They will not listen. The fact is, and
again, I get whenever I tell this to my

00:18:46.320 --> 00:18:48.637
intellectual friends, they stop talking
to me because they want to believe that

00:18:48.720 --> 00:18:52.397
pure ideas change the world. Pure ideas
don't change the world. I'll tell you

00:18:52.480 --> 00:18:55.597
what changes the world. pure ideas
backed by the military in this case

00:18:55.680 --> 00:18:58.877
hopefully the US doesn't mean you have
to use the military if you're strong

00:18:58.960 --> 00:19:03.437
enough like this is where I'm like
a palanteer is not a neocon project our

00:19:03.520 --> 00:19:07.517
project is to make America so strong
we never fight that's different than so

00:19:07.600 --> 00:19:11.357
almost strong enough so we always fight
right so your ideas get listened to if

00:19:11.440 --> 00:19:14.637
you are dominant on the battlefield and
hopefully so dominant you don't have to

00:19:14.720 --> 00:19:17.837
listen use it but if you do use it
people are like yeah I'm not screwing

00:19:17.920 --> 00:19:21.357
with those or if those ideas make
someone a lot of money you still have to

00:19:21.440 --> 00:19:24.317
have the ideas in part the intellectuals
get so angry. My intellectual friends,

00:19:24.400 --> 00:19:26.877
it's like because they just think
they write a book, someone reads and it

00:19:26.960 --> 00:19:30.157
changes the world. Nuh-uh. And like
that's not the way intellectual projects

00:19:30.240 --> 00:19:32.077
have ever worked. The ideas have to have

00:19:32.160 --> 00:19:35.117
a real world input. And so the fact that

00:19:35.200 --> 00:19:39.917
Palunteer is that whatever we're at,
this changes the valley because not only

00:19:40.000 --> 00:19:44.157
was the patriotism right, but the
patriotism make you rich. And that's

00:19:44.240 --> 00:19:47.837
what that that impact on the valley
is going to be very long lasting. Uh and

00:19:47.920 --> 00:19:51.037
I'm very proud of that. But again, you
can't just be proud of the idea that was

00:19:51.120 --> 00:19:54.237
right from the beginning. It was been
right since the history of our country

00:19:54.320 --> 00:19:58.957
that our way of organizing especially
our constitution is superior certainly

00:19:59.040 --> 00:20:01.677
super superior for Americans again
superior for us doesn't mean we export

00:20:01.760 --> 00:20:03.357
it to everyone in the world but superior

00:20:03.440 --> 00:20:07.357
for us since conception and uh and uh

00:20:07.440 --> 00:20:11.677
but you what to make people listen up in

00:20:11.760 --> 00:20:15.677
their seats you need to be dominant on
the military and dominant on the economy

00:20:15.760 --> 00:20:20.237
and Palunteer plays a really but for
role in the both of those areas and

00:20:20.320 --> 00:20:23.117
that's something that I'm proud
of because not just because of the impact

00:20:23.200 --> 00:20:27.437
but because the like the way in which it
reverberates both in Silicon Valley and

00:20:27.520 --> 00:20:31.117
outside and by the way it also stands
for you know anyone can make it one of

00:20:31.200 --> 00:20:32.637
the things that's in the biography is

00:20:32.720 --> 00:20:35.677
you read where I came from read that

00:20:35.760 --> 00:20:39.277
like there's no reason you can't advance

00:20:39.360 --> 00:20:43.277
in this society and that's an important
lesson for everybody especially outside

00:20:43.360 --> 00:20:45.920
the house.
